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 7/22 Estimates and Predictions 
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Post 7/22 Estimates and Predictions
The Bad News Bears (2005) (Paramount) / 3,000

The Island (DreamWorks) / 2,800

The Devil's Rejects (Lions Gate) / 1,500+

Hustle and Flow (Paramount Classics) / 1,000

Must Love Dogs (Warner Bros.) / 800 sneaks on 7/23

March of the Penguins (Warner Independent) / 500+

Viruddh (UTV Communications) / 40

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9. The Lobster
10. Hell or High Water


Last edited by movies35 on Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:20 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:05 pm
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change the date to 7/22 ;)

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Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:07 pm
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Nice number for MARCH OF THE PENGUINS, yesterday I saw two tv spots, I was quite surprised. I think THE ISLAND will go up a bit, hopefully it will get 3000+ theaters. BAD NEWS BEARS is too high, I hope it crashes and burns :wink: THE DEVIL'S REJECTS better go up, all my town has it a ten screen theater now because the other four screen closed, if it doesn't go up, my theater probably won't get ot :cry:

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Top 10 Films of 2016

1. La La Land
2. Other People
3. Nocturnal Animals
4. Swiss Army Man
5. Manchester by the Sea
6. The Edge of Seventeen
7. Sing Street
8. Indignation
9. The Lobster
10. Hell or High Water


Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:08 pm
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revolutions wrote:
change the date to 7/22 ;)


Whoops :wink:

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Top 10 Films of 2016

1. La La Land
2. Other People
3. Nocturnal Animals
4. Swiss Army Man
5. Manchester by the Sea
6. The Edge of Seventeen
7. Sing Street
8. Indignation
9. The Lobster
10. Hell or High Water


Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:08 pm
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The Bad News Bears $15M

The Island $38M

The Devil's Rejects $8M

Hustle and Flow $20M

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Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:12 pm
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THE BAD NEWS BEARS - I think this should make just as much as HARDBALL did, maybe about $50 million overall though and a better opening.
$21 million

THE ISLAND - It should do okay and it will have really small drops, older people will flock to it, I think.
$16 million

THE DEVIL'S REJECTS - Should do good, the first has a huge following, believe it or not, people do love it. With the good reviews and positive reaction this is getting, it should have no problem to have a great opening.
$14 million

HUSTLE AND FLOW - I just can't see this doing that great. It looks awful. Even with the good reviews, I doubt it will draw that many people.
$9 million

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Top 10 Films of 2016

1. La La Land
2. Other People
3. Nocturnal Animals
4. Swiss Army Man
5. Manchester by the Sea
6. The Edge of Seventeen
7. Sing Street
8. Indignation
9. The Lobster
10. Hell or High Water


Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:18 pm
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movies35 wrote:
THE ISLAND - It should do okay and it will have really small drops, older people will flock to it, I think.
$16 million
Strike that, reserve it. Michael Bay movies always have huge openings and bad drops.


Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:20 pm
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Flava'd‡ wrote:
movies35 wrote:
THE ISLAND - It should do okay and it will have really small drops, older people will flock to it, I think.
$16 million
Strike that, reserve it. Michael Bay movies always have huge openings and bad drops.


No matter how much I want to see it, the estimate isn't that great, if it is anywhere close to that, I wouldn't expect a "great" opening. A lot of people that have seen it say it's GREAT, so it should have very good word of mouth.

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Top 10 Films of 2016

1. La La Land
2. Other People
3. Nocturnal Animals
4. Swiss Army Man
5. Manchester by the Sea
6. The Edge of Seventeen
7. Sing Street
8. Indignation
9. The Lobster
10. Hell or High Water


Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:22 pm
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Bad News Bears will do 'School of Rock' numbers me thinks.


Fri Jul 15, 2005 11:16 pm
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The Island should do fairly well opening weekend, even if it is in only 2800 theaters. Michael Bay has a huge following, but this could be one of his lower opening films. The marketing campaign has been very odd with numerous different trailers but until recently nothing that was truely defined.

Regardless of that, it should open with at least $35 million, though closer to $50 million isn't out of the question. As I've stated before, it has a very good moral/social context and could generate some good WOM. It isn't Bay's best offering, but it is still good enough that it certainly won't bomb.

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Fri Jul 15, 2005 11:26 pm
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The Island: $34 million (I'm hoping this does a lot more, but the odds are against it...)
The Bad News Bears: $18 million
Hustle & Flow: $11 million
The Devil's Rejects: $8 million

In truth, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory has an excellent chance of staying #1 for two straight weekends. It's heading towards a $60-65 million weekend, and even if it drops 50%, it should still be over $30 million.

C'mon, The Island! [-o<


Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:27 am
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Im pretty sure that the theater count would increase for Hustle & Flow (gotta increase the body count due to shooting in the theaters *BAD ROID BAD JOKE :xena: * ). It really does look like theres a high tracking record for the movie and could play like a smaller version of Fast and the Furious. If the theater count increases by another 500, Im bumping it to 18 million

Theater count seems kind of low for the Island. I guess about 32-35 million


Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:41 am
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The Island $38M
Bad News Bears $27M
Devil's Rejects $3M

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:14 am
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Predicts:
The Island - 35-40 million
The Devil's Rejects - 10 million (This will be far too gruesome and sick for wide acceptance, much like the original)
Bad News Bears - 18 million


Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:31 am
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jb007 wrote:
Devil's Rejects $3M


With that high of a theatre count and Zombie's following there's slim to none chance that the film will open that low. I originally thought that it might do 'High Tension' numbers which would be around your prediction but the theatre count and promotion has been too heavy for that to occur.


Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:33 am
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Joe wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Devil's Rejects $3M


With that high of a theatre count and Zombie's following there's slim to none chance that the film will open that low. I originally thought that it might do 'High Tension' numbers which would be around your prediction but the theatre count and promotion has been too heavy for that to occur.


During the peak of summer season, I don't see much interest other than from the small band of his hardcore fans.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:45 am
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jb007 wrote:
Joe wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Devil's Rejects $3M


With that high of a theatre count and Zombie's following there's slim to none chance that the film will open that low. I originally thought that it might do 'High Tension' numbers which would be around your prediction but the theatre count and promotion has been too heavy for that to occur.


During the peak of summer season, I don't see much interest other than from the small band of his hardcore fans.


House of 1000 Corpses opened to $4 million in around 500 theaters. I can't see less than that for The Devil's Rejects.


Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:47 am
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Zingaling wrote:

House of 1000 Corpses opened to $4 million in around 500 theaters. I can't see less than that for The Devil's Rejects.


Not $4M but $3.4M :razz:

High Tension made $1.8M from 1323 theaters. So higher TC will not be a big factor.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:49 am
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But 'High Tension' was in French (Lions Gate tried to hide it through trailers and TV spots devoid of dialogue but audiences aren't complete idiots and those who read reviews would know as well as those who were told by others). It still holds true that the general audience hates to read subtitles, effectively killing 'High Tension's' chances at the box office.

Not helping matters were the large number of people who saw the film through bootlegs and imports, not nearly as much of a concern for 'The Devil's Rejects' which is also bolstered by Zombie's name, bigger than anything 'High Tension' could claim to have going for it. Plus, unlike 'High Tension,' the film isn't rehashing 'The Texas Chainsaw Massacre' (At least it doesn't look as much like it is), a theme I think people don't care for unless the film is called 'The Texas Chainsaw Massacre.' This is something 'The Devil's Rejects' has over House of 1K Corpses, which DID look like a TCM rip-off.


Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:04 am
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Joe wrote:
But 'High Tension' was in French (Lions Gate tried to hide it through trailers and TV spots devoid of dialogue but audiences aren't complete idiots and those who read reviews would know as well as those who were told by others). It still holds true that the general audience hates to read subtitles, effectively killing 'High Tension's' chances at the box office.

Not helping matters were the large number of people who saw the film through bootlegs and imports, not nearly as much of a concern for 'The Devil's Rejects' which is also bolstered by Zombie's name, bigger than anything 'High Tension' could claim to have going for it. Plus, unlike 'High Tension,' the film isn't rehashing 'The Texas Chainsaw Massacre' (At least it doesn't look as much like it is), a theme I think people don't care for unless the film is called 'The Texas Chainsaw Massacre.' This is something 'The Devil's Rejects' has over House of 1K Corpses, which DID look like a TCM rip-off.


High Tension was dubbed into English. There were no subtitiles.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:06 am
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jb007 wrote:
Joe wrote:
But 'High Tension' was in French (Lions Gate tried to hide it through trailers and TV spots devoid of dialogue but audiences aren't complete idiots and those who read reviews would know as well as those who were told by others). It still holds true that the general audience hates to read subtitles, effectively killing 'High Tension's' chances at the box office.

Not helping matters were the large number of people who saw the film through bootlegs and imports, not nearly as much of a concern for 'The Devil's Rejects' which is also bolstered by Zombie's name, bigger than anything 'High Tension' could claim to have going for it. Plus, unlike 'High Tension,' the film isn't rehashing 'The Texas Chainsaw Massacre' (At least it doesn't look as much like it is), a theme I think people don't care for unless the film is called 'The Texas Chainsaw Massacre.' This is something 'The Devil's Rejects' has over House of 1K Corpses, which DID look like a TCM rip-off.


High Tension was dubbed into English. There were no subtitiles.


As anyone who saw the film can attest, subtitles were still present, along with the all too obvious dubbing which in itself hurts the film's perception to audiences.


Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:08 am
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Joe wrote:

As anyone who saw the film can attest, subtitles were still present, along with the all too obvious dubbing which in itself hurts the film's perception to audiences.


I saw the stupid movie and there were NO sub-titles.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:12 am
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jb007 wrote:
Joe wrote:

As anyone who saw the film can attest, subtitles were still present, along with the all too obvious dubbing which in itself hurts the film's perception to audiences.


I saw the stupid movie and there were NO sub-titles.


The first fifteen minutes is dubbed, the last five minutes is dubbed. Everything else is in subtitles. Did you see the film in theaters? He's talking about the version in THEATERS.

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Top 10 Films of 2016

1. La La Land
2. Other People
3. Nocturnal Animals
4. Swiss Army Man
5. Manchester by the Sea
6. The Edge of Seventeen
7. Sing Street
8. Indignation
9. The Lobster
10. Hell or High Water


Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:18 am
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movies35 wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Joe wrote:

As anyone who saw the film can attest, subtitles were still present, along with the all too obvious dubbing which in itself hurts the film's perception to audiences.


I saw the stupid movie and there were NO sub-titles.


The first fifteen minutes is dubbed, the last five minutes is dubbed. Everything else is in subtitles. Did you see the film in theaters? He's talking about the version in THEATERS.


Yes I saw that piece of crap in a Peoria movie theater.

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Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:21 am
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movies35 wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Joe wrote:

As anyone who saw the film can attest, subtitles were still present, along with the all too obvious dubbing which in itself hurts the film's perception to audiences.


I saw the stupid movie and there were NO sub-titles.


The first fifteen minutes is dubbed, the last five minutes is dubbed. Everything else is in subtitles. Did you see the film in theaters? He's talking about the version in THEATERS.


Thanks for help clearing that up movies :grin:


Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:22 am
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