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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
It'll be huge because it's still Star Wars and it will get that holiday multiplier, but I'm feeling this opens 200-210m and has a weaker multiple than Rogue One for sub 700m total.
Who's in?
In zwackerm Jack Sparrow tree and a half MGKC
Out SolC9 Barrabas publicenemy#1 Algren Jmart stuffp Darth Indiana Bond BJ nghtvsn Keyser Soze Rev
Last edited by zwackerm on Thu Oct 12, 2017 9:36 am, edited 4 times in total.
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 6:04 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7172 Location: Wisconsin
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
Definitely out.
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 6:21 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
Out...for now.
A similar drop as Clones had from Phantom Menace would put it at $650m.
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 6:26 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
Nope.
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 6:54 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
Way out. $800-$831m
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 6:55 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
In.
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 6:56 pm |
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Jmart
Superman: The Movie
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am Posts: 21152 Location: Massachusetts
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
I was going to say yes. The demand factor I don't think will be quite as gigantic considering the last one was the return of Star Wars and the return of the original cast. That alone was going to lead to multiple repeat viewings regardless of quality. Then it turned out very well. This is the sequel and there's been a film in between so demand probably won't reach that all-time high. And, this is probably going to be the least pleasant of the three with an open-ended ending so repeat viewings will probably go down at least a little. But... Barrabás wrote: Out...for now.
A similar drop as Clones had from Phantom Menace would put it at $650m. That's not happening. Force Awakens was much more well received than Menace, Last Jedi will no doubt be a better movie than Clones, and it won't have the same competition. So... Out
_________________My DVD Collection Marty McGee (1989-2005)
If I’m not here, I’m on Letterboxd.
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 8:16 pm |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11206 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
out
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 9:54 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm Posts: 11637
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
Barrabás wrote: Out...for now.
A similar drop as Clones had from Phantom Menace would put it at $650m. Clones faced Spiderman which probably caused that drop. Without Spiderman probably would have done around 350 or so.
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 9:54 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11009 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
People are going nuts for the trailer, out
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 10:11 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
I don't see much buzz, but then Harvey has taken over my social feeds.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 10:23 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
In for sure.
The Empire Strikes Back dropped 32% from Star Wars. Attack of the Clones dropped 30% from The Phantom Menace.
It'll happen again - casual moviegoers get excited for the new and shiny, but then aren't committed to see the sequels in the theater.
I predict a similar 30% drop again, resulting in a very respectable $655 million gross. The quality of the movie nor the trailers will have a big impact on its gross in my mind (with the exception being the movie being 2 hours of Luke breathing techniques).
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 10:38 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11009 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
Star Wars took over my feed. Now it will break records if they can get Rick and Morty to endorse it
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 10:41 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25020 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
lol
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 11:52 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21890 Location: Places
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
No idea where this is heading
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 11:53 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25020 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
Excel wrote: No idea where this is heading 250m+ | 950m+
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue Oct 10, 2017 11:55 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
MGKC wrote: In for sure.
The Empire Strikes Back dropped 32% from Star Wars. Attack of the Clones dropped 30% from The Phantom Menace. Actually, it is a bit more complicated... If you strictly compare the original releases than EMPIRE ($181,379,640) dropped just 18 % from SW1 ($221,280,994). By the time EMPIRE opened, SW1 already had two major re-releases which brought the total to $287.6m, so the drop by than amounts to 37 %...
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Wed Oct 11, 2017 2:50 am |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am Posts: 2084
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
In.
Rian Johnson has only made one good movie, and even that was nine years ago.
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Wed Oct 11, 2017 6:03 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
mark66 wrote: MGKC wrote: In for sure.
The Empire Strikes Back dropped 32% from Star Wars. Attack of the Clones dropped 30% from The Phantom Menace. Actually, it is a bit more complicated... If you strictly compare the original releases than EMPIRE ($181,379,640) dropped just 18 % from SW1 ($221,280,994). By the time EMPIRE opened, SW1 already had two major re-releases which brought the total to $287.6m, so the drop by than amounts to 37 %... Oooo nice call. I misread that then. That's pretty impressive of Empire then.
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Wed Oct 11, 2017 7:50 am |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11015 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
VETO
This will gross over 700. It'll be at 500 within 2 weeks or less.
_________________ 2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00 [b]FREE KORRGAN 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP #MAGA #KAG! 10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
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Wed Oct 11, 2017 11:20 am |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11009 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
Empire is one of those rare sequels that goes in a completely different direction than its predecessor becoming an almost completely different type of film
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Wed Oct 11, 2017 1:50 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
stong presales start for Sw8 but still looks way off from SW7. in one Major Theater chain its 33% higher than Rogue One.
But SW fans are the craziest and do not want to bet against it. For now I would say 220/800. it could get a bump bcos of Carrie Fisher factor.
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Wed Oct 11, 2017 2:41 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11009 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
This will out do Rogue, the non-episode entries will eventually lead to a flop, but everyone will come out for the episode entries
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Wed Oct 11, 2017 6:57 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
I think it will have 75% retention of TFA's gross - so that should just sneak it by. Though i dont think it will go much over $700m and at worst - $675-$690m is also possible.
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Wed Oct 11, 2017 8:28 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: Star Wars: The Last Jedi sub 700m club
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
Last edited by Rev on Thu Jan 11, 2018 5:11 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Thu Oct 12, 2017 6:06 am |
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