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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm Posts: 8626 Location: Syracuse, NY
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7/22 Estimates and Predictions
The Bad News Bears (2005) (Paramount) / 3,000
The Island (DreamWorks) / 2,800
The Devil's Rejects (Lions Gate) / 1,500+
Hustle and Flow (Paramount Classics) / 1,000
Must Love Dogs (Warner Bros.) / 800 sneaks on 7/23
March of the Penguins (Warner Independent) / 500+
Viruddh (UTV Communications) / 40
_________________ Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land 2. Other People 3. Nocturnal Animals 4. Swiss Army Man 5. Manchester by the Sea 6. The Edge of Seventeen 7. Sing Street 8. Indignation 9. The Lobster 10. Hell or High Water
Last edited by movies35 on Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:20 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:05 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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change the date to 7/22
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:07 pm |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm Posts: 8626 Location: Syracuse, NY
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Nice number for MARCH OF THE PENGUINS, yesterday I saw two tv spots, I was quite surprised. I think THE ISLAND will go up a bit, hopefully it will get 3000+ theaters. BAD NEWS BEARS is too high, I hope it crashes and burns :wink: THE DEVIL'S REJECTS better go up, all my town has it a ten screen theater now because the other four screen closed, if it doesn't go up, my theater probably won't get ot
_________________ Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land 2. Other People 3. Nocturnal Animals 4. Swiss Army Man 5. Manchester by the Sea 6. The Edge of Seventeen 7. Sing Street 8. Indignation 9. The Lobster 10. Hell or High Water
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Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:08 pm |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm Posts: 8626 Location: Syracuse, NY
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revolutions wrote: change the date to 7/22
Whoops :wink:
_________________ Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land 2. Other People 3. Nocturnal Animals 4. Swiss Army Man 5. Manchester by the Sea 6. The Edge of Seventeen 7. Sing Street 8. Indignation 9. The Lobster 10. Hell or High Water
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Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:08 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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The Bad News Bears $15M
The Island $38M
The Devil's Rejects $8M
Hustle and Flow $20M
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:12 pm |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm Posts: 8626 Location: Syracuse, NY
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THE BAD NEWS BEARS - I think this should make just as much as HARDBALL did, maybe about $50 million overall though and a better opening.
$21 million
THE ISLAND - It should do okay and it will have really small drops, older people will flock to it, I think.
$16 million
THE DEVIL'S REJECTS - Should do good, the first has a huge following, believe it or not, people do love it. With the good reviews and positive reaction this is getting, it should have no problem to have a great opening.
$14 million
HUSTLE AND FLOW - I just can't see this doing that great. It looks awful. Even with the good reviews, I doubt it will draw that many people.
$9 million
_________________ Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land 2. Other People 3. Nocturnal Animals 4. Swiss Army Man 5. Manchester by the Sea 6. The Edge of Seventeen 7. Sing Street 8. Indignation 9. The Lobster 10. Hell or High Water
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Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:18 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23787 Location: Classified
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movies35 wrote: THE ISLAND - It should do okay and it will have really small drops, older people will flock to it, I think. $16 million
Strike that, reserve it. Michael Bay movies always have huge openings and bad drops.
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Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:20 pm |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm Posts: 8626 Location: Syracuse, NY
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Flava'd‡ wrote: movies35 wrote: THE ISLAND - It should do okay and it will have really small drops, older people will flock to it, I think. $16 million
Strike that, reserve it. Michael Bay movies always have huge openings and bad drops.
No matter how much I want to see it, the estimate isn't that great, if it is anywhere close to that, I wouldn't expect a "great" opening. A lot of people that have seen it say it's GREAT, so it should have very good word of mouth.
_________________ Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land 2. Other People 3. Nocturnal Animals 4. Swiss Army Man 5. Manchester by the Sea 6. The Edge of Seventeen 7. Sing Street 8. Indignation 9. The Lobster 10. Hell or High Water
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Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:22 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Bad News Bears will do 'School of Rock' numbers me thinks.
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Fri Jul 15, 2005 11:16 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm Posts: 28110 Location: Awaiting my fate
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The Island should do fairly well opening weekend, even if it is in only 2800 theaters. Michael Bay has a huge following, but this could be one of his lower opening films. The marketing campaign has been very odd with numerous different trailers but until recently nothing that was truely defined.
Regardless of that, it should open with at least $35 million, though closer to $50 million isn't out of the question. As I've stated before, it has a very good moral/social context and could generate some good WOM. It isn't Bay's best offering, but it is still good enough that it certainly won't bomb.
_________________ See above.
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Fri Jul 15, 2005 11:26 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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The Island: $34 million (I'm hoping this does a lot more, but the odds are against it...)
The Bad News Bears: $18 million
Hustle & Flow: $11 million
The Devil's Rejects: $8 million
In truth, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory has an excellent chance of staying #1 for two straight weekends. It's heading towards a $60-65 million weekend, and even if it drops 50%, it should still be over $30 million.
C'mon, The Island! [-o<
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:27 am |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Im pretty sure that the theater count would increase for Hustle & Flow (gotta increase the body count due to shooting in the theaters *BAD ROID BAD JOKE :xena: * ). It really does look like theres a high tracking record for the movie and could play like a smaller version of Fast and the Furious. If the theater count increases by another 500, Im bumping it to 18 million
Theater count seems kind of low for the Island. I guess about 32-35 million
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:41 am |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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The Island $38M
Bad News Bears $27M
Devil's Rejects $3M
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:14 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Predicts:
The Island - 35-40 million
The Devil's Rejects - 10 million (This will be far too gruesome and sick for wide acceptance, much like the original)
Bad News Bears - 18 million
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:31 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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jb007 wrote: Devil's Rejects $3M
With that high of a theatre count and Zombie's following there's slim to none chance that the film will open that low. I originally thought that it might do 'High Tension' numbers which would be around your prediction but the theatre count and promotion has been too heavy for that to occur.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:33 am |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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Joe wrote: jb007 wrote: Devil's Rejects $3M With that high of a theatre count and Zombie's following there's slim to none chance that the film will open that low. I originally thought that it might do 'High Tension' numbers which would be around your prediction but the theatre count and promotion has been too heavy for that to occur.
During the peak of summer season, I don't see much interest other than from the small band of his hardcore fans.
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:45 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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jb007 wrote: Joe wrote: jb007 wrote: Devil's Rejects $3M With that high of a theatre count and Zombie's following there's slim to none chance that the film will open that low. I originally thought that it might do 'High Tension' numbers which would be around your prediction but the theatre count and promotion has been too heavy for that to occur. During the peak of summer season, I don't see much interest other than from the small band of his hardcore fans.
House of 1000 Corpses opened to $4 million in around 500 theaters. I can't see less than that for The Devil's Rejects.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:47 am |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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Zingaling wrote: House of 1000 Corpses opened to $4 million in around 500 theaters. I can't see less than that for The Devil's Rejects.
Not $4M but $3.4M :razz:
High Tension made $1.8M from 1323 theaters. So higher TC will not be a big factor.
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 1:49 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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But 'High Tension' was in French (Lions Gate tried to hide it through trailers and TV spots devoid of dialogue but audiences aren't complete idiots and those who read reviews would know as well as those who were told by others). It still holds true that the general audience hates to read subtitles, effectively killing 'High Tension's' chances at the box office.
Not helping matters were the large number of people who saw the film through bootlegs and imports, not nearly as much of a concern for 'The Devil's Rejects' which is also bolstered by Zombie's name, bigger than anything 'High Tension' could claim to have going for it. Plus, unlike 'High Tension,' the film isn't rehashing 'The Texas Chainsaw Massacre' (At least it doesn't look as much like it is), a theme I think people don't care for unless the film is called 'The Texas Chainsaw Massacre.' This is something 'The Devil's Rejects' has over House of 1K Corpses, which DID look like a TCM rip-off.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:04 am |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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Joe wrote: But 'High Tension' was in French (Lions Gate tried to hide it through trailers and TV spots devoid of dialogue but audiences aren't complete idiots and those who read reviews would know as well as those who were told by others). It still holds true that the general audience hates to read subtitles, effectively killing 'High Tension's' chances at the box office.
Not helping matters were the large number of people who saw the film through bootlegs and imports, not nearly as much of a concern for 'The Devil's Rejects' which is also bolstered by Zombie's name, bigger than anything 'High Tension' could claim to have going for it. Plus, unlike 'High Tension,' the film isn't rehashing 'The Texas Chainsaw Massacre' (At least it doesn't look as much like it is), a theme I think people don't care for unless the film is called 'The Texas Chainsaw Massacre.' This is something 'The Devil's Rejects' has over House of 1K Corpses, which DID look like a TCM rip-off.
High Tension was dubbed into English. There were no subtitiles.
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:06 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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jb007 wrote: Joe wrote: But 'High Tension' was in French (Lions Gate tried to hide it through trailers and TV spots devoid of dialogue but audiences aren't complete idiots and those who read reviews would know as well as those who were told by others). It still holds true that the general audience hates to read subtitles, effectively killing 'High Tension's' chances at the box office.
Not helping matters were the large number of people who saw the film through bootlegs and imports, not nearly as much of a concern for 'The Devil's Rejects' which is also bolstered by Zombie's name, bigger than anything 'High Tension' could claim to have going for it. Plus, unlike 'High Tension,' the film isn't rehashing 'The Texas Chainsaw Massacre' (At least it doesn't look as much like it is), a theme I think people don't care for unless the film is called 'The Texas Chainsaw Massacre.' This is something 'The Devil's Rejects' has over House of 1K Corpses, which DID look like a TCM rip-off. High Tension was dubbed into English. There were no subtitiles.
As anyone who saw the film can attest, subtitles were still present, along with the all too obvious dubbing which in itself hurts the film's perception to audiences.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:08 am |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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Joe wrote: As anyone who saw the film can attest, subtitles were still present, along with the all too obvious dubbing which in itself hurts the film's perception to audiences.
I saw the stupid movie and there were NO sub-titles.
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:12 am |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm Posts: 8626 Location: Syracuse, NY
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jb007 wrote: Joe wrote: As anyone who saw the film can attest, subtitles were still present, along with the all too obvious dubbing which in itself hurts the film's perception to audiences. I saw the stupid movie and there were NO sub-titles.
The first fifteen minutes is dubbed, the last five minutes is dubbed. Everything else is in subtitles. Did you see the film in theaters? He's talking about the version in THEATERS.
_________________ Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land 2. Other People 3. Nocturnal Animals 4. Swiss Army Man 5. Manchester by the Sea 6. The Edge of Seventeen 7. Sing Street 8. Indignation 9. The Lobster 10. Hell or High Water
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:18 am |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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movies35 wrote: jb007 wrote: Joe wrote: As anyone who saw the film can attest, subtitles were still present, along with the all too obvious dubbing which in itself hurts the film's perception to audiences. I saw the stupid movie and there were NO sub-titles. The first fifteen minutes is dubbed, the last five minutes is dubbed. Everything else is in subtitles. Did you see the film in theaters? He's talking about the version in THEATERS.
Yes I saw that piece of crap in a Peoria movie theater.
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:21 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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movies35 wrote: jb007 wrote: Joe wrote: As anyone who saw the film can attest, subtitles were still present, along with the all too obvious dubbing which in itself hurts the film's perception to audiences. I saw the stupid movie and there were NO sub-titles. The first fifteen minutes is dubbed, the last five minutes is dubbed. Everything else is in subtitles. Did you see the film in theaters? He's talking about the version in THEATERS.
Thanks for help clearing that up movies :grin:
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Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:22 am |
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