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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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 Aug 26-28 predictions The Cave 9.0 million
The Brothers Grimm 16.0 million
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 1:48 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Brothers Grimm $19,000,000
The Cave $8,000,000
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 1:49 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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The Cave - $10 million
The Brothers Grimm - $10 million
Undiscovered - $2 million
Yikes. What a weekend. Virgin will be on top for a second weekend.
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 1:55 pm |
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Doomsday
Star Trek XI
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 6:16 am
Posts: 314
Location: Portugal
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Very early predictions :
40 yo virgin - 14.9 million
The Brothers Grimm - 14.3 million
Red Eye - 11.2 million
The Cave - 6.6 million
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 2:02 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14480
Location: Everywhere
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I think Undiscovered might do a bit better then expected.
The Cave - 10m
The Brothers Grimm - 9m
Undiscovered - 4.5m
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 2:03 pm |
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Impact
Kiera Knightly is my lady!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 1:18 pm
Posts: 8773
Location: New Mexico
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What is Undiscovered? I've never even heard of it till now!
_________________
Isn't it ironic that Hollywood mocks Gibson for drunk driving yet praises Polanski who molested a child? Or praises Edward Kenedy who killed someone while drunk driving?
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 2:07 pm |
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Impact
Kiera Knightly is my lady!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 1:18 pm
Posts: 8773
Location: New Mexico
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Mine:
Brothers Grimm-17.0
Cave-13.0
Undiscovered-6.0
40 Year Old -40%
Red Eye -40%
Valliant -35%
Supercross -75%
_________________
Isn't it ironic that Hollywood mocks Gibson for drunk driving yet praises Polanski who molested a child? Or praises Edward Kenedy who killed someone while drunk driving?
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 2:09 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14480
Location: Everywhere
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Impact wrote: What is Undiscovered? I've never even heard of it till now! Some sort of teen girl romantic comedy.
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 2:11 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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Brothers Grimm - 9 million
The Cave - 8.5 million (These two will be close. Brothers Grimm has more starpower but looks mostly crap and The Cave is a far easier sell based on having a simple premise and therefore better TV spots).
Undiscovered - 3 million. The marketing is really lacking with this film telling the story of a romance between a wannabe rock star and a wannabe model living in LA. No wonder the original title was in fact, Wannabe. Lions Gate is basically dumping the film, something they usually don't do since they release so few films. This is their first release since 'The Devil's Rejects' back in July.
I think 40 and Red-Eye should be able to retain the top two spots with any luck. They seem to have the WOM to experience small drops.
Last edited by Harry Warden on Sat Aug 20, 2005 2:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 2:22 pm |
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Impact
Kiera Knightly is my lady!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 1:18 pm
Posts: 8773
Location: New Mexico
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DP07 wrote: Impact wrote: What is Undiscovered? I've never even heard of it till now! Some sort of teen girl romantic comedy. Oh boy I cant wait! 
hmmm they need a more sarcstic looking rolling eye smiley.
_________________
Isn't it ironic that Hollywood mocks Gibson for drunk driving yet praises Polanski who molested a child? Or praises Edward Kenedy who killed someone while drunk driving?
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 2:24 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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1. The 40-Year Old Virgin 15 million
2. The Cave 14 million
3. Red Eye 11 million
4. The Brothers Grimm 9 million
*Undiscovered 3 million
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 2:30 pm |
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Impact
Kiera Knightly is my lady!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 1:18 pm
Posts: 8773
Location: New Mexico
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mine using the projections:
1. Brotha's Grimm: 16.0
2. 40 Years Later: 13.8
3. The Batcave: 13.0
4. Read Eye: 10.8
5. 2 Brothas 2: 7.7
6. March of the Zebras: 6.4
7. Wedding Blasters: 6.3
8.Undisclosed: 6.0
9. Skull Mountain: 4.3
10. Prince Valiant: 3.9
11. Charlie and the Sweet Factory: 2.9
12.Sky Low 2.8
13. Dukes that are Hazardos to health: 2.7
-Dues Wild: 1.4
-Superfreak: .25
_________________
Isn't it ironic that Hollywood mocks Gibson for drunk driving yet praises Polanski who molested a child? Or praises Edward Kenedy who killed someone while drunk driving?
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:33 pm |
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thompsoncory
Rachel McAdams Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am
Posts: 14544
Location: LA / NYC
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I think VIRGIN and RED EYE are both going to have very small drops. They have some of the best reviews/word-of-mouth of the summer and I think both might even hit 100 Million by the end of their runs.
BROTHERS GRIMM will probably do about 14 Million or so. There hasn't been much advertising for it.
THE CAVE will do around 10 Million.
UNDISCOVERED will do around 2-3 Million. I've seen NO advertising for it.
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:41 pm |
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tombraider17
Mr. and Mrs. Smith
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:21 pm
Posts: 457
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Brothers Grimm: 11.6 million
The Cave: 8 million
Undiscovered: 3.5 million
_________________
The Skeleton Key: Best Horror Thriller of the Year
Last edited by tombraider17 on Thu Aug 25, 2005 9:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:22 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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The Brothers Grimm - $11.3M
The Cave - $10.1M
Undiscovered - $3.1M
Ive only seen a few ads for Grimm and the Cave and for the first time i saw something of Undiscovered ever!
Looks like 40 YOV will be on top for 2 weeks 
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:38 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28293
Location: ... siiiigh...
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The Cave - $10.6m (Total: $25.1m)
Brothers Grimm - $12.0m (Total: $37.6m)
_________________
Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 7:37 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28293
Location: ... siiiigh...
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And it's DEUCE, damn it. 
_________________
Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 7:39 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 38010
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40 could have a really small drop. The WOM is pretty much better than WCs, saying its the funniest movie ever and best comedy ever and alot like that.
Brothers-13.5 mil
The Cave-8.5 mil
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:11 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48626
Location: Arlington, VA
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The Brothers Grimm: $11 million
The Cave: $9 million
Undiscovered: $2 million
The top two will remain unchanged, I think.
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 9:09 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5705
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The Brothers Grimm - $7.8
The Cave - $7
Undiscovered - $2.7
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 10:27 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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1. The 40-Year-Old Virgin - 13.6
2. Red Eye - 10.9
3. Brothers Grimm - 9.7
4. The Cave - 9.0
5. Wedding Crashers - 7.5
-. Undiscovered - 2.9
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| Sat Aug 20, 2005 10:53 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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August 26, 2005 // Top Ten Predictions.
01. THE BROTHERS GRIMM: $15.5 million
02. THE 40-YEAR-OLD VIRGIN: $14.1 million
03. THE CAVE: $12.9 million
04. RED EYE: $9.8 million
05. FOUR BROTHERS: $8.4 million
06. MARCH OF THE PENGUINS: $6.3 million
07. WEDDING CRASHERS: $6.0 million
08. VALIANT: $4.4 million
09. THE SKELETON KEY: $3.7 million
10. THE DUKES OF HAZZARD: $2.9 million
***UNDISCOVERED: $2.3 million***
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sun Aug 21, 2005 3:26 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48626
Location: Arlington, VA
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The latest tracking is showing The Brothers Grimm at $15-16M. That's probably off by a bit, but I'm starting to think it could get at least $13-14M.
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 7:16 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Here's all the latest tracking, thanks to notfabio from HSX:
Quote: ACCURACY LAST WEEKEND:
40 YEAR OLD, MAJOR CHAIN: 21 MILLION, RS 21 MILLION
ACTUAL: 21.4
RED EYE, MAJOR CHAIN: 16, RS 13 MILLION
ACTUAL 16.2
VALIANT: MAJOR CHAIN: 11, RS 11 MILLION
ACTUAL 5.9 (OUCH)
SUPERCROSS: MAJOR CHAIN 4 MILLION RS 6 MILLION
ACTUAL: 2
MAJOR US THEATRE CHAIN:
BROTHERS GRIMM: 19 MILLION
THE CAVE: 7 MILLION
UNDISCOVERED: 2.5 MILLION
REEL SOURCE:
BROTHERS GRIMM: 15 MILLION
THE CAVE: 8 MILLION
UNDISCOVERED: 4 MILLION
UPCOMING REEL SOURCE:
SOUND OF THUNDER: 10 MILLION (FLAT)
JUST LIKE HEAVEN: 28 MILLION (FLAT I think)
TRANSPORTER 2: 12 MILLION (FLAT)
FLIGHT PLAN: 33 MILLION (+2 MILLION)
CORPSE BRIDE: 8 MILLION (DEBUT) Hmm. Major Chain is usually closer than Reel Source, so that's looking good for The Brothers Grimm. I might have underestimated it's appeal.
Also, the tracking for the upcoming films is looking great. I'd be shocked if A Sound of Thunder made that much opening weekend, though. Transporter 2 looks about right. But, what really caught my eye was Flightplan. That would be in the Panic Room area, which would be awesome.
Like I said in my crowd report for Red Eye, I've seen Flightplan attached to *every* movie in the past month or two. I think it can be a big hit.
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:06 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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The corpse bride tv spots are awful, it's like a behind the scenes thing. I dont know whats up with these type of spots now, it seems everybody is doing it, Island did the samething.
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| Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:38 pm |
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