[table] [row]Movie [col] Pred. [col] Act. [col] Acc.
[row] The Dukes of Hazzard [col] 34.9 [col] 34.1 [col] 97.65%
[row] The Wedding Crashers [col] 14.4 [col] 16.5 [col] 87.27%
[row] Charlie and the Chocolate Factory [col] 10.1 [col] 10.8 [col] 93.52%
[row] Sky High [col] 9.0 [col] 8.9 [col] 98.88%
[row] Stealth [col] 4.9 [col] 5.1 [col] 96.08%
[row] Must Love Dogs [col] 7.2 [col] 7.1 [col] 98.59%
[row] March of the Penguins [col] 6.5 [col] 7.1 [col] 91.55%
[row] Fantastic Four [col] 4.2 [col] 4.1 [col] 97.56%
[row] The Island [col] 3.0 [col] 3.2 [col] 93.75%
[row] War of the Worlds [col] 3.5 [col] 3.4 [col] 97.06%
[row] Accuracy [col] 95.19% [/table]

Hopefully my projections hold well.

I would get a 90.93% with these projections, though I hope some of them will be higher, which would give me a much better score.

My projected Sunday drops are all over 20% (except for Crashers & Penguins at 17%), so they might be a little higher with estimates. These Sundays are getting hard to predict.

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] The Dukes of Hazzard [col] 31.5 [col] 34.9 [col] 90.26% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 14.5 [col] 16.5 [col] 87.88% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Charlie and the Chocolate Factory [col] 10.3 [col] 10.8 [col] 95.37% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Sky High [col] 9.2 [col] 8.9 [col] 96.63% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 6.1 [col] 7.1 [col] 85.92% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Must Love Dogs [col] 8.8 [col] 7.1 [col] 76.06% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Stealth [col] 5.1 [col] 5.1 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Fantastic Four [col] 3.6 [col] 4.1 [col] 87.80% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] War of the Worlds [col] 3.3 [col] 3.2 [col] 96.88% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] The Island [col] 2.9 [col] 3.2 [col] 90.62% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) 90.74% [row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 90.26% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 90.80% [/table]

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] The Dukes of Hazzard [col] 34.6 [col] 34.9 [col] 99.14% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 14.8 [col] 16.5 [col] 89.70% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Charlie and the Chocolate Factory [col] 9.8 [col] 10.8 [col] 90.74% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Sky High [col] 8.6 [col] 8.9 [col] 96.63% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 6.4 [col] 7.1 [col] 90.14% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Must Love Dogs [col] 7.4 [col] 7.1 [col] 95.77% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Stealth [col] 5.7 [col] 5.1 [col] 88.24% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Fantastic Four [col] 4.2 [col] 4.1 [col] 97.56% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] War of the Worlds [col] 3.5 [col] 3.2 [col] 90.63% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] The Island [col] 3.1 [col] 3.2 [col] 96.88% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate)93.54% [row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 99.14% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 92.92% [/table]

I think that it will definitly drop a lot.

And not to mention, Saturday increases for the month of August tend to get bigger.

93.62%

the table dosent come out right for me.

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] The Dukes of Hazzard [col] 32.2 [col] 34.9 [col] 92.26% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 14.2 [col] 16.5 [col] 86.06% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Charlie and the Chocolate Factory [col] 10.2 [col] 10.8 [col] 94.44% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Sky High [col] 9.2 [col] 8.9 [col] 96.63% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 6.6 [col] 7.1 [col] 92.96% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Must Love Dogs [col] 7.8 [col] 7.1 [col] 90.14% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Stealth [col] 5.3 [col] 5.1 [col] 96.08% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Fantastic Four [col] 4.1 [col] 4.1 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] War of the Worlds [col] 3.6 [col] 3.2 [col] 87.50% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] The Island [col] 3.3 [col] 3.2 [col] 96.88% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 93.29% [row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 92.26% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 93.41% [/table]

I get a good score for once, and a buncha people do better.

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] The Dukes of Hazzard [col] 37 [col] 34.9 [col] 93.98% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 14.6 [col] 16.5 [col] 88.48% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Charlie and the Chocolate Factory [col] 9.8 [col] 10.8 [col] 90.74% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Sky High [col] 8.2 [col] 8.9 [col] 92.13% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 6.5 [col] 7.1 [col] 91.55% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Must Love Dogs [col] 7.4 [col] 7.1 [col] 95.77% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Stealth [col] 5.4 [col] 5.1 [col] 94.12% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Fantastic Four [col] 3.8 [col] 4.1 [col] 92.68% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] War of the Worlds [col] 3.2 [col] 3.2 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] The Island [col] 3.4 [col] 3.2 [col] 93.75% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 93.32% [row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 93.98% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 93.25% [/table]

That's pretty nice, but I don't know if it'll hold up...

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] The Dukes of Hazzard [col] 33.2 [col] 34.9 [col] 95.13% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] Wedding Crashers [col] 14.5 [col] 16.5 [col] 87.88% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] Charlie and the Chocolate Factory [col] 10.4 [col] 10.8 [col] 96.30% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Sky High [col] 8.6 [col] 8.9 [col] 96.63% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] March of the Penguins [col] 6.5 [col] 7.1 [col] 91.55% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Must Love Dogs [col] 7.1 [col] 7.1 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Stealth [col] 5.9 [col] 5.1 [col] 84.31% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Fantastic Four [col] 3.5 [col] 4.1 [col] 85.37% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] War of the Worlds [col] 3.3 [col] 3.2 [col] 96.98% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] The Island [col] 3.3 [col] 3.2 [col] 96.88% [row color=#CCDDFF] [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate)[col] 93.09% [row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 95.13% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 92.86% [/table]

[table] [row]Movie [col] Pred. [col] Act. [col] Acc.
[row] The Dukes of Hazzard [col] 34.0 [col] 34.1 [col] 99.71%
[row] The Wedding Crashers [col] 14.1 [col] 16.5 [col] 85.45%
[row] Charlie and the Chocolate Factory [col] 10.1 [col] 10.8 [col] 93.52%
[row] Sky High [col] 8.9 [col] 8.9 [col] 100.00%
[row] Stealth [col] 5.5 [col] 5.1 [col] 92.73%
[row] Must Love Dogs [col] 7.0 [col] 7.1 [col] 98.59%
[row] March of the Penguins [col] 6.9 [col] 7.1 [col] 97.18%
[row] Fantastic Four [col] 3.7 [col] 4.1 [col] 90.24%
[row] The Island [col] 3.0 [col] 3.2 [col] 93.75%
[row] War of the Worlds [col] 3.2 [col] 3.4 [col] 94.11%
[row] Accuracy [col] 94.53% [/table]

If i can get 90% or higher it'll be my first time ever.

Dukes of Hazzard's projection is high, while March of the Penguins is low (it hasn't had a weekend multiplier lower than 3.8). Stealth is also low considering The Island's multiplier last weekend. Here are mine:

The Dukes of Hazzard - 33.5
The Wedding Crashers - 16.5
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - 10.8
Sky High - 9.1
March of the Penguins - 7.5
Must Love Dogs - 7.1
Stealth - 5.5
Fantastic Four - 4.1
The Island - 3.2
War of the Worlds - 3.5

I get a 94.40% with xiayun's projections.

With those projections i get 94.01%

93.3%

You can't expect it to retain it's limited theater daily pattern though. Now it's going to start performing more like a wide release, so a lower Saturday increase (40%) is in store.

With Michael's, I have a 94.36%

what are the actual projection 34.1 or 34.9?

34.1

The Dukes of Hazzard - (30.8 / 34.9) -- Accuracy: 88.25%
Wedding Crashers - (14.3 / 16.5) -- Accuracy: 86.67%
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - (10.2 / 10.8) -- Accuracy: 94.44%
Sky High - (9.2 / 8.9) -- Accuracy: 96.63%
March of the Penguins - (6.7 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 94.37%
Must Love Dogs - (7.6 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 92.96%
Stealth - (5.3 / 5.1) -- Accuracy: 96.08%
Fantastic Four - (4.0 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 97.56%
The Island - (3.0 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 93.75%
Bad News Bears - (3.1 / 3) -- Accuracy: 96.67%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 93.74%

New Release: 88.25%
Still in Theater: 94.35%

Great, 94%+ and for the first time ever I forget to enter the derby when I intended to do so.

The Dukes of Hazzard - ([COLOR=#red]33.5[/color] / [COLOR=#green]34.9[/color]) -- Accuracy: 95.99%
Wedding Crashers - ([COLOR=#red]14.8[/color] / [COLOR=#green]16.5[/color]) -- Accuracy: 89.70%
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - ([COLOR=#red]9.3[/color] / [COLOR=#green]10.8[/color]) -- Accuracy: 86.11%
Sky High - ([COLOR=#red]10.6[/color] / [COLOR=#green]8.9[/color]) -- Accuracy: 80.90%
March of the Penguins - ([COLOR=#red]6.4[/color] / [COLOR=#green]7.1[/color]) -- Accuracy: 90.14%
Must Love Dogs - ([COLOR=#red]8.4[/color] / [COLOR=#green]7.1[/color]) -- Accuracy: 81.69%
Stealth - ([COLOR=#red]5.3[/color] / [COLOR=#green]5.1[/color]) -- Accuracy: 96.08%
Fantastic Four - ([COLOR=#red]3.7[/color] / [COLOR=#green]4.1[/color]) -- Accuracy: 90.24%
War of the Worlds - ([COLOR=#red]3.4[/color] / [COLOR=#green]3.2[/color]) -- Accuracy: 93.75%
The Island - ([COLOR=#red]2.9[/color] / [COLOR=#green]3.2[/color]) -- Accuracy: 90.62%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 89.52%

New Release: 95.99%
Still in Theater: 88.80%


down from last weeks 93%+ thats for sure; but still not bad.

With xiayuns projections, I would get 92.01%. I'm making my comeback.