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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am
Posts: 5261
Location: Wakanda
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If it opens with 60+m this weekend, 2nd week will see a 45-50% drop
45-50m open, 2nd weekend will see a 35-40% drop
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| Thu Nov 04, 2004 1:32 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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after its 85m+ first wknd BJ expects a 30% drop amaybe ever a 25% drop ever way i expect a 2nd Wknd over 60m 8) than a 40% fall when against spongebob thats now to 35m and a 10% drop on thanks giving to 32m so i expect a overall grose around shrek 2 range hopefully it can win 8)
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Thu Nov 04, 2004 2:26 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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It won't fall over 40% the second weekend, period. :wink:
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| Thu Nov 04, 2004 2:30 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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xiayun wrote: It won't fall over 40% the second weekend, period. :wink: theres no way it drops over 30% I siriously see this film gettin a multiplyer in the 5-6 range its going to be a great movie definantly better than shark tale and shrek 2, man do i hope its better than nemo also this movie looks so awesome 85m+ opening wknd from BJ no lower 8) _________________The Force Awakens
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| Thu Nov 04, 2004 2:44 am |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14501
Location: Everywhere
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BJ - 25%-30%
Archangel Supreme - 30%
Goldie - 30%
choubachou - 30.5%
DP07 - 33.4%
Zingaling - 34%
Dr. Lecter - 34%
Plot - 34.5%
xiayun - 34.7%
micasey300 - 35%
Algren - 35%
Nebs - 37%
matatonio - 38%
torrino - 39%
hans - 40%
BOYFRESH - open>60m = 45-50%
45-50m open = 35-40%
Last edited by DP07 on Fri Nov 05, 2004 2:56 am, edited 2 times in total.
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| Thu Nov 04, 2004 7:08 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Final prediction: 29.8%.
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| Thu Nov 04, 2004 7:46 pm |
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Bodrul
All Star Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 11:21 am
Posts: 4694
Location: Cambridge, England.
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i'll change mine to 40% i want to say higher but, everyone else is saying lower, 40% seems reasonable.
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| Thu Nov 04, 2004 7:50 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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After more thoughts, I do agree it'll be hard for it to drop less than 30%. Now I'm looking at 34.7%.
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| Thu Nov 04, 2004 11:19 pm |
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BigMoviePimp
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:54 pm
Posts: 198
Location: The Real World
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The Polar Express WILL hurt it, no matter what. Therefore:
34.6%
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| Fri Nov 05, 2004 1:57 pm |
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JURiNG
ef star star kay
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:45 pm
Posts: 3016
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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BJ wrote: xiayun wrote: It won't fall over 40% the second weekend, period. :wink: theres no way it drops over 30% I siriously see this film gettin a multiplyer in the 5-6 range its going to be a great movie definantly better than shark tale and shrek 2, man do i hope its better than nemo also this movie looks so awesome 85m+ opening wknd from BJ no lower 8) Being greater movie doesn't mean it has to have better BO run..
Especially when movie opens BIG.. anything below 40% is impressive drop for me..
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| Fri Nov 05, 2004 2:42 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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-28% 8)
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Nov 05, 2004 7:45 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14501
Location: Everywhere
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BJ - 28%
Archangel Supreme - 30%
Goldie - 30%
choubachou - 30.5%
DP07 - 33.4%
Zingaling - 34%
Dr. Lecter - 34%
Plot - 34.5%
BigMoviePimp - 34.6%
xiayun - 34.7%
micasey300 - 35%
Algren - 35%
Nebs - 37%
matatonio - 38%
torrino - 39%
hans - 40%
BOYFRESH - 45-50%
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| Tue Nov 09, 2004 9:37 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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im going to change my prediction!!
lower it 36%
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| Tue Nov 09, 2004 9:41 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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New Prediction: 36.17% drop
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| Tue Nov 09, 2004 9:46 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Seeing The Polar Express' theatre count, I am revising mine to 35.9%
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Nov 10, 2004 3:23 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14501
Location: Everywhere
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BJ - 28%
Archangel Supreme - 30%
Goldie - 30%
choubachou - 30.5%
DP07 - 33.4%
Plot - 34.5%
BigMoviePimp - 34.6%
xiayun - 34.7%
micasey300 - 35%
Algren - 35%
Dr. Lecter - 35.9%
matatonio - 36%
Zingaling - 36.17%
Nebs - 37%
torrino - 39%
hans - 40%
BOYFRESH - 45-50%
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| Wed Nov 10, 2004 8:17 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Ive got a new one now 8)
-24%
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Thu Nov 11, 2004 11:53 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14501
Location: Everywhere
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BJ wrote: Ive got a new one now 8)
-24% Feeling optimistic? :wink: I'll be overjoyed if you are proven right. :wink:
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 8:42 am |
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Erendis
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 28, 2004 9:40 am
Posts: 1527
Location: Emyn Arnen
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Predictions:
Incredibles will drop about 35%.
Polar Express will have an average opening weekend.
Spongebob will then murder them both.
I personally hope that Polar Express crashes and burns. The media is making a big deal out of capturing Tom Hanks in animation. Whip-de-do, LotR got there first and won two Oscars for it. And I don't know what the studio is thinking, using a grown up name (Hanks) to market a movie to kids who couldn't care less, 'specially with Spongebob round the corner.
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 10:29 am |
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JURiNG
ef star star kay
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:45 pm
Posts: 3016
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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it made 11.01 on Thursday
I say it will increase ~28% on Friday
That's 14.1, 22.7 on Sat. (+61%), 16.4 on Sun.(-27%)
=53.2
24.75% drop from opening week!
But if it increase 50%+ on Friday..
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 5:47 pm |
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JURiNG
ef star star kay
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:45 pm
Posts: 3016
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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14.9 on Friday, 20.8 on Sat(+40%) 15.2 on Sun(-27%)
= 50.9m for wknd..
28% drop
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| Sat Nov 13, 2004 2:04 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Looks like it will be between Juring and BJ, however, I am tending towards BJ's win. 
Congrats! _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Nov 13, 2004 3:12 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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JURiNG wrote: 14.9 on Friday, 20.8 on Sat(+40%) 15.2 on Sun(-27%)
= 50.9m for wknd..
28% drop it will increase over 50% today 8) your sunday drop is awesome though 8) _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Nov 13, 2004 3:16 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Looks like it will be between Juring and BJ, however, I am tending towards BJ's win. Congrats! thanks Lector 8) I realy hope it can manage a 24% drop this wknd _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Nov 13, 2004 3:19 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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DP07 wrote: BJ wrote: Ive got a new one now 8)
-24% Feeling optimistic? :wink: I'll be overjoyed if you are proven right. :wink: Thanks DPO7 8) it has a great shote with that awesome friday increase  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Nov 13, 2004 3:20 pm |
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