Anyone? Should be interesting with AITD.... ](*,)

Hide and Seek - (19.8 / 21.9) -- Accuracy: 90.41%
Are We There Yet? - (9.8 / 16) -- Accuracy: 61.25%
Million Dollar Baby - (13.8 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 83.05%
Meet The Fockers - (6 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 84.51%
Coach Carter - (6.6 / 6.8) -- Accuracy: 97.06%
Racing Stripes - (4 / 6) -- Accuracy: 66.67%
In Good Company - (5.4 / 5.9) -- Accuracy: 91.53%
Sideways - (7 / 5.3) -- Accuracy: 67.92%
Assault on Precinct 13 - (3.4 / 3.9) -- Accuracy: 87.18%
Alone in the Dark - (5.9 / 3) -- Accuracy: 3.33% :evil:

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 73.29%

New Release: 46.87%
Still in Theater: 79.90%

both Sideways and AITD i increased *shakes head* i think my first prediction for Sideways was $5.5M and AITD $3.8M......oh well thats the way it goes.....but there only prejections!

The multipliers will be higher for most films, I am pretty certain of that.

With my own current projections (likely to change):

Hide and Seek - 92.73% ( 20.4 / 22.0 )
Alone in the Dark - 0.00% ( 5.2 / 2.6 )
Are We There Yet? - 84.83% ( 12.3 / 14.5 )
Coach Carter - 95.83% ( 6.9 / 7.2 )
Meet the Fockers - 86.84% ( 6.6 / 7.6 )
In Good Company - 93.33% ( 5.6 / 6.0 )
Racing Stripes - 89.29% ( 5.0 / 5.6 )
Assault on Precinct 13 - 86.84% ( 4.3 / 3.8 )
Sideways - 73.21% ( 7.1 / 5.6 )
Million Dollar Baby - 68.00% ( 13.2 / 10.0 )
The Aviator - 73.13% ( 8.5 / 6.7 )
The Phantom of the Opera - 82.93% ( 4.8 / 4.1 )

Avg: 77.247%

I overpredicted most award films... but I proved everyone wrong by going with a very low drop for Are We There Yet!


With the other projections people are using I have:
80.65%
(Derby - 80.84% with $6.9 Aviator & $4.1 Phantom)

Hide and Seek - (26.5 / 21.9) -- Accuracy: 79.00%
Are We There Yet? - (10.8 / 16) -- Accuracy: 67.50%
Million Dollar Baby - (13.6 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 84.75%
Meet The Fockers - (6.4 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 90.14%
Coach Carter - (5.9 / 6.8) -- Accuracy: 86.76%
Racing Stripes - (3.9 / 6.0) -- Accuracy: 65.00%
In Good Company - (5.0 / 5.9) -- Accuracy: 84.75%
Sideways - (5.3 / 5.3) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Assault on Precinct 13 - (3.8 / 3.9) -- Accuracy: 97.44%
Alone in the Dark - (3.0 / 3.0) -- Accuracy: 100.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 85.53%

New Release: 89.50%
Still in Theater: 84.54%

Wow, Bill, look like you will win derby again. I thought I had a chance by going a low 4.2 for Alone in the Dark, but you went even lower and nailed it.

EDIT: BOM numbers are up, and Alone in the Dark won't get 3M for the weekend.

Not again, have not placed #1 before, but #2 a couple times.

There's probably a few high "quiet" players as well, as the Derby Average % (without Aviator and Phantom) is 78.08%...

I updated with my projections, and 6.8 for The Aviator and 4.0 for The Phantom of the Opera. With those, I have 82.16% for the derby. Alone in the Dark bombed so bad that it actually helps a lot of people, since anybody predicted above 5 is all geting zero, and I couldn't benefit much from the 4.2 prediction.