Solo is like Guardians of the Galaxy 2 but with less humor and less engaging lead.

Being a spinoff without a huge known cameo like Vader makes it feel much more like any given MCU film. The main series is like Avengers and the spinoffs are like the lone character films. Rogue One was sort of a Civil War type deal with the massive cameo putting it in a similar league with the main series. Solo is more like your Guardians 2.

Updated estimate is $14.1m, so likely under $15m.

Once again, Excel has a glimpse into the truth, but doesn’t know how to decipher it.

I don't see why Solo would all of a sudden play like an MCU film. Sure it might be a little back-loaded, but it's still Star Wars and it's going to skew really old regardless. The family appeal might help it's drops over the weekend more than anything else, but it won't be that drastic IMO. Either way this is looking to be a very meh weekend.

Imagine the ego boost for Harrison Ford if it fails to beat Crystal Skull...

Thoroughly enjoyed Solo. $14m Thurs right before Memorial Day weekend isn't bad. I didn't expect mega blockbuster numbers.

These numbers are very early but still doesn't bode well for $40m today. No way to account for walk-ups later in the day and I think Solo will do well enough in that area.

There's no fucking way that day 1 is... so low.

If this is true how come the Force Awakens happened? By far the biggest OW at the time, and biggest film of all time. And Sith was pretty damn huge. The biggest opening event of all time up to that point, the first 50 mil day which brought KJ to its knees

Star Wars was bigger than anything up until 2015. For all the criticisms of George Lucas films at least they are completely unique in feel from any other blockbuster and an event. They diluted the brand now, and space sci fi adventures is a way harder sell on its own than superhero films.

If these numbers hold true then it's safe to say that Rian Johnson single handily destroyed Star Wars. The faithful are obviously so disappointed in TLJ that they didn't show up for Solo.

Yeah that's it.

Star Wars is dying. All hail the Mighty Thanos!

So with $14m previews it should have landed somewhere between $36m-$38m OD. $33m is VERY low total disaster. It could see a slight increase over OD but I don't think it's getting to $40m today.

Variety is reporting a $32m Friday

BoxOffice twitter says $33-37 mil.

Nope. There are several factors to Solo. First of the late marketing push, CASTING, well know production troubles and directors leaving, release being so close to another SW movie(SW doesn't have a proven track record of success with close releases), release date being VERY close to two major Marvel blockbusters(the next best thing these days and also satisfying action crowd/families).

A big air-ball for industry tracking.

That would be better



If that happens it might not cross even $100m 4-day.

nostalgia rules



Clones got crushed by Spiderman in 02 and matrix in 03. Sith not on pirates 2 level.

But to get nostalgia you still need millennials to generate record breaking numbers and all time huge hits.

To be fair, Pirates 2 was an extremely huge film and one of the biggest ever at the time. It was kind of the first taste of the uber blockbuster sequels that would become common in the 2010s. That opening caught everyone by surprise.

Clones, Sith were definitely big film events, I remember it well. 2005 box office was in a terrible slump and it towered over every other film released that year in North America. And it was #2 internationally only behind Goblet of Fire, which was kind of a reset button for the Potter films making them more adult.

They don't ALWAYS have to be #1 of the year. You have to look at how big they were still in retrospect. So let's assume BP today it will most likely outgross IW, does that mean millennials don't care about IW?

Wuh

viewtopic.php?f=12&t=21481

It has some millennials and gen z people, just not close to what marvel has

ddd it did on BOM, as far as I remember. Maybe it was because there were tons of Superman Returns fans there and they were constantly bashing Pirates and saying it would flop.