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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: Zingaling wrote: El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: Actually there are director names that can open a movie and Im not talking about Spielberg either. You can attach the name of Quentin Tarentino and M Night Shymalan's name onto any movie and they will open pretty big That's true, but it's not a guarantee. Shymalan's next film might not crack $30-40 million because of The Village. Maybe or maybe not, M Night was able to rebound after the failure of Unbreakable although it still made close to 100 million. I dont think the Village will hurt his name that badly was a failure?  Why? Because it didn't make $100 million total?
I'd hardly call that a failure. It wasn't even hated by the public; there was just a lack of interest.
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| Sat Jul 23, 2005 1:52 am |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
Posts: 7172
Location: Wisconsin
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 Re: WoKJ Weekend predictions. Scott V. wrote: 1. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - 29.4m (-48%) 2. Wedding Crashers - 21.4m (-37%) 3. The Island - 19.1m 4. The Bad News Bears - 14.1m 5. The Fantastic Four - 10.4m (-54%) 6. Hustle and Flow - 8.8m 7. War of the Worlds - 7.6m (-50%) 8. The Devil's Rejects - 6.4m 9. Batman Begins - 3.5m (-42%) 10. March of the Penguins - 3.1m (+106%) Here is the link. http://www.worldofkj.com/boxoffice/WeeklyPrediction/Prediction-19.phpRead and discuss. Please guys, I like to get some reponses to the article as well, and not just the predictions. In general, I think you're reasoning is solid for the top 4 movies, though I think they are all underpredicted a bit. I think F4 will level out a bit with a gross closer to 12M. My reasoning is that it seems to be the trend for these big movies to level out by the third weekend. I think you're a bit high on Hustle and Flow, and low on WOTW. I don't think critical acclaim or good reviews help this type of film very much. The heavy advertising on MTV could though. I think it will be closer to 7M (which is still very good), and WOTW just over 8M. I think you're dead on with The Devil's Rejects and Batman Begins. However, I think March of the Penguins will take the 9th spot, with Batman hitting tenth. March of the Penguins is just one of those oddball films that has an unexplainable and undeniable draw. The PTA hasn't dropped as much as most movies do as they expand, so I don't see this weekend as any different. I believe Penguins will top 4M this weekend.
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| Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:26 am |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm
Posts: 14631
Location: Pittsburgh
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Everyone called "Under Prediction"
Scott Wins.
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| Sat Jul 23, 2005 12:07 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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I said 30 mill for the ISLAND.... 
_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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| Sat Jul 23, 2005 12:33 pm |
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The_Game_1
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:00 pm
Posts: 343
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I said $35m
It could still happen. A 400% increase on Sat and then a 22% drop on Sun
Last edited by The_Game_1 on Sat Jul 23, 2005 12:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Jul 23, 2005 12:38 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm
Posts: 14631
Location: Pittsburgh
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The_Game_1 wrote: I said $35m
It could still happen. A 400% increase on Sat and then a 22% on Sun =D>
Day Dream Believer!!!! _________________
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| Sat Jul 23, 2005 12:43 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Eagle wrote: Everyone called "Under Prediction"
Scott Wins. Well, said. Also, March of the Penguins is nowhere to be found in the top ten.
I win on that one too. _________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Sat Jul 23, 2005 3:10 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Scott V. wrote: Eagle wrote: Everyone called "Under Prediction"
Scott Wins. Well, said. Also, March of the Penguins is nowhere to be found in the top ten. I win on that one too. Not so fast on March of the Penguins, but good job on all the other ones. The yearly race just tightened again. Well, at least I didn't give up too much ground this weekend. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Jul 23, 2005 3:11 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm
Posts: 14631
Location: Pittsburgh
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Penguins COULD squeak in.
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| Sat Jul 23, 2005 3:50 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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@ xiayun and Eagle.
I read on BOG that March of the Penguins got only $900,000 on Friday, meaning that $3 million is pretty much the upper limit.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see. and many more.
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| Sat Jul 23, 2005 3:59 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Scott V. wrote: @ xiayun and Eagle.
I read on BOG that March of the Penguins got only $900,000 on Friday, meaning that $3 million is pretty much the upper limit. I'm pretty sure xiayun already knew that. Someone has already posted the $900,000 figure, in the numbers thread. With a $900,000 friday, I would say it will get closer to a $3.5 million weekend, than a $3 million weekend. Just look at the films past weekend multipliers.
PEACE, Mike 
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| Sat Jul 23, 2005 4:01 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Scott V. wrote: @ xiayun and Eagle.
I read on BOG that March of the Penguins got only $900,000 on Friday, meaning that $3 million is pretty much the upper limit. Scott, March of the Penguins has never had a internal multiplier which is lower than 3.9. Last weekend it increased 86.5% on Saturday and dropped only 9.1% for an insane multiplier of 4.56. I don't expect it to be that high again with the expansion, but its Sunday hold has been great every weekend, so it will only need 60% increase on Saturday to reach 3.5M for the weekend. Its audience has been very adult oriented. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Jul 23, 2005 4:16 pm |
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