Friday Numbers from HSX and SBD on Pg.2
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 10909
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Charlie killed every family film.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:21 pm |
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Dkmuto
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 1:00 am Posts: 6502
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Zingaling wrote: The fact that Madagascar and Bewitched dropped from yesterday is quite surprising...
...yet entirely deserving!
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:21 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Well im a bit dissapointed in CATCF, yes that sounds weird, but I was thinking more like 25m, but I hope theres a chance it increases today atleast 10%
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:22 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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By the way, this weekend is going to beat the same weekend last year.
This Year: $49,060,000 (Charlie and the Chocolate Factory)
Last Year: $44,244,012 (I, Robot)
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:22 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Oh btw :laugh: at F4, BKB, I guess F4 turned out to be the next Hulk.
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:22 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Killuminati510 wrote: Oh btw :laugh: at F4, BKB, I guess F4 turned out to be the next Hulk.
Moreso than Batman Begins, which BKB had predicted to be the next " Hulk".
Looks like it's not this year's " POTC".
:laugh:
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:24 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Zingaling wrote: By the way, this weekend is going to beat the same weekend last year.
This Year: $49,060,000 (Charlie and the Chocolate Factory) Last Year: $44,244,012 (I, Robot) If I,Robot can increase over 6% on Saturday theres no way CATCF cant increase atleast 10%, even with a Harry Potter book out.
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:25 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Zingaling wrote: Killuminati510 wrote: Oh btw :laugh: at F4, BKB, I guess F4 turned out to be the next Hulk. Moreso than Batman Begins, which BKB had predicted to be the next " Hulk". Looks like it's not this year's " POTC". :laugh: I wonder what it's total will be? Can it even beat out Hulk now?
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:26 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Killuminati510 wrote: Zingaling wrote: By the way, this weekend is going to beat the same weekend last year.
This Year: $49,060,000 (Charlie and the Chocolate Factory) Last Year: $44,244,012 (I, Robot) If I,Robot can increase over 6% on Saturday theres no way CATCF cant increase atleast 10%, even with a Harry Potter book out.
I was thinking the same thing.
On a non- HP6 weekend, I'm sure Charlie would have increased well over 25%.
So, a 10% increase on Saturday, plus a 25% drop on Sunday, should lead to a $60 million opening weekend.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:27 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Killuminati510 wrote: Zingaling wrote: Killuminati510 wrote: Oh btw :laugh: at F4, BKB, I guess F4 turned out to be the next Hulk. Moreso than Batman Begins, which BKB had predicted to be the next " Hulk". Looks like it's not this year's " POTC". :laugh: I wonder what it's total will be? Can it even beat out Hulk now?
It's should beat out Hulk, but it won't top $140 million at this point.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:29 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004
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A couple of points:
-Of course the hold overs would be more impacted by CATCF and WC than WOTW and FF, because they took up so many screens moving everyone else into smaller screens. That is why all the holdovers fell so much because last week they were playing in 250 seater now 180 or 125 into 85. Even if you sell out you will have a 40% drop.
-WOTW will have a bad drop next week as it moves down the totem poll. It didn't lose nearly as much screen capacity as MSM and BB and it still fell over 50%. Probably will not make $215m. BB probably won't make $200m.
-BB will not fall behind MMS until Monday at least and most likely Tuesday. Sat and Sun are its strongest dates.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:31 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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mdana wrote: A couple of points:
-Of course the hold overs would be more impacted by CATCF and WC than WOTW and FF, because they took up so many screens moving everyone else into smaller screens. That is why all the holdovers fell so much because last week they were playing in 250 seater now 180 or 125 into 85. Even if you sell out you will have a 40% drop.
-WOTW will have a bad drop next week as it moves down the totem poll. It didn't lose nearly as much screen capacity as MSM and BB and it still fell over 50%. Probably will not make $215m. BB probably won't make $200m.
-BB will not fall behind MMS until Monday at least and most likely Tuesday. Sat and Sun are its strongest dates.
Im certain that if BB tops at near 195 million, WB will add more theaters to jack it up to 200 million so you may have a point there that BB wont make 200 million but I cant see it stopping below 195 million. It only needs 18 million more after sunday ends
Last edited by El Maskado on Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:35 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Week 1: $77,412,492
Week 2: $30,964,996 (-60%)
Week 3: $15,482,498 (-50%)
Week 4: $7,741,249 (-50%)
Week 5: $3,870,624 (-50%)
These weekly drops are slightly better than Hulk (66%, 55%, 54%, 57%). With this, Fantastic Four would have about $135 million total, with only about another few million left in it. If it makes $140 million at all, it'll be just barely, with $141 million.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:35 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 10909
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mdana wrote: A couple of points:
-Of course the hold overs would be more impacted by CATCF and WC than WOTW and FF, because they took up so many screens moving everyone else into smaller screens. That is why all the holdovers fell so much because last week they were playing in 250 seater now 180 or 125 into 85. Even if you sell out you will have a 40% drop.
-WOTW will have a bad drop next week as it moves down the totem poll. It didn't lose nearly as much screen capacity as MSM and BB and it still fell over 50%. Probably will not make $215m. BB probably won't make $200m.
-BB will not fall behind MMS until Monday at least and most likely Tuesday. Sat and Sun are its strongest dates.
WOTW is a lock on making more than 215mill.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:00 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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BB legs are not impressive without IMAX.
Smiths are very impressive. From here they might outgross BB.
F4 - :laugh: Maybe they will not make the sequel to F4. May be called F8.
WC seem to have very good WOM. Couple of my friends said it was hilarious.
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:17 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004
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neo_wolf wrote: mdana wrote: A couple of points:
-Of course the hold overs would be more impacted by CATCF and WC than WOTW and FF, because they took up so many screens moving everyone else into smaller screens. That is why all the holdovers fell so much because last week they were playing in 250 seater now 180 or 125 into 85. Even if you sell out you will have a 40% drop.
-WOTW will have a bad drop next week as it moves down the totem poll. It didn't lose nearly as much screen capacity as MSM and BB and it still fell over 50%. Probably will not make $215m. BB probably won't make $200m.
-BB will not fall behind MMS until Monday at least and most likely Tuesday. Sat and Sun are its strongest dates. WOTW is a lock on making more than 215mill.
I might be mistaken, but weren't you the one comparing it to Signs on Wednesday and how WOTW only dropped 3% compared to Signs -12% (not mentioning that Signs went up the day before when WOTW dropped). Well WOTW is making $1.6m less than Signs on the comparable Friday or 72.7%. Signs made another $89m from this point on, but it had weekend drops of 34.3, 26.2, and 5.9% for the its 3rd through 5th weekends. WOTW is looking at a minimum of 50% drops its 3rd through 5th weekends. It may weeze by $215m, but it is no lock.
I may be overly pessimistic on BB, but I think the loss of Imax screens is impacting its drops from 35-45% to 45-50%. That will stunt its march to $200m.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:19 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Batman Begins lost its IMAX screens to the WB's own CatCF, hurting its drops. Still, the film had an impressive run and is going to be in the top ten for another week or two after this weekend.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:24 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 10909
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mdana wrote: neo_wolf wrote: mdana wrote: A couple of points:
-Of course the hold overs would be more impacted by CATCF and WC than WOTW and FF, because they took up so many screens moving everyone else into smaller screens. That is why all the holdovers fell so much because last week they were playing in 250 seater now 180 or 125 into 85. Even if you sell out you will have a 40% drop.
-WOTW will have a bad drop next week as it moves down the totem poll. It didn't lose nearly as much screen capacity as MSM and BB and it still fell over 50%. Probably will not make $215m. BB probably won't make $200m.
-BB will not fall behind MMS until Monday at least and most likely Tuesday. Sat and Sun are its strongest dates. WOTW is a lock on making more than 215mill. I might be mistaken, but weren't you the one comparing it to Signs on Wednesday and how WOTW only dropped 3% compared to Signs -12% (not mentioning that Signs went up the day before when WOTW dropped). Well WOTW is making $1.6m less than Signs on the comparable Friday or 72.7%. Signs made another $89m from this point on, but it had weekend drops of 34.3, 26.2, and 5.9% for the its 3rd through 5th weekends. WOTW is looking at a minimum of 50% drops its 3rd through 5th weekends. It may weeze by $215m, but it is no lock. I may be overly pessimistic on BB, but I think the loss of Imax screens is impacting its drops from 35-45% to 45-50%. That will stunt its march to $200m.
I was comparing its weekdays to signs,but i had predicted a 17.2mill weekend for WOTW(a 43.4% drop)i wasent comparing it to signs weekends.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:25 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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People think too much about IMAX, BB having a smaller increase then usual might have something to do with losing 530 theaters, it's still in IMAX screens and anyways how much would that actually account for anyways? It made 1.4m from July 1st to Monday July 4th, that was awhile ago, by now its digits would be much smaller anyways. Sure it hurt it a bit, but it's still tracking better then Batman Forever daily and has an 18m advantage over it, so if Forever could make another 24m in it's run, then so can BB. It'll finish around 205m.
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:28 pm |
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Ghostooze
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm Posts: 1406
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:34 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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F4 lol
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:40 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Fantastic Four takes 9 days to make what X2 made in 3 days.
War of the Worlds will be the 60th movie to make $200 Million or more.
Batman Begins will be the 2nd highest grossing Batman movie.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:47 pm |
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FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am Posts: 9808 Location: Suisse
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Nice for the new openers. Pretty bad for F4. It should be possible to push Batman over 200.
The Smiths are my surprise hit of the year so far.
_________________Libs wrote: FILMO, I'd rather have you eat chocolate syrup off my naked body than be a moderator here.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:58 pm |
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mrstupor
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Sat May 07, 2005 8:37 am Posts: 51
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saturday increase on CATCF?
should be VERY VERY interesting to see if CATCF can do a saturday increase. will it be a kids move with high IM, or Burton/Depp Fan boy flick that is frontloaded? how much will Harry Potter book affect Saturday #'s? Also, how much of that 20.5 (BOM numbers) was from midnight shows? I'm guessing 1.5 million? I think it will do Fri (20.5), Sat (20.5), Sun (17) for a total of 58 Million.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 5:10 pm |
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Star Wars
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Apr 02, 2005 1:18 pm Posts: 1638 Location: Alderaan
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Wow! Impressive numbers for Wedding Crashers!
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 5:38 pm |
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