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 November 17-19 Predictions 

Will Justice League open north of 135m?
Yes 64%  64%  [ 7 ]
No 36%  36%  [ 4 ]
Total votes : 11

 November 17-19 Predictions 
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
It could be a small factor but not big enough to hurt JL's OW IMO.


Tue Nov 14, 2017 12:41 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
People are underestimating WONDER a lot (which I saw three months ago btw)...

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Tue Nov 14, 2017 1:07 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
mark66 wrote:
People are underestimating WONDER a lot (which I saw three months ago btw)...


I keep hearing it's doing really well in pre-sales. I had no idea it was based on a book or that it was that popular, but it looks like it could definitely surprise this weekend. That fact that it has already appeared on MT is really encouraging as well.


Tue Nov 14, 2017 1:18 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Dil wrote:
mark66 wrote:
People are underestimating WONDER a lot (which I saw three months ago btw)...


I keep hearing it's doing really well in pre-sales. I had no idea it was based on a book or that it was that popular, but it looks like it could definitely surprise this weekend. That fact that it has already appeared on MT is really encouraging as well.


It's closing in on 300K FB Likes accompanying solid Twitter activity, so it's definitely being talked about.

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Tue Nov 14, 2017 1:30 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Goldsheet wrote:
Does anyone think Thor being so fresh this time of year will hurt JL OW? Did people get their comic fix to enable them to catch JL at a later date during the holidays? Difficult to quantify but I could see it playing a small factor.

JL $130


Absolutely, Thor took a big bite out of JL's hype.

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Tue Nov 14, 2017 7:45 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Anything under Suicide Squad would be disappointing, although SS had a stellar marketing campaign.


Tue Nov 14, 2017 8:14 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
If JL opens under SS that would definitely be disappointing. I know SS had a lot of hype before it came out, but this is still the fucking Justice League. There's no excuse for it to open under $150M other than WB mishandling this Universe.


Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:07 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
This will still open above SS but just barely. I think $140m OW will happen but that doesn't mean its great.


Tue Nov 14, 2017 10:10 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
JL Thursday selling softer than expected in my region. May need strong walk-ups to pass SS.

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Wed Nov 15, 2017 10:07 am
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
My Thursday 6pm PLF show has sold less than 1/5 of capacity so far. That's really bad compared to Thor, which was at about half capacity at this point. Still, walk ups could be strong, and the 6pm opening instead of 7pm could be affecting it too.


Wed Nov 15, 2017 12:43 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
SolC9 wrote:
My Thursday 6pm PLF show has sold less than 1/5 of capacity so far. That's really bad compared to Thor, which was at about half capacity at this point. Still, walk ups could be strong, and the 6pm opening instead of 7pm could be affecting it too.


JL will obviously Leapfrog Thor on MT but it's taking awhile to do so.

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Wed Nov 15, 2017 1:09 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Yeah so the same observation here in Singapore, compared to Thor it was less than half full 3 hours before the opening midnight show but then it was full few minutes before the show started.


Wed Nov 15, 2017 3:27 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Uh oh, $110m is already being spun as good. We might be in for a rough weekend.

My prediction is $107m. Just a bit higher than The Avengers (second) weekend. I hope it breaks out to $150m+ though.


Wed Nov 15, 2017 3:37 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
JL is outselling Wonder Woman, which seems Captain Obvious to me. The addition of Batman alone should have sealed that.

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Wed Nov 15, 2017 3:39 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
... anyways, it looks like Wonder should do solid business. It's at #5 On MT. Seeing 16m+ rn.


Wed Nov 15, 2017 6:33 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Justice League may open under Mockingjay Part 1!


Wed Nov 15, 2017 6:54 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Rev wrote:
Rev wrote:
Justice League 161.7m


Rolling Thunder wrote:
Final JL Polling was $142m. Like Magnus said, could swing either way.


bumping my prediction up by 10 million :D #JLFEVER

171.7m


Downgrading with the new tracking info :tears: :tears: :tears:

only 140m OW :tears:

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Last edited by Rev on Wed Nov 15, 2017 8:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Nov 15, 2017 7:58 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
JL is probably looking at a gross in the $120m region now which isnt too bad considering the reviews and the fact it has Thanksgiving weekend in its second round.

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Wed Nov 15, 2017 8:26 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Magnus wrote:
WALK UPS DOE



Image

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Wed Nov 15, 2017 8:49 pm
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Wonder is right behind Thor on MT. With a strong opening this should be a leggy hit. Depending where it opens it could do 70+.


Thu Nov 16, 2017 2:26 am
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Wonder is right behind Thor on MT. With a strong opening this should be a leggy hit. Depending where it opens it could do 70+.


Yeah, this seems like the kind of movie that could end up pulling a 5+ multiplier, honestly - it'll have a great hold next weekend, and then has zero competition for the next two weeks, and I assume audiences will eat it up. Might be a mini-Blind Side (which also opened the weekend before Thanksgiving).


Thu Nov 16, 2017 3:39 am
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Early indications are The Star will be well received. It's not getting much buzz in the shadow of JL and Wonder but hopefully has some staying power for the holiday season.

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Thu Nov 16, 2017 8:18 am
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Thor was around 70% + on MT it's Thursday before release is everyone really
grasping onto the "walkups will save this" after all the bad press
and the worst casting of batman in 20 years....

It's pushing 35% right now

I'm not feeling it ... no chance it does 140+


Thu Nov 16, 2017 9:15 am
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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Why is Bad Moms above Thor on MT?


Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:16 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: November 17-19 Predictions
BMC is the type of movie that does well on MT and this week in particular Thor would get major walk-up business.


Thu Nov 16, 2017 12:05 pm
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