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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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Ivan K wrote: I laughed so hard during the trailer. Any comedy that puts a smile on your face like that is bound to be huge.
Did anyone else feel that Scarlett was on the verge of having a fit of hysterical laughter throughout the trailer? What are you going on about? #-o
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| Mon May 30, 2005 7:22 pm |
  
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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zach wrote: Ivan K wrote: I laughed so hard during the trailer. Any comedy that puts a smile on your face like that is bound to be huge.
Did anyone else feel that Scarlett was on the verge of having a fit of hysterical laughter throughout the trailer? What are you going on about? #-o I dont think box like it to much, but thats ok this film is still going to make a killer amount of $$$$ :wink: _________________The Force Awakens
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| Mon May 30, 2005 7:34 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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This looks quite interesting. Michael Bay has the knack of coming up with winners though most people dismiss him too easily.
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| Mon May 30, 2005 7:36 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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jb007 wrote: This looks quite interesting. Michael Bay has the knack of coming up with winners though most people dismiss him too easily. Exactly, and this island just looks to interesting to pass up. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Mon May 30, 2005 8:03 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
Posts: 1684
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This looks very interesting. I think this can do big numbers.
43/147
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| Mon May 30, 2005 8:09 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Nothing really impressive about the trailer and sci-fi is sometimes a hard sell. With that said, Michael Bay movies always open big so I dont think this will be any different. I say around 45 million/130 million total. The same amount I Robot got
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| Mon May 30, 2005 8:43 pm |
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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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BJ wrote: zach wrote: Ivan K wrote: I laughed so hard during the trailer. Any comedy that puts a smile on your face like that is bound to be huge.
Did anyone else feel that Scarlett was on the verge of having a fit of hysterical laughter throughout the trailer? What are you going on about? #-o I dont think box like it to much, but thats ok this film is still going to make a killer amount of $$$$ :wink: He never likes any movie I like. :razz:
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| Mon May 30, 2005 9:30 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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Looks better than Bay's typical gung-ho, shoot-em-up action flick - it seems to actually have an interesting story - but we'll see. I'm psyched about the cast though - McGregor, Johansson, Hounsou, Buscemi, Bean & Duncan - and it seems to have the same appeal that I, Robot did - aside from Will Smith.
So $45 million opening, and $130 million total.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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| Mon May 30, 2005 9:33 pm |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm
Posts: 1797
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Wow.
This looks hot.
I hope the ad campaign continues the excellence of the new trailer.
If so:
Opening: $59m
Final: $170m
If not:
Opening: $46m
Final: $124m
I think one of the bigger reasons Minority Report didn't break out as much as it 'could have' was Fox's butchered ad campaign, specifically in the TV spots leading up to its release. Since The Island seems to be more action oriented, I think it'll be an easier sell. And August is looking preeettty weak so far, so there should be enough room for this to stretch its legs.
Ah, yes - Does this have a rating yet? The newest trailer almost makes me think it could be R ala The Rock, but who knows. Could be a factor.
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| Tue May 31, 2005 3:14 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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*bump*
Not lookin' so hot for The Island right now. My initial prediction in this thread might be spot on after all.
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| Thu Jul 14, 2005 1:48 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Opening: $29.7 million
Total: $92 million
Not bad, but not what some people would expect.
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| Thu Jul 14, 2005 1:56 pm |
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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm
Posts: 5868
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55/160
Big breakout. The only action films to tank at the BO this summer were XxX, Kingdom of Heaven, and Mindhunters. Everything else has/will hit $150+. Somehow I think this will follow the trend.
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| Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:45 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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There is 0% chance it opens higher than Mr. and Mrs. Smith.
0%!!!!
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| Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:48 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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I. for one, never expected it to open higher than Mr. and Mrs. Smith which had bigger stars and more buzz. It looks infinitely better though.
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| Fri Jul 15, 2005 1:17 am |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
Posts: 1255
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Dreamworks has tried everything, but The Island is still not tracking well....
http://www.hollywood-elsewhere.com/
Quote: 07/14/2005 12:03 PM
DreamWork's The Island still isn't tracking -- the hoped-for boost from last Saturday night's nationwide sneak simply didn't happen. Everything has been tried, loads of TV ad money has been spent trying to get it off the runway and it's just not taking. Awareness and interest is also on the low side for Rob Cohen's Stealth (Columbia, 7.29), according to recent data...despite Jamie Foxx (a costar along with Josh Lucas) being front-and-center in the trailer. Opening tracking figures on Warner Bros.' The Dukes of Hazzard showed a 72% general awareness, a 36% definite interest and 5% first-choice...which is pretty good for a movie three weeks away from opening. However, it also got a very high "definitely not interested" rating from urban respondents.
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| Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:41 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Mary, I cannot somewhat rely on that site to track movies. That was the same site that said House of Wax was tracking very well but it didnt. I do give it some credit for Kingdom of Heaven not tracking well but then again alot of people did have the prediction for the movie below 30 million
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| Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:57 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Tracking is not always right. Like roid said, House of Wax was tracking for a $20+ million opening weekend, but ended up with a $12 million opening weekend.
I'll admit that The Island isn't looking too good for a $40+ million opening weekend, but $30+ million is still possible.
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| Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:00 pm |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
Posts: 1255
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: Mary, I cannot somewhat rely on that site to track movies. That was the same site that said House of Wax was tracking very well but it didnt. I do give it some credit for Kingdom of Heaven not tracking well but then again alot of people did have the prediction for the movie below 30 million I agree that tracking isn't always right, especially on kid movies.
PS: Those tracking datas were come from a private industry tracking service called Cinesys, which provides its data to clients through National Research Group (NRG). hollywood-elsewhere.com just get those datas from NRG.
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| Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:09 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Island and Stealth might be the duds of the summer, but I have a feeling one will pull out ( hehehe ) With budgets over 100m doesnt look good for them if this tracking thing is right.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:28 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Speaking of Stealth, doing the RT rating for that movie will be as fun as the one we did for F4. I cant wait for the Dukes of Hazzards RT thread too :candle:
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| Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:43 pm |
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FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am
Posts: 9808
Location: Suisse
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Time to bump.
I stick with my 45/145.
Even I think it will be very hard to pass the 40 opening.
But then. This is the action movie of the summer. And FF4 and Willy "I like touching kids" Wonka will be BAYminated.
_________________Libs wrote: FILMO, I'd rather have you eat chocolate syrup off my naked body than be a moderator here.
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| Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:34 pm |
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Jonan23
Child Actor
Joined: Thu Jun 16, 2005 12:10 am
Posts: 30
Location: Philippines
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I think that when July 22 comes people will decide to check out the Island. Early reviews have been great and I think people are waiting for word on whether this film is good before seeing it. I'm predicting a 45 mil opening and a 150 mil finish.
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| Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:58 pm |
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KC
Team Kris
Joined: Sat Nov 06, 2004 4:57 pm
Posts: 1003
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Michael Bay has been gold at the box office with every movie he has ever made. Although this is his first movie without Bruckheimer, it will still do amazing numbers. I see it opening in the high 40's and if it tops 50 that wouldn't surprise me.
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| Sun Jul 17, 2005 2:13 pm |
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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm
Posts: 5868
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TC estimates suck. 2,800 theaters is not strong enough for a $50 million opening. If the estimates hold true, my new prediction is 38/115
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| Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:48 pm |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
Posts: 1255
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"The Island isn't booked in ANY Regal Theatres", is it? :???:
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| Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:08 am |
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