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 Weekend Estimates 
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Post Weekend Estimates
1 CHICKEN LITTLE $40,086,000 NEW $40,086,000
2 JARHEAD $28,751,000 NEW $28,751,000
3 SAW II $17,200,000 -45.8% $60,468,000
4 THE LEGEND OF ZORRO $10,000,000 -38.8% $30,288,000
5 PRIME $5,263,000 -15.4% $13,456,000
6 DREAMER: INSPIRED BY A TRUE STORY $4,800,000 -21.7% $23,827,000
7 GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK $3,100,000 +54.7% $11,007,000
8 THE WEATHER MAN $2,935,000 -30.9% $8,704,000
9 SHOPGIRL $2,524,000 +444.5% $3,486,000
10 FLIGHTPLAN $2,330,000 -14.6% $84,452,000

11 NORTH COUNTRY $2,105,000 -40.9% $15,599,000
12 THE FOG $2,000,000 -35.7% $28,031,000
13 WALLACE & GROMIT: CURSE OF THE WERE-RABBIT $2,000,000 -53.5% $52,725,000
14 DOOM $1,837,000 -56.6% $26,272,000
15 ELIZABETHTOWN $1,665,000 -30.1% $25,197,000

16 CAPOTE $1,113,000 +1.5% $5,046,000 (PTA: $6,081)
N/A THE SQUID AND THE WHALE $423,000 +48.3% $1,850,000 (PTA: $5,222)
N/A KISS KISS, BANG BANG $386,000 +14.2% $1,133,000 (PTA: $4,825)

http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =44&p=.htm


Last edited by Libs on Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:04 pm
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wow for Chicken Little and Zorro.

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Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:05 pm
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- 16 Capote SPC $1,113,000 +1.5% 183 +18 $6,081 $5,046,000 $7 6

Yah!!!

FLIGHTPLAN :blink:

Very impressive weekend, nevertheless. THE FOG hold is scary. -35.7%


Last edited by getluv on Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:15 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:07 pm
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wow for Flightplan


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:08 pm
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I guess it's good for the box office, but I wish something other than Chicken Little had been the film to break out to that kind of opening. The Longest Yard and Mr. and Mrs. Smith seem to be the only films to open to over 40 million this year that didn't need really have kid appeal.


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:09 pm
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Yesssssssssssssss for Flightplan!


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:10 pm
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Weird weekend.

Flightplan's hold reminds me of Ladder 49's hold on exactly the same weekend last year. It also fell only 18%.

Chicken Little should end up under $40 million for the weekend, I suppose.

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Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:10 pm
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Maverikk wrote:
I guess it's good for the box office, but I wish something other than Chicken Little had been the film to break out to that kind of opening. The Longest Yard and Mr. and Mrs. Smith seem to be the only films to open to over 40 million this year that didn't need really have kid appeal.


I could of sworn that when I saw the Longest Yard, I barely remember that many people above the age of 30 seeing it and even its 20-something bracket there was too small :-k . There were quite alot of teens there since Sandler's who schtick is acting retarded :nutso:


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:14 pm
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zorro will definitley be under 10 mil. after the weekend is over.
double digits looks too nice.

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Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:14 pm
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And now waiting for the customary "Chicken Little is crap and will fall hard next week" comments.......

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Last edited by jb007 on Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:15 pm
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
I could of sworn that when I saw the Longest Yard, I barely remember that many people above the age of 30 seeing it and even its 20-something bracket there was too small :-k . There were quite alot of teens there since Sandler's who schtick is acting retarded :nutso:


"Kid appeal" meaning small children, not teens.


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:15 pm
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Sbil

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Very, very good holds.

Superb for Chicken. If it doesn't get totally slaughtered by both Zathura and Harry Potter, it could make $140-150M.

Saw II has a shot at $100M now. Also strong holds for Zorro and Weather Man. Dreamer too! Ah.

Impressive expansions for Good Night and Good Luck and Shopgirl.

Flightplan is crazy. It needs to, like, go away.


Last edited by Libs on Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:16 pm
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Maverikk wrote:
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
I could of sworn that when I saw the Longest Yard, I barely remember that many people above the age of 30 seeing it and even its 20-something bracket there was too small :-k . There were quite alot of teens there since Sandler's who schtick is acting retarded :nutso:


"Kid appeal" meaning small children, not teens.


Hitch?

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Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:16 pm
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I'm thoroughly impressed with SHOPGIRL, somewhat. It's got a decent PTA as well.


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:17 pm
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getluv wrote:
I'm thoroughly impressed with SHOPGIRL, somewhat. It's got a decent PTA as well.


I take it you are also impressed by Saw II's weekend multiplier?

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Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:18 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Hitch?


You think Hitch, the romantic comedy, had appeal to small children, especially with it's Valentine's Day release strategy?


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:19 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
getluv wrote:
I'm thoroughly impressed with SHOPGIRL, somewhat. It's got a decent PTA as well.


I take it you are also impressed by Saw II's weekend multiplier?


Based on esitmates, I'm also very impressed. I like horror films being successful at the box office, quality put aside of course.


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:20 pm
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Maverikk wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Hitch?


You think Hitch, the romantic comedy, had appeal to small children, especially with it's Valentine's Day release strategy?


No, I don't, but you said that the only ones to make it big without children appeal were The Longest Yard and Mr. and Mrs. Smith and I added Hitch. :biggrin:

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Great weekend.

Chicken Little did great. It should be able to end with around $140 million, even with all the competition.

And, yeah, Saw II definitely has a shot at $100 million now.


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:21 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (more soon)
Libs wrote:
THE WEATHER MAN $2,935,000 -30.9% $8,704,000


:happy:

Looks like Saw II might pass 100 million...


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:23 pm
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Libs wrote:
Flightplan is crazy. It needs to, like, go away.


It needed to never be made. Ughhh....it was awful, and it's legs are just unexplainable. Kiss Kiss, Bang Bang won't make 10 million, and Flightplan will make around 90 million, and people wonder why studios don't care if they churn out the shit movies.


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:24 pm
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Like everyone else, I get all giddy when people toss around the 100m number for movies, but let's be honest - is Saw II really going to hold on that well through the rest of crowded *November*? No.


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:25 pm
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....I'll be taking back that Saw II comment. I thought the numbers said 50m, not 60m.... I'd like to be put in the *cautiously optimistic* boat now. :happy:


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:26 pm
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THe first time in a while I nail the new openers, sadly I did terrible on holdovers.


Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:26 pm
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Actually looking at the numbers in more detail, because W&G will finish outside the Top 10, SAW 2 will have the worst drop. That's bad.



















[edit]















Only j/k of course! Imagine how many jaws just dropped.


Last edited by getluv on Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Nov 06, 2005 1:26 pm
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