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 Friday Numbers from HSX and SBD on Pg.2 
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Extraordinary

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Charlie killed every family film.


Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:21 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
The fact that Madagascar and Bewitched dropped from yesterday is quite surprising...


...yet entirely deserving!


Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:21 pm
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Well im a bit dissapointed in CATCF, yes that sounds weird, but I was thinking more like 25m, but I hope theres a chance it increases today atleast 10%

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:22 pm
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College Boy Z

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By the way, this weekend is going to beat the same weekend last year.

This Year: $49,060,000 (Charlie and the Chocolate Factory)
Last Year: $44,244,012 (I, Robot)


Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:22 pm
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Oh btw :laugh: at F4, BKB, I guess F4 turned out to be the next Hulk.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:22 pm
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Killuminati510 wrote:
Oh btw :laugh: at F4, BKB, I guess F4 turned out to be the next Hulk.


Moreso than Batman Begins, which BKB had predicted to be the next "Hulk".

Looks like it's not this year's "POTC".

:laugh:


Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:24 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
By the way, this weekend is going to beat the same weekend last year.

This Year: $49,060,000 (Charlie and the Chocolate Factory)
Last Year: $44,244,012 (I, Robot)
If I,Robot can increase over 6% on Saturday theres no way CATCF cant increase atleast 10%, even with a Harry Potter book out.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:25 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
Killuminati510 wrote:
Oh btw :laugh: at F4, BKB, I guess F4 turned out to be the next Hulk.


Moreso than Batman Begins, which BKB had predicted to be the next "Hulk".

Looks like it's not this year's "POTC".

:laugh:
I wonder what it's total will be? Can it even beat out Hulk now?

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:26 pm
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College Boy Z

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Killuminati510 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
By the way, this weekend is going to beat the same weekend last year.

This Year: $49,060,000 (Charlie and the Chocolate Factory)
Last Year: $44,244,012 (I, Robot)
If I,Robot can increase over 6% on Saturday theres no way CATCF cant increase atleast 10%, even with a Harry Potter book out.


I was thinking the same thing.

On a non-HP6 weekend, I'm sure Charlie would have increased well over 25%.

So, a 10% increase on Saturday, plus a 25% drop on Sunday, should lead to a $60 million opening weekend.


Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:27 pm
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College Boy Z

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Killuminati510 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
Killuminati510 wrote:
Oh btw :laugh: at F4, BKB, I guess F4 turned out to be the next Hulk.


Moreso than Batman Begins, which BKB had predicted to be the next "Hulk".

Looks like it's not this year's "POTC".

:laugh:
I wonder what it's total will be? Can it even beat out Hulk now?


It's should beat out Hulk, but it won't top $140 million at this point.


Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:29 pm
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A couple of points:

-Of course the hold overs would be more impacted by CATCF and WC than WOTW and FF, because they took up so many screens moving everyone else into smaller screens. That is why all the holdovers fell so much because last week they were playing in 250 seater now 180 or 125 into 85. Even if you sell out you will have a 40% drop.

-WOTW will have a bad drop next week as it moves down the totem poll. It didn't lose nearly as much screen capacity as MSM and BB and it still fell over 50%. Probably will not make $215m. BB probably won't make $200m.

-BB will not fall behind MMS until Monday at least and most likely Tuesday. Sat and Sun are its strongest dates.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:31 pm
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mdana wrote:
A couple of points:

-Of course the hold overs would be more impacted by CATCF and WC than WOTW and FF, because they took up so many screens moving everyone else into smaller screens. That is why all the holdovers fell so much because last week they were playing in 250 seater now 180 or 125 into 85. Even if you sell out you will have a 40% drop.

-WOTW will have a bad drop next week as it moves down the totem poll. It didn't lose nearly as much screen capacity as MSM and BB and it still fell over 50%. Probably will not make $215m. BB probably won't make $200m.

-BB will not fall behind MMS until Monday at least and most likely Tuesday. Sat and Sun are its strongest dates.


Im certain that if BB tops at near 195 million, WB will add more theaters to jack it up to 200 million so you may have a point there that BB wont make 200 million but I cant see it stopping below 195 million. It only needs 18 million more after sunday ends


Last edited by El Maskado on Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:35 pm
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College Boy Z

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Week 1: $77,412,492
Week 2: $30,964,996 (-60%)
Week 3: $15,482,498 (-50%)
Week 4: $7,741,249 (-50%)
Week 5: $3,870,624 (-50%)

These weekly drops are slightly better than Hulk (66%, 55%, 54%, 57%). With this, Fantastic Four would have about $135 million total, with only about another few million left in it. If it makes $140 million at all, it'll be just barely, with $141 million.


Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:35 pm
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mdana wrote:
A couple of points:

-Of course the hold overs would be more impacted by CATCF and WC than WOTW and FF, because they took up so many screens moving everyone else into smaller screens. That is why all the holdovers fell so much because last week they were playing in 250 seater now 180 or 125 into 85. Even if you sell out you will have a 40% drop.

-WOTW will have a bad drop next week as it moves down the totem poll. It didn't lose nearly as much screen capacity as MSM and BB and it still fell over 50%. Probably will not make $215m. BB probably won't make $200m.

-BB will not fall behind MMS until Monday at least and most likely Tuesday. Sat and Sun are its strongest dates.


WOTW is a lock on making more than 215mill.


Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:00 pm
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BB legs are not impressive without IMAX.

Smiths are very impressive. From here they might outgross BB.

F4 - :laugh: Maybe they will not make the sequel to F4. May be called F8.

WC seem to have very good WOM. Couple of my friends said it was hilarious.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:17 pm
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neo_wolf wrote:
mdana wrote:
A couple of points:

-Of course the hold overs would be more impacted by CATCF and WC than WOTW and FF, because they took up so many screens moving everyone else into smaller screens. That is why all the holdovers fell so much because last week they were playing in 250 seater now 180 or 125 into 85. Even if you sell out you will have a 40% drop.

-WOTW will have a bad drop next week as it moves down the totem poll. It didn't lose nearly as much screen capacity as MSM and BB and it still fell over 50%. Probably will not make $215m. BB probably won't make $200m.

-BB will not fall behind MMS until Monday at least and most likely Tuesday. Sat and Sun are its strongest dates.


WOTW is a lock on making more than 215mill.


I might be mistaken, but weren't you the one comparing it to Signs on Wednesday and how WOTW only dropped 3% compared to Signs -12% (not mentioning that Signs went up the day before when WOTW dropped). Well WOTW is making $1.6m less than Signs on the comparable Friday or 72.7%. Signs made another $89m from this point on, but it had weekend drops of 34.3, 26.2, and 5.9% for the its 3rd through 5th weekends. WOTW is looking at a minimum of 50% drops its 3rd through 5th weekends. It may weeze by $215m, but it is no lock.

I may be overly pessimistic on BB, but I think the loss of Imax screens is impacting its drops from 35-45% to 45-50%. That will stunt its march to $200m.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:19 pm
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Batman Begins lost its IMAX screens to the WB's own CatCF, hurting its drops. Still, the film had an impressive run and is going to be in the top ten for another week or two after this weekend.


Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:24 pm
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Extraordinary

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mdana wrote:
neo_wolf wrote:
mdana wrote:
A couple of points:

-Of course the hold overs would be more impacted by CATCF and WC than WOTW and FF, because they took up so many screens moving everyone else into smaller screens. That is why all the holdovers fell so much because last week they were playing in 250 seater now 180 or 125 into 85. Even if you sell out you will have a 40% drop.

-WOTW will have a bad drop next week as it moves down the totem poll. It didn't lose nearly as much screen capacity as MSM and BB and it still fell over 50%. Probably will not make $215m. BB probably won't make $200m.

-BB will not fall behind MMS until Monday at least and most likely Tuesday. Sat and Sun are its strongest dates.


WOTW is a lock on making more than 215mill.


I might be mistaken, but weren't you the one comparing it to Signs on Wednesday and how WOTW only dropped 3% compared to Signs -12% (not mentioning that Signs went up the day before when WOTW dropped). Well WOTW is making $1.6m less than Signs on the comparable Friday or 72.7%. Signs made another $89m from this point on, but it had weekend drops of 34.3, 26.2, and 5.9% for the its 3rd through 5th weekends. WOTW is looking at a minimum of 50% drops its 3rd through 5th weekends. It may weeze by $215m, but it is no lock.

I may be overly pessimistic on BB, but I think the loss of Imax screens is impacting its drops from 35-45% to 45-50%. That will stunt its march to $200m.


I was comparing its weekdays to signs,but i had predicted a 17.2mill weekend for WOTW(a 43.4% drop)i wasent comparing it to signs weekends.


Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:25 pm
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People think too much about IMAX, BB having a smaller increase then usual might have something to do with losing 530 theaters, it's still in IMAX screens and anyways how much would that actually account for anyways? It made 1.4m from July 1st to Monday July 4th, that was awhile ago, by now its digits would be much smaller anyways. Sure it hurt it a bit, but it's still tracking better then Batman Forever daily and has an 18m advantage over it, so if Forever could make another 24m in it's run, then so can BB. It'll finish around 205m.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:28 pm
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it's a Saturday afternoon miracle

http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:34 pm
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F4 lol

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:40 pm
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Fantastic Four takes 9 days to make what X2 made in 3 days.

War of the Worlds will be the 60th movie to make $200 Million or more.

Batman Begins will be the 2nd highest grossing Batman movie.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:47 pm
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Nice for the new openers. Pretty bad for F4. It should be possible to push Batman over 200.
The Smiths are my surprise hit of the year so far.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:58 pm
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Post saturday increase on CATCF?
should be VERY VERY interesting to see if CATCF can do a saturday increase. will it be a kids move with high IM, or Burton/Depp Fan boy flick that is frontloaded? how much will Harry Potter book affect Saturday #'s? Also, how much of that 20.5 (BOM numbers) was from midnight shows? I'm guessing 1.5 million? I think it will do Fri (20.5), Sat (20.5), Sun (17) for a total of 58 Million.


Sat Jul 16, 2005 5:10 pm
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Wow! Impressive numbers for Wedding Crashers!


Sat Jul 16, 2005 5:38 pm
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