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 The Rent Prediction / Tracking Thread 
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You must have big rats
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I pretty much stick with my earlier prediction...

Opening weekend (3-day) - $14.5 million
Opening weekend (5-day) - $22.4 million
Total gross - $55 million

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Thu Nov 24, 2005 2:56 am
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Predictions

3-day - 15.1 million.
5-day - 22.1 million.
final - 46.1 million.

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Thu Nov 24, 2005 4:28 am
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Opening Weekend: $13.4 million / $19.9 million
Total Gross: $48.8 million


Thu Nov 24, 2005 4:49 am
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Killing With Kindness
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Post Re: The Rent Prediction / Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
I didnt notice a prediction thread for this film so I decided to add it to my list of prediction threads this holiday season :smile:

BJs Prediction:

OPening Wknd: 25.64m

5-Day-Opening: 35.76m

Domestic Total: 180m

International Total: 165m

World Wide Total: 345m

Another break out film to add to BJs list of breakout films of the holiday season 2005 :happy:

( post will be updated soon)


Looks like 35m for the 5 day judging by its opening day :smile:

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Thu Nov 24, 2005 4:43 pm
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What did I tell you guys...

WHAT did I tell you.


Thu Nov 24, 2005 5:51 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Dkmuto wrote:
What did I tell you guys...

WHAT did I tell you.


you told the doubters that the film would be big :2thumbsup:

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Thu Nov 24, 2005 5:53 pm
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Current Projections:

Opening day: $5.3 million (using The-Numbers estimate)
Thursday: $6.15 (+16%)
Friday: $8.0 million (+30%)
Saturday: $7.1 million (-12%)
Sunday: $4.22 million (-40%)

3-Day: $19.32 million
5-Day: $30.77 million

Weekend 2: $8.75 million (-55%)

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Thu Nov 24, 2005 6:12 pm
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RogueCommander wrote:
Current Projections:

Opening day: $5.3 million (using The-Numbers estimate)
Thursday: $6.15 (+16%)
Friday: $8.0 million (+30%)
Saturday: $7.1 million (-12%)
Sunday: $4.22 million (-40%)

3-Day: $19.32 million
5-Day: $30.77 million

Weekend 2: $8.75 million (-55%)


meh, somewhat under predicted, i think a 50-60% friday increase is in store :smile:

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Thu Nov 24, 2005 6:15 pm
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My original prediction was 30% Thursday and 65% Friday, but I'm not sure how frontloaded it will be. This has more of a fanbase then any of the Thanksgiving openers from last year so it is hard to figure out exactly how high the weekend multiplier will be.

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Thu Nov 24, 2005 6:25 pm
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Teenage Dream
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I think Rent did great yesterday. 5-5.3m is great for this movie. It has an opening day PTA of $2,178.


Thu Nov 24, 2005 6:31 pm
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I think it should finish off with $65 million.

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Fri Nov 25, 2005 12:36 am
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Teenage Dream
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According to BOM Rent opened to $4.8 millon yesterday.


Fri Nov 25, 2005 3:06 am
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Yesterday I was cursing this movie. It didn't make any sense to me. Now it's looking super-frontloaded, and I'm thinking it can fall shy of 30m. :happy: When has anything ever fallen 50% on thanksgiving? It had 150% more then Just Friends yesterday, and now they are about even.


Sat Nov 26, 2005 12:01 am
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It is pretty much one of the most frontloaded movies ever. If it opened on a normal weekend, I believe it wouldn't have reached a multiplier of 2.


$17.1 milion in 5 days...it didn't even have a Wed-to-5-day multiplier of 4. That is really really really bad. I see it ending up with $30-31 million now, but below $30 million would not surpruse me. Watch out for a 65+% drop next weekend.

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Tue Nov 29, 2005 10:58 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
It is pretty much one of the most frontloaded movies ever. If it opened on a normal weekend, I believe it wouldn't have reached a multiplier of 2.


$17.1 milion in 5 days...it didn't even have a Wed-to-5-day multiplier of 4. That is really really really bad. I see it ending up with $30-31 million now, but below $30 million would not surpruse me. Watch out for a 65+% drop next weekend.


Wouldn't it be hilarious if it had the top 10's lowest drop?

I would find that funny, especially after all these bold declarations.


Tue Nov 29, 2005 11:20 pm
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Libs wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
It is pretty much one of the most frontloaded movies ever. If it opened on a normal weekend, I believe it wouldn't have reached a multiplier of 2.


$17.1 milion in 5 days...it didn't even have a Wed-to-5-day multiplier of 4. That is really really really bad. I see it ending up with $30-31 million now, but below $30 million would not surpruse me. Watch out for a 65+% drop next weekend.


Wouldn't it be hilarious if it had the top 10's lowest drop?

I would find that funny, especially after all these bold declarations.


So...what are the odds for this to happen?

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Tue Nov 29, 2005 11:22 pm
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Sbil

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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Libs wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
It is pretty much one of the most frontloaded movies ever. If it opened on a normal weekend, I believe it wouldn't have reached a multiplier of 2.


$17.1 milion in 5 days...it didn't even have a Wed-to-5-day multiplier of 4. That is really really really bad. I see it ending up with $30-31 million now, but below $30 million would not surpruse me. Watch out for a 65+% drop next weekend.


Wouldn't it be hilarious if it had the top 10's lowest drop?

I would find that funny, especially after all these bold declarations.


So...what are the odds for this to happen?


I didn't say I thought it would happen, I just think it would be funny if it did.


Tue Nov 29, 2005 11:32 pm
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