The Weekend Warrior

Most of it looks good. They're predicting less than a million for the 4-day weekend of A Sound of Thunder.

1,300 estimate for Gardener. I'll guess it'll pull in 8,000 pta for the weekend, since the wednesday opening will take the edge off of it. So about 10.6 million for the weekend right?

It won't get close to 8000 PTA for the 4-day weekend, not with only 1 screen and 4 showings per theater. $6000 should be the upper limit, and $5000 is more likely.

derby predicts:
1. Transporter 2: 19.0
2. 40 Year Old Virgin: 15.2
3. Brothers Grimm: 13.8
4. Constant Gardner: 9.0
5. Red Eye: 8.8
6. Four Brothers: 6.4
7. Wedding Crashers: 5.2
8. March of the Penguins: 5.0
9. Underclassmen: 4.9
-Sound of Thunder: 1.1

Transporter 2 is back on Moviefone.

With the theater count and all, I think a $20 million 4-day weekend is possible.

Box Office Guru: Four Day Predictions
Transporter 2: 14 million
The Constant Gardener: 6 million (7 million six day)
Underclassmen: 4 million
A Sound of Thunder: 2 million

They're predicting The 40-Year Old Virgin to be on top once more with 15 million over the four day. They have The Brothers Grimm at 10.5 million for the four day and Red Eye at 9 million. I think it all looks pretty good to me, only I'd guess The Brothers Grimm would fall way more then 30%, and Transporter 2 would make closer to 20 million then 14.

4-Day:

1. The 40-Year-Old Virgin - 17.5
2. The Transporter 2 - 16.8
3. Red Eye - 10.7
4. Brothers Grimm - 9.8
5. The Constant Gardner - 8.6 (10.3 6-day)
6. Wedding Crashers - 7.8
7. Four Brothers - 7.5
8. March of the Penguins - 6.4
9. The Cave - 3.9
10. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - 3.4
-. Underclassman - 2.5
-. A Sound of Thunder - 2.2

Does anyone here have access to the full Hollywood Reporter article to post?

4-Day
1. The Transporter 2 - $17.0 million
2. The 40-Year-Old Virgin - $16.3 million
3. Red Eye - $10.2 million
4. The Brothers Grimm - $9.9 million
5. The Constant Gardener - $8.7 million
6. Four Brothers - $7.4 million
7. Wedding Crashers - $7.3 million
8. March of the Penguins - $6.1 million
9. The Cave - $4.0 million
10. Valiant - $3.6 million

Underclassman - $2.2 million
A Sound of Thunder - $1.8 million

I'm waiting for someone to post it at HSX. Normally they will post THR and Variety one after another, but not this time. I didn't have subscription to either.

WSEX line is $14.0 million 3-day for Transporter 2.

My Final Predictions!

1. The 40-Year Old Virgin- $16M
2. Transporter 2- $15.8M
3. Red Eye - $10.4M
4. The Brothers Grimm- $9M
5. The Constant Gardener- $8.5M
6. Wedding Crashers- $7M
7. March of the Penguins- $6.6M
8. Four Brothers- $6.1M
9. Underclassman- $2.5M
10. A Sound of Thunder- $1.5M

People are underestimating some of the holdovers. I could see Red Eye performing like Without a Paddle, increasing over 180% on Friday and have an increase for the 4-day comparing to the last 3-day weekend.

4 days

1. Transporter 2 $18.5
2. The 40-Year-Old Virgin $17.0
3. The Brothers Grimm $10.5
4. Red Eye $10.0
5. Four Brothers $7.0
6. Wedding Crashers $6.2
7. Underclassman $6.0
8. March of the Penguins $6.0
9. The Constant Gardener $5.0
10. A Sound of Thunder $2.0

Shhhhhhh!! Don't tell them that. Leaves more room for us to do the best.

PEACE, Mike.

Oops, sorry. And Mark already took advantage!

We have different degrees of derby killers this weekend. Fun.

The only movie I'm worried about is Underclassman and A Sound of Thunder.

I mean, they'll both do horrible, but how horrible is the question...

I was just wondering do u really think grim could drop more then the cave?
(i may have got the drops wrong that u have)

Transporter still not #1 on moviefone, Gardener still has it. Other two are nowhere to be found.

1 The 40-Year-Old Virgin....$16.7
2 Transporter 2.................$15
3 Red Eye........................$9.7
4 The Brothers Grimm.......$9.2
5 The Constant Gardener...$8.3
6 Four Brother..................$6.9
7.Wedding Crashers..........$6.8
8 March of the Penguins.....$5.8
9 Underclassman...............$2.8
10 A Sound of Thunder.......$1.2

Final predictions:

1. The 40-Year-Old Virgin - $18.2 million
2. The Transporter 2 - $17.0 million
3. Red Eye - $10.3 million
4. The Brothers Grimm - $10.0 million
5. The Constant Gardener - $8.0 million
6. Four Brothers - $7.0 million
7. Wedding Crashers - $7.0 million
8. March of the Penguins - $6.3 million
9. The Cave - $4.2 million
- Underclassman - $1.3 million
- A Sound of Thunder - $1.2 million

I'm going extremely low on Underclassman because I couldn't find it anywhere on the net.

thank god, someone else did too. I went 1.6 for Underclassmen and .9 for A sound of thunder. I really think they will bomb.

my derby predictions
1. Transporter 2 17.6
 2. The 40-Year-Old Virgin 16.1
 3. Red Eye 9.7
 4. The Brothers Grimm 9
 5. The Constant Gardener 8
 6. Four Brothers 6.4
 7. Wedding Crashers 5.9
 8. March of the Penguins 5.6
 9. Underclassman 1.6
10. A Sound of Thunder 0.9

1. 40-Year Old Virgin - $18.2 million
2. The Transporter 2 - $17.6 million
3. The Brothers Grimm - $11.4 million
4. Red Eye - $10.3 million
5. The Constant Gardener - $9.6 million
6. Four Brothers - $7.6 million
7. The Wedding Crashers - $7.5 million
8. March of the Penguins - $6.8 million
9. The Cave - $4.3 million
10. The Skeleton Key - $4.2 million
12. Underclassman - $2.8 million
- Sound of Thunder - $1.4 million

The 40-Year-Old Virgin - $16.8 million
The Transporter - $13.5 million
The Brothers Grimm - $10.9 million
Red Eye - $10.2 million
The Constant Gardener - $8.5 million
Four Brothers - $7.6 million
Wedding Crashers - $6.4 million
March of the Penguins - $6.1 million
Underclassman - $2.8 million
A Sound of Thunder - $1.1 million

PEACE, Mike.