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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
It could be a small factor but not big enough to hurt JL's OW IMO.
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Tue Nov 14, 2017 12:41 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
People are underestimating WONDER a lot (which I saw three months ago btw)...
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Tue Nov 14, 2017 1:07 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
mark66 wrote: People are underestimating WONDER a lot (which I saw three months ago btw)... I keep hearing it's doing really well in pre-sales. I had no idea it was based on a book or that it was that popular, but it looks like it could definitely surprise this weekend. That fact that it has already appeared on MT is really encouraging as well.
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Tue Nov 14, 2017 1:18 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Dil wrote: mark66 wrote: People are underestimating WONDER a lot (which I saw three months ago btw)... I keep hearing it's doing really well in pre-sales. I had no idea it was based on a book or that it was that popular, but it looks like it could definitely surprise this weekend. That fact that it has already appeared on MT is really encouraging as well. It's closing in on 300K FB Likes accompanying solid Twitter activity, so it's definitely being talked about.
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Tue Nov 14, 2017 1:30 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Goldsheet wrote: Does anyone think Thor being so fresh this time of year will hurt JL OW? Did people get their comic fix to enable them to catch JL at a later date during the holidays? Difficult to quantify but I could see it playing a small factor.
JL $130 Absolutely, Thor took a big bite out of JL's hype.
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Tue Nov 14, 2017 7:45 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Anything under Suicide Squad would be disappointing, although SS had a stellar marketing campaign.
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Tue Nov 14, 2017 8:14 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
If JL opens under SS that would definitely be disappointing. I know SS had a lot of hype before it came out, but this is still the fucking Justice League. There's no excuse for it to open under $150M other than WB mishandling this Universe.
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Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:07 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
This will still open above SS but just barely. I think $140m OW will happen but that doesn't mean its great.
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Tue Nov 14, 2017 10:10 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
JL Thursday selling softer than expected in my region. May need strong walk-ups to pass SS.
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Wed Nov 15, 2017 10:07 am |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7172 Location: Wisconsin
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
My Thursday 6pm PLF show has sold less than 1/5 of capacity so far. That's really bad compared to Thor, which was at about half capacity at this point. Still, walk ups could be strong, and the 6pm opening instead of 7pm could be affecting it too.
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Wed Nov 15, 2017 12:43 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
SolC9 wrote: My Thursday 6pm PLF show has sold less than 1/5 of capacity so far. That's really bad compared to Thor, which was at about half capacity at this point. Still, walk ups could be strong, and the 6pm opening instead of 7pm could be affecting it too. JL will obviously Leapfrog Thor on MT but it's taking awhile to do so.
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Wed Nov 15, 2017 1:09 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Yeah so the same observation here in Singapore, compared to Thor it was less than half full 3 hours before the opening midnight show but then it was full few minutes before the show started.
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Wed Nov 15, 2017 3:27 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23787 Location: Classified
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Uh oh, $110m is already being spun as good. We might be in for a rough weekend.
My prediction is $107m. Just a bit higher than The Avengers (second) weekend. I hope it breaks out to $150m+ though.
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Wed Nov 15, 2017 3:37 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
JL is outselling Wonder Woman, which seems Captain Obvious to me. The addition of Batman alone should have sealed that.
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Wed Nov 15, 2017 3:39 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
... anyways, it looks like Wonder should do solid business. It's at #5 On MT. Seeing 16m+ rn.
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Wed Nov 15, 2017 6:33 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Justice League may open under Mockingjay Part 1!
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Wed Nov 15, 2017 6:54 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Rev wrote: Rev wrote: Justice League 161.7m Rolling Thunder wrote: Final JL Polling was $142m. Like Magnus said, could swing either way. bumping my prediction up by 10 million #JLFEVER 171.7m Downgrading with the new tracking info only 140m OW
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Last edited by Rev on Wed Nov 15, 2017 8:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Wed Nov 15, 2017 7:58 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
JL is probably looking at a gross in the $120m region now which isnt too bad considering the reviews and the fact it has Thanksgiving weekend in its second round.
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Wed Nov 15, 2017 8:26 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Magnus wrote: WALK UPS DOE
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Wed Nov 15, 2017 8:49 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Wonder is right behind Thor on MT. With a strong opening this should be a leggy hit. Depending where it opens it could do 70+.
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 2:26 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: Wonder is right behind Thor on MT. With a strong opening this should be a leggy hit. Depending where it opens it could do 70+. Yeah, this seems like the kind of movie that could end up pulling a 5+ multiplier, honestly - it'll have a great hold next weekend, and then has zero competition for the next two weeks, and I assume audiences will eat it up. Might be a mini-Blind Side (which also opened the weekend before Thanksgiving).
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 3:39 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Early indications are The Star will be well received. It's not getting much buzz in the shadow of JL and Wonder but hopefully has some staying power for the holiday season.
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 8:18 am |
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Bishop King
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sun May 19, 2013 2:05 pm Posts: 354
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Thor was around 70% + on MT it's Thursday before release is everyone really grasping onto the "walkups will save this" after all the bad press and the worst casting of batman in 20 years....
It's pushing 35% right now
I'm not feeling it ... no chance it does 140+
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 9:15 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Why is Bad Moms above Thor on MT?
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:16 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: November 17-19 Predictions
BMC is the type of movie that does well on MT and this week in particular Thor would get major walk-up business.
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 12:05 pm |
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