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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18877
Location: San Diego
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 June 30-July 2 predictions    Baby Driver (on 6/28) - 3,100 Despicable Me 3 - 4,350+ The House - 3,000+
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| Fri Jun 23, 2017 2:18 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18877
Location: San Diego
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Despicable Me 3 - 88
Baby Driver - 19 (5-day)
The House - 13
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| Fri Jun 23, 2017 2:26 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions publicenemy#1 wrote: The House - 13 Thinking Ferrell can't carry this one?
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| Fri Jun 23, 2017 2:42 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20346
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions The House will at least hit 20 million. Daddy's Home looked HORRIBLE and opened to almost 40m and hit 150m total.
Despicable Me 3- 103
The House- 26
Baby Driver- 18 (5 day)
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| Fri Jun 23, 2017 2:55 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18877
Location: San Diego
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions The premise/trailers for The House doesn't convince me that it'll do 20m+. Daddy's Home was a family comedy that opened during the holidays.
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| Fri Jun 23, 2017 3:06 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions There has to be one comedy breakout this summer. Should be The House. If it had more comedy competition this summer it would probably do sub 100. But due to lack of competition I don't see it not doing 100+. Should be leggy.
Last edited by Magic Mike on Fri Jun 23, 2017 5:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Fri Jun 23, 2017 4:10 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Despicable Me 3 - 97.377 Million
The House - 23.515 Million
Baby Driver - 13.463 Million (3-Day)/19.063 Million (5-Day)
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| Fri Jun 23, 2017 5:26 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32104
Location: the last free city
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Despicable Me 3 - 100
Baby Driver - 22 (5-day)
The House - 35
TRANSFORMERS TLK -70%
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| Fri Jun 23, 2017 7:10 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22680
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions All 3 will be strong hits. The market is wide open.
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| Fri Jun 23, 2017 8:21 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Apparently The House isn't being screened for critics, so that's a big bummer. Ferrell's track record for headlining studio comedies is still one of the best ATM though (Land of the Lost was his last big miss as the lead), so I think it can pull off a decent opening, at least.
Despicable Me 2 - $101 million
The House - $22 million
Baby Driver - $14 million ($19 million 5-day)
Transformers: The Last Knight -58%
Cars 3 -41%
Wonder Woman -35%
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| Fri Jun 23, 2017 8:36 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions The House is being overpredicted. I'd be surprised if it opens better than Snatched and Baywatch.
DM3 will definitely break $100M while Baby Driver will be similar to Let's Be Cops.
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| Fri Jun 23, 2017 10:19 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions It looks like The House will be another casualty of the recent adult comedy slump. TV has become the go-to source of timely and relevant comedy since last year. Does it have an effect on big screen comedies?
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 12:12 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Yeah I don't see how The House breaks out. I think it will do mid-teens but it certainly doesn't look like a big comedy breakout.
DM3 is going to open big though I feel it will miss $100m OW mark.
DM3 - $95m
The Baby Driver could be a surprise hit that the summer has been waiting. It has action, great reviews and good buzz
Baby Driver - $25m (5-day)
The House - $14m
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 12:22 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions I think mid-teens is too low for The House. I think $21m/$62m is doable.
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 12:28 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions I think if it does $20m+ OW it will do more than $80m+ total than just $62m.
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 12:35 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions It depends on WOM. Reviews will likely be bad, Baywatch-level bad. I think WOM will follow suit.
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 12:40 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Reviews have stopped adult comedies to do good multipliers? Baywatch has a built-in fanbase you cannot compare that to an "original" comedy.
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 12:47 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Jack Sparrow wrote: Reviews have stopped adult comedies to do good multipliers? Baywatch has a built-in fanbase you cannot compare that to an "original" comedy. I don't know. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates, Sex Tape, The Watch had low multipliers.
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 12:54 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions But Will Ferrell movies always find good audience and with both the actors playing well with adult audience and a comedy I see the legs for this one being good.
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 1:08 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20346
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Ferrell's only wide release film where he was the lead to do sub 20m OW in the last 10 years was Land of the Lost.
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 10:15 am |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Not feeling DM3 will be huge. Minions was at least as disliked as Shrek 3, Pirates 4, and Transformers 4, and this summer has been absolutely punishing for followups to films with weak receptions. This is not a direct sequel to Minions, but the damage has been done. Not at all confident in The House; not being screened by critics and the marketing has been unfunny. Baby Driver will hopefully be at least Edgar Wright's second highest grossing film after just 5 days.
Despicable Me 3: $83M
Baby Driver: $26M (5-day)
The House: $17M
TF5: -58%
Wonder Woman: -40%
Cars 3: -55%
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 2:49 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20346
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Magnus wrote: I think people are overrating the damage effect of Minions, particularly after Illumination managed to get Pets to 368m and Sing to
270m last year. But...I do think the marketing has been fairly weak. There's no real catch with this other than "Gru has a brother", which doesn't look that appealing.
Still, I think the type of movies Illumination is making is what people want. DM3 will still get around 100m OW and 300m+ total. This sounds about right.
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 3:28 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Despicable Me 3 - 95
The House - 17
Baby Driver - 12/18(5-Day)
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 5:35 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
Posts: 7172
Location: Wisconsin
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions zwackerm wrote: Magnus wrote: I think people are overrating the damage effect of Minions, particularly after Illumination managed to get Pets to 368m and Sing to
270m last year. But...I do think the marketing has been fairly weak. There's no real catch with this other than "Gru has a brother", which doesn't look that appealing.
Still, I think the type of movies Illumination is making is what people want. DM3 will still get around 100m OW and 300m+ total. This sounds about right. I never watched Minions, and have only seen DM1 and 2 once each. But I think this looks fun.
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 7:30 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Despicable Me 3 $91m
The House $20m
Baby Driver $17m 5-day
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 8:19 pm |
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