Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
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1924
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Mar 26, 2013 4:43 pm Posts: 1079
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 Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
I think marketing wasn't great but the main problem I feel is the release date. With lots of films out now an "original" sci fi movie like this with an aging star doesn't really stand out from the crowd. Overseas is going to be hurt badly too because of the World Cup WB could have saved it if they moved JA earlier and put EOT into July. There is no reason whatsoever JA should have received that prime July spot. It should always have been a February or October release
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 1:39 am |
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Tuukka
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Apr 17, 2005 8:35 am Posts: 1830 Location: Helsinki, Finland
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
I think the premise is a bit too far-out there for general audiences. It's a little bit too geeky scifi-fan premise. Something like Inception is an exception that defines the rule.
Also, after the first teaser, I don't think the marketing was all that.
And yes, the marketplace is crowded. Spiderman, Godzilla, and X-men all came in out the last four weeks. That's a lot of big scale action films, all of which have scifi-esque elements.
I agree that this would have done considerably better in the spring/fall.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 3:33 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
Release Date
It would have been released in July where the whole month looks shit and empty?
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 3:46 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am Posts: 16163 Location: Croatia
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
Geeez. Nothing went wrong. The opening is good all things considered. If it develops legs - great. If not it will just suffer the same fate as most SF movies nowadays.
It's as if nobody pays attention to how SF movies performed on their OW recently.
SF movies with big names: $27,017,351 Ender's Game $29,807,393 Elysium $27,520,040 After Earth $37,054,485 Oblivion $20,801,522 Looper $25,577,758 Total Recall $21,157,730 The Adjustment Bureau
Compared to these EOT opened above average.
Then there are sequels: $54,592,779 MIB3 $51,050,101 Prometheus
Also original movies with no big names: $37,285,325 Pacific Rim $37,354,308 District 9 $35,573,187 Battle Los Angeles
These are a funny bunch as they all had rather big OW compared to the first group, but PR was seen as disappointing and D9 and BLA had great marketing and created buzz - but it still wasn't enough for $40m OW like some were expecting for EOT which unlike those two didn't have good marketing and didn't create much buzz.
Overall EOT opened well. We just have to see if it will create legs due to it being a rather pleasing movie if we judge based on reviews from critics and around here also, or if it will have short BO life as most of these movies above.
And before somebody mentions Inception - that is not an example of how most SF movies perform. It has been pretty clear it's going to break out and that movie did its own thing on the BO.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 4:53 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68361
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
The marketing was not amazing, but I really don't see how anything went wrong. It's opened, and it's doing fine enough, just not as much as previous summer blockbuster like Godzilla and Days of Future Past. But then, as an original sci-fi, did anyone expect it to?
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 6:01 am |
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Skyblade
Wall-E
Joined: Sat Jan 07, 2006 6:07 am Posts: 883
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
I do think "What went wrong" is a little harsh, but it did get its ass kicked by a low-budget teen romance.
But it's not really that tough a nut to crack. A gritty, dour-looking, non-familiar (though it IS based on a comic) sci-fi picture who's star is kind of a punchline, and fifth effects-intensive blow-'em up in little more than a month. I think District 9 was a lot like 300, where its out-of-nowhere success was lightning in a bottle that Hollywood can't seem to replicate.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 6:24 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 15197 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
_axiom wrote: it will just suffer the same fate as most SF movies nowadays. This.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 6:58 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68361
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
They could have called the film Live. Die. Repeat. since it was more prominent that the movie title itself. But I suppose for the same reason they changed the title from All You Need is Kill to Edge of Tomorrow, it would have been inappropriate.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 7:01 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am Posts: 16163 Location: Croatia
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
Edge of Tomorrow is how the novel was translated into English in the first place. But I too think that Live. Die. Repeat. would be a better title.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 7:34 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68361
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
_axiom wrote: Edge of Tomorrow is how the novel was translated into English in the first place. But I too think that Live. Die. Repeat. would be a better title. I think the novel was called All You Need is Kill. Then the film was called that too. Then the decision was made to change it because of the word "kill". It changed to Edge of Tomorrow.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 7:43 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am Posts: 16163 Location: Croatia
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
PR was supposed to be a huge summer tentpole. EOT wasn't as far as I'm aware. I already explainedwhy D9 and BLA had more going for them which explains why they opened better. I still claim that EOT belongs in the first group. And maybe it's time everybody accepts SF movies have a natural limit in OW, rather than most of them having lacklustre openings. Which is more likely? People blow up expectations and we end up with these pointless WWW threads.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 11:04 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am Posts: 16163 Location: Croatia
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
Reshoots blew up the budget for sure. Also Cruise probably still gets a hefty amount. This is more of a case of total miscalculation on studio's part.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 11:13 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68361
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
The marketing budget was also $100m. It was supposed to be a huge summer tentpole.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 11:53 am |
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Tuukka
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Apr 17, 2005 8:35 am Posts: 1830 Location: Helsinki, Finland
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
It's the original, non-franchise scifi movies that mostly perform modestly. Big, established franchises perform much better. Transformers is scifi. So is Star Strek. Avengers is full blown scifi, along with being a superhero movie. Star Wars is scifi.
It's just rare for an *original* scifi movie to break out, like Avatar, District 9 and Inception did.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 11:57 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
Nothing really went wrong in its opening. It is closer to a LOT of original SCI-FI openings and with good WOM it can end close to their totals. Does anyone still remember the $100m total club so the expectations were lower on this one until the great reviews came in. If we look the early predictions thread and the tracking numbers everything pointed to this opening which is still fine for it given the marketplace IMO.
Though I do agree scheduling could have been better for this one. It opened after quite a few action movies and WB could have opened this one in July with or without JA.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 12:34 pm |
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choubachou
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 1796
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
The marketing sucked, but that's because it was a very hard movie to market. "Live, die, repeat" isn't exactly an appealling tagline.
I'm surprised a studio authorized a movie so hard to market.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 12:41 pm |
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1924
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Mar 26, 2013 4:43 pm Posts: 1079
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
you can't say nothing went wrong. It is a 178m budgeted movie opening with 29m. That is shit no matter which way you slice it
I believe a July release date could have saved it
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 1:32 pm |
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FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am Posts: 9808 Location: Suisse
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
Because it looks like one of those Sciencetology advertising movie (though it isnt....I mean from the plot?). The marketing made it look like it could go in that direction.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 2:21 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
Skyblade wrote: I do think "What went wrong" is a little harsh, but it did get its ass kicked by a low-budget teen romance.
But it's not really that tough a nut to crack. A gritty, dour-looking, non-familiar (though it IS based on a comic) sci-fi picture who's star is kind of a punchline, and fifth effects-intensive blow-'em up in little more than a month. I think District 9 was a lot like 300, where its out-of-nowhere success was lightning in a bottle that Hollywood can't seem to replicate. Okay, I think we've got to stop this "a low-budget teen romance outdid it, HA! Loser!" mentality. Since maybe February, the Fault hype train started up and kept on chugging. In fact, I think, possibly in March itself, Fault was expected by us the outopen and outgross Edge. The media, in this regard, are stupid, but we all knew that already. Tuukka wrote: It's the original, non-franchise scifi movies that mostly perform modestly. Big, established franchises perform much better. Transformers is scifi. So is Star Strek. Avengers is full blown scifi, along with being a superhero movie. Star Wars is scifi.
It's just rare for an *original* scifi movie to break out, like Avatar, District 9 and Inception did. True, but here sci-fi is used as a rather big brush. Avengers is more superhero than sci-fi. Star Wars and Star Trek, especially the former are more fantasy. Transformers fits the bill, but usually I associate sci-fi movies with intelligence, depth in its world, creativity etc. TF is purely sci-fi because of the Transformers themselves, otherwise it has 0 elements of a sci-fi movie. The rest are but Avatar/Cameron and Inception/Nolan have that something major extra. Jack Sparrow wrote: Nothing really went wrong in its opening. It is closer to a LOT of original SCI-FI openings and with good WOM it can end close to their totals. Does anyone still remember the $100m total club so the expectations were lower on this one until the great reviews came in. If we look the early predictions thread and the tracking numbers everything pointed to this opening which is still fine for it given the marketplace IMO.
Though I do agree scheduling could have been better for this one. It opened after quite a few action movies and WB could have opened this one in July with or without JA. As in the first point, only when the reviews were stellar, about one and a half weeks ago, did expectations rise. Otherwise, the expected total was $101m (going by MGKCs game). It still has a chance to reach around that ballpark, so like Godzilla before it, it may reach the expected gross just in a different way. It is a bomb, but that was known a couple months ago when THR revealed the $178m budget. All I'm saying here is that people seem to be saying that it's surprising it opened so low when the ceiling for months was Oblivion. Sure, it wouldn't have been that much better, but nowhere in this movie's cycle were predictions over $140m even discussed, and that would still have been less than their production budget. I hope for a strong run and good home video sales so more movies like this can be made. I suppose I should be thankful they are still being made given _axiom's discovery. _axiom wrote: Geeez. Nothing went wrong. The opening is good all things considered. If it develops legs - great. If not it will just suffer the same fate as most SF movies nowadays.
It's as if nobody pays attention to how SF movies performed on their OW recently.
SF movies with big names: My opinion of quality/expected OW/legs/bomb $27,017,351 Ender's Game Above average, bigger than expected OW, terrible legs, expected bomb $29,807,393 Elysium Terrible, slightly lower than expected OW but expected after reviews, great legs, underperfomer $27,520,040 After Earth Crappy, about on par, awful legs, expected bomb $37,054,485 Oblivion Pretty good, slightly higher, terrible legs, underperformer|, IM3 killed it $20,801,522 Looper Good, slightly lower, decent, slightly overperformed $25,577,758 Total Recall Poor, expected after reviews, bad, major expected bomb $21,157,730 The Adjustment Bureau Very average, underperformed, average, average performance
In all cases, reviews helped either lower or raise my expectation levels for OW, so Edge's inability to convert its super critical and audience reviews into a larger OW is slightly disappointing. However, Elysium's pretty great legs after that OW may be hope for it yet since that movie wasn't even good. It doesn't have Looper's small scale or Recall's and Earth's bad buzz and reviews or Ender's Game's fanbase. It does have the 22JS/HTTYD2 combo next weekend however which is worse than Oblivion's 3rd weekend nuclear bomb in Iron Man 3. I believe it will withstand TF without any problem. It needs WOM spread over its first set of weekdays otherwise it will be completely outshadowed by next weekend.
Compared to these EOT opened above average.
Then there are sequels: $54,592,779 MIB3 $51,050,101 Prometheus
Also original movies with no big names: $37,285,325 Pacific Rim $37,354,308 District 9 $35,573,187 Battle Los Angeles
These are a funny bunch as they all had rather big OW compared to the first group, but PR was seen as disappointing and D9 and BLA had great marketing and created buzz - but it still wasn't enough for $40m OW like some were expecting for EOT which unlike those two didn't have good marketing and didn't create much buzz.
Overall EOT opened well. We just have to see if it will create legs due to it being a rather pleasing movie if we judge based on reviews from critics and around here also, or if it will have short BO life as most of these movies above.
And before somebody mentions Inception - that is not an example of how most SF movies perform. It has been pretty clear it's going to break out and that movie did its own thing on the BO.
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Sun Jun 08, 2014 9:55 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm Posts: 6152 Location: New York
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
Bad marketing.
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Mon Jun 09, 2014 2:29 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
Unfortunately, I think there is a sizable amount of people for whom Tom Cruise is an argument NOT to see a movie.
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Mon Jun 09, 2014 3:30 am |
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Webslinger
why so serious?
Joined: Tue Jun 06, 2006 11:24 pm Posts: 4110 Location: Stuck In A Moment I Can't Get Out Of
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
I'm gonna have to echo two other points in this thread:
- The marketing. While it didn't do a bad job per se of conveying its concept, it also didn't sell it as well as it could have. The piece that becomes evident with the Groundhog Day-esque setup is that there's quite a bit of effective gallows humor in it, and the audience I saw the film with responded very favorably to it. I think that the marketing went out of its way to present the film in a gritty, serious manner, when the reality is that the finished film works so well because there's so much levity in it.
- The release date. Releasing this movie so close to other tentpoles prevented it from standing out. A July release would have been much better because there would have been more time to sell the film (and specifically, time to sell it when it wouldn't have been standing in the large shadows of other films), and it also wouldn't have to face two films that are primed for huge openings in its second weekend.
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Mon Jun 09, 2014 5:45 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 15197 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
Dr. Lecter wrote: Unfortunately, I think there is a sizable amount of people for whom Tom Cruise is an argument NOT to see a movie. This is definitely true. Despite his almost ( Rock Of Ages, I'm looking at you) impeccable taste in choosing scripts and his total professionalism and skill as an actor, his personal antics from the past seem to be the one thing that have gotten stuck in the head of the simpleminded.
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Mon Jun 09, 2014 7:11 am |
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lesterg
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2005 11:40 am Posts: 1339
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
I think making back-to-back post apocalyptic sci-fi tentpoles might have been a mistake for Cruise. Particularly if people didn't exactly love Oblivion. Hell, even the posters are pretty damned similar: http://fanart.tv/fanart/movies/75612/mo ... bbf99d.jpghttp://www.heyuguys.co.uk/images/2014/0 ... Poster.jpgCruise in a sci-fi setting. Big ass gun. Crazy things flying in the sky. Destroyed/toppled landmark to the left.
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Last edited by lesterg on Mon Jun 09, 2014 8:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Mon Jun 09, 2014 10:43 am |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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 Re: Edge of Tomorrow - What Went Wrong?
I enjoyed both movies.
So I'm happy.
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Mon Jun 09, 2014 10:54 am |
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