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 Derby Scores with estimates 
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Cream of the Crop
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Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 9:40 pm
Posts: 2987
Location: Free Country, USA
Post Derby Scores with estimates
The Grudge - (21.2 / 22.4) -- Accuracy: 94.64%
Ray - (10 / 20.1) -- Accuracy: 49.75%
Saw - (10 / 17.4) -- Accuracy: 57.47%
Shark Tale - (9.3 / 8) -- Accuracy: 83.75%
Shall We Dance? - (5 / 6.3) -- Accuracy: 79.37%
Friday Night Lights - (3.9 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 95.12%
Ladder 49 - (3.2 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 96.97%
Team America: World Police - (3.2 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 96.97%
I Heart Huckabees - (2 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 82.35%
Birth - (1.4 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 82.35%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 81.87%

New Release: 63.19%
Still in Theater: 89.88%

Because of the different between the studio estimate and the actual number.
You've gain a 0.17% in your average.

With Surviving Christmas, my score is 81.42%

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Sun Oct 31, 2004 1:33 pm
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King Albert!
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Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
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With these estimates, I scored a 85.38% on the derby. I am happy with this score.

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Sun Oct 31, 2004 2:41 pm
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The Incredible Hulk
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Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 10:44 pm
Posts: 571
Location: NYC
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The Grudge - (20.4 / 22.4) -- Accuracy: 91.07%
Ray - (15.8 / 20.1) -- Accuracy: 78.61%
Saw - (14.9 / 17.4) -- Accuracy: 85.63%
Shark Tale - (9.4 / 8) -- Accuracy: 82.50%
Shall We Dance? - (6.1 / 6.3) -- Accuracy: 96.83%
Friday Night Lights - (4.2 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 97.56%
Ladder 49 - (3.3 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Team America: World Police - (3.4 / 3.1) -- Accuracy: 90.32%
Birth - (1.9 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 88.24%
I Heart Huckabees - (2.1 / 1.6) -- Accuracy: 68.75%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 87.95%

New Release: 84.16%
Still in Theater: 89.58%

Finally, some decent score, after three weeks of sucking at my predictions... Hope can keep it this high as I don't want my monthly average drop below 80.00% for the first time since March... :wink:

Also, including Surviving Christmas, my average is 88.00%

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Sun Oct 31, 2004 2:43 pm
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Speed Racer

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 12:32 am
Posts: 166
Location: Russia , Moscow
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I have 82.8 % ( 11 films ). :oops:


Sun Oct 31, 2004 2:48 pm
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You must have big rats
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Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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UC4:

The Grudge - (20.3 / 22.4) -- Accuracy: 90.63%
Ray - (16.3 / 20.1) -- Accuracy: 81.09%
Saw - (15.6 / 17.4) -- Accuracy: 89.66%
Shark Tale - (8.6 / 8) -- Accuracy: 92.50%
Shall We Dance? - (7.3 / 6.3) -- Accuracy: 84.13%
Friday Night Lights - (4.6 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 87.80%
Ladder 49 - (3.4 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 96.97%
Team America: World Police - (3.6 / 3.1) -- Accuracy: 83.87%
Birth - (1.6 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 94.12%
I Heart Huckabees - (2.3 / 1.6) -- Accuracy: 56.25%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 85.70%

New Release: 88.29%
Still in Theater: 84.59%

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Sun Oct 31, 2004 2:51 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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For I Heart Huckabees, 1.65M estimate should round up to 1.7, but the script moon is using will return 1.6, so I changed it to 1.66 so that the calculation will be correct.


Sun Oct 31, 2004 4:49 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Location: San Mateo, CA
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Survivng Christmas will help to raise my score a little as I predicted 2.6 for it. I have 85.56% average for 11 movies.


Sun Oct 31, 2004 4:53 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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The Grudge - (22.1 / 22.4) -- Accuracy: 98.66%
Ray - (12.9 / 20.1) -- Accuracy: 64.18%
Saw - (15 / 17.4) -- Accuracy: 86.21%
Shark Tale - (9.2 / 8) -- Accuracy: 85.00%
Shall We Dance? - (5.8 / 6.3) -- Accuracy: 92.06%
Friday Night Lights - (4.8 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 82.93%
Ladder 49 - (3.6 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 90.91%
Team America: World Police - (3.8 / 3.1) -- Accuracy: 77.42%
Birth - (1.9 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 88.24%
I Heart Huckabees - (2.5 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 52.94%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 81.85%

New Release: 79.54%
Still in Theater: 82.85%

Because of the different between the studio estimate and the actual number.
You've gain a 0.16% in your average.


Sun Oct 31, 2004 4:55 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm
Posts: 1777
Location: The Dirty South
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The Grudge - (20.3 / 22.4) -- Accuracy: 90.63%
Ray - (15.5 / 20.1) -- Accuracy: 77.11%
Saw - (15.5 / 17.4) -- Accuracy: 89.08%
Shark Tale - (8.6 / 8) -- Accuracy: 92.50%
Shall We Dance? - (6.4 / 6.3) -- Accuracy: 98.41%
Friday Night Lights - (3.8 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 92.68%
Ladder 49 - (3.0 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 90.91%
Team America: World Police - (3.1 / 3.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Birth - (2.0 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 82.35%
I Heart Huckabees - (2.2 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 70.59%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 88.43%

New Release: 82.85%
Still in Theater: 90.82%

Because of the different between the studio estimate and the actual number.
You've gain a 0.48% in your average.


Xmas actually brings me down a little to 87.76 % :? Still thought a crap load better than the last 3 weekends


Sun Oct 31, 2004 7:07 pm
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Derby Score 83,24%
BO55 83,92%
Pairs Game 85,68%
Domestic vs International 83,88%
UC4 83,92%


Sun Oct 31, 2004 7:53 pm
Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Animosity Reigns wrote:
The Grudge - (20.3 / 22.4) -- Accuracy: 90.63%
Ray - (15.5 / 20.1) -- Accuracy: 77.11%
Saw - (15.5 / 17.4) -- Accuracy: 89.08%
Shark Tale - (8.6 / 8) -- Accuracy: 92.50%
Shall We Dance? - (6.4 / 6.3) -- Accuracy: 98.41%
Friday Night Lights - (3.8 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 92.68%
Ladder 49 - (3.0 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 90.91%
Team America: World Police - (3.1 / 3.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Birth - (2.0 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 82.35%
I Heart Huckabees - (2.2 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 70.59%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 88.43%

New Release: 82.85%
Still in Theater: 90.82%

Because of the different between the studio estimate and the actual number.
You've gain a 0.48% in your average.


Xmas actually brings me down a little to 87.76 % :? Still thought a crap load better than the last 3 weekends


Great score! You probably will win the month of October. :wink:


Sun Oct 31, 2004 8:41 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm
Posts: 1777
Location: The Dirty South
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thx, would be amazing if I did considering I had 3 weekends in the 70's.


Sun Oct 31, 2004 9:29 pm
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Extraordinary
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Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 9:30 pm
Posts: 12096
Location: Stroudsburg, PA
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The Grudge - ( 21.1 / 22.4 ) -- Accuracy: 94.20%
Ray - ( 16.1 / 20.1 ) -- Accuracy: 80.10%
Saw - ( 15.5 / 17.4 ) -- Accuracy: 89.08%
Shark Tale - ( 9.9 / 8 ) -- Accuracy: 76.25%
Shall We Dance? - ( 5.6 / 6.3 ) -- Accuracy: 88.89%
Friday Night Lights - ( 4.3 / 4.1 ) -- Accuracy: 95.12%
Ladder 49 - ( 3.5 / 3.3 ) -- Accuracy: 93.94%
Team America: World Police - ( 3.4 / 3.1 ) -- Accuracy: 90.32%
Birth - ( 1.9 / 1.7 ) -- Accuracy: 88.24%
I Heart Huckabees - ( 2.3 / 1.7 ) -- Accuracy: 64.71%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 86.08%


Sun Oct 31, 2004 10:48 pm
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