Trust me, Germans dig old-fashioned adventure flicks and that's what King Kong appears to be. I see it making around the same as POTC did.

I wonder if Harry Potter 4 can approach 3,000,000 admissions on its opening weekend...

You do realise that no movie has come close to 3,000,000 admissions on opening weekend....Harry Potter 1 despite all the hype managed only 2.590.464. It's going to be really tough i think.....2,500,000 is more probable.

1 2.590.464 1.226 2.113 01 Harry Potter 1 (WB)
2 2.489.952 1.249 1.994 02 Harry Potter 2 (WB)
3 2.164.909 899 2.408 04 (T)Raumschiff Surprise (NCO)
4 2.050.755 1.337 1.534 03 Der Herr der Ringe 3 (WB)
5 2.032.136 1.004 2.024 03 Findet Nemo (BV)
6 2.021.239 1.266 1.597 02 Der Herr der Ringe 2 (WB)
7 1.987.285 1.204 1.651 04 Harry Potter 3 (WB)
8 1.964.960 1.182 1.662 05 Die Rache der Sith (FOX)
9 1.954.972 885 2.209 97 Men in Black (COL)
10 1.918.566 885 2.168 96 Independence Day (FOX)

I want dollar figures darnit!

*small American mind cannot. compute. admissions*

Then again, Harry Potter 1 has beaten the previous record holder (Men in Black!) by 635,492 admissions (by 32.5%). Harry Potter 3 just needs to beat the record by 16% to manage that. Consiering minimal competition around that time, I also suppose it'll get at least as many theatres as ROTK, but most likely will even set a record with over 1,400 theatres. The hype will still be immense because of the new book. It will be very frontloaded, I think.

What happened in 2002 when Order of the Phoenix was released?

Order of the Pheonix was released in 2003, the year with no Harry Potter movie coming out, heh.

Interesting , though still, i don't see it beating Harry Potter 1, definately not by that margin. Save that for The Hobitt

OMG, the Hobbit will make like $1.3B WW, thank you inflation/weak dollar!! Heh.

UIP's "War of the Worlds," one of the few 2005 tentpoles that's met expectations, stayed somewhat sturdy in its sixth sesh with $5.8 million, lifting its offshore total to $324 million and worldwide cume to $548 million. "War" took in $1 million in the U.K. and $900,000 in Japan to lift totals in those markets to $52.1 million and $45.7 million, respectively.

WW = $548.6M

Very good,thats on par with what i expected that it would be at 547-549.

It will make another $30M-$35M from the current playdates. China could add an additional $5-10M. It will get to $360 to $370M overseas.

I agree,its going to inch pass 600mill but it will get there.I have it ending with 606mill.

Also, Monday to Sunday (8/08 -8/14) in Japan will be very good due to obon holidays. It could get $5-$6M during that period.

'
Yes,i forgot about that,it will do good.

War of the Worlds' performance in Japan has disappointed me a little so far. I thought it's a near-lock to make $100 million there (considering how well Minority Report, A.I. and The Last Samurai performed there). The holidays will give it a bump, but it still won't pass $70 million there it seems.

The Japan Earthquake impacted its gross significantly early in its run.

Yes, that's what I think too. However, I expected it to rebound quickly.

BOM updated its worldwide box-office 2005 charts:

War of the Worlds - $550.1 million (overseas: $325 million)

The USA should bring in an additional $10-12 million, Japan another $10-15 million. The rest of the world will have to contribute around $25-30 million for it to pass $600 million. I think that is entirely possible.

Update from Germany:


War of the Worlds had 42,998 admissions here in its 6th week, down a decent 34% from last weekend. The total admissions number stands at 2,614,265. It's #5 of the year (behind Star Wars: ROTS, Madagascar, Hitch and Meet the Fockers).


Overall, last weekend was great in terms of holds for all movies because of rather bad weather. Here's the weekend charts (in admissions):

1. Madagascar - 501,831 (-14%) - 5,161,054
2. Mr. & Mrs. Smith - 375,432 (-22%) - 2,248,693
3. The Island - 312,177 (NEW) - 312,177
4. Siegfried - 235,013 (-10%) - 690,328
5. Herbie: Fully Loaded - 197,204 (NEW) - 197,204
6. Crash - 61,071 (NEW) - 61,071
7. War of the Worlds - 42,998 (-34%) - 2,614,265
8. Fantastic Four - 39,865 (-40%) - 600,347
9. Die Höhle des gelben Hundes - 25,407 (-5%) - 70,746
10. The Wedding Crashers - 23,926 (-30%) - 324,516

Very good for WOTW,its been having good legs since its third weekend.600mill here we come!

http://www.screendaily.com/story.asp?storyid=23015

Paramount’s War Of The Worlds has amassed $327.3m through UIP to date and has launched in every major market.

So it made 3.3mill this mid-week.
Tomorrow its going to be at 226.4 domestic so going into the weekend 226.4+327.3=553.7


Should be at about 558-560 at the end of the weekend.

1 - War Of The Worlds - $110,085,902 (5-Day - All except France/SKorea - 79/9955) or $133m week
2 - War Of The Worlds - $201,439,226 ($62,502,113 - France/SKorea/Belgium/Portugal - 84/5657) or $214.6m week
3 - War Of The Worlds - $255,375,000 ($28,960,000 - 68/6865) or $264.8m week
4 - War Of The Worlds - $289,534,533 ($17,795,723 - 52/5455) or $298.9m week
5 - War Of The Worlds - $312,743,841 ($10,213,286 - 49/5625) or $316.7m week
6 - War Of The Worlds - $325,047,695 ($6,155,842- 54/4542) or $327.3m week


------

UK - Week 6

1 - War Of The Worlds - $23,601,828 (507 TC)
2 - War Of The Worlds - $34,587,799 ($10,985,971, -53%)
3 - War Of The Worlds - $41,345,624 ($6,757,825, -39%)
4 - War Of The Worlds - $46,767,895 ($5,422,271, -20%)
5 - War Of The Worlds - $49,802,875 ($3,034,980, -44%)

Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $97,981,522 ($3,829,903, -37%)
Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $83,053,317 ($3,740,222, -33%)
Shrek 2 - $83,018,948 ($2,897,922, -27%)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $80,315,778 ($2,220,450, -34%)
Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $74,644,019 ($4,874,863, -24%)
Harry Potter 1: PS - $73,655,705 ($4,459,667, -18%)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $73,534,186 ($3,182,917, -26%)
Star Wars 1: PM - $72,184,840 ($4,683,860, -35%)
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $69,552,078 ($1,603,945, -18%)
Titanic - $68,497,681 ($8,745,053, -9%)
Toy Story 2 - $65,446,710 ($2,107,904, -36%)
Bridget Jones: The Edge Of Reason - $63,894,006 ($1,930,479, -33%)
Finding Nemo - $59,129,526 ($2,475,082, -28%)
Jurassic Park 1 - $56,299,958 ($4,832,876, -19%)
The Incredibles - $56,119,703 ($4,971,756, -12%)*NY
Love Actually - $53,213,048 ($3,793,481, +1%)
Men In Black 1 - $52,314,205 ($2,071,468, -53%)
Meet The Fockers - $51,986,070 ($1,707,479, -37%)
Star Wars 2: AOTC - $51,624,947 ($1,692,242, -26%)
James Bond: Die Another Day - $51,611,372 ($4,508,799, +52%)
The Matrix: Reloaded - $51,600,139 ($1,175,643, -32%)
War Of The Worlds - $51,555,368 ($1,752,493, -43%)
Independence Day - $50,735,856 ($2,369,176, -28%)
Monsters Inc - $50,567,689 ($1,634,876, -35%)
Spiderman 2 - $47,735,016 ($1,288,169, -34%)
Bridget Jones’ Diary - $47,564,602 ($3,289,293, -15%)
The Day After Tomorrow - $44,263,535 ($1,698,385, -38%)


GERMANY - Week 6

1 - War Of The Worlds - $9,575,982 (1.303.523 adms. 9-Day or $8,822,566/ 1.198.344 adms. 7-Day - 837 TC)
2 - War Of The Worlds - $14,349,912 ($4,773,930, -46%)
3 - War Of The Worlds - $16,632,387 ($2,282,475, -53%)
4 - War Of The Worlds - $18,102,178 ($1,469,791, -36%)
5 - War Of The Worlds - $18,905,384 ($802,523, -45%)

Independence Day - $62,759,899 ($3,746,085, -29%)
Jurassic Park 1 - $47,720,383 ($3,618,605, -24%)
Men In Black 1 - $41,613,110 ($2,070,881, -36%)
Jurassic Park 2: The Lost World - $32,648,428 ($1,119,866, -51%)
Hitch - $31,843,651 (3.992.490 adms. - $1,424,153/ 179.553 adms., -23%)
Men In Black 2 - $29,634,770 (5.042.804 adms. - $632,053/108.210 adms., -29%)
The Day After Tomorrow - $29,179,568 (3.787.782 adms. - $1,226,606/ 165.375 adms., -24%)
Mission Impossible 2 - $26,690,530 ($747,228, -52%)
Spiderman 2 - $23,667,203 (3.215.159 adms. - $703,034/ 97.340 adms., -3%)
Meet The Fockers - $23,200,298 (2.870.380 adms. - $1,633,888/ 205.057 adms., -7%)*Easter
Mission Impossible 1 - $22,630,474 ($1,151,910, -18%)
Terminator 2: Judgment Day - $20,996,739 ($991,719, -38%)
War Of The Worlds - $19,421,310 ($515,926, -37%)
Terminator 3: Rise Of The Machines - $19,361,532 ($390,466, -61%)


AUSTRALIA - Week 6

1 - War Of The Worlds - $7,808,759 (8-Day or $6,907,380 7-Day - 399 TC)
2 - War Of The Worlds - $11,443,588 ($3,634,829, -47%)
3 - War Of The Worlds - $13,384,768 ($1,941,180, -47%)
4 - War Of The Worlds - $14,459,753 ($1,074,985, -46%)
5 - War Of The Worlds - $15,086,959 ($627,206, -41%)

Shrek 2 - $33,955,121 ($932,429, -53%)
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $32,710,453 ($1,202,070, -40%)
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $25,819,372 ($758,860, -25%)
Meet The Fockers - $24,363,586 ($1,204,916, -44%)
Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $23,622,711 ($966,660, -39%)
Finding Nemo - $22,508,306 ($2,242,883, -26%)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $22,362,118 ($889,992, -52%)
Star Wars 1: PM - $21,549,248 ($1,685,415, -23%)
Titanic - $21,222,264 ($2,564,488, +12%)
Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $20,942,503 ($897,042, -42%)
The Matrix: Reloaded - $20,799,724 ($651,590, -35%)
The Incredibles - $20,137,541 ($649,414, -58%)
Madagascar - $18,960,414 ($347,793, -67%)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $18,702,093 ($1,449,924, -34%)
Harry Potter 1: PS - $18,479,083 ($1,771,975, -25%)
Star Wars 2: AOTC - $18,107,785 ($496,912, -44%)
Spiderman 2 - $17,174,130 ($307,226, -46%)
Spiderman - $16,775,265 ($709,831, -33%)
Gladiator - $16,419,517 ($1,433,033, +15%)
War Of The Worlds - $15,530,886 ($443,927, -30%)
The Sixth Sense - $15,397,634 ($1,193,723, -21%)
Troy - $15,388,857 ($524,326, -53%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean: The Curse Of The Black Pearl - $15,261,469 ($791,680, -39%)
Mr. And Mrs. Smith - $15,030,896 ($405,816, -46%)
Shrek - $14,899,954 ($614,211, -54%)
Mission Impossible 2 - $13,813,175 ($737,890, -23%)
The Day After Tomorrow - $13,708,858 ($487,781, -38%)


NETHERLANDS - Week 6

1 - War Of The Worlds - $1,923,138 (€1,613,513 5-Day or $1,711,417/ €1,435,879 3-Day - 113 TC)
2 - War Of The Worlds - $2,958,052 (€2,475,907 - $1,034,914/ €858,979, -40.2%)
3 - War Of The Worlds - $3,571,354 (€2,983,560 - $613,302/ €507,814, -40.9%)
4 - War Of The Worlds - $4,181,111 (€3,485,237 - $609,757/ €502,440, -1.1%)
5 - War Of The Worlds - $4,551,754 (€3,782,722 - $370,643/ €299,109, -40.5%)

Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $15,490,029 (€12,768,603 - $1,025,710/€811,644, -27.6%)
Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $11,195,049 ($791,525, -17%)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $10,781,211 ($2,525,307, +64%)
Harry Potter 1: PS - $9,996,266 ($2,149,355, +28%)
Titanic - $9,826,411
Harry Potter 3: POA - $8,694,138 (€7,153,976 - $709,787/ €575,992, -28.6%)
Finding Nemo - $8,690,196 ($1,216,712, -49%)
Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $7,827,697 ($748,627, -17%)
The Matrix: Reloaded - $7,083,761 ($347,708, -13%)
James Bond: Die Another Day - $6,467,924 ($443,205, -32%)
Ocean’s Twelve - $6,444,060 (€4,836,041 - $289,823/ €226,062, -28%)
Shrek 2 - $6,229,553 (€5,256,862 - $293,461/ €239,816, +11%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean: The Curse Of The Black Pearl - $5,812,829 ($351,056, -32%)
Troy - $5,621,023 (€4,660,236 - $249,347/ €206,085, -36.4%)
Bruce Almighty - $5,511,882 ($320,894, -52%)
Bridget Jones: The Edge Of Reason -$5,418,864 (€4,125,663 - $351,745/ €270,201, -42%)
Madagascar - $4,980,134 (€4,117,997 - $530,828/ €437,402, +34.1%)
Bean - $4,889,807 ($335,092, -1%)
War Of The Worlds - $4,846,793 (€4,026,839 - $295,039/ €236,326, -21%)
The Day After Tomorrow - $4,783,219 (€3,919,603 - $475,108/ €386,643, +19.8%)
The Incredibles - $4,772,772 (€3,591,253 - $1,171,108/ €882,664, +11.6%)*NY
Jurassic Park 2: The Lost World - $4,682,286 ($260,715, -42%)
Shark Tale - $4,607,836 (€3,518,003 - $245,855/ €189,751, -34.3%)
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $4,509,102 (€3,631,517 - $175,986/ €145,892, -7.4%)


----

SPAIN - Week 5

1 - War Of The Worlds - $9,880,421 (9-Day or $7,930,087 7-Day - 465 TC)
2 - War Of The Worlds - $14,008,379 ($4,127,958, -48%)
3 - War Of The Worlds - $16,190,208 ($2,181,829, -48%)
4 - War Of The Worlds - $17,698,902 ($1,508,694, -32%)

Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $37,229,007 ($1,659,776, -34%)
Shrek 2 - $31,671,541 ($1,952,041, -20%)
Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $27,828,951 ($1,651,731, -31%)
Finding Nemo - $25,691,365 ($5,497,523, +45%)*
Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $22,667,836 ($1,753,709, -29%)
Star Wars 1: PM - $21,989,320 ($1,857,510, -22%)
The Incredibles - $21,761,374 ($2,849,773, +50%)*Christmas
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $21,726,077 ($881,154, -46%)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $21,561,677 ($2,741,209, -10%)
La Gran Aventura de Mortadelo y Filemón - $20,996,934 ($1,620,991, -43%)
Harry Potter 1: PS - $20,775,137 ($2,657,305, -20%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean: The Curse Of The Black Pearl - $20,735,158 ($1,454,337, -43%)
Titanic - $20,588,565 ($3,444,319, -12%)
Troy - $20,370,121 ($1,249,624, -39%)
The Last Samurai - $20,014,993 ($1,753,400, -34%)
Spiderman - $20,011,558 ($1,359,792, -38%)
The Sixth Sense - $19,209,888 ($2,391,478, -19%)
The Others - $18,739,274 ($2,109,020, -20%)
War Of The Worlds - $18,697,614 ($998,712, -34%)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $18,535,283 ($845,969, -43%)
The Matrix: Reloaded - $18,179,251 ($850,261, -32%)
Spiderman 2 - $17,730,885 ($511,309, -55%)


MEXICO - Week 5

1 - War Of The Worlds - $9,470,570 (9-Day or $7,311,704 7-Day - 650 TC)
2 - War Of The Worlds - $12,948,599 ($3,478,029, -52%)
3 - War Of The Worlds - $15,134,562 ($2,185,963, -38%)
4 - War Of The Worlds - $16,301,206 ($1,166,644, -47%)

Spiderman - $28,676,641 ($1,494,045, -39%)
Shrek 2 - $27,163,239 ($1,019,754, -51%)
Spiderman 2 - $19,840,353 ($569,180, -50%)
The Passion Of The Christ - $18,517,332 ($612,355, -67%)
Ice Age - $17,931,890 ($1,269,101, -37%)
The Day After Tomorrow - $17,837,481 ($1,031,840, -27%)
Madagascar - $17,620,830 ($847,897, -436%)
Finding Nemo - $17,541,153 ($1,125,037, -37%)
War Of The Worlds - $16,914,604 ($613,398, -48%)
Monsters Inc - $16,322,068 ($1,370,664, -27%)
Dinosaur - $15,814,237 ($950,532, -45%)
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $15,055,621 ($383,506, -62%)
Harry Potter 1: SS - $14,909,133 ($1,845,459, -6%)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $14,795,209 ($1,820,516, +8%)
The Incredibles - $14,777,182 ($838,527, -38%)
Lord of the Rings: TTT - $14,730,752 ($745,147, -47%)
El Crimen del Padre Amaro - $14,722,863 ($762,195, -56%)
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $14,650,313 ($673,063, -43%)


ARGENTINA - Week 5

1 - War Of The Worlds - $1,372,872 (8-Day or $1,262,833 7-Day - 110 TC)
2 - War Of The Worlds - $2,286,954 ($914,082, -28%)
3 - War Of The Worlds - $2,911,575 ($624,621, -32%)
4 - War Of The Worlds - $3,297,682 ($381,551, -39%)

The Lion King - $8,101,594 ($772,785, -53%)
La Tortuga Manuelita - $7,276,170 ($640,716, -53%)
Godzilla - $6,715,551 ($270,790, -46%)
Star Wars 1: PM - $5,946,713 ($342,737, -52%)
Mission Impossible 2 - $5,734,780 ($571,926, -29%)
Tarzan - $5,535,668 ($305,640, -60%)
Shrek 2 - $5,306,331 ($1,019,511, -10%)
Jurassic Park 3 - $5,010,561 ($247,017, -17%)
The Passion Of The Christ - $4,852,324 ($380,480, -22%)
Son Of The Bride - $4,753,632 ($640,148, -35%)
The Mask Of Zorro - $4,573,272 ($586,558, -13%)
Pocahontas - $4,474,871 ($618,365, -49%)
Harry Potter 1: PS - $4,272,457 ($474,681, +41%)
Hercules - $4,264,366 ($530,874, -49%)
Corazon: Alegrias De Pantriste - $4,120,136 ($192,790, -69%)
The Mummy - $4,097,248 ($576,364, -7%)
La Furia - $3,976,275 ($605,075, -2%)
Hannibal - $3,876,692 ($209,061, -33%)
The Patriot - $3,821,560 ($283,553, -32%)
Armageddon - $3,821,347 ($309,962, -24%)
Planet Of The Apes - $3,819,270 ($199,116, -22%)
Analyse This - $3,786,115 ($535,646, -27%)
Men In Black 1 - $3,758,198 ($356,696, -5%)
Nine Queens - $3,711,422 ($691,109, -17%)
Cast Away - $3,544,692 ($324,829, -26%)
War Of The Worlds - $3,471,313 ($173,631, -54%)
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $3,437,555 ($335,702, +6%)
La Fuga - $3,423,107 ($417,945, -27%)
Traffic - $3,403,290 ($413,258, -25%)
Notting Hill - $3,396,032 ($394,219, -10%)
Patoruzito - $3,394,301 ($197,951, -36%)
The Perfect Storm - $3,237,691 ($189,428, -42%)
The Matrix: Reloaded - $3,215,603 ($264,088, -26%)
Spiderman 2 - $3,206,079 ($190,840, -57%)

WOTW had a very good weekend thanks a lot to the holiday in japan.

http://www.variety.com/article/VR111792 ... =1&s=h&p=0

The year's top offshore performers -- UIP's "War of the Worlds" and Fox's "Star Wars: Episode III -- Revenge of the Sith" -- continued to contribute at the end of their runs. "War" declined 34% to $4.1 million with the best perfperf coming from Japan, where the Obon holiday lifted the seventh weekend figure 33% to $1.3 million and the Japanese cume to $48.6 million.

"War of the Worlds" has topped $332 million offshore and $560 million worldwide


228.6+332=560.6mill WW right in the range where i predicted it would be at.
600mill here we come!

WOTW will have another good week in Japan due to Obon holidays.

It'll end up as #4 or #5 of the year worldwide. It'll finish with pretty much around $600-610 million. Harry Potter and ROTS will definitely be ahead. Narnia will allmost certainly be ahead of it as well. It might not overtake it in the USA, but overseas it'll be huge. The question is whether King Kong can outdo it worldwide or not. I don't think it will.