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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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RogueCommander wrote: mary wrote: "The Constant Gardener" also moves to Labor Day weekend (It will opens on wedensday, though)
Therefore, I will lower my "A Sound of Thunder" prediction
$800,000/ $1.6 million If a movie like Suspect Zero can open better then that after being delayed, and even The Great Raid with almost no advertising opened to $2-$3 million there is no way this will open to only $800,000. Apparently The Great Raid had tons and tons of advertising according to what I read here on the boards. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Mon Aug 15, 2005 3:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Mon Aug 15, 2005 7:42 am |
 
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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I think A Sound of Thunder will open with at least 5 million. It is an action film and has dinosaurs. If Warner even bothers to advertise it the film should draw an audience, even against Transporter 2 and other more high-profile films. I personally think it looks decent from the trailer (What a short trailer at a mere 1 minute).
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| Mon Aug 15, 2005 11:01 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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The Great Raid did have a lot of advertising, it just started late.
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| Mon Aug 15, 2005 12:49 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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Should have clarified, no early advertising. I expect A Sound of Thunder to get some good advertising soon.
_________________
See above.
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| Mon Aug 15, 2005 12:52 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
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Warner needs to pick up the pace for this film unless they actually want it to bomb. I have not seen the trailer in theatres or a single TV spot. I had to seek out the trailer on apple.com in order to see it.
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| Tue Aug 16, 2005 12:19 am |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
Posts: 1255
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"The Great Raid" is financed by Miramax itself, so Miramax have to give it somewhat good advertising.
"A Sound of Thunder" is financed by Franchise Pictures, which went bankrupt during the post-production of this movie. Warner Bros put up just 0% of the budget.
Therefore, Warner Bros has no reason to give it the good advertising; thet release it just want to fullfill their contractual obligation (based on the Warner Bros's deal with Franchise Pictures).
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| Tue Aug 16, 2005 4:44 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
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Still, one would think that they don't films they release to bomb since it doesn't reflect very good on their yearly market share and other such things.
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| Tue Aug 16, 2005 2:26 pm |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
Posts: 1255
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http://www.bradburychronicles.com/news.htm
" Ray Bradbury reports that an early screening of the Peter Hyams adaptation of A Sound of Thunder was spectacular. " They added things to my story that made it even better." A rare and unusual admission by an author to say the least! "
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| Wed Aug 17, 2005 3:24 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Hehehe
Is the book that bad?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Aug 17, 2005 9:05 am |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Hehehe
Is the book that bad? You can see the short story in here
http://www.moviefans.de/a-z/s/sound-of- ... story.html
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| Fri Aug 19, 2005 9:41 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
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I still haven't seen a single TV spot let alone a trailer for the film and it opens in two weeks. There's little chance that this doesn't tank now. It MIGHT manage 4-5 million opening weekend if it's lucky. Too bad because the online trailer presents what looks like an interesting sci-fi premise with decent action.
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| Fri Aug 19, 2005 10:07 pm |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
Posts: 1255
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Joe wrote: I still haven't seen a single TV spot let alone a trailer for the film and it opens in two weeks. There's little chance that this doesn't tank now. It MIGHT manage 4-5 million opening weekend if it's lucky. Too bad because the online trailer presents what looks like an interesting sci-fi premise with decent action. I think that it won't be lucky to manage 4-5 million total....
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| Fri Aug 19, 2005 10:30 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
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mary wrote: Joe wrote: I still haven't seen a single TV spot let alone a trailer for the film and it opens in two weeks. There's little chance that this doesn't tank now. It MIGHT manage 4-5 million opening weekend if it's lucky. Too bad because the online trailer presents what looks like an interesting sci-fi premise with decent action. I think that it won't be lucky to manage 4-5 million total.... What kind of theatre count do you think the film is likely to receive?
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| Fri Aug 19, 2005 10:32 pm |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
Posts: 1255
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Joe wrote: mary wrote: Joe wrote: I still haven't seen a single TV spot let alone a trailer for the film and it opens in two weeks. There's little chance that this doesn't tank now. It MIGHT manage 4-5 million opening weekend if it's lucky. Too bad because the online trailer presents what looks like an interesting sci-fi premise with decent action. I think that it won't be lucky to manage 4-5 million total.... What kind of theatre count do you think the film is likely to receive? I predict about 1000 theaters.
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| Fri Aug 19, 2005 10:33 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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It will get more than 1,500 theatres. If Supercross managed that, Sound of Thunder will as well.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Aug 19, 2005 10:34 pm |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
Posts: 1255
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From IMDB message board - (Mon Aug 22 2005 13:55:00)
Quote: I am on the west coast and hacve seen numerous commercials for this during the 6PM to 10PM time...and throughout the weekend on various channels.
Because of those commercials, I am interested in seeing this film. This was one of my favorite short stories when I was a kid -- and I have seen tons of folks do some part of it... its nice to finally get an "unbasterdized" version (I hope anyway) of it.
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 1:45 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Current tracking has this film at $10 million opening weekend.
Yikes.
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 2:25 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
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10 million? Not going to happen. I still have yet to see a single TV spot.
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 2:34 am |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
Posts: 1255
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Personally, I think that REEL SOURCE tracking is unreliable.
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 4:44 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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I've seen some TV ads, and I gotta say they don't look half bad. I wouldn't be surprised if it opened around 10 million if it's in over 2,000 theaters.
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 5:01 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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MovieDude wrote: I've seen some TV ads, and I gotta say they don't look half bad. I wouldn't be surprised if it opened around 10 million if it's in over 2,000 theaters. It'd need at least 2,600 theatres because no way it is getting a PTA better than Stealth, hehe.
Personally, I see something around Timeline's numbers, maybe a bit worse. $5-7 million for the opening. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 6:17 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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mary wrote: Personally, I think that REEL SOURCE tracking is unreliable. You're sure against this movie. 
It's still going to open higher than your $1 million prediction, though.
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 11:16 am |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
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Location: Awaiting my fate
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Zingaling wrote: You're sure against this movie. It's still going to open higher than your $1 million prediction, though. Actually, mary is predicting $800,000 opening. 
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 2:05 pm |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
Posts: 1255
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RogueCommander wrote: Zingaling wrote: You're sure against this movie. It's still going to open higher than your $1 million prediction, though. Actually, mary is predicting $800,000 opening. I'm not against this movie  In fact, I'm [tracking] this movie for a while and I can't wait to see it....
PS: "Underclassman" is now a limited release.
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 7:19 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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mary wrote: I'm not against this movie In fact, I'm [tracking] this movie for a while and I can't wait to see it.... PS: "Underclassman" is now a limited release. Hmmm..if that's true, that is pretty stupid. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Aug 23, 2005 7:59 pm |
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