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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13041
Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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 Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club In:
mark66
Algren
Riggs
Rev
the lesser evil
zwackerm
tree and a half
Dr. Lecter
Thegun
Out:
publicenemy#1
Price
Chippy
Star Lord
The Dark Shape
Dil
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Nothing Compares 2 U
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| Tue Dec 06, 2016 3:56 pm |
 
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67041
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club publicenemy#1 wrote: Algren wrote: lol. You might as well just be in if you're predicting $425m.
425 isn't more than 450 so no...  Yeah, obviously. But what's $25m? _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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| Tue Dec 06, 2016 9:37 pm |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am
Posts: 11204
Location: Bright Falls
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club I'm in.
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| Tue Dec 06, 2016 10:23 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 6145
Location: New York
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club In.
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| Tue Dec 06, 2016 11:30 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Out. I think this will do CA:CW numbers.
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| Wed Dec 07, 2016 12:02 am |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club zwackerm wrote: As predicted, the DC thumpers are the only ones not joining the club. and a guy literally with a star-lord username and avatar _________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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| Wed Dec 07, 2016 12:12 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Magnus wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: No, but I think it's possible if the movie is received even better than the first. this. its going to be hyped and it will open big but a lot went right for Civil War and it was 42m short of 450m. It's a lot to expect GOTG2 to cover that gap. I think Guardians draws audiences far beyond the fanbase of the usual Marvel films. With Civil War it felt like you had to know the preceding films (Iron Man 3, The Winter Soldier, Age of Ultron...) to really get into it and most people I know who saw it actually saw those other films before as well. I saw the first Guardians with a group of nine people, 4-5 of whom have never watched a single MCU film before, but wanted to see a film with a talking raccoon and a talking tree. They loved it, they will come back for another one too. They have little to no interest to watch Civil War or the next Avengers. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Dec 07, 2016 1:35 pm |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am
Posts: 2084
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club ^ This.
Plus, it's proper space opera sci-fi with a sense of humor.
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| Wed Dec 07, 2016 4:37 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Dr. Lecter wrote: Magnus wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: No, but I think it's possible if the movie is received even better than the first. this. its going to be hyped and it will open big but a lot went right for Civil War and it was 42m short of 450m. It's a lot to expect GOTG2 to cover that gap. I think Guardians draws audiences far beyond the fanbase of the usual Marvel films. With Civil War it felt like you had to know the preceding films (Iron Man 3, The Winter Soldier, Age of Ultron...) to really get into it and most people I know who saw it actually saw those other films before as well. I saw the first Guardians with a group of nine people, 4-5 of whom have never watched a single MCU film before, but wanted to see a film with a talking raccoon and a talking tree. They loved it, they will come back for another one too. They have little to no interest to watch Civil War or the next Avengers. Yeah that's pretty much what I was getting as well. This being it's own thing will really help it appeal to casual audiences who don't really follow the other MCU movies, although I'm curious what they will think once they find out The Guardians are in the next Avengers movie. I have a feeling that if this one lives up to the hype then the buzz for Infinity Wars is going to be through the roof. It might not match the first movie, but $500M+ should happen.
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| Wed Dec 07, 2016 5:17 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club But if GotG1 drew in people that didn't normally see Marvel movies and only did $335 mil, where is the extra $115 mil coming from? Those people who don't normally see Marvel films aren't the types to see a movie multiple times in the theater.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Wed Dec 07, 2016 6:36 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club In
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Dec 07, 2016 7:50 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20346
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Chippy wrote: But if GotG1 drew in people that didn't normally see Marvel movies and only did $335 mil, where is the extra $115 mil coming from? Those people who don't normally see Marvel films aren't the types to see a movie multiple times in the theater. The film should have a bigger opening weekend and then it should have longer legs than Civil War considering its more accessible.
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| Wed Dec 07, 2016 8:03 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Wait, the weird sci-fi movie with a talking raccoon is more accessible than Captain America vs. Iron Man?
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| Wed Dec 07, 2016 8:07 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20346
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club The Dark Shape wrote: Wait, the weird sci-fi movie with a talking raccoon is more accessible than Captain America vs. Iron Man? Yeah, I'd wager. That's why Guardians made more than Captain America 1-2 and Iron Man 1-2.
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| Wed Dec 07, 2016 8:21 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 6145
Location: New York
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Dr. Lecter wrote: Magnus wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: No, but I think it's possible if the movie is received even better than the first. this. its going to be hyped and it will open big but a lot went right for Civil War and it was 42m short of 450m. It's a lot to expect GOTG2 to cover that gap. I think Guardians draws audiences far beyond the fanbase of the usual Marvel films. With Civil War it felt like you had to know the preceding films (Iron Man 3, The Winter Soldier, Age of Ultron...) to really get into it and most people I know who saw it actually saw those other films before as well. I saw the first Guardians with a group of nine people, 4-5 of whom have never watched a single MCU film before, but wanted to see a film with a talking raccoon and a talking tree. They loved it, they will come back for another one too. They have little to no interest to watch Civil War or the next Avengers. Yes, definitely.
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| Wed Dec 07, 2016 8:29 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Magnus wrote: you're assuming that everyone who said Civil War is also going to see GOTG. That isn't true. GOTG brings a new audience sure but it doesn't just retain all of Civil War.
Suicide Squad brought a new audience than BvS but it didn't just retain all of BvS.
I never assumed that. I assume that is simply draws from different audience segments as well, while retaining large chunks of the Marvel fanbase. Guardians of the Galaxy is the Pirates of the Caribbean of the MCU. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Dec 08, 2016 6:13 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Chippy wrote: But if GotG1 drew in people that didn't normally see Marvel movies and only did $335 mil, where is the extra $115 mil coming from? Those people who don't normally see Marvel films aren't the types to see a movie multiple times in the theater. From those who discovered the film after its theatrical run. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Dec 08, 2016 6:13 am |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am
Posts: 2084
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club zwackerm wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: Wait, the weird sci-fi movie with a talking raccoon is more accessible than Captain America vs. Iron Man? Yeah, I'd wager. That's why Guardians made more than Captain America 1-2 and Iron Man 1-2. ...in August, no less. The sequel's May release date is sure to kick it up a notch.
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| Thu Dec 08, 2016 6:30 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Dr. Lecter wrote: Chippy wrote: But if GotG1 drew in people that didn't normally see Marvel movies and only did $335 mil, where is the extra $115 mil coming from? Those people who don't normally see Marvel films aren't the types to see a movie multiple times in the theater. From those who discovered the film after its theatrical run. Which was... who exactly? Everyone I know who saw it, saw it in theaters. Which is why the first did so well. _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Thu Dec 08, 2016 10:42 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13041
Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club In:
1) mark66
2) Algren: More than $600m.
3) Riggs
4) Rev
5) the lesser evil
6) zwackerm
7) tree and a half
8) Dr. Lecter
9) thegun: I see 200+ OW
10) stuffp
11) Jiffy
12) BJ
Out:
1) publicenemy#1: 415-425 finish
2) Price: I see a 20% increase from the original to $400m
3) Chippy: $400 mil is a good target
4) Star Lord
5) The Dark Shape: but I think it's possible
6) Dil: I could see this happening
7) Jack Sparrow: this will do CA:CW numbers
8) Magnus: it will open big but
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| Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:00 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23779
Location: Classified
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Hype is not where I'd like it be for this. Well atleast for whatever ridiculous prediction I end up making for it. #BeatTheBeast I'll join the club though. But only $450m would be disappointing for me. 
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| Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:17 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Out,
350m max
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| Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:27 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Still think this will do CW numbers with better legs and lesser opening.
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| Tue Apr 18, 2017 12:49 pm |
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Skyblade
Wall-E
Joined: Sat Jan 07, 2006 6:07 am
Posts: 874
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club I think Guardians is seriously up there on beloved comic book movies, maybe even second of all time. Also, it doesn't have the lockout that Civil War had. (I think if someone didn't get around to Age of Ultron, they weren't going to check Civil War out.) But I don't know to what extent the average moviegoer thinks about the "lockout" factor? Do they think it applies to all MCU films? Anything with Marvel on the front? Do they think they'll miss anything if they didn't see Suicide Squad? Still, I think there is a substantial fandom not directly connected to superhero movies as a whole.
The downside, however, is that Marvel is kind of wonky with building up sequels, and that with people really enjoying the new Star Wars movies (Which I don't get, but they do), the appetite for space adventure might not be as high as it was three years ago.
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| Tue Apr 18, 2017 4:32 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6166
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Re: GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 2. $450m domestic club Way out. Around 350m. Its presales are well below Civil War. Plus I dont see this being all well received as 1st one. That also released in end of dead summer(did not even have a 250m grosser).
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| Tue Apr 18, 2017 8:22 pm |
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