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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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 Scores with Projections
The Box Office Factor site is not updated, so you guys will have to calculate on your own...
xXx: State of the Union - 0.00% ( 30.9 / 11.9 )
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy - 75.11% ( 17.8 / 23.7 )
The Interpreter - 92.65% ( 14.6 / 13.6 )
The Amityville Horror - 100.00% ( 8.4 / 8.4 )
Sahara - 87.72% ( 5.0 / 5.7 )
A Lot Like Love - 85.42% ( 4.1 / 4.8 )
Kung Fu Hustle - 83.87% ( 3.6 / 3.1 )
Fever Pitch - 97.14% ( 3.4 / 3.5 )
Sin City - 95.24% ( 2.2 / 2.1 )
Robots - 85.00% ( 2.3 / 2.0 )
Score: 80.214%
Last edited by MGKC on Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:21 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:10 am |
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Anonymous
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That's prediction for Robots right? Or you have your friday number sources?!?! :razz:
I have slightly different projections.
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:18 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Nebs wrote: That's prediction for Robots right? Or you have your friday number sources?!?! :razz:
I have slightly different projections.
No, I estimated with Robots. It should have around a $0.5 Friday, and then a good weekend multiplier.
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:19 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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I lowered xXx2 even more. People who predicted under 22 million for it should be bowed to.
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:23 am |
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Anonymous
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79.08% with your projections.
81.08% with mine.
Hmmm, think I like my better. 
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:24 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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I have 85.52% with Casey's.
Coming up with my own projections.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 12:13 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm Posts: 1684
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With Casey's
Derby
81.28%
Apprentice
80.93%
DVSI
80.25%
Survivor
80.71%
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 12:25 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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My projections:
Guide to the Galaxy - 24.0
The Interpreter - 15.0 (its Friday is better than Man on Fire's second Friday, so I don't see why it can't earn at least as much)
XXX2 - 12.0 (follows Elektra's pattern with a little worse Sunday drop since Elektra had Monday holiday)
The Amityville Horror - 8.3
A Lot Like Love - 5.0
Sahara - 5.5
Fever Pitch - 3.4
Kung Fu Hustle - 3.2
Guess Who - 2.2
Sin City - 2.1
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 12:28 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm Posts: 10266 Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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MG Casey’s projections – 82.59%
Xiayun’s projections – 83.52%
Which is pretty good considering 0% on XXX 2 (although it's so close! Projections are around $12 million, and I predicted $24 million, so I just lose out on some percentage). Still, I'm happy with myself for nailing Hitchhiker.
PEACE, Mike 
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 12:32 pm |
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Samweis Gamdschie
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm Posts: 2077 Location: At the edge of reality
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Around 85-86%... :???:
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 1:02 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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EDIT
With Casey's Projections- 84.47%
With Xiayun's Projections- 84.00%
Last edited by matatonio on Sat Apr 30, 2005 1:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 1:16 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Samweis Gamdschie wrote: Around 85-86%... :???:
Great score, Martin! Too bad that XXX2 bombed too hard to have a better advantage for predicting low.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 1:17 pm |
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Rod
Extra on the Ordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:50 pm Posts: 12821
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Xiayun's Projectiopns:
89.20%
Had I stuck with 14.0 million for XXX: 91.28%
_________________ Best Actress 2008
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 1:50 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Congrats, Rod! You're certain to win the derby.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 1:52 pm |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am Posts: 1335 Location: Austin, TX
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I have almost an even 80 with xiayun's projections, gosh I hope A Lot Like Love does bad this weekend :wink:
_________________ "Do or do not, there is no try."
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 3:03 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm Posts: 11838 Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Using MgCasey's projections. Despite my flop scores on the openers, I still manage to get a 79.68%. Hey, at least it wasn't a total disaster.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.  and many more.
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 3:04 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Yeah, and despite my horrible prediction for xXx: State of the Union, I got a 81.63%.
I couldn't have asked for more...
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 9:06 pm |
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Amos
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 10:54 pm Posts: 1585 Location: New Zealand
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With Xiayun's projections:
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (17 / 24) -- Accuracy: 70.83%
The Interpreter - (14 / 15) -- Accuracy: 93.33%
XXX: State Of The Union - (27 / 12) -- Accuracy: 0.00%
The Amityville Horror - (7.9 / 8.3) -- Accuracy: 95.18%
Sahara - (5.6 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 98.18%
A Lot Like Love - (4.2 / 5) -- Accuracy: 84.00%
Fever Pitch - (3.4 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Kung Fu Hustle - (4 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 75.00%
Robots - (1.9 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 86.36%
Sin City - (2.1 / 2.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 80.29%
New Release: 35.42%
Still in Theater: 91.51% \:D/
](*,) ](*,) ](*,)
Brandon's BOM Forecast Score:
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (24 / 24) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
The Interpreter - (14.2 / 15) -- Accuracy: 94.67%
XXX: State Of The Union - (21.8 / 12) -- Accuracy: 18.33%
The Amityville Horror - (7.6 / 8.3) -- Accuracy: 91.57%
Sahara - (5.7 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 96.36%
A Lot Like Love - (4.2 / 5) -- Accuracy: 84.00%
Fever Pitch - (3.2 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 94.12%
Kung Fu Hustle - (3.6 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 87.50%
Robots - (2.3 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 95.45%
Sin City - (2 / 2.1) -- Accuracy: 95.24%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 85.72%
New Release: 59.17%
Still in Theater: 92.36%
EDIT:
Mine with MGCasey's projections:
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (17 / 23.7) -- Accuracy: 71.73%
The Interpreter - (14 / 13.6) -- Accuracy: 97.06%
XXX: State Of The Union - (27 / 11.9) -- Accuracy: 0.00%
The Amityville Horror - (7.9 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 94.05%
Sahara - (5.6 / 5.7) -- Accuracy: 98.25%
A Lot Like Love - (4.2 / 4.8) -- Accuracy: 87.50%
Fever Pitch - (3.4 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 97.14%
Kung Fu Hustle - (4 / 3.1) -- Accuracy: 70.97%
Robots - (1.9 / 2) -- Accuracy: 95.00%
Sin City - (2.1 / 2.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 81.17%
New Release: 35.86%
Still in Theater: 92.50%
Slightly better, still pathetic. ](*,)
_________________ Cut My Milk!
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:12 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32619 Location: the last free city
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The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (18.5 / 24) -- Accuracy: 77.08%
The Interpreter - (13.5 / 15) -- Accuracy: 90.00%
XXX: State Of The Union - (26.5 / 12) -- Accuracy: 0.00%
The Amityville Horror - (8.2 / 8.3) -- Accuracy: 98.80%
Sahara - (5.8 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 94.55%
A Lot Like Love - (4.2 / 5) -- Accuracy: 84.00%
Fever Pitch - (3.5 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 97.06%
Kung Fu Hustle - (4.8 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 50.00%
Robots - (2.4 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 90.91%
Sin City - (2.0 / 2.1) -- Accuracy: 95.24%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 77.76%
New Release: 38.54%
Still in Theater: 87.57%
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:27 pm |
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Vovanik
Star Trek XI
Joined: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:44 am Posts: 337 Location: Ukraine,Kyiv
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With Xiayun's -84,4%
With MG Casey's -83.06%
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Sun May 01, 2005 3:40 am |
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Michael.
No Wire Tampons!
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2005 12:27 am Posts: 23283
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theres a strong possibility that XX2 will struggle to make $30m.
Elektras legs were literally sliced when its second weekend was not only coming off a holiday sesh, but it also saw the east coast snowstorm which badly affected all buisness. The weekend after theaters deserted it due to weak grosses so its legs only recovered way too late in its run.
XX2 should have better legs on this account; but its heading into May now so it'll be tough for it to stand up to the competish.
But the difference is - Elektra cost less than $50m to make; XX2 cost $120m. Its a bigger bomb than Crapwoman.
_________________ I'm out.
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Sun May 01, 2005 8:36 am |
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