Amazingly enough, we don't have a prediction thread for this yet, despite being released in 3 weeks amd having alot of buzz around here.

As for me, I smell a XXX2/Elektra...

Opening: 10.2 (4-Day: 12.5)
Total: 23.0 (2.26)

Predict (And flame ) away.

the trailer gets a great reaction every time I see it, so no way this bombs. xXx2 changed stars and nobody ever cared about Elektra, can't compare them to all action sequels. Im thinking around $23M for the 4 day. With over $50M total.

Tough one to predict. On the one hand, action movies have been pulling in dissapointing numbers, but a similar performance for this one wouldn't be so bad, as the other action films were expected to go over $100 million by most.

Also, Labor Day weekend will help, and the marketing has been great, with some awesome money shots in the trailers and commercials. I think this could possibly pull over $50 million total, but I'll lowball this one because of all the recent action film performances.

$14 million opening, $36 million total.

the first film was pretty good, so i hope this does well

jason statham is a great actor.

excellent in snatch and the first transporter

The trailer has been attached to almost every movie I have seen in the last few months. Looks good. It will make more than the original which made $25m I believe.

Ugh, I write a long message, and it gets lost. But my point was that Labor Day weekend isn't good at all for New Releases, as no movie has ever made over $40M total, and only 2 have ever made $10M+ over the 4-Day weekend. Not what I'd call a good weekend.

There's an explanation for that...

Almost all those movies sucked.

And The Transporter 2 won't because...?

And studios put sucks movies in sucks weekend.

BTW, I think that Fox made a good decision by putting "Transporter 2" in Labor Day weekend.

1. "The Transporter " isn't a big office hit, so put "Transporter 2" in a the least competitive weekend isn't bad.
2. Fox got a very [great] deal to release "Transporter 2"; it doesn't have to gross much to become a profitable film for Fox.

PS: Does "Transporter 2" in Entertainment Weekly's Fall Movie Preview coverage? For this year's Labor Day weekend movies, I only know that "A Sound of Thunder" is in it. (Sorry.... I am not in US right now )

Nope. They dumped it in their "Other September Releases" bit, where they called it a Man on Fire/Kill Bill clone. Not good...

Thank You~~

Yes, "Transporter 2" trailer makes it look like "Man on Fire 2"...... ("Man on Fire"(2004) is a remake movie, though) Will it hurt? ("Man on Fire" and "Transport 2" have the similar target audience )

Man, with this action movies slump, this one is really tough to predict, but it should at least do better than the original, but it won't be a megahit. The original didn't open well, neither did it have great legs. This one should get at least 300-400 theatres more than the original and a slightly better PTA, I suppose.

Opening weekend (3-day) - $12.6 million

Total gross - $33 million

FRANCE: The Transporter 2

OW - The Transporter 2 - $2,438,380 (510 TC)

Great start for TP2, more than doubling the original on a similar theatre count....the original debut at #7 (same weekend as Austin Powers 3)

Week 1:

Star Wars 3: ROTS - $24,015,395 (7-Days - 938 TC)
War Of The Worlds - $11,300,026 (848 TC)
Brice de Nice - $9,638,376 (555 TC)
Iznogoud - $8,008,431 (664 TC)
Mr. And Mrs. Smith - $7,785,583 (665 TC)
Fantastic Four - $6,425,861 (635 TC)
Hitch - $6,373,015 (495 TC)
Madagascar - $5,884,720 (846 TC)
Million Dollar Baby - $5,557,730 (450 TC)*Easter
Meet The Fockers - $5,467,777 (599 TC)
Charlie And The Chocolate Factory - $5,141,947 (670 TC)
The Aviator - $4,644,201 (680 TC)
Les Poupees Russes - $4,511,866 (550 TC)
National Treasure - $4,231,250 (558.487 adms. - 614 TC)*
Kingdom Of Heaven - $4,198,490 (491 TC)
Constantine - $4,041,767 (491 TC)
Alexander - $4,034,136 (€3,082,925/ 555.074 adms. - 530 TC)
La Marche de L'empereur (Emperor’s Journey) - $3,242,925 (408 TC)
Batman Begins - $3,084,372 (770 TC)
Closer - $3,078,874 (326 TC)
The Transporter 2 - $3,027,070 (510 TC)
Sin City - $2,942,769 (521 TC)
Ray - $2,805,338 (250 TC)
Herbie: Fully Loaded - $2,606,425 (575 TC)
Unleashed - $2,523,426 (480 TC)
Hauru No Ugoku Shiro (Howl’s Moving Castle) - $2,520,820 (393 TC)
The Ring Two - $2,242,798 (402 TC)
The Interpreter - $2,177,471 (371 TC)
Robots - $2,105,834 (737 TC)
Valiant - $2,039,374 (657 TC)

The Transporter - $1,355,671 (508 TC)

I think it's possible that the current Labor Day weekend record of $18,365,222 (held by Jeepers Creepers 2) has a chance to fall this weekend. It'll need a $5,750 PTA (over the 4-day weekend) to achieve the record, which I think is highly possible, considering the marketing and theater count.

i dont see how transporter 2 is a man on fire clone just because it involves a kidnapped kid.

if anything its like man on fire meets kiss of the dragon.

remember this is a luc besson film, so its flare for the dramatic and its international flavor attract viewers.

It's worth noting that Transporter gained quite a following on DVD. And Statham especially is quite popular nowadays, for many he is the best action star of the moment.

So a 15 million opening and a 35-40 million finish sounds reasonable. I expect it to do better than the first one, since the fanbase expanded so much on DVD.

*Gives in to peer preasure*

Opening: 13.9 (16.8 4-day)
Total: 33.1 (2.38)

Could see it do bigger though.

The trailer looks terrific, but I don't think the first one was big enough for this one to be huge. I didn't even know a sequel was possible with such a lackluster run for the first film. But the trailer is terrific although early reviews say otherwise...I think this spells frontloaded.


Opening: 14 Million
Total: 35 Million

Final prediction:

20(4-days)/40

Final Prediction:

$12.9 million 3-Day
$15.9 million 4-Day
$34 million finish

Final Predictions:

Opening weekend (4-day) - $17.6 million

Total gross - $41 million

Final prediction...

$18.4 million opening (4-day), $47.8 million total.