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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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 Xmas Weekend 05. Who will be the highest new entry over the christmas weekend??
Cheaper by the Dozen 2 (on Wed.)
(Steve Martin, Bonnie Hunt, Hilary Duff)
Fun with Dick and Jane (on Wed.)
(Jim Carrey,Tea Leoni, Alec Baldwin)
Hoodwinked (on Sun.)
(Computer Animation from Weinstein Company)
The Producers: The Movie Musical (on Wed.)
(Matthew Broderick, Uma Thurman,Will Ferrell and Nathan Lane)
The Ringer
(Johnny Knoxville, Brian Cox, Katherin Heigl)
Rumor Has It (on Sun.)
(Jennifer Aniston, Kevin Costner, Mena Suvari)
KONG will probably still be number 1....
But who will be the highest new entry?
IMO, some of them have to move... (RINGER and HOODWINKED don't stand a chance.)
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 3:48 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Fun with Dick and Jane, easily.
King Kong might win that weekend, though, unless Fun with Dick and Jane is the next Bruce Almighty.
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 3:52 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 6145
Location: New York
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Even if Fun With Dick & Jane grosses over $200m, I don't think it'll have an opening over $40m, so the potential for Kong to repeat is def. there.
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 3:56 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Fun with Dick & Jane
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 4:06 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28293
Location: ... siiiigh...
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Ha, The Ringer is FINALLY getting released? 
Probably is going to be a close weekend. Nothing is going to stand out. Everything will do okay.
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Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 4:20 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48626
Location: Arlington, VA
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I really could see Rumor Has It surprising. The cast and director are both top-notch, and this is the type of movie that usually succeeds around the holidays.
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 4:43 pm |
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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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Jeez, talk about over-crowded.
Rumor Has It might have to move - it can't really stand up in the face of Dick and Jane, and I'd hate to see it crushed.
Cheaper by the Dozen is going to perform like Kranks, maybe slightly better. I'm not expecting much, anyway.
The rest don't stand a chance, either 
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 6:41 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28293
Location: ... siiiigh...
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I assume The Ringer will likely get moved again.
_________________
Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 7:00 pm |
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Captain Muha
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Jul 18, 2005 3:42 am
Posts: 995
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what is fun with dick and jane?
whats it about?
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"Let us have faith that right makes might; and in that faith let us, to the end, dare to do our duty as we understand it." - Abraham Lincoln
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 7:28 pm |
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BubbaGump
:-)
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:16 pm
Posts: 1438
Location: Brea, CA
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Captain Muha wrote: what is fun with dick and jane?
whats it about? 
Gotta fill you in on this one. Ok, it has Jim Carrey in it. Nuff said. I don't think that was enough explanation. Ok, it stars Carrey and Tea Leoni who act as thieves since they can't pay their bills. I think. _________________"Fear is the path to the Dark Side  . Fear  leads to anger  . Anger leads to hate  . Hate leads to suff-e-ring  ." -Yoda
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:05 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 38011
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Fun With Dick and Jane, though Kong will take the weekend in a repeat.
Rumor I want to see move to a better spot it has huge potential. But they want it in for Oscar season. Maybe move it up?
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:13 pm |
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andaroo1
Lord of filth
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:47 pm
Posts: 9566
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What about Munich? (being number 3 after Dick/Jane).
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 11:12 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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andaroo wrote: What about Munich? (being number 3 after Dick/Jane). Depends on how wide the release will be. I doubt they'll open it in over 2,000 theatres right away.
Also, Rumor Has It is fine in its position. I mean it opens on Sunday and Fun with Dick and Jane opens on Wednesday. Enough time between them considering the season they are being released in. In this season movies can coexist well.
Fun with Dick and Jane might take the weekend. It'll be close between it and King Kong. If King Kong opens to over $60 million (3-day), then it'll take the weekend, if it doesn't then it won't.
Rumor Has It should make a good $8-10 million on Sunday, I figure.
The Ringer and Hoodwinked (?) won't register. The Ringer will open below $5 million. Hoodwinked will be the next Valiant or get moved.
The Producers might go Chicago's route and go limited first. If not...well, that wouldn't be smart.
Cheaper by the Dozen 2 will probably make around $20-25 million over five days and stumble to $70-80 million. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 6:26 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Cheaper by the Dozen 2 will probably make around $20-25 million over five days and stumble to $70-80 million.
That'll be quite a short run for a kids film opening on Christmas weekend...
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 1:41 pm |
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Johnny Dollar
The Lubitsch Touch
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 11019
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CBTD2 and FWD&J smell like pretty big openers. KONG will still be packing them in, presumably.
The Producers is gonna get steamrolled. I'm betting they open fairly wide. It's a known commodity.
I'm not really sure where Rumor Has It fits into this equation. I agree with everyone who said it's in the movie's best interest to run screaming from that release date.
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 1:49 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Zingaling wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote:
Cheaper by the Dozen 2 will probably make around $20-25 million over five days and stumble to $70-80 million.
That'll be quite a short run for a kids film opening on Christmas weekend... Well, it will not have the entire December for itself and I did say $20-25 million in five days which means under $20 million over the weekend. That would be decent legs in my opinion, for a movie that will most likely have no anticipation at all and horrible WoM. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 6:03 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Zingaling wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote:
Cheaper by the Dozen 2 will probably make around $20-25 million over five days and stumble to $70-80 million.
That'll be quite a short run for a kids film opening on Christmas weekend... Well, it will not have the entire December for itself and I did say $20-25 million in five days which means under $20 million over the weekend. That would be decent legs in my opinion, for a movie that will most likely have no anticipation at all and horrible WoM. Why do you think it'll bad 'horrible' WOM? 
It's a kids movie. The first one did suck, yes, but not to kids. It was a family pleaser, so it should be well, and I doubt the WOM will be terrible.
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 6:06 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Zingaling wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Zingaling wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote:
Cheaper by the Dozen 2 will probably make around $20-25 million over five days and stumble to $70-80 million.
That'll be quite a short run for a kids film opening on Christmas weekend... Well, it will not have the entire December for itself and I did say $20-25 million in five days which means under $20 million over the weekend. That would be decent legs in my opinion, for a movie that will most likely have no anticipation at all and horrible WoM. Why do you think it'll bad 'horrible' WOM? It's a kids movie. The first one did suck, yes, but not to kids. It was a family pleaser, so it should be well, and I doubt the WOM will be terrible. But virtually no one knows it's coming out. By the time it's in theatres, Harry Potter and Narnia will be still out there, as much better alternatives and even King Kong should appeal to kids somewhat with its adventure feel. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 6:08 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 38011
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Zingaling wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Zingaling wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote:
Cheaper by the Dozen 2 will probably make around $20-25 million over five days and stumble to $70-80 million.
That'll be quite a short run for a kids film opening on Christmas weekend... Well, it will not have the entire December for itself and I did say $20-25 million in five days which means under $20 million over the weekend. That would be decent legs in my opinion, for a movie that will most likely have no anticipation at all and horrible WoM. Why do you think it'll bad 'horrible' WOM? It's a kids movie. The first one did suck, yes, but not to kids. It was a family pleaser, so it should be well, and I doubt the WOM will be terrible. But virtually no one knows it's coming out. By the time it's in theatres, Harry Potter and Narnia will be still out there, as much better alternatives and even King Kong should appeal to kids somewhat with its adventure feel. Christmas is still months away, and the awareness isn't totally bad right now. Cheaper 1 is well-known, Carmen Electra and Eugune Levy should add to it.
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| Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:50 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Oh yes, I can see all the 8-10 year olds flocking to theatres to see Carmen Electra.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Aug 25, 2005 5:15 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 38011
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But thats not what she brings, she brings some older men and some 12 year old boys. Not much but a little bit. The movie is well known enough, if the 8-10 year olds like Cheaper 1 they'll like this.
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| Thu Aug 25, 2005 4:26 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Carmen Elektra being in this film will add about $100 dollars to the film's box-office performance.
In other words, no one cares.
She will not bring anyone in. The first one was popular, whether we think it was crappy or not, and that's what will bring people back for the sequel; not an incredibly hot pornstar. The marketing has to start soon, though, if Fox wants something big out of this one.
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| Thu Aug 25, 2005 4:31 pm |
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