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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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 The Official Elizabethtown Prediction Thread. Okay guys, predict away. I made this thread only because my girlfriend is in it.
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 3:26 am |
 
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andaroo1
Lord of filth
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:47 pm
Posts: 9566
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I dunno... 35 million total?
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 3:30 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 38007
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I think it it'll get buzz and go for longer than expected, buzz for Kirsten maybe for best actress etc. I see 20.5/121
Last edited by Shack on Fri Aug 05, 2005 4:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 3:32 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Tough one. It had a good response with War of the Worlds (both of the times I saw it), so it might do well.
Around $60 million total, I suppose.
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 3:51 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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OPEN: $18 million
CLOSE: $59 million
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 3:54 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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How wide is this even going? If it takes the Garden State route ( it already looks like a rip off of Garden State ) with a limited relase then wide around 700-800 theaters, then it isnt making more then 20m. If it's going straight to wide with 2000+ it can do around 30m-40m if interest is there and it has some type of marketing.
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 4:01 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 38007
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It completly depends on how the reviews for it are, and how Kirstens performance is taken it, as well as how much gg/oscar buzz it gets. The director is academy loved so who knows, it certainly can get some noms. If Dunst is talented enough in it to be nominated for best actress it'll get upwards of 81 million at least, right up to my 125 million or higher. If they trash it it'll get lucky to get 35 million total I agree.
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 4:08 am |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Depends how good the movie is and the reviews.
I think it looks pretty decent.....Anywhere from $30-$70M
I'm thinkin $45M.
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 7:10 am |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14480
Location: Everywhere
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I don't really think this sort of romantic drama has much potential. The trailer looks dull, and I don't see how they will market it successfully.
8m/23m
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 11:54 am |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 10909
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10/40
Dosent look interesting.
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 11:58 am |
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thompsoncory
Rachel McAdams Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am
Posts: 14544
Location: LA / NYC
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This was filmed within 20 minutes of where I live, so I'm really excited for it.
It should do really well, since it has lots of Oscar buzz plus mainstream potential.
19 Million/67 Million
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 7:33 pm |
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Johnny Dollar
The Lubitsch Touch
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 11019
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Love Crowe, love the stars, love the premise, but I'm not convinced of its ability to bring in an audience. Early release makes its potential (financially and Oscar-wise) kinda small.
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 8:05 pm |
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Captain Muha
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Jul 18, 2005 3:42 am
Posts: 995
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it should do alright
we can finally see orlando bloom in a movie not having swords and shields
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 8:44 pm |
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misutaa
je vois l'avenir
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm
Posts: 3841
Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
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I think that this film could do anything from 10-125m. So I have no Idea yet.
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 9:22 pm |
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are-why-a-en
MISSING IN ACTION
Joined: Fri Dec 03, 2004 7:42 pm
Posts: 4292
Location: The Beautiful Islands of San Diego
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hmm..if its released somewhere in the 2000+ theater range it should do with moderate reviews:
Opening: 13 million
Total: 65 Million
2000+ w/ ''oscar hype'' reviews
Opening: 17 Million
Total: 80 Million
2000+ w/ trashy reviews
Opening: 8 million
Total: 25 million
If it goes limited, and gets moderate reviews:
Total: 40 million
limited w/ "oscar hype" reviews
Total: 105 million
limited w/ trashy reviews
Total: 18 million
:wink:
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| Fri Aug 05, 2005 9:34 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 38007
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Limited with oscar talk higher gross than wide with oscar talk? Actually maybe, it does kind of make sense, if it frontloads with lots of advertising it probably won't do as well as if it stays 1000+ theatres making here and there and having a lengthy run similar to Aviator. But thats a risk, if they decide to try not much advertising rather go for lenghty WOM legs hit, trashy reviews would totally backfire on it making it like 5 mil total probably. So yeah I would decide it on what quality the movie has.
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| Sat Aug 06, 2005 4:56 am |
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xXVincentxX
La Bella Vito
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 9146
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I think it will do really well. The trailer was interesting enough.
15/78
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| Sat Aug 06, 2005 9:15 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Bump as there is only one more week to predict.
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| Fri Oct 07, 2005 2:56 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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This looks like Garden State 2, only starring Orlando Bloom (which means it will be worse). Bloom is not quite a huge pull, I think and neither is Dunst. Opening the movie in 2,500+ theatres is not a good idea, but then again the reviews seem not too kind, so a slow expanding pattern wouldn't benefit it either.
Opening weekend - $12 million
Total gross - $41 million
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| Fri Oct 07, 2005 2:59 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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9/30
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| Fri Oct 07, 2005 3:55 am |
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