This thread is for films that open to over $20 million in its 3-day weekend.

WHAT FILMS WILL PASS THE MARK??

This month, we'll see Elektra and Coach Carter pass the mark. Hide and Seek has a shot, too.

BTW, the record is 46 as you can see in last year's thread:

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=901

Thanks. I knew that, but thanks for refreshing my mind.

Sorry, yeah, I knew you knew that, I was just letting anyone know who will view the thread after 2004's dies. :wink:

Coach Carter will be passing $20m this weekend. So I will add it to the list. Post your predictions to what will pass $20m in its opening weekend.

hm does it have to be opening wknd IGC could be over 20m next wknd if it gets a large enough expantion :wink:

FILMS THAT COULD MAKE $20m OPENING WEEKEND
1. Are We There Yet?
2. Boogeyman
3. Hitch
4. Constantine
5. Cursed
6. Be Cool
7. The Pacifier
8. Robots
9. The Ring Two
10. Miss Congeniality 2
11. Sin City
12. The Amityville Horror
13. The Interpreter
14. Valiant
15. XXX: State of Union
16. The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy
17. Kingdom of Heaven
18. Star Wars: Episode 3 - Revenge of the Sith
19. Madagascar
20. The Longest Yard
21. Cinderella Man
22. Mr. and Mrs. Smith
23. Batman Begins
24. Fun with Dick and Jane
25. Herbie: Fully Loaded
26. War of the Worlds
27. Fantastic Four
28. Bewitched
29. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
30. The Island
31. Wedding Crashers
32. The Dukes of Hazzard
33. Doom
34. The Pink Panther
35. Serenity
36. Fever Pitch
37. Wallace & Gromit
38. The Fog
39. Saw 2
40. Chicken Little
41. Legend of Zorro
42. Rent
43. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
44. The Brothers Grimm
45. The Chronicles of Narnia
46. Underworld: Evolution
47. King Kong
48. The Producers
49. Memoirs of a Geisha
50. V for Vendetta
51. Click
52. The Perfect Man

Any I should take of the offical list or any I should add? Please post suggestions to list!!

FILMS THAT COULD MAKE $20m OPENING WEEKEND
1. Are We There Yet?- No way
2. Boogeyman - No way
3. Hitch - 85% chance
4. Constantine - 65% chance
5. Cursed - I'm undecided
6. Be Cool - Undecided
7. The Pacifier - 90% chance
8. Robots - lock
9. The Ring Two - lock
10. Miss Congeniality 2 - 50% chance
11. Sin City - 80% chance
12. The Amityville Horror - 20% chance
13. The Interpreter - 10% percent chance
14. Valiant - Hasn't it been delayed?
15. XXX: State of Union - lock
16. The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy - lock
17. Kingdom of Heaven - lock
18. Star Wars: Episode 3 - Revenge of the Sith - lock
19. Madagascar - lock
20. The Longest Yard - lock
21. Cinderella Man - 45% chance
22. Mr. and Mrs. Smith - 95% chance
23. Batman Begins - lock
24. Fun with Dick and Jane - I'm undecided, but it's probably at least 80%
25. Herbie: Fully Loaded - 75%
26. War of the Worlds - lock
27. Fantastic Four - lock
28. Bewitched - 70%
29. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - 60%
30. The Island - 95%
31. Wedding Crashers - 85%
32. The Dukes of Hazzard - ? = Undecided
33. Doom - 98%
34. The Pink Panther - 40%
35. Serenity - ?
36. Fever Pitch - ?
37. Wallace & Gromit - 30%
38. The Fog - ?
39. Saw 2 - 60%
40. Chicken Little - 99%
41. Legend of Zorro - lock
42. Rent - ?
43. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire - lock
44. The Brothers Grimm - 70%
45. The Chronicles of Narnia - lock
46. Underworld: Evolution - lock
47. King Kong - lock
48. The Producers - ?
49. Memoirs of a Geisha 90%
50. V for Vendetta - Probably 2006, but lock if 2005
51. Click - ?
52. The Perfect Man - ?

Just off the top of my head, there is stealth, which I would rank at 95%. I'd have to check a release schdule for others.

20 Million Openers

1. White Noise
2. Coach Carter
3. Are We There Yet? (20% Chance)
4. Hide and Seek (40% Chance)
5. Boogeyman (30% Chance)
6. Hitch
7. Constantine (10% Chance)
8. Cursed (20% Chance)
9. The Pacifier
10. Be Cool (20% Chance)
11. Robots
12. The Ring Two
13. Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous
14. Sahara (20% Chance)
15. Beauty Shop (80% Chance)
16. Sin City (50% Chance)
17. The Weather Man (30% Chance)
18. The Amityville Horror (80% Chance)
19. Valiant (60% Chance)
20. The Interpreter (30% Chance)
21. XXX: State of the Union
22. The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy
23. Kingdom of Heaven
24. Monster-In-Law (40% Chance)
25. Kicking and Screaming
26. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith
27. Madagascar
28. The Longest Yard
29. The Adventures of Shark Boy & Lava Girl (70% Chance)
30. Mr. and Mrs. Smith
31. Batman Begins
32. Herbie: Fully Loaded
33. Fun with Dick and Jane (60% Chance)
34. War of the Worlds
35. Fantastic Four (80% Chance)
36. Bewitched
37. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
38. The Island (20% Chance)
39. Wedding Crashers (50% Chance)
40. The Dukes of Hazzard
41. Doom
42. Deuce Bigalow: European Gigolow (50% Chance)
43. The Pink Panther (50% Chance)
44. Wallace and Gromit: Tale of the Were Rabbit (60% Chance)
45. Saw 2 (80% Chance)
46. Chicken Little
47. Legend of Zorro
48. Harry Potter & the Goblet of Fire
49. The Chronicles of Narnia
50. Underworld: Evolution (60% Chance)
51. King Kong
52. V for Vendetta (50% Chance)

TBA
53. Big Momma's House 2
54. Final Destination 3 (40% Chance)

FILMS THAT MET THE MARK:
1. White Noise (1/7/05) $24,113,565
2. Coach Carter (1/14/05) $23,600,000

[-X [-X [-X

Hey, I said Coach Carter too. :razz: :wink:

And I only highlighted Elektra.

And for reference, I predicted $26.75 million for Elektra over the four-day weekend...

I think Are We There Yet? has a slight chance as well. It would need an $8,000 PTA, which doesn't seem too out of reach considering that Johnson Family Vacation some how scored a $7,000 PTA. Barbershop had a $12,800 PTA and Barbershop 2 had a $9,000 PTA. There's a good chance, unless competition is too overwhelming.

I think Are We There Yet? will do around $22-$24 million for the weekend. It has a double demographic -- urban and families (PG rating). Racing Stripes will be its only competition for the family demographic, and Coach Carter will compete with it for the urban demographic. I do, however, think that Are We There Yet? will end up on top.

Even though the theater count for Are We There Yet? is estimated for 2,500 theaters somehow it is going to get alot of theaters since its distributor is Sony Pictures which gets big counts for its movies.

FILMS THAT HAVE MET THE MARK:
1. White Noise - $24,113,565
2. Coach Carter - $24,182,961
3. Hide and Seek - $20,000,000+ ??

\:D/

It almost made it. Snowstorm had an effect I'm sure.

FILMS THAT HAVE MET THE MARK:
1. White Noise - $24,113,565 (1/7)
2. Coach Carter - $24,182,961 (1/14)
3. Hide and Seek - $22,000,000 (1/28)

FILMS THAT HAVE MET THE MARK:
1. White Noise - $24,113,565 (1/7)
2. Coach Carter - $24,182,961 (1/14)
3. Hide and Seek - $21,959,233 (1/28)
4. Hitch - $43,142,214 (2/11)
5. Constantine - $29,715,000 (2/18)

Cursed has a good shot next weekend. It's getting 3,000 theatres at the least.
So all it needs to top $20M for the weekend (on 3,000) is a $6,670 Pta.

Horror 2005 PTA's

White Noise - $10,665
Hide and Seek - $7,307
Boogeyman - $6,232

And Boogeyman had to deal with the Superbowl drop, so if it was a normal weekend, it would have cracked $20M aswell.

I rekon Cursed could be joining this list very shortly.

Cursed has a chance at $20m. But, I believe the next entry to the $20m openers list will be either Be Cool or The Pacifier or both of them on March 4th.

FILMS THAT HAVE MET THE MARK:
01. White Noise - $24,113,565 (1/7)
02. Coach Carter - $24,182,961 (1/14)
03. Hide and Seek - $21,959,233 (1/28)
04. Hitch - $43,142,214 (2/11)
05. Constantine - $29,715,000 (2/18)
06. Diary of A Mad Black Woman - $22,700,000 (2/25)