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 scores w/ actuals 
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm
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Post scores w/ actuals
:biggrin:

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Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:32 pm
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#CCDDFF] 1 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 13.6 [col] 16.4 [col] 82.93% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 15.4 [col] 15.1 [col] 98.01% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 8.4 [col] 10.4 [col] 80.77% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.6 [col] 7.8 [col] 97.44% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 5.7 [col] 6.3 [col] 90.48% [row color=#ffCC66] 6 [col] The Cave [col] 4 [col] 6.2 [col] 64.52% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 5.5 [col] 4.6 [col] 80.43% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Skeleton Key [col] 4 [col] 4.4 [col] 90.91% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Valiant [col] 3.6 [col] 3.4 [col] 94.12% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Undiscovered [col] 1.7 [col] 0.7 [col] 0.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 77.96%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 54.18% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 88.15% [/table]


Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:35 pm
Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Spending 10 minutes online Thursday night really hurt me, as I'd have scored much higher if I hadn't modify what Lecter inputed for me with my original instruction.


Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:43 pm
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Speed Racer

Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2005 11:57 am
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Dang, I chose one of the worst weekend to start playing the Derby again. No wonder I have a time getting high score. :(

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Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:45 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 8:10 pm
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Location: Montreal, Canada
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86.46%

i hate that i got a 0 on undiscovered.
i didn't think it would be THAT low.

err i posted my table lower. so ignore this.

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TOP 5 MOVIES

1. The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou
2. The Royal Tenenbaums
3. No Country for Old Men
4. Rushmore
5. Being John Malkovich


Last edited by newfoundglorysp on Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:47 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm
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newfoundglorysp wrote:
86.46%

i hate that i got a 0 on undiscovered.
i didn't think it would be THAT low.



NICE score!

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Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:48 pm
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Romosexual!
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Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32104
Location: the last free city
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#CCDDFF] 1 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 15.7 [col] 16.4 [col] 95.73% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 14.5 [col] 15.1 [col] 96.03% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 9.2 [col] 10.4 [col] 88.46% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.5 [col] 7.8 [col] 96.15% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 6.0 [col] 6.3 [col] 95.24% [row color=#ffCC66] 6 [col] The Cave [col] 8.5 [col] 6.2 [col] 62.90% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 6.0 [col] 4.6 [col] 69.57% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Skeleton Key [col] 4.4 [col] 4.4 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Valiant [col] 4.1 [col] 3.4 [col] 79.41% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Undiscovered [col] 4.0 [col] 0.7 [col] 0.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 78.35%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 52.98% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 89.22% [/table]

DAMN! the cave and undiscovered :rant:

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Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:49 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 8:10 pm
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Location: Montreal, Canada
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#CCDDFF] 1 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 16.2 [col] 16.4 [col] 98.78% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 14.5 [col] 15.1 [col] 96.03% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 9.2 [col] 10.4 [col] 88.46% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.7 [col] 7.8 [col] 98.72% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 6 [col] 6.3 [col] 95.24% [row color=#ffCC66] 6 [col] The Cave [col] 6.5 [col] 6.2 [col] 95.16% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 6.1 [col] 4.6 [col] 67.39% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Skeleton Key [col] 4.3 [col] 4.4 [col] 97.73% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Valiant [col] 3.4 [col] 3.4 [col] 100.00% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Undiscovered [col] 1.8 [col] 0.7 [col] 0.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 86.46%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 63.73% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 94.04% [/table]

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TOP 5 MOVIES

1. The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou
2. The Royal Tenenbaums
3. No Country for Old Men
4. Rushmore
5. Being John Malkovich


Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:51 pm
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Heh.

Top 10 only. This way I have 98%. ;)


Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:53 pm
Hot Fuss

Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
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Location: floridaaa
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#CCDDFF] 1 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 14.9 [col] 16.4 [col] 90.85% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 13.8 [col] 15.1 [col] 91.39% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 8.7 [col] 10.4 [col] 83.65% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.5 [col] 7.8 [col] 96.15% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 6.4 [col] 6.3 [col] 98.41% [row color=#ffCC66] 6 [col] The Cave [col] 5.2 [col] 6.2 [col] 83.87% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 6.3 [col] 4.6 [col] 63.04% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Skeleton Key [col] 4.1 [col] 4.4 [col] 93.18% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Valiant [col] 3.5 [col] 3.4 [col] 97.06% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Undiscovered [col] 2.1 [col] 0.7 [col] 0.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 79.76%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 58.42% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 88.91% [/table]


Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:55 pm
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Star Trek XI
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Joined: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:44 am
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77.92%


Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:55 pm
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The Dark Knight
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Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2005 2:44 pm
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Newfoundglorysp, you forgot to check Top 10 Only.

Here's mine:

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#CCDDFF] 1 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 14.8 [col] 16.4 [col] 90.24% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 17 [col] 15.1 [col] 87.42% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 8.7 [col] 10.4 [col] 83.65% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.6 [col] 7.8 [col] 97.44% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 5.9 [col] 6.3 [col] 93.65% [row color=#ffCC66] 6 [col] The Cave [col] 5.5 [col] 6.2 [col] 88.71% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 6.2 [col] 4.6 [col] 65.22% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Skeleton Key [col] 4.3 [col] 4.4 [col] 97.73% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Valiant [col] 4.1 [col] 3.4 [col] 79.41% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Undiscovered [col] 2.6 [col] 0.7 [col] 0.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 78.35%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 58.71% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 86.76% [/table]

My worst score in four months, but it looks like bad scores all around this week. At least it will bring some of those inflated scores on the all-time accuracy chart down.

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Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:56 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 8:10 pm
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Location: Montreal, Canada
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ahh my bad.
then im at 83.75 i think if i did that right.

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TOP 5 MOVIES

1. The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou
2. The Royal Tenenbaums
3. No Country for Old Men
4. Rushmore
5. Being John Malkovich


Sun Aug 28, 2005 1:05 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Derby: 78.74%
Ulitimate Champion 7: 80.10%

Damn.


Sun Aug 28, 2005 1:14 pm
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King Albert!
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Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
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80.97%

Considering that everyone got killed by Undiscovered, I can't complain about this score.

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Sun Aug 28, 2005 2:06 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
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Location: In good ol' Mexico
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The 40 Year-Old Virgin - (15.0 / 16.4) -- Accuracy: 91.46%
The Brothers Grimm - (14.0 / 15.1) -- Accuracy: 92.72%
Red Eye - (8.8 / 10.4) -- Accuracy: 84.62%
Four Brothers - (7.0 / 7.8) -- Accuracy: 89.74%
Wedding Crashers - (5.4 / 6.3) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
The Cave - (6.4 / 6.2) -- Accuracy: 96.77%
March of the Penguins - (6.1 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 67.39%
Skeleton Key - (4.1 / 4.4) -- Accuracy: 93.18%
Valiant - (3.8 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 88.24%
Undiscovered - (2.8 / 0.7) -- Accuracy: 0.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 78.98%

New Release: 63.16%
Still in Theater: 85.76%


Sun Aug 28, 2005 2:18 pm
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King Albert!
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xiayun wrote:
Spending 10 minutes online Thursday night really hurt me, as I'd have scored much higher if I hadn't modify what Lecter inputed for me with my original instruction.


Where are your estimates?

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Sun Aug 28, 2005 2:18 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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SBD's mistake estimate of $5.8 million for Brothers Grimm would have been much cooler. lol. And I'm glad Undiscovered did so poorly that everyone got 0%. And I can't believe that The Cave held such a strong multiplier for the weekend. I hope it falls down with actuals. That would push me above 80%.

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#CCDDFF] 1 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 15.0 [col] 16.4 [col] 91.46% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 17.1 [col] 15.1 [col] 86.75% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 8.9 [col] 10.4 [col] 85.58% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.6 [col] 7.8 [col] 97.44% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 5.6 [col] 6.3 [col] 88.89% [row color=#ffCC66] 6 [col] The Cave [col] 5.2 [col] 6.2 [col] 83.87% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 5.8 [col] 4.6 [col] 73.91% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Skeleton Key [col] 4.0 [col] 4.4 [col] 90.91% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Valiant [col] 3.5 [col] 3.4 [col] 97.06% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Undiscovered [col] 2.2 [col] 0.7 [col] 0.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 79.59%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 56.88% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 89.32% [/table]

PEACE, Mike.


Sun Aug 28, 2005 2:31 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Scott V. wrote:
xiayun wrote:
Spending 10 minutes online Thursday night really hurt me, as I'd have scored much higher if I hadn't modify what Lecter inputed for me with my original instruction.


Where are your estimates?


I have 77.23%. Should be one of my worst rankings in some time.


Sun Aug 28, 2005 2:32 pm
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Devil's Advocate
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Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#CCDDFF] 1 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 15.9 [col] 16.4 [col] 96.95% [row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 15.1 [col] 15.1 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 9.4 [col] 10.4 [col] 90.38% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.3 [col] 7.8 [col] 93.59% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 6.0 [col] 6.3 [col] 95.24% [row color=#ffCC66] 6 [col] The Cave [col] 5.9 [col] 6.2 [col] 95.16% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 5.7 [col] 4.6 [col] 76.09% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Skeleton Key [col] 4.0 [col] 4.4 [col] 90.91% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Valiant [col] 4.1 [col] 3.4 [col] 79.41% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Undiscovered [col] 1.8 [col] 0.7 [col] 0.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 81.77%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 65.05% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 88.94% [/table]

Actually pretty good for me considering everyone elses. I HAD Red Eye at 10.4 but everyone else was guessing it lower in the 8s range so I put it down to 9.4. :disgust: Still I might get a pretty good ranking.

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Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:21 pm
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Hot Fuss

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79.89% with these. Boo.


Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:28 pm
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With actuals:

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Actual[col]Accuracy[col]% gain/loss[row color=#CCDDFF] 1 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 13.6 [col] 16.3 [col] 83.44% [col] 0.51%[row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 15.4 [col] 15.1 [col] 98.01% [col] 0.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 8.4 [col] 10.3 [col] 81.55% [col] 0.78%[row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.6 [col] 7.9 [col] 96.20% [col] -1.23%[row color=#ffCC66] 5 [col] The Cave [col] 4 [col] 6.1 [col] 65.57% [col] 1.06%[row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 5.7 [col] 6 [col] 95.00% [col] 4.52%[row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 5.5 [col] 4.7 [col] 82.98% [col] 2.54%[row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Skeleton Key [col] 4 [col] 4.5 [col] 88.89% [col] -2.02%[row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Valiant [col] 3.6 [col] 3.5 [col] 97.14% [col] 3.03%[row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Undiscovered [col] 1.7 [col] 0.7 [col] 0.00% [col] -100.00%[/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (actual) [col] 78.88%[row color=#CCDDFF] Estimated [col] 87.96% [row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 81.79% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 78.15% [/table]


Mon Aug 29, 2005 4:28 pm
King Albert!
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78.78%. Putting slightly ahead of xiayun this week.

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Mon Aug 29, 2005 4:34 pm
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Romosexual!
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Actual[col]Accuracy[col]% gain/loss[row color=#CCDDFF] 1 [col] The 40 Year-Old Virgin [col] 15.7 [col] 16.3 [col] 96.32% [col] 0.59%[row color=#ffCC66] 2 [col] The Brothers Grimm [col] 14.5 [col] 15.1 [col] 96.03% [col] 0.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Red Eye [col] 9.2 [col] 10.3 [col] 89.32% [col] 0.86%[row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Four Brothers [col] 7.5 [col] 7.9 [col] 94.94% [col] -1.22%[row color=#ffCC66] 5 [col] The Cave [col] 8.5 [col] 6.1 [col] 60.66% [col] -2.25%[row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 6.0 [col] 6 [col] 100.00% [col] 4.76%[row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 6.0 [col] 4.7 [col] 72.34% [col] 2.78%[row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Skeleton Key [col] 4.4 [col] 4.5 [col] 97.78% [col] -2.22%[row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Valiant [col] 4.1 [col] 3.5 [col] 82.86% [col] 3.45%[row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Undiscovered [col] 4.0 [col] 0.7 [col] 0.00% [col] 0.00% [/table]

Overall Score 79.025%

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Mon Aug 29, 2005 4:54 pm
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http://www.boxofficemojo.com/games/derb ... m?game=183


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