Both are movies that were expected to be big, but not THAT BIG. Both are more or less huge box-office surprises. Pirates of the Caribbean opened in July 2003 with $70,625,971 over the 5-day frame, Meet the Fockers started last month with $70,517,720 in five days. Surprisngly similar, isn't it? After its third weekend, Pirates of the Caribbean, stood at $176,838,155 while Meet the Fockers already broke the $200 million-mark with $204,297,870. Pirates of the Caribbean went on to make $300+ million, obviously helped by the summer weekdays and the great WoM. Now Meet the Fockers seems to have very good WoM as well.

In this thread, I'll track these two huge box-office hits against each other. As of now, I think that Meet the Fockers will end up with slightly less than Pirates of the Caribbean, topping out at around $295 million, but it is very possible that it'll top $300 million considering how much ahead of Pirates of the Caribbean it is now.


Will it be able to reach $300 million? Will it outgross Pirates of the Caribbean by the end of its run or fall short? What do you think?

Pirates of the Caribbean vs. Meet the Fockers:


Weekends:

Weekend gross - % Change - Theatres - (PTA) - Total gross


Weekend 1:

Pirates of the Caribbean - $46,630,690 - NEW - 3,269 - ($14,265) - $70,625,971

Meet the Fockers - $46,120,980 - NEW - 3,518 - ($13,110) - $70,517,720


Weekend 2:

Pirates of the Caribbean - $34,034,597 - -27.01% - 3,359 - ($10,132) - $133,007,414

Meet the Fockers - $41,741,785 - -9.5% - 3,524 - ($11,845) - $162,461,370


Weekend 3:

Pirates of the Caribbean - $23,136,029 - -32.02% - 3,416 - ($6,773) - $176,838,155

Meet the Fockers - $28,498,160 - -31.7% - 3,527 - ($8,080) - $204,297,870

BJ says Fockers will rip Pirates to pieces :rock: its already 28m ahead in terms of gross alone :wink: Next wknd Fockers will clear 20m in the three day alone Pirates make 18m in its 4th wknd dropng 18% not bad . Even its wk days wont help it from being crushed by fockers because forckers is showing the better holds at the moment :wink: I expect them to be very close but in the end fockers will win \:D/

BTW my prediction for MTF is 330m but I will be happy as long as it passes 300m

BJ was soo right on this one. Meet the Fockers is heading for a $300+ million finish. If it can maintain drops under 35% (which it will, because of great WOM), it's definently going to pass $300 million. As of yesterday, it's at $208 million. For today and tomorrow, it'll get up to $212 million. Over the 4-day weekend, it'll gross $20+ million, and go to about $230-235 million. Then, with consistant 35% drops and those great weekday drops, it'll slowly, but surely, pass $300 million. \:D/

Glad someone finally got around to this as I have been saying in the prediction thread that this movie should be tracked.

And Lecter, LOVE THE POLL and the CAPS.

thanks Zing :wink: I cant wait to see this films run roll out :rock:

"BUMP" :rock:

looks like they tied for friday but Fockers should take the lead easily today.

Okay, daily tracking is coming up now...

awesome :rock:

Meet the Fockers should win,
308m, thats my prediction

Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl vs. Meet the Fockers



Daily:

Day - Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl (% Change) / Meet the Fockers (% Change)


DAY 1 - $13,509,262 (NEW) / $12,066,740 (NEW)

DAY 2 - $10,486,019 (-22.4%) / $12,330,000 (+2.2%)

DAY 3 - $14,841,094 (+41.5%) / $7,159,130 (-41.9%)

DAY 4 - $17,414,693 (+17.3%) / $19,542,490 (+173%)

DAY 5 - $14,374,903 (-17.5%) / $19,419,360 (-0.6%)

DAY 6 - $7,504,567 (-47.8%) / $13,913,690 (-28.4%)

DAY 7 - $7,351,137 (-2%) / $12,629,620 (-9.2%)

DAY 8 - $7,056,602 (-4%) / $11,486,275 (-9.1%)

DAY 9 - $6,434,540 (-8.8%) / $12,172,280 (+6%)

DAY 10 - $10,505,198 (+63.3%) / $12,140,180 (-0.3%)

DAY 11 - $13,095,414 (+24.7%) / $18,271,940 (+50.5%)

DAY 12 - $10,433,985 (-20.3%) / $11,329,665 (-38%)

DAY 13 - $5,332,285 (-48.9%) / $4,422,620 (-61%)

DAY 14 - $5,449,233 (+2.2%) / $3,189,220 (-27.9%)

DAY 15 - $5,082,012 (-6.7%) / $2,801,580 (-12.2%)

DAY 16 - $4,831,182 (-4.9%) / $2,924,920 (+4.4%)

DAY 17 - $6,814,619 (+41.1%) / $8,835,135 (+202.1%)

DAY 18 - $8,965,800 (+31.6%) / $12,944,090 (+46.5%)

DAY 19 - $7,355,610 (-18%) / $6,718,935 (-48.1%)

DAY 20 - $3,582,589 (-51.3%) / $1,851,675 (-72.4%)

DAY 21 - $3,596,200 (+0.4%) / $2,046,995 (+10.5%)

DAY 22 - $3,274,773 (-8.9%) / $1,763,450 (-12.9%)

DAY 23 - $3,395,531 (+3.7%) / $1,834,040 (+4%)

DAY 24 - $5,651,711 (+66.4%) / $5,578,500 (+204.2%)

Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl vs. Meet the Fockers



Total grosses:


Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl / Meet the Fockers


DAY 1 - $13,509,262 / $12,066,740

DAY 2 - $23,995,281 / $24,396,740

DAY 3 - $38,836,375 / $31,555,870

DAY 4 - $56,251,068 / $51,098,360

DAY 5 - $70,625,971 / $70,517,720

DAY 6 - $78,130,538 / $84,431,410

DAY 7 - $85,481,675 / $97,061,030

DAY 8 - $92,538,277 / $108,547,305

DAY 9 - $98,972,817 / $120,719,585

DAY 10 - $109,478,015 / $132,859,765

DAY 11 - $122,573,429 / $151,131,705

DAY 12 - $133,007,414 / $162,461,370

DAY 13 - $138,339,699 / $166,883,990

DAY 14 - $143,788,932 / $170,073,210

DAY 15 - $148,870,944 / $172,874,790

DAY 16 - $153,702,126 / $175,799,710

DAY 17 - $160,516,745 / $184,634,845

DAY 18 - $169,482,545 / $197,578,935

DAY 19 - $176,838,155 / $204,297,870

DAY 20 - $180,420,744 / $206,149,545

DAY 21 - $184,016,944 / $208,196,540

DAY 22 - $187,291,717 / $209,959,990

DAY 23 - $190,687,248 / $211,794,030

DAY 24 - $196,338,959 / $217,372,530 (est.)

great :wink: I expect an 80% increase today due to the massive saturday increases that this theater causes :wink:

So here is the breakdown:

The biggest gap between the both was on the 12th day, it was around $29.5 million. Ever since then, Pirates of the Caribbean is gaining on Meet the Fockers except for Fridays and Saturdays. On all other days, Pirates of the Caribbean is performing better due to the summer weekdays. This weekend, Meet the Fockers will be ahead thanks to the 4-day weekend, but the gap will get smaller after that. Pirates of the Caribbean is could definitely benefit from its summer weekdays.


As of now, I predict that no matter which film will win, it'll be close, really close. In a $5 million-range. As of now, I go with Pirates of the Caribbean, giving Meet the Fockers a total of $301 million.

WEEKS


Week 1:

Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl - $98,972,817
Meet the Fockers - $120,719,585


Week 2:

Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl - $54,729,309
Meet the Fockers - $55,080,125


Week 3:

Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl - $36,985,122
Meet the Fockers - $35,994,320

This thread breaks my heart. MTF up against POTC???? Remember when POTC's run was considered amazing and unique?

What the hell happened?


I feel like ROTK/TPOTC all over again, with three 2004 films making almost as much if not more than ROTK

its a good thing MTF made so much in its first 12 days.

hehe, I expect this pattern to continue :wink:

I think it will be close. MTF is doing great considering it is holding up well compared to one of the leggiest blockbuster movies of the past couple of years.

Ya me too, I'm just surprised at how behind the times I am.

Inflation happened. I also dare to consider Meet the Fockers' run nothing short of amazing.

However, what makes POTC's run even more amazing is that it is actually not a sequel or any beloved movie and it is not based on any popular literary work.

I voted for MTF but after actually punching in the numbers myself, I don't see MTF going above $285 mil unless it has a couple of sub-20% drops. The weekdays are just too low compared to POTC's.

I too think that the weekday numbers will give POTC the edge. While another 4-day weekend will help its run in February abd push it past $290 million, overall, it should fall short of POTC's total.

POTC's release could not have come at a better time in 2003. Reloaded, X2 and Bruce Almighty had made all of their money by then. Hulk was a failure. T3 was pitiful. Upto that point the family and the general audiences were looking for a good movie to see other than Finding Nemo. Here came the perfect adventure movie with an excellent performance by Johnny Depp. The movie was fun for the whole family and hit it big time with all demographics.