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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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 Derby Scores How'd you do? I can't post mine yet... BOM is down at the momment...
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 12:36 pm |
  
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Anonymous
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2 movies are missing friday numbers. And they will mostly determine how we did...so it's a bit pointless to do scores now.
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 12:50 pm |
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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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Nebs wrote: 2 movies are missing friday numbers. And they will mostly determine how we did...so it's a bit pointless to do scores now. Sorry, didn't realize that.
Don't abuse me, nebs 
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 12:55 pm |
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Anonymous
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Forgive me, I wont do it again.
But let us rejoice, as we can do scores with forecast of these two movies!
[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Transporter 2 [col] 17.3 [col] 20.5 [col] 84.39% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 14.4 [col] 14.4 [col] 100.00% [row color=#ffCC66] 3 [col] The Constant Gardener [col] 8.6 [col] 9.3 [col] 92.47% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Red Eye [col] 9.5 [col] 8 [col] 81.25% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 9.8 [col] 6.4 [col] 46.88% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 6 [col] 6.4 [col] 93.75% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Four Brothers [col] 6.7 [col] 5.5 [col] 78.18% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 5.2 [col] 4.7 [col] 89.36% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Underclassman [col] 2.7 [col] 2.2 [col] 77.27% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] A Sound of Thunder [col] 1.2 [col] 1.1 [col] 90.91% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 83.45%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 88.43% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 82.20% [/table]
Btw, MG's projections.
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 12:59 pm |
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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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With xia's I have about an 80.
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 2:36 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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87.69% with xiayun's predictions.
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 2:39 pm |
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Anonymous
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With xiayun's I have 89.49% and winning the UC7.
Therefore, dead wrong projections. 
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 2:40 pm |
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misutaa
je vois l'avenir
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm
Posts: 3841
Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Transporter 2 [col] 17.6 [col] 20 [col] 88.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 16.1 [col] 17.5 [col] 92.00% [row color=#ffCC66] 3 [col] The Constant Gardener [col] 8 [col] 9.8 [col] 81.63% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Red Eye [col] 9.7 [col] 9.6 [col] 98.96% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 9 [col] 7.7 [col] 83.12% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Four Brothers [col] 6.4 [col] 6.6 [col] 96.97% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 5.9 [col] 6 [col] 98.33% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 5.6 [col] 5.2 [col] 92.31% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Skeleton Key [col] 1.6 [col] 2.2 [col] 72.73% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] The Cave [col] .9 [col] 1.1 [col] 81.82% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL 88.59(estimate) [col] 88.59%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 84.82% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 89.53% [/table]
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 2:49 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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With Nebs' predictions- 84.99%
and with Xiayun's- 83.03%
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 4:33 pm |
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Anonymous
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matatonio wrote: With Nebs' predictions- 84.99% and with Xiayun's- 83.03% They are basically the same, used xia's multipliers with Mojo numbers.
Not sure if Underclassman and A Sound of Thunder are any good though.
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 5:14 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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With xiayuns projections, I would get an 87.47%. Not bad at all.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 6:07 pm |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
Posts: 1335
Location: Austin, TX
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e] Rank[col] Film[col] Predicted[col] Estimate[col] Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Transporter 2 [col] 17.5 [col] 19.8 [col] 88.38% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 15.1 [col] 17.2 [col] 87.79% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 9.7 [col] 10.1 [col] 96.04% [row color=#ffCC66] 4 [col] The Constant Gardener [col] 9.7 [col] 9.8 [col] 98.98% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 9.7 [col] 8.3 [col] 83.13% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.2 [col] 6.3 [col] 85.71% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 6.4 [col] 6.1 [col] 95.08% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 5.3 [col] 5.1 [col] 96.08% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Underclassman [col] 1.9 [col] 3.1 [col] 61.29% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] A Sound of Thunder [col] 0.9 [col] 1.1 [col] 81.82% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col] Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 87.43%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 93.68% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 85.87% [/table]
so-so, too low on the bottom 2, oh well 
_________________
"Do or do not, there is no try."
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 6:18 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Transporter 2 [col] 17.8 [col] 19.8 [col] 89.90% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 18.6 [col] 17.2 [col] 91.86% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 10 [col] 10.1 [col] 99.01% [row color=#ffCC66] 4 [col] The Constant Gardener [col] 8.7 [col] 9.8 [col] 88.78% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 9.8 [col] 8.3 [col] 81.93% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.6 [col] 6.3 [col] 79.37% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 6.9 [col] 6.1 [col] 86.89% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 6 [col] 5.1 [col] 82.35% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Underclassman [col] 3.5 [col] 3.1 [col] 87.10% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] A Sound of Thunder [col] 1 [col] 1.1 [col] 90.91% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 87.81%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 89.34% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 87.43% [/table]
Pretty good...
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict.
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 6:22 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 10909
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e] Rank[col] Film[col] Predicted[col] Estimate[col] Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Transporter 2 [col] 19.4 [col] 19.8 [col] 97.98% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 17.0 [col] 17.2 [col] 98.84% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 9.3 [col] 10.1 [col] 92.08% [row color=#ffCC66] 4 [col] The Constant Gardener [col] 9.6 [col] 9.8 [col] 97.96% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 8.5 [col] 8.3 [col] 97.59% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Four Brothers [col] 6.3 [col] 6.3 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 5.9 [col] 6.1 [col] 96.72% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 5.1 [col] 5.1 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Skeleton Key [col] 3.8 [col] 3.9 [col] 97.44% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] The Cave [col] 3.5 [col] 3.6 [col] 97.22% [row color=#ffCC66] 11 [col] Underclassman [col] 3.6 [col] 3.1 [col] 83.87% [row color=#ffCC66] 12 [col] A Sound of Thunder [col] 1.5 [col] 1.1 [col] 63.64% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col] Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 93.61%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 85.86% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 97.49% [/table]
Decent Weekend for me.
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 6:22 pm |
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newfoundglorysp
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 8:10 pm
Posts: 1093
Location: Montreal, Canada
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neo_wolf wrote: [table][row color=#0f7a9e] Rank[col] Film[col] Predicted[col] Estimate[col] Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Transporter 2 [col] 19.4 [col] 19.8 [col] 97.98% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 17.0 [col] 17.2 [col] 98.84% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 9.3 [col] 10.1 [col] 92.08% [row color=#ffCC66] 4 [col] The Constant Gardener [col] 9.6 [col] 9.8 [col] 97.96% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 8.5 [col] 8.3 [col] 97.59% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Four Brothers [col] 6.3 [col] 6.3 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 5.9 [col] 6.1 [col] 96.72% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 5.1 [col] 5.1 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Skeleton Key [col] 3.8 [col] 3.9 [col] 97.44% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] The Cave [col] 3.5 [col] 3.6 [col] 97.22% [row color=#ffCC66] 11 [col] Underclassman [col] 3.6 [col] 3.1 [col] 83.87% [row color=#ffCC66] 12 [col] A Sound of Thunder [col] 1.5 [col] 1.1 [col] 63.64% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col] Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 93.61%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 85.86% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 97.49% [/table] awesome score! Decent Weekend for me.
_________________
TOP 5 MOVIES
1. The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou
2. The Royal Tenenbaums
3. No Country for Old Men
4. Rushmore
5. Being John Malkovich
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 6:39 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32104
Location: the last free city
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Transporter 2 [col] 18.5 [col] 19.8 [col] 93.43% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 17.0 [col] 17.2 [col] 98.84% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 10.0 [col] 10.1 [col] 99.01% [row color=#ffCC66] 4 [col] The Constant Gardener [col] 5.0 [col] 9.8 [col] 51.02% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 10.5 [col] 8.3 [col] 73.49% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.0 [col] 6.3 [col] 88.89% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 6.2 [col] 6.1 [col] 98.36% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 6.0 [col] 5.1 [col] 82.35% [row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Underclassman [col] 6.0 [col] 3.1 [col] 6.45% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] A Sound of Thunder [col] 2.0 [col] 1.1 [col] 18.18% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 71.02%[/table]
_________________
Is it 2024 yet?
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 7:02 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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neo_wolf, tell me you forgot to entry the derby this weekend...
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 7:11 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 10909
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Zingaling wrote: neo_wolf, tell me you forgot to entry the derby this weekend... I almost forgot,i made the deadline with 30minutes left.
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 7:55 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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neo_wolf actually used 12 movies, where derby has only 10, so his score will be a little lower than 93%. Still, awesome score.
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| Sat Sep 03, 2005 8:09 pm |
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Vovanik
Star Trek XI
Joined: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:44 am
Posts: 337
Location: Ukraine,Kyiv
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Transporter 2 [col] 15 [col] 19.8 [col] 75.76% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 16.7 [col] 17.2 [col] 97.09% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 9.7 [col] 10.1 [col] 96.04% [row color=#ffCC66] 4 [col] The Constant Gardener [col] 8.3 [col] 9.8 [col] 84.69% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 9.2 [col] 8.3 [col] 89.16% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Four Brothers [col] 6.9 [col] 6.3 [col] 90.48% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 6.8 [col] 6.1 [col] 88.52% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 5.8 [col] 5.1 [col] 86.27% [row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Underclassman [col] 2.8 [col] 3.1 [col] 90.32% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] A Sound of Thunder [col] 1.2 [col] 1.1 [col] 90.91% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 88.92%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 85.42% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 91.26% [/table]
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| Sun Sep 04, 2005 3:22 am |
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moonreflection
Speed Racer
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2005 11:57 am
Posts: 193
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Hey guys, you now can click the Derby check mark to calculate the movies that are the same as 'ultimate'. Most of the time is the same as the Derby.
I just checked again and what I did didn't work well. So, I made a different page instead.
http://www.boxofficefactor.com/calculat ... ederby.htm_________________http://www.walasoft.comLike karaoke? Please try out my first software. WalaOke. A software based karaoke with video background.
Last edited by moonreflection on Mon Sep 05, 2005 3:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sun Sep 04, 2005 3:05 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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moonreflection wrote: Hey guys, you now can click the Derby check mark to calculate the movies that are the same as 'ultimate'. Most of the time is the same as the Derby. You rock. 
EDIT: I have 92.83% with the new numbers on the Calculate page.
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| Sun Sep 04, 2005 3:07 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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82'ish. I'm reverting back to my bad habit of stringing a few bad weeks in a row after a good stretch, and the yearly race is getting tighter again.
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| Mon Sep 05, 2005 3:49 am |
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asalem182
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:44 am
Posts: 2375
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Transporter 2 [col] 15 [col] 19.7 [col] 76.14% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 15.9 [col] 16.5 [col] 96.36% [row color=#ffCC66] 3 [col] The Constant Gardener [col] 8.9 [col] 10.2 [col] 87.25% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Red Eye [col] 9.6 [col] 10.1 [col] 95.05% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 9.4 [col] 8.5 [col] 89.41% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.3 [col] 6.4 [col] 85.94% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 5.9 [col] 6.1 [col] 96.72% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 5.4 [col] 5.3 [col] 98.11% [row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Underclassman [col] 2.6 [col] 3.1 [col] 83.87% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] A Sound of Thunder [col] 1.8 [col] 1.1 [col] 36.36% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 84.52%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 70.91% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 93.60% [/table]
Needless to say, ASoT killed me, but I just couldn't imagine it having a lower PTA than Mindhunters & Alone in the Dark. It seems the marketing has been really bad.
Last edited by asalem182 on Mon Sep 05, 2005 4:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Mon Sep 05, 2005 3:56 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Oh forgot, great score, Zing! I don't see the actuals change much from the projections.
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| Mon Sep 05, 2005 3:57 am |
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