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 Minions 2 predictions 
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Extraordinary
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
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Post Minions 2 predictions
This one has Gru so it may not be as much a disaster as SLOP2 but will this still make over 200m?


Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:22 pm
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Hold the door!
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Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
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Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Post Re: Minions 2 predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote:
This one has Gru so it may not be as much a disaster as SLOP2 but will this still make over 200m?

I. D.o.n.t think it will do any more than 50m OW so probably 175-180m total.

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Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:30 pm
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The Antichrist
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Post Re: Minions 2 predictions
The domestic market is becoming kind of irrelevant for the DM franchise, though not at Ice Age levels.

What matters is the kind of hold it will have worldwide. Pirates 5 dropped 25% from #4, which was released in a time of much better exchange rates and 3D share. I guess -10/20% depending on China. I really don't see an IA5 scenario.

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Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:34 pm
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Hatchling

Joined: Sat Jun 15, 2019 12:28 pm
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Post Re: Minions 2 predictions
I know most people think Minions 2 will be a SLOP 2 but am not entirely sure.
Yes SLOP2's bad performance domestically shows audience fatigue somehwat of Illuminati's tropes or at least in this specific franchise, but am not sure just because SLOP underperfomed then Minions will do so too.
Minions 2 will at least have less competition, better release date and perhaps a more established franchise that even though has its best days behind it, still has some fans.
I don't think it will be another SLOP, but surely not another DM2 either.
I feel it's going to be in between. Not a SLOP2 but not a DM2, maybe a 30% drop from the previous installment (DM3) if it acts like a DM4..


Sat Jun 15, 2019 12:36 pm
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The Antichrist
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Post Re: Minions 2 predictions
Welcome to the forum!

And I agree with you about that. People shouldn't jump to conclusions so soon. The first Pets left kind of nothing to the audience (who the heck remember the name of the animals?), while the Minions are still very popular. 200+ is certainly reachable, though as I said it doesn't really matter if the movie grosses 150 or 200 domestically, as 75/80% of the gross will come from abroad.

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Sat Jun 15, 2019 12:54 pm
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Hatchling

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Post Re: Minions 2 predictions
Omni wrote:
Welcome to the forum!

And I agree with you about that. People shouldn't jump to conclusions so soon. The first Pets left kind of nothing to the audience (who the heck remember the name of the animals?), while the Minions are still very popular. 200+ is certainly reachable, though as I said it doesn't really matter if the movie grosses 150 or 200 domestically, as 75/80% of the gross will come from abroad.


Thank you :thumbsup:! I’ve been following this forum for a while now and have to say its Japan box office has always been so interesting for me.
I agree with you – I feel like Minions 2’s release pattern kinda reminds me of DM3 in 2017 which was in a barren summer with no family competition. People often cite the hatred (not sure about this but eh) that the general audience had of Minions 1, but there are other factors in play such as release date, competition, marketing, tie-ins and branding etc. I feel like SLOP flopped on all of these criteria: bad release date sandwiched between Aladdin and TS4, lackluster marketing, no tie-ins or merch etc. I don’t think all of these factors will fare as terribly for Minions 2 as they did for SLOP 2.
I’m also not sure what SLOP 2’s bad results mean for its company as a whole and maybe we need a few more films to be entirely sure, but I totally agree with your analysis on the franchise.


Sat Jun 15, 2019 1:10 pm
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llegó a la casa vía marítima
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Post Re: Minions 2 predictions
I think this is where the bottom falls out of this franchise. Could go sub $150m domestic and sub $500m WW.

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Sat Jun 15, 2019 4:00 pm
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Hatchling

Joined: Sat Jun 15, 2019 12:28 pm
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Post Re: Minions 2 predictions
I just don't think this is Ice Age OS. Domestically mayyybe but another Ice Age Worldwide? not so sure just because SLOP flopped.


Sun Jun 16, 2019 6:34 am
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