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 Scores with Studio Estimates (from page 2) 
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm
Posts: 1777
Location: The Dirty South
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Syriana still hurt me but im glad actuals bumped me up on everything else... good score French

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] King Kong [col] 56.1 [col] 50.1 [col] 88.02% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [col] 34.9 [col] 31.8 [col] 90.25% [row color=#ffCC66] 3 [col] The Family Stone [col] 10.2 [col] 12.5 [col] 81.60% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col] 5.6 [col] 6.0 [col] 93.33% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Syriana [col] 6.8 [col] 5.6 [col] 78.57% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Walk The Line [col] 3.6 [col] 3.7 [col] 97.30% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Yours, Mine and Ours [col] 2.9 [col] 3.5 [col] 82.86% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Just Friends [col] 2.3 [col] 2.1 [col] 90.48% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Aeon Flux [col] 2.0 [col] 1.8 [col] 88.89% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Pride and Prejudice [col] 1.6 [col] 1.6 [col] 100.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]89.13%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 84.81% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 90.21% [/table]


Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:12 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Actual[col]Accuracy[col]% gain/loss[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] King Kong [col] 56 [col] 50.1 [col] 88.22% [col] 0.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [col] 31.2 [col] 31.8 [col] 98.11% [col] -1.89%[row color=#ffCC66] 3 [col] The Family Stone [col] 12 [col] 12.5 [col] 96.00% [col] 1.51%[row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col] 6 [col] 6 [col] 100.00% [col] 1.69%[row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Syriana [col] 6.8 [col] 5.6 [col] 78.57% [col] 2.21%[row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Walk The Line [col] 3.4 [col] 3.7 [col] 91.89% [col] -2.55%[row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Yours, Mine and Ours [col] 2.8 [col] 3.5 [col] 80.00% [col] -2.35%[row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Just Friends [col] 2.3 [col] 2.1 [col] 90.48% [col] 5.48%[row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Aeon Flux [col] 1.9 [col] 1.8 [col] 94.44% [col] 6.21%[row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Pride and Prejudice [col] 1.8 [col] 1.6 [col] 87.50% [col] 7.50%[/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (actual) [col]90.52%[row color=#CCDDFF] Estimated [col] 88.74% [row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 92.11% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 90.12% [/table] Because of the different between the studio estimate and the actual number.
You've gain a 1.78% in your average.

Yeah, great score, french man. :)


Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:15 pm
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Artie the One-Man Party

Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
Posts: 4632
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Thanks! Probably not good enough for first, seeing ahmed and at least one other user have slightly better scores than me. Congrats to them.


Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:17 pm
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Extraordinary
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Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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god, all those scores make mine look paltry :blush: 86.48%

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In order of preference: Christian, Argos

MadGez wrote:
Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation.


My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/


Last edited by Box on Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:17 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Location: San Mateo, CA
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Box, you're losing it. :)


Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:19 pm
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Extraordinary
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Losing what? :unsure: I made these predictions at 2am. I forgot it was on Wed this time.

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In order of preference: Christian, Argos

MadGez wrote:
Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation.


My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/


Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:22 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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90.094% :happy:

OH YEAH! ! ! ! two fuckin wknds over 90% :biggrin:

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Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:23 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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My score would be under 90% with Brokeback and Geisha included, I over predicted them :sad:

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Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:24 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Location: San Mateo, CA
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Box wrote:
Losing what? :unsure: I made these predictions at 2am. I forgot it was on Wed this time.


:happy:

Good to have you back at derby on a consistent basis. In a couple of weeks Lecter will join too, so it should be even more fun.


Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:26 pm
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Extraordinary
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Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
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Next week should be more fun :biggrin: :biggrin: :biggrin: :biggrin: I saw last year's numbers...2 people above 80%...wow :blink:


Btw, even with 86%, I think I'm now up to 84% overall, though only 23 games. However, I don't think it's fair to put up people who played less than 52 games on the same list as people who've played more than 52, simply because there've been fewer chances for those with fewer than 52 games to screw up and thus move down the chart.

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In order of preference: Christian, Argos

MadGez wrote:
Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation.


My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/


Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:29 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Location: San Mateo, CA
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I always give more important to "average ranking" (relative to competition) than "average score" (absolute).


Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:31 pm
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Artie the One-Man Party

Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
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I'm at 30, but I've tried to predict every weekend when I can, and the only ones I havn't are because I'm extremely busy that week and don't have the time to spend the usual 45 minutes I use to make my predictions. I guarentee next weekend it will take a good hour at least.


Mon Dec 19, 2005 5:31 pm
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90.31%


Mon Dec 19, 2005 6:08 pm
Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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http://www.boxofficemojo.com/games/derb ... m?game=199

Congrats Ahmed Salem! Great job.

Congrats to Amos, revolutions, french man, and Jeff as well! Also, laneyboy, Mrs Smoker feat. Jay Z, MG Casey, Vovanik, Zing, Animosity...Wow, that's a good looking leaderboard. :)


Mon Dec 19, 2005 6:29 pm
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You must have big rats
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Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
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Location: Bonn, Germany
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The week after next, I am back in the Derby Game for a year :)

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Mon Dec 19, 2005 6:35 pm
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