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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11015 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
open 90 total 275 ww 675
_________________ 2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00 [b]FREE KORRGAN 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP #MAGA #KAG! 10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
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Wed Oct 18, 2017 9:11 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
I have no idea how big this will open. This could very well be the first $100m+ opener of the year.
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Thu Oct 19, 2017 7:29 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
I'm wondering if the AVENGERS IW Trailer will help push BLACK PANTHER to even higher b.o....
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Wed Nov 29, 2017 10:16 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
It's got to, hasn't it? Very well planned. Perhaps more marketing leading up to March should feature the Black Panther dude.
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Wed Nov 29, 2017 11:02 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23781 Location: Classified
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
The spot they showed during the Cavs/Warriors game was awesome. I think Marvel is looking at their fourth consecutive $300m+ grosser. $125m OW.
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Mon Dec 25, 2017 4:44 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
This will also be the first real four-quadrant blockbuster of the year, and since Jumanji/Last Jedi. Coupled with likely good reviews (I trust Coogler), and it should do quite well.
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Mon Dec 25, 2017 5:52 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: The spot they showed during the Cavs/Warriors game was awesome. I think Marvel is looking at their fourth consecutive $300m+ grosser. $125m OW. That spot has finally convinced some members of my family who have never watched a single MCU film to try and see it OD. I've said this before, but this movie is going be a HUGE draw for non Marvel fans, especially among urban audiences. The same older crowd that supported films like The Help, Hidden Figures and Get Out are going to want to see this purely because its such a big deal being a mostly black superhero film. Combine that with the usual rabid Marvel fanbase and what should hopefully be stellar reviews and I don't see why it can't do Deadpool numbers. Th only thing I'm still not too sure on is its OS appeal, but the extra exposure from IW trailer should help it a bit in that department.
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Mon Dec 25, 2017 6:32 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Semi-final predictions:
Friday - $75 million ($23 million previews) Saturday - $61 million Sunday - $47 million Monday - $27 million
Opening Weekend - $183 million ($210 million 4-day) Domestic Total - $500 million (2.73) Worldwide Total: $1.01 billion
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Sun Feb 11, 2018 4:18 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Jonathan wrote: Semi-final predictions:
Friday - $75 million ($23 million previews) Saturday - $61 million Sunday - $47 million Monday - $27 million
Opening Weekend - $183 million ($210 million 4-day) Domestic Total - $500 million (2.73) Worldwide Total: $1.01 billion oh yah
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Sun Feb 11, 2018 5:51 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Someone is getting carried away. Yes, Jonathan. Jonathan is getting carried away.
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Sun Feb 11, 2018 7:35 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Jonathan wrote: Semi-final predictions:
Friday - $75 million ($23 million previews) Saturday - $61 million Sunday - $47 million Monday - $27 million
Opening Weekend - $183 million ($210 million 4-day) Domestic Total - $500 million (2.73) Worldwide Total: $1.01 billion I think the previews/OD number could definitely happen, but I really don't know about the rest lol. Its hard to say just how this movie is going to play in the long run, but the OW is going to be MONSTROUS.
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Sun Feb 11, 2018 8:39 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Any chance Monday #'s could outpace Sunday's? Tons of groups have bought out theaters for kids to see it on monday
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Mon Feb 12, 2018 11:53 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Passionate Thug wrote: Any chance Monday #'s could outpace Sunday's? Tons of groups have bought out theaters for kids to see it on monday No. Just looks at 50SOG. Had VDay on Saturday, so it's Sunday drop was HUGE, but that even dropped 55% on Monday still. (the closest to an increase I could find: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?pa ... olsout.htm )
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Mon Feb 12, 2018 12:34 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Chippy wrote: Passionate Thug wrote: Any chance Monday #'s could outpace Sunday's? Tons of groups have bought out theaters for kids to see it on monday No. Just looks at 50SOG. Had VDay on Saturday, so it's Sunday drop was HUGE, but that even dropped 55% on Monday still. (the closest to an increase I could find: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?pa ... olsout.htm ) I’m sure the drop from Sunday to Monday won’t be as huge as other films on Presidents’ Day. Fingers crossed lol
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Mon Feb 12, 2018 4:28 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
I might have said this elsewhere on these forums, but I'm getting more and more of an "It" sense from this movie, where all signs are pointing towards an opening weekend more massive than any of us should reasonably predict. It's quite exciting, honestly.
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Tue Feb 13, 2018 12:00 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
We will only have one standard showtime Fri-Sun. While I personally don't like when the theater does this, it will definitely inflate grosses. I don't think people should be forced into PLF/3D/IMAX, but it's a business, so they are entitled to whatever strategy brings the most profit.
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Tue Feb 13, 2018 4:12 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
At this point, I think we are dealing with a floor of $375 million for its total. Cannot imagine it opening below $150 million or having a multiplier worse than 2.5. I think a reasonable prediction is a $165 million 3-day opening and a $445-450 million total. The high end is $180 million/$500-520 million.
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Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:58 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
I can see it grossing 90m + Friday with previews
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Tue Feb 13, 2018 8:34 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
It will have to be naturally front loaded to an extent, cultural phenomenon or not. So $450m total sounds about right even with a monster $200m 4-day.
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Tue Feb 13, 2018 9:50 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
MadGez wrote: It will have to be naturally front loaded to an extent, cultural phenomenon or not. So $450m total sounds about right even with a monster $200m 4-day. That I cannot imagine. If it breaks $200 million in four days, it will hit $500 million.
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Wed Feb 14, 2018 2:23 am |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
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Wed Feb 14, 2018 8:44 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Quote: Ryan Coogler’s hotly anticipated film, which features an almost entirely black cast, pulled in £2.67m on its opening day on 13 February, Disney said, delivering the highest-grossing single day at the UK box office this year. It is February! Of course it set the highest-grossing opening day this year.
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Wed Feb 14, 2018 8:47 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Yeah this is clearing $375m total. I won't be surprised by $450m total as well but I feel it will be frontloaded enough to not get there.
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Thu Feb 15, 2018 12:38 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
FINAL PREDICTION:
Previews - $22 million Friday - $73 million Saturday - $57 million Sunday - $40 million Monday - $20 million
Opening Weekend - $170 million ($190 million 4-day) Domestic Total - $450 million Worldwide Total: $1 billion
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Thu Feb 15, 2018 12:53 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Even with US over-performance I can't see this above $1b mark WW. Deadpool did $420m and that was with R rating. This can increase over that but I think it will top out at $500m OS.
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Thu Feb 15, 2018 1:02 pm |
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