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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13043 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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$1b movies of 2022
After skipping 2021 it's time again to do a 2022 poll... You can re-vote until the poll closes in two weeks... Here's the link to the 2020 poll: viewtopic.php?f=12&t=86074
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Last edited by mark66 on Fri Jan 14, 2022 5:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Jan 14, 2022 5:27 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13043 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
If China release happens, I see 6 movies (A2, JW3, M2, DR.S2, AQ2, TH4)
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Fri Jan 14, 2022 5:29 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
Avatar 2 is locked. Rest not sure.
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Fri Jan 14, 2022 6:02 am |
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Kanroji Mitsuri
The Dark Knight
Joined: Sat Sep 25, 2021 2:14 am Posts: 759 Location: Japan
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
In February, three films are expected to pass $1B from China ($400M is a locked figure for them) 1) Only Fools Rush In 2) Nice View 3) Water Gate Bridge (Sequel to All-time highest grossing film in China)
I think we will be getting $1.3-1.5B, or may be $2B in Spring Festival for all the TOP 10 works.
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Fri Jan 14, 2022 6:09 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
That's possible, CNY movies are on brink of reaching $1b mark so one of them should do it soon.
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Fri Jan 14, 2022 6:46 am |
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Kanroji Mitsuri
The Dark Knight
Joined: Sat Sep 25, 2021 2:14 am Posts: 759 Location: Japan
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
Nice View has a nice chance of reaching $1B with WOM. But, Water Gate Bridge is an National Film about Chinese History. So I think both of them can pass if audience distribution is maintained. However, CNY always have a twist because here works grow with WOM not big-big OW like last year Hi Mom over DC3 (OW difference : below $190M vs $400M, but finals at $841M &$705M) I doubt which one will fall this year. May be Water Gate Bridge but I doubt Only Fools Rush in be the victim.
_________________ 甘露寺 蜜璃
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Fri Jan 14, 2022 7:05 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18958 Location: San Diego
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
I voted for The Batman, Doctor Strange 2, Jurassic World 3, Black Panther 2, Avatar 2, Aquaman 2
I can see Aquaman moving to 2023.
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Sun Jan 16, 2022 7:10 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32140 Location: the last free city
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
These 8 will do it
The Batman Doctor Strange 2 Top Gun Maverick Jurassic World 3 Thor 4 Mission: Impossible 7 Black Panther 2 Avatar 2
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Sun Jan 16, 2022 7:49 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18958 Location: San Diego
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
Where would Top Gun be huge overseas...? Idk I just don't see it.
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Sun Jan 16, 2022 7:49 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22747 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
I'd say Mario is a decent shot
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Mon Jan 17, 2022 1:45 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13043 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
Please vote!
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Sun Jan 23, 2022 1:01 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13043 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
Time is running out to vote!
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Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:36 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32140 Location: the last free city
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
HA! I'm the lone Top Gun Maverick voter just the way I like it
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Thu Jan 27, 2022 7:21 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13043 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
So THE BATMAN fell way short and DOCTOR STRANGE 2 will probably fall short too - will TOP GUN MAVERICK really be the surprising first one?
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Fri May 27, 2022 12:40 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18958 Location: San Diego
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
Mmm does Top Gun really have enough for 550m+ overseas? Guess we'll see. Really sad DS is missing.
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Fri May 27, 2022 12:44 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6234
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
no China release for TGM. I think its not going to make it to 1B as well.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri May 27, 2022 12:49 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20445 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
Jurassic World looks like the only summer movie locked to do it
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Fri May 27, 2022 12:50 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11640
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
Paramount hasn't seen a movie do $800M+ worldwide in 8 years so luckily the bar is really low for them!
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Fri May 27, 2022 7:47 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6234
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
on second thoughts I wont rule it out for Top Gun. Already some incredible numbers from few international markets and it will be leggy in many markets for sure. I also see 500m+ domestic and so it needs to match that to make it happen. Wont be easy but its definitely in play. Let us see in couple of weeks.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sat May 28, 2022 1:36 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13043 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
$116.5m WW 'til Friday for TGM...
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Sat May 28, 2022 11:44 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13043 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
$248m WW 'til Sunday...
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Sun May 29, 2022 11:26 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6234
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
1B WW for TGM is locked. Both domestic and OS holds have been stellar.
Next up is JWD. I am skeptical as movies will have mediocre reviews/WOM plus its releasing just 2 weeks after the insanity of TGM. I rather think Thor 4 will do it if Taika manages to keep the quality close to Thor 3.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sat Jun 04, 2022 11:03 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18958 Location: San Diego
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
Lol yeah 1 billion looks like it'll happen. Crazy but cool to see.
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Sat Jun 04, 2022 12:24 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13043 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
So TGM is at $885m and JW3 at $622m
One is a GO!, the other a contender...
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Sun Jun 19, 2022 12:35 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32140 Location: the last free city
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Re: $1b movies of 2022
mark66 wrote: So TGM is at $885m and JW3 at $622m
One is a GO!, the other a contender... yah TGM and JW3 are definitely going to top $1 BILLION
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Sun Jun 19, 2022 3:57 pm |
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