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 Weekend Estimates 
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Post Weekend Estimates
1 DIARY OF A MAD BLACK WOMAN $22,700,000 NEW $22,700,000
2 HITCH $21,000,000 -33.0% $122,008,000
3 CONSTANTINE $11,820,000 -60.3% $50,751,000
4 CURSED $9,564,000 NEW $9,564,000
5 MAN OF THE HOUSE $9,000,000 NEW $9,000,000
6 MILLION DOLLAR BABY $7,221,000 +6.0% $64,728,000
7 BECAUSE OF WINN-DIXIE $6,750,000 -33.9% $22,202,000
8 ARE WE THERE YET? $4,000,000 -36.4% $76,366,000
9 THE AVIATOR $3,885,000 -6.5% $93,790,000
10 SON OF THE MASK $3,775,000 -49.7% $13,972,000

11 SIDEWAYS $3,500,000 -8.5% $63,128,000
12 BOOGEYMAN $2,100,000 -60.5% $44,708,000
13 POOH'S HEFFALUMP MOVIE $2,010,000 -51.3% $15,560,000
14 FINDING NEVERLAND $1,826,000 -3.6% $48,067,000


Sun Feb 27, 2005 1:47 pm
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Aviator has to be underestimated. Its Friday number and Saturday number were higher than Are We There Yet.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 1:49 pm
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rustiphica

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:59 pm
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diary sure did kill my scores.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 1:50 pm
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Sideways has been officially passed. Congrats M$B.

I'll have to take comfort in M$B losing tonight.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 1:51 pm
College Boy Z

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That's amazing from Diary of a Mad Black Woman! :shock:

It's the next Barbershop.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 1:53 pm
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I'm glad that Million Dollar Baby is kicking ass over Sideways :razz:

Hitch, so close for #1 :cry:

Bravo to Diary of a Mad Black Lady...

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Sun Feb 27, 2005 1:55 pm
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Sbil

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Algren wrote:
I'm glad that Million Dollar Baby is kicking ass over Sideways :razz:

Hitch, so close for #1 :cry:

Bravo to Diary of a Mad Black Lady...


Sideways had a budget of $16M, and has already made $63M domestically.

How exactly is that having its ass kicked?


Sun Feb 27, 2005 1:57 pm
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Teenage Dream
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Hitch didn't win the weekend!!! :cry:

Hopefully, when the actuals come out Diary of A Mad Black Woman is way overestimated and Hitch is way underestimated!!


Sun Feb 27, 2005 2:17 pm
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Extraordinary

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VSW wrote:
Aviator has to be underestimated. Its Friday number and Saturday number were higher than Are We There Yet.


Studios are anticipating Oscar effects for the oscar movies. Million Dollar Baby, The Aviator, and Sideways are all projected to drop around 55% on Sunday. Don't know why Cursed is projected to drop that high also, and I think its actual will be higher.

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Sun Feb 27, 2005 2:30 pm
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Is it just me or did Diary of a Mad Black Woman just come out of NOWHERE!!!!!!!

I barely saw any ads for it, as minimal as you can get for tv spots....
I was looking for it to gross around $7 million for the whole weekend. they sure know how to market this kind of ethnic fare.

Cangrats to them!
Hitch is doing incredible. $150m is now a lock. Who thinks it can make it to $200 million??
I know it's a stretch but hey a few more weekends of 30-40% drops and it's just about guaranteed $175-180 million.

Constantine dropped harder than I thought. It had decent word of mouth.

Overall, I think this turned out to be quite an impressive weekend!

Go M$B!!!!! IF it wins Best Picture, I see it passing $85 million

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Sun Feb 27, 2005 2:31 pm
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Million Dollar Baby continues to be the most impressive of the Oscar bunch! After it's much deserved victory tonight, the others will slip away into obscurity, but M$B will remain a timeless classic.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 2:46 pm
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I wonder why Cursed did so bad, considering Boogeyman nearly doubled its opening weekend. Was this the straw that broke the camel's back?

I just think it was all in the premise. Cursed had been done before, many times. Others, like White Noise, Hide and Seek, and Boogeyman had interesting premises.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 2:49 pm
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I think that Diary is way overest. its sunday drop is only 24% while all others are in the 40-50%. I see Hitch coming out on top.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 2:53 pm
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MG Casey wrote:
I wonder why Cursed did so bad, considering Boogeyman nearly doubled its opening weekend. Was this the straw that broke the camel's back?


Could it be that the 20 somethings that made the Scream franchise a success in the late 90's simply moved on and the new mid 00's demographic has different taste.

Not to mention an inferior product.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 3:01 pm
Extraordinary

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sako16 wrote:
I think that Diary is way overest. its sunday drop is only 24% while all others are in the 40-50%. I see Hitch coming out on top.


I'm pretty sure the studio purposely overestimated so it will be an even bigger story as the No. 1 film of the weekend, even if it's just for a day until the actuals are out. If it has been estimated properly with a 40% Sunday drop, it would have a $21.3M weekend, and the top spot is too close to call.

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Last edited by xiayun on Sun Feb 27, 2005 3:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Feb 27, 2005 3:10 pm
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Cursed's sunday drop is a bit steep.

Should finish with around $28m-$30m.

Production budget $38M.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 3:40 pm
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:cry:
Damn, i can´t believe what i´m seeing.
Months ago, i was totally sure that Cursed will be a hit (even, Scream numbers), but then stupid Dimension started to f**k the movie. Re-shoots, cuts to adapt it to Pg-13. I still had hope, but now... ](*,)

I must wait (maybe till April) to see the movie in Spain. It´s really so bad? (i don´t want to read spoiled reviews)
Or it´s just that people don´t want to go to see the movie? :-k

I hope we could see the Director´s Cut in the DVD. Any news about that? What does Wes think?


Sun Feb 27, 2005 3:55 pm
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Waitress in LA

Joined: Thu Feb 24, 2005 6:02 am
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sako16 wrote:
I think that Diary is way overest. its sunday drop is only 24% while all others are in the 40-50%. I see Hitch coming out on top.


It's a church-going film. Many people are going in groups to watch the film after church.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 3:57 pm
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MrFloppy wrote:
:cry:
Damn, i can´t believe what i´m seeing.
Months ago, i was totally sure that Cursed will be a hit (even, Scream numbers), but then stupid Dimension started to f**k the movie. Re-shoots, cuts to adapt it to Pg-13. I still had hope, but now... ](*,)

I must wait (maybe till April) to see the movie in Spain. It´s really so bad? (i don´t want to read spoiled reviews)
Or it´s just that people don´t want to go to see the movie? :-k

I hope we could see the Director´s Cut in the DVD. Any news about that? What does Wes think?
Maybe Dimension. But Disney! *shudder* I wish I can buy a cat, so they can eat mice, including Mickey.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 4:02 pm
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Libs wrote:
Algren wrote:
I'm glad that Million Dollar Baby is kicking ass over Sideways :razz:


Sideways had a budget of $16M, and has already made $63M domestically.

How exactly is that having its ass kicked?


Is that a valid question or are you just being trivial because its me that said it.

....For the record, i am reffering to the weekend estimate alone, as the thread implies :roll:

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Sun Feb 27, 2005 4:38 pm
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Maverikk wrote:
Million Dollar Baby continues to be the most impressive of the Oscar bunch! After it's much deserved victory tonight, the others will slip away into obscurity, but M$B will remain a timeless classic.


I'd say The Aviator is a little more impressive, considering how long it has been out and all the theaters it has lost the last few weeks.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 4:43 pm
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I've heard that Wes Craven said the production costs of Cursed were up to $90 Million because of reshoots.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 4:57 pm
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Well i heard costs were between $35m-$40m from BOP, IMDB and BOM.


Sun Feb 27, 2005 4:58 pm
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Maverikk wrote:
Million Dollar Baby continues to be the most impressive of the Oscar bunch! After it's much deserved victory tonight, the others will slip away into obscurity, but M$B will remain a timeless classic.


=D> =D> =D>

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Sun Feb 27, 2005 5:12 pm
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Great for Diary! check out this quote from Lions Gate:

According to Lions Gate, exit polls indicated that 96 percent of moviegoers rated the film very good or excellent, while 94 percent said they would definitely recommend it. The core audience was black women over 25, but the film played equally well to all demographics, the studio said.

Looks Like it might have some decent legs [-o< Let the Haters get on your job :roll: It's motivation


Sun Feb 27, 2005 5:19 pm
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