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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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September 29-October 1 Predictions
Things are moving a bit slowly around here, huh?
American Made - 3,000 Flatliners - 2,200 Battle of the Sexes - 1,100 A Question of Faith - "Wide" Til Death Do Us Part - "Wide"
Gonna hold off on predicting those last two, but I'm not expecting much from either. Kind of a weak note to end a strong September, but ah well.
American Made - $17.8 million Flatliners - $9.5 million Battle of the Sexes - $5.3 million
Kingsman: The Golden Circle -55% It -40% Ninjago -42%
ETA: Just realized that those drops from estimates would put Kingsman, It, and American Made all within $1 million of each, with it having the edge. Exciting!
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Sun Sep 24, 2017 3:21 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
AMERICAN MADE - 15.4 Million FLATLINERS - 7.3 Million BATTLE OF THE SEXES - 4 Million
The other two won't do much. The Pure Flix one might do All Saints numbers at best.
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Sun Sep 24, 2017 3:28 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
American Made - 17 Flatliners - 7 Battle of the Sexes - 4
The month is definitely going to end on a really weak note, but at least Blade Runner is coming out the following week.
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Sun Sep 24, 2017 4:25 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Flatliners should be able to hit double digits. The original film is still considered to be held in high-regard for what it is.
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Mon Sep 25, 2017 7:59 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote: Flatliners should be able to hit double digits. The original film is still considered to be held in high-regard for what it is. So was The Thing but 2011's The Thing only opened to 8.5 Million. I can't see Flatliners faring any better.
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Mon Sep 25, 2017 2:36 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: Flatliners should be able to hit double digits. The original film is still considered to be held in high-regard for what it is. So was The Thing but 2011's The Thing only opened to 8.5 Million. I can't see Flatliners faring any better. The social media footprint is strong, though. 200K+ FB Likes should prevent a bomb.
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Mon Sep 25, 2017 3:25 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23781 Location: Classified
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
I don't think it looks very good, but the Flatliners trailer has been playing with everything over the last few months. And it definitely leaves an impact, good or bad, so awareness should be very high.
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Mon Sep 25, 2017 3:34 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Based on how it performed here in Oz (with less competition though) I can see American Made doing $20-$22m.
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Mon Sep 25, 2017 7:12 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: Flatliners should be able to hit double digits. The original film is still considered to be held in high-regard for what it is. So was The Thing but 2011's The Thing only opened to 8.5 Million. I can't see Flatliners faring any better. The social media footprint is strong, though. 200K+ FB Likes should prevent a bomb. Did they combine it with likes for the original Flatliners? That probably wasn't that high though. That is a promising number of likes.
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Mon Sep 25, 2017 9:47 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
1. KINGSMAN: THE GOLDEN CIRLCE - 17.95 MILLION (-54%) 2. AMERICAN MADE - 17.145 MILLION (New) 3. IT - 16.961 MILLION (-43%) 4. LEGO NINJAGO - 13.281 MILLION (-35%) 5. FLATLINERS - 7.3 MILLION (New) 6. BATTLE OF THE SEXES - 4 MILLION 7. AMERICAN ASSASSIN - 3.065 MILLION (-51%) 8. HOME AGAIN - 2.1 MILLION (-35%) 9. A QUESTION OF FAITH - 1.4 MILLION (New) 10. MOTHER! - 1.382 MILLION (-58%) 11. STRONGER - 1.160 MILLION (-28%) 12. FRIEND REQUEST - $861,231 (-57%) 13. HITMAN'S BODYGUARD - $852,622 (-47%) 14. SPIDER-MAN: HOMECOMING - $648,864 (-39%) 15. WIND RIVER - $603,782 (-52%)
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Mon Sep 25, 2017 10:34 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
All I know is Battle of the Sexes is not going to connect with a wide audience. People are tired of this kind of film, a lot of people will perceive it as "Hollywood feminist agenda" (regardless if it is that or not).
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Tue Sep 26, 2017 2:05 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Jeepers Creepers 3 is really killing it in my area, and from what I've seen on twitter in a lot of other places as well. Granted it's only opening in like ten theatres here, but there are so many sellouts that they are actually adding showtimes past 10:00 on a Tuesday when school is the very next day. Makes it potential look even more wasted IMO, because with a wide release it probably could have easily been number 1 this weekend.
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Tue Sep 26, 2017 7:51 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
I saw JC3 tonight. Sold out here and they added another show at 7:00. I hear it's doing very well at most theaters. I hope it makes enough to get a 4th. The storyline for the 4th is the sequel the fans have wanted since the beginning and the end of 3 sets it up for it.
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Wed Sep 27, 2017 12:27 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
BoTS was supposed to go wide this coming weekend but that definitely can't be happening. It's opening at none of my theaters and they would have gotten it for sure. Such a shame too because it's the only opener I was excited for.
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Wed Sep 27, 2017 12:34 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Dil wrote: Jeepers Creepers 3 is really killing it in my area, and from what I've seen on twitter in a lot of other places as well. Granted it's only opening in like ten theatres here, but there are so many sellouts that they are actually adding showtimes past 10:00 on a Tuesday when school is the very next day. Makes it potential look even more wasted IMO, because with a wide release it probably could have easily been number 1 this weekend. I wonder why they didn't go wide with it? Surely there must have been indicators about the interest level. I definitely would have gone if it opened here.
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Wed Sep 27, 2017 6:44 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23781 Location: Classified
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Reviews for American Made are good. It does have a very poor release date though. Kingsmam moving to Fall screwed it pretty bad.
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Wed Sep 27, 2017 1:59 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Reviews for American Made are good. It does have a very poor release date though. Kingsmam moving to Fall screwed it pretty bad. Tracking in the $12-15m range, which feels too soft.
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Wed Sep 27, 2017 2:22 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
I don't think American Made will do great with mainstream audience. How is the marketing there, it was released here without much marketing though the WoM was good it didn't do very well.
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Wed Sep 27, 2017 7:08 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23781 Location: Classified
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
I was worried Kingsman would drop big because of the mediocre reviews, but The Secret Service actually had worse reviews than I remembered. It was only a 74 on RT and 58 on meta. So there is clearly a break between critical and audience enjoyment of this franchise.
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Fri Sep 29, 2017 1:24 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18878 Location: San Diego
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Battle of the Sexes is #5 on MT, no Flatliners.
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Fri Sep 29, 2017 11:11 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Flatliners might make under $4m this weekend.
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Fri Sep 29, 2017 11:38 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
i.hope wrote: Flatliners might make under $4m this weekend. Not likely given historical studio and theater count data. Agree buzz seems very low, though.
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Fri Sep 29, 2017 11:58 am |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am Posts: 1335 Location: Austin, TX
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote: i.hope wrote: Flatliners might make under $4m this weekend. Not likely given historical studio and theater count data. Agree buzz seems very low, though. Pandorum got pretty close.
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Fri Sep 29, 2017 12:54 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Flatliners 0 for the first 10 on RT.
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Fri Sep 29, 2017 1:16 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: September 29-October 1 Predictions
Flatliners looks so bad and I don't think its a concept that will resonate with the current audience.
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Sat Sep 30, 2017 11:06 pm |
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