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 Weekend Estimates 
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Location: Arlington, VA
Post Weekend Estimates
1 NATIONAL TREASURE $17,141,000 -46.7% $110,249,000
2 CHRISTMAS WITH THE KRANKS $11,700,000 -45.8% $45,463,000
3 THE POLAR EXPRESS $11,020,000 -43.2% $96,370,000
4 THE INCREDIBLES $9,159,000 -61.2% $226,002,000
5 SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS $7,800,000 -56.3% $68,353,000
6 CLOSER $7,700,000 NEW $7,700,000 (PTA: $16,176)
7 ALEXANDER $4,725,000 -65.5% $29,650,000
8 FINDING NEVERLAND $2,851,000 -39% $11,711,000
9 BRIDGET JONES: THE EDGE OF REASON $2,761,000 -55.7% $36,321,000
10 RAY $1,895,000 -52.3% $67,799,000

11 SIDEWAYS $1,815,000 -37.7% $12,491,000 (PTA: $3,637)
16 KINSEY $760,000 -41.2% $3,672,000 (PTA: $4,000)
18 HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS $417,000 NEW $417,000 (PTA: $27,800)


Last edited by Libs on Sun Dec 05, 2004 2:42 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Dec 05, 2004 12:24 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Wow, just... wow. On the weekend where everything drops incredibly hard, National Treasure dropped about 45% even though it's been pulling over $30 million the past two weekends. Unbelievable.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 12:28 pm
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
Wow, just... wow. On the weekend where everything drops incredibly hard, National Treasure dropped about 45% even though it's been pulling over $30 million the past two weekends. Unbelievable.


Yep, it's the very definition of a crowd-pleaser. I know I had fun when I saw it.

Anyway, these drops are surprisingly small for the post-Thanksgiving weekend, especially when you consider the smallest drop in the top 10 last year was something like 59%.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 12:30 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Yeah, I guess that's what misleaded me when I went to predict the movies.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 12:31 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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I'll just post these here. No point in a new thread. Saturday Estimates.

NATIONAL TREASURE- 7.6 (106.0)
CHRISTMAS WITH THE KRANKS- 5.1 (42.1)
POLAR EXPRESS- 4.6 (92.8 )
INCREDIBLES, THE- 4.1 (222.4)
SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS THE MOVIE- 3.5 (66.2)
CLOSER- 3.1 (5.9)
ALEXANDER -2.0 (28.4)
FINDING NEVERLAND- 1.3 (10.8 )
BRIDGET JONES: THE EDGE OF REASON- 1.2 (35.8 )
RAY- .9 (67.3 )


Sun Dec 05, 2004 12:34 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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could national treasure pull off elf numbers? or just stay around 150?

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Sun Dec 05, 2004 12:40 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Right now, I see a total of about $150 million for National Treasure. Also, I think we'll see Closer making about $7.7 million for the weekend, since it increased about 15% on Saturday, and should drop about 38% on Sunday. That would give it an awesome PTA of almost $18,000.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 12:45 pm
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College Boy Z

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House of Flying Daggers - $417,000 (PTA: $27,800) $417,000

Awesome PTA!!! :shock: :D


Sun Dec 05, 2004 12:56 pm
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Hot Fuss

Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
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Zingaling wrote:
House of Flying Daggers - $417,000 (PTA: $27,800) $417,000

Awesome PTA!!! :shock: :D


I'll say. Nice.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:02 pm
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Hot Fuss

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (more soon)
Libs wrote:
NATIONAL TREASURE $17,141,000 -46.7% $110,249,000


It just won't die! :shock: :lol:


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:02 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (more soon)
zach wrote:
Libs wrote:
NATIONAL TREASURE $17,141,000 -46.7% $110,249,000


It just won't die! :shock: :lol:


I don't remember who said it, but it does look to be the Pirates of the Carribean of 2004, only in a smaller scale.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:04 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Some more..


The Polar Express- $11,020,000 -43.2% $96,370,000
Alexander- $4,725,000 -65.5% $29,650,000
Sideways- $1,815,000 -37.7% $12,491,000
Kinsey- $760,000 -41.2% $3,672,000

Big drop for Alexander, but it could have been a lot worse.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:06 pm
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Hot Fuss

Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (more soon)
Zingaling wrote:
zach wrote:
Libs wrote:
NATIONAL TREASURE $17,141,000 -46.7% $110,249,000


It just won't die! :shock: :lol:


I don't remember who said it, but it does look to be the Pirates of the Carribean of 2004, only in a smaller scale.


Disney so needed it. This year was craptacular for them. Not even the Incredibles saved em.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:09 pm
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Hot Fuss

Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
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Zingaling wrote:
Some more..


The Polar Express- $11,020,000 -43.2% $96,370,000
Alexander- $4,725,000 -65.5% $29,650,000
Sideways- $1,815,000 -37.7% $12,491,000
Kinsey- $760,000 -41.2% $3,672,000

Big drop for Alexander, but it could have been a lot worse.


Nice drop for TPE. Should hit 100m this week! Yay!


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:10 pm
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You must have big rats
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Libs wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
Wow, just... wow. On the weekend where everything drops incredibly hard, National Treasure dropped about 45% even though it's been pulling over $30 million the past two weekends. Unbelievable.


Yep, it's the very definition of a crowd-pleaser. I know I had fun when I saw it.

Anyway, these drops are surprisingly small for the post-Thanksgiving weekend, especially when you consider the smallest drop in the top 10 last year was something like 59%.


The smallest drop was Bad Santa's, it dropped 42.9%. :wink:

You have to keep in mind that the holdovers had to fight of Honey and The Last Samurai.

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Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:11 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (more soon)
zach wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
zach wrote:
Libs wrote:
NATIONAL TREASURE $17,141,000 -46.7% $110,249,000


It just won't die! :shock: :lol:


I don't remember who said it, but it does look to be the Pirates of the Carribean of 2004, only in a smaller scale.


Disney so needed it. This year was craptacular for them. Not even the Incredibles saved em.


It looks like they're having a good second half of the year. They just need to learn to spend their money wisely, and not on crap like Around the World in 80 Days. If they expected over $100 million for that, they were high on something.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:11 pm
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Hot Fuss

Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (more soon)
Zingaling wrote:
zach wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
zach wrote:
Libs wrote:
NATIONAL TREASURE $17,141,000 -46.7% $110,249,000


It just won't die! :shock: :lol:


I don't remember who said it, but it does look to be the Pirates of the Carribean of 2004, only in a smaller scale.


Disney so needed it. This year was craptacular for them. Not even the Incredibles saved em.


It looks like they're having a good second half of the year. They just need to learn to spend their money wisely, and not on crap like Around the World in 80 Days. If they expected over $100 million for that, they were high on something.


I know! It pissed me off royally. There other films we not such a bad idea. They went a little overboard on Hidalgo, but atleast things like Home on the Range and King Arthur were more serious attempts than a Jackie Chan movie....


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:12 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (more soon)
zach wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
zach wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
zach wrote:
Libs wrote:
NATIONAL TREASURE $17,141,000 -46.7% $110,249,000


It just won't die! :shock: :lol:


I don't remember who said it, but it does look to be the Pirates of the Carribean of 2004, only in a smaller scale.


Disney so needed it. This year was craptacular for them. Not even the Incredibles saved em.


It looks like they're having a good second half of the year. They just need to learn to spend their money wisely, and not on crap like Around the World in 80 Days. If they expected over $100 million for that, they were high on something.


I know! It pissed me off royally. There other films we not such a bad idea. They went a little overboard on Hidalgo, but atleast things like Home on the Range and King Arthur were more serious attempts than a Jackie Chan movie....


King Arthur was a success anyways because of huge international numbers, and Hidalgo didn't "bomb" like everyone said it did because I don't know what people were expecting out of that one anyways.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:14 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Full Numbers.

1. National Treasure- $17,141,000 -46.7% $110,249,000
2. Christmas with the Kranks- $11,700,000 -45.8% $45,463,000
3. The Polar Express- $11,020,000 -43.2% $96,370,000
4. The Incredibles- $9,159,000 -61.2% $226,002,000
5. The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie- $7,800,000 -56.3% $68,353,000
6. Closer- $7,700,000 NEW $7,700,000
7. Alexander - $4,725,000 -65.5% $29,650,000
8. Finding Neverland- $2,851,000 -39% $11,711,000
9. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason- $2,761,000 -55.7% $36,321,000
10. Ray- $1,895,000 -52.3% $67,799,000
11. Sideways- $1,815,000 -37.7% $12,491,000
12. After the Sunset- $1,675,000 -46% $26,744,000


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:30 pm
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Extraordinary
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Ouch. Nice for Closer though.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:37 pm
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Extraordinary

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The Polar Express is a little over-estimated for Sunday. The Sunday drop should be about 30-35%. Anyway, very good numbers overall, as the top 10 hit $80M total without new wide releases.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:44 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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xiayun wrote:
The Polar Express is a little over-estimated for Sunday. The Sunday drop should be about 30-35%. Anyway, very good numbers overall, as the top 10 hit $80M total without new wide releases.


Yeah, the weekend isn't a complete disaster after all. :wink:


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:45 pm
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Teenage Dream
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The drops this year are a hell of a lot better than last years. Spongebob will not make $100m now and The Incredibles will probably fail $300m unless it has some amazing holiday legs. WOW! To National Treasure for having 3 weekends in a row at 1st place and to making it to $100m.


Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:51 pm
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King Albert!
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Looking down on the charts.

HA HA!!! At I Am David. Good Holds for Bad Education and Very Long Engagement. And that is amazing for National Treasure. $150 million, here we come.

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Sun Dec 05, 2004 2:01 pm
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Teh Mexican
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wow, thats great fo National Treasure and Polar!!
Closer did well too!!


Last edited by matatonio on Sun Dec 05, 2004 2:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Dec 05, 2004 2:06 pm
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