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 August 5-7 prediction 
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Post August 5-7 prediction
Dukes of Hazzards 34.0 million
Wedding Crashers 14.2 million
Charlie and the Chocalate Factory 11.0 million
Stealth 5.7 million
Sky High 8.7 million


Sat Jul 30, 2005 1:50 pm
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College Boy Z

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The Dukes of Hazzard - $35 million

The cieling for this one, though, is $40 million. I just can't see anything higher, even with the 3,500+ theater count.


Sat Jul 30, 2005 1:57 pm
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Star Trek XI
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The Dukes of Hazzard -27m$
March of the Penguins - 6.5m$


Sat Jul 30, 2005 2:13 pm
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The Dukes of Hazzard:17.0
Wedding Crashers:13.5
Charlie and the chocolate factory:10.3
Stealth:6.4
Sky High:9.0


Sat Jul 30, 2005 2:51 pm
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The Dukes of Hazzard 50 million
Wedding Crashers 14 million
Charlie & the Chocolate Factory 10 million
Sky High 9 million
Stealth 7 million


Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:04 pm
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Will Dukes of hazzard affect WC very much?


Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:21 pm
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neo_wolf wrote:
Will Dukes of hazzard affect WC very much?


Some. That is why the drop might be 30-35%.

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Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:22 pm
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Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
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Im more curious on how Deuce Bigelow 2 will affect WC in 2 weeks. If Dukes of Hazzards does a three-peat of a bad weekend, I would say thank god because that movie looks like crap. Unlikely but you never know


Last edited by El Maskado on Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:24 pm
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Begging Naked
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1. The Dukes of Hazzard - 41.6
2. The Wedding Crashers - 15.0
3. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - 10.5
4. Sky High - 9.7
5. Must Love Dogs - 8.2
6. March of the Penguins - 6.4
7. Stealth - 5.1
8. Fantastic Four - 4.3
9. War of the Worlds - 3.2
10. Bad News Bears - 3.0


Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:24 pm
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Guys, don't forget because there is only one opener, the drops for most holdovers are going to be insanely small.

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Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:31 pm
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Top 5 for now:

1. The Dukes of Hazzard - $28.5 million
2. The Wedding Crashers - $13.3 million
3. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - $10.5 million
4. Sky High - $10.3 million (this one will have good legs, trust me)
5. Must Love Dogs - $8.1 million

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Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:37 pm
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The Dukes of Hazzard - $31 million
The Wedding Crashers - $13.9 million
Sky High - $9.4 million
Charlie - $9.1 million
Must Love Dogs - $7.5million

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Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:41 pm
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Extraordinary

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I'm hoping March of the Penguins could expand enough theaters to enter Top 5.


Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:41 pm
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I see The Dukes getting around $28-34 million for the weekend. With a comedy ruling the box office right now, I say there's room for a new one. This might very well mean good things for Deuce Bigalow 2. Similar numbers to the original, which would be considered a success, since most modest hits that get sequels don't do half as well as the original.

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Sat Jul 30, 2005 5:02 pm
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1. Dukes of Hazzard- 34 mil
2. Wedding Crashers- 14.9 mi


Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:07 am
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xiayun wrote:
I'm hoping March of the Penguins could expand enough theaters to enter Top 5.


I wouldn't be surprised. With only one opener it would probably only need what, 8+ million? And this is definitely one that's steamrolling. More and more people have been asking me about Penguins lately, and they all actually want to see it (I guess word is it's a great date movie, I guess I'd agree too).


Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:18 am
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Orphan

Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
Im more curious on how Deuce Bigelow 2 will affect WC in 2 weeks. If Dukes of Hazzards does a three-peat of a bad weekend, I would say thank god because that movie looks like crap. Unlikely but you never know


Deuce Bigalow: European Gigolo is definitely being released at the right time with raunchy comedies (comedies in general, really) doing so well. It has the potential to surprise.


Sun Jul 31, 2005 3:04 am
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Wallflower
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*****EARLY PREDICTIONS BASED ON THE ESTIMATES*****

1. THE DUKES OF HAZZARD - 38.2 MILLION
2. THE WEDDING CRASHERS - 15.4 MILLION
3. CHARLIE & THE CHOCOLATE FACTORY - 10.2 MILLION
4. SKY HIGH - 10.2 MILLION
5. MUST LOVE DOGS - 9.1 MILLION
6. STEALTH - 6.2 MILLION
7. MARCH OF THE PENGUINS - 4.9 MILLION
8. THE FANTASTIC FOUR - 3.9 MILLION
9. WAR OF THE WORLDS - 3.4 MILLION
10. BAD NEWS BEARS - 3 MILLION
11. THE ISLAND - 3 MILLION
12. HUSTLE & FLOW - 2.2 MILLION
13. THE DEVIL'S REJECTS - 1.2 MILLION


PENGUINS is supposed to be in 1,400+ theaters for next weekend. The per-screen average I'm thinking will drop down to $3,500-$4,100. The movie dropped some this weekend without adding many theaters. Next weekend it will obviously increase but I think some will end up over-predicting it. I hope it does great though. Hopefully when the actuals are out it won't have dropped at all and will maybe have increased by 1% or something. That would be nice. If it does I'll probably end up raising my prediction somewhere between 5-5.5 Million.


Sun Jul 31, 2005 1:55 pm
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The Producer
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01 The Dukes of Hazzard (NEW) - $ 25.0
02 Wedding Crashers (-25%) - $ 15.3
03 Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (-35%) - $ 10,7
04 Sky High (-42%) - $ 8,5
05 Must Love Dogs (-45%) - $ 7,2
06 Stealth (-60%) - $ 5,4
07 March of the Penguins (+21%) - $ 5,0


Last edited by 1981 on Mon Aug 01, 2005 5:44 am, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 pm
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Star Trek XI

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I would so love to see WC & Charlie beat that stupid DOH movie (has a movie ever had such an appropriate acronym before?). I think it would send a good message to studios that even American audiences are fed up with the crap they fill the theaters with every summer.


Sun Jul 31, 2005 3:22 pm
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How ridiculously weird would it be if people avoided Dukes of Hazzard completely, giving it a Looney Tunes: Back in Action-type opening weekend, and Wedding Crashers took the top spot again? Incredibly slim chance, but I've seen six films in the past two weeks unable to open to over $15 million in their opening weekends.

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Sun Jul 31, 2005 3:30 pm
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Extraordinary

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Early predictions.

1.Dukes of hazzard:28.0
2.WC:13.5
3.Charlie and the chocolate factory:10.0
4.Sky High:9.0
5.Must Love dogs:6.2
6.Stealth:6.0
7.March of the penguins:4.7
8.Fantastic 4:3.8
9.War of the Worlds:3.5
10.Bad news bears:2.9


Sun Jul 31, 2005 3:30 pm
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The Island and Bad news bears are going to lose a shitload of theatres.I expect 1,000+ for each of them.


Sun Jul 31, 2005 3:32 pm
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mine:
1. Dukes 20.0
2. Wedding Crashers 13.4
3. Charlie 10.3
4. Sky High 9.2
5. Dogs 8.5
6. Stealth 6.1
7. Penguins 6.0
8. WOTW 3.4
9. F4 3.4
10. Bad News Bears 2.6
11. Island 2.4
12. Hustle 2.0

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Sun Jul 31, 2005 3:44 pm
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My updated predictions:

1. The Dukes of Hazzard - $29.2 million
2. The Wedding Crashers - $13.9 million
3. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - $10.7 million
4. Sky High - $10 million
5. Must Love Dogs - $8.2 million
6. Stealth - $5.9 million
7. March of the Penguins - $5.4 million
8. Fantastic Four - $3.8 million
9. War of the Worlds - $3.3 million
10. Bad News Bears - $3.1 million
11. The Island - $3 million
12. Hustle & Flow - $2.2 million

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Mon Aug 01, 2005 3:20 am
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