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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20356 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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January 12-14 Predictions
The Commuter- 13 Paddington 2- 17 Proud Mary- 15 The Post- 19 I have a feeling that the mere length of time between The Commuter and Neeson's last thriller will help it do mid teens. Paddington will probably do slightly less than the last film. Proud Mary should have urban appeal, but it could do 10 or 25 million and I wouldn't be surprised. The Post is doing about as well as Hidden Figures in limited, but doesn't look quite as commercial, so I say it does just below 20m.
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Fri Jan 05, 2018 7:45 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
It's MLK weekend which I think will help Proud Mary.
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Sat Jan 06, 2018 4:58 am |
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pro1986
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 7:28 am Posts: 502
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Calling it Now. Proud Mary will do 20 plus.
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Sat Jan 06, 2018 3:53 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
PROUD MARY - 19.7 MILLION (3-Day)/23.89 MILLION (4-Day) PADDINGTON 2 - 19.37 MILLION (3-Day)/26 MILLION (4-Day) THE POST - 19 MILLION (3-Day)/22.7 MILLION (4-Day) THE COMMUTER - 12.6 MILLION (3-Day)/14.96 MILLION (4-Day)
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Sun Jan 07, 2018 2:38 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
I hope Paddington breaks out. It's such a wonderful film.
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Sun Jan 07, 2018 4:53 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
pro1986 wrote: Calling it Now. Proud Mary will do 20 plus. Can you elaborate as to why? I have no pulse on this film, though its social media footprint is weak.
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Sun Jan 07, 2018 12:23 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20356 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Proud Mary is something urban audiences could eat up like The Call, No Good Deed, The Perfect Guy or The Boy Next Door.
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Sun Jan 07, 2018 1:05 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
The Post - 20/25(4-Day) Paddington 2 - 16/21(4-Day) Proud Mary - 15/18(4-Day) The Commuter - 11/13(4-Day)
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Sun Jan 07, 2018 1:39 pm |
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pro1986
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 7:28 am Posts: 502
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote: pro1986 wrote: Calling it Now. Proud Mary will do 20 plus. Can you elaborate as to why? I have no pulse on this film, though its social media footprint is weak. P Henson is a big star especially in the urban community. There has been no big Urban hit since girls trip last summer. And the trailer got a great reaction from its core audience.
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Sun Jan 07, 2018 1:48 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22686 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
All 4-day...
Proud Mary - 24m The Post - 22m Paddington 2 - 21m The Commuter - 15m
With strong holdovers, should be a big weekend.
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Sun Jan 07, 2018 11:54 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Expect expansions for Lady Bird and Three Billboards again.
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Mon Jan 08, 2018 3:33 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22686 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Yes - the two films that will benefit most from the Globes.
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Mon Jan 08, 2018 9:34 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Paddington 2 has stellar reviews but I expect it to open softly, under the first.
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Mon Jan 08, 2018 9:36 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
******4-DAY******
1. JUMANJI - 34.254 MILLION (-8%) 2. PADDINGTON 2 - 26 MILLION (New) 3. PROUD MARY - 23.9 MILLION (New) 4. THE POST - 22.7 MILLION 5. STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI - 18 MILLION (-24%) 6. THE COMMUTER - 14.96 MILLION (New) 7. INSIDIOUS: THE LAST KEY - 14.494 MILLION (-51%) 8. THE GREATEST SHOWMAN - 14.184 MILLION (+3%) 9. PITCH PERFECT 3 - 7.62 MILLION (-26%) 10. FERDINAND - 7.3 MILLION (-5%) 11. THE DARKEST HOUR - 5.445 MILLION (-10%) 12. COCO - 5.14 MILLION (-4.5%) 13. MOLLY'S GAME - 5.073 MILLION (-26%) 14. THE SHAPE OF WATER - 4.2 MILLION (+34%)
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Tue Jan 09, 2018 1:56 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Paddington 2 will be the widest MLK release ever, at 3,702 locations.
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Wed Jan 10, 2018 1:32 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
The Post is already #1 on movietickets.com with 12.3%; none of the other new releases this weekend have broken the top 5.
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Thu Jan 11, 2018 12:32 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20356 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
That’s impressive, should crack 20m with that.
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Thu Jan 11, 2018 1:07 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Jonathan wrote: The Post is already #1 on movietickets.com with 12.3%; none of the other new releases this weekend have broken the top 5. Wonder if it can hit $25m 4-day?
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Thu Jan 11, 2018 1:18 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote: Jonathan wrote: The Post is already #1 on movietickets.com with 12.3%; none of the other new releases this weekend have broken the top 5. Wonder if it can hit $25m 4-day? I'm wondering more about whether it can break $25 million for the 3-day. I don't see why it should at least match the Hidden Figures opening from last year.
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Thu Jan 11, 2018 2:19 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20356 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Jonathan wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: Jonathan wrote: The Post is already #1 on movietickets.com with 12.3%; none of the other new releases this weekend have broken the top 5. Wonder if it can hit $25m 4-day? I'm wondering more about whether it can break $25 million for the 3-day. I don't see why it should at least match the Hidden Figures opening from last year. Eh I thought that looked more appealing. But maybe.
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Thu Jan 11, 2018 3:27 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
The Post can probably do 30 million for the 4-Day.
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Thu Jan 11, 2018 3:56 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Reviews aren't strong, but The Commuter looks really entertaining from the trailer. Actually playing on an IMAX screen here, though basically none have sold for tonight.
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Thu Jan 11, 2018 4:21 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Shocked Lady Bird is only adding 90 theaters this weekend compared to the 712 Three Billboards is adding. Even Shape of Water isn't adding any but instead losing 81.
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Fri Jan 12, 2018 1:12 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: ******4-DAY******
1. JUMANJI - 34.254 MILLION (-8%) 2. PADDINGTON 2 - 26 MILLION (New) 3. PROUD MARY - 23.9 MILLION (New) 4. THE POST - 22.7 MILLION 5. STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI - 18 MILLION (-24%) 6. THE COMMUTER - 14.96 MILLION (New) 7. INSIDIOUS: THE LAST KEY - 14.494 MILLION (-51%) 8. THE GREATEST SHOWMAN - 14.184 MILLION (+3%) 9. PITCH PERFECT 3 - 7.62 MILLION (-26%) 10. FERDINAND - 7.3 MILLION (-5%) 11. THE DARKEST HOUR - 5.445 MILLION (-10%) 12. COCO - 5.14 MILLION (-4.5%) 13. MOLLY'S GAME - 5.073 MILLION (-26%) 14. THE SHAPE OF WATER - 4.2 MILLION (+34%) I now expect The Post to be #2 with 28-29 Million for the 4-Day (my exact prediction is 28.564 Million). Also expecting Paddington 2 and Proud Mary to come in a tad lower but still think Proud Mary cracks 20 Million over the 4-Day. The Shape of Water I expected to gain theaters but with it losing them I'm predicting a decline. Will go -2% for 3 Million.
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Fri Jan 12, 2018 2:46 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: January 12-14 Predictions
The Post in solid control on MT with 17%.
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Fri Jan 12, 2018 9:17 am |
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