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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28295
Location: ... siiiigh...
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I'm seeing a lot for "Rent" lately. I think it'll do in the teens for the 5-day weekend. Probably about $15-17 million over the five days.
_________________
Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Sun Nov 20, 2005 10:18 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Potter 4:
Mon: 6.65m -75%
Tue: 7.00m +5%
Wed: 11.20m +60%
Thur: 14.00m +25%
Fri: 25.20m +80%
Sat: 22.18m -12%
Sun: 13.30m -40%
3-Day-Wknd: 60.68m -40%
5-Day-Wknd: 85.88m
10-Day Gross: 201.03m
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Nov 20, 2005 11:24 pm |
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banjo6
Speed Racer
Joined: Fri Dec 17, 2004 5:23 pm
Posts: 143
Location: Virginia
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torrino wrote: I think Rent will do well.
I always knew it, but an article in the paper this morning reinforced how much of a phenomenon Rent (the play) was. It described it as "a touchstone for a younger generation eager for a show it could embrace as its own." It's completely true, Rent is a huge hit with teens and young adults.
I think the film version will be successful since it'll attract the younger audiences that are huge fans of the show and the older audiences that will (likely) be more open to the film medium. I totally agree........I think this one is going to surprise alot of people and easily beat all the openers this weekend. Pretty much every female I know wants to see this, should be huge with women obviously.
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| Mon Nov 21, 2005 12:29 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 21930
Location: Places
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potter has word of mouth that rivals batman begins and a fanbase that rivals star wars against som compition that has no positive buzz. it will get 57-61 million 3 day and 75-80 5 day.
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| Mon Nov 21, 2005 9:23 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Pride and Prejudice will open over 10m for the wknd garanteed  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Mon Nov 21, 2005 9:34 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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BJ wrote: Pride and Prejudice will open over 10m for the wknd garanteed I'm not sure it has quite wide enough appeal to do that. It really only appeals to women and the art house crowd which would have already saw it.
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| Mon Nov 21, 2005 9:51 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Joe wrote: BJ wrote: Pride and Prejudice will open over 10m for the wknd garanteed I'm not sure it has quite wide enough appeal to do that. It really only appeals to women and the art house crowd which would have already saw it. dude the film busted out 6m in ten days, in as little as 220 theaters  I would be very surprised if the film didnt break out some big numbers this comming wknd _________________The Force Awakens
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| Mon Nov 21, 2005 9:58 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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Wow, I agree with Libs, people are SERIOUSLY underestimating In the Mix. If any Thanksgiving opener went under the radar, I think it would be The Ice Harvest, even though that's my most anticipated movie of the weekend. I still see 12-15 million for it's five day, and wouldn't be surprised if it came ahead of many of the other openers.
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| Mon Nov 21, 2005 10:58 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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MovieDude wrote: Wow, I agree with Libs, people are SERIOUSLY underestimating In the Mix. If any Thanksgiving opener went under the radar, I think it would be The Ice Harvest, even though that's my most anticipated movie of the weekend. I still see 12-15 million for it's five day, and wouldn't be surprised if it came ahead of many of the other openers. and Pride & Prejudice  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Mon Nov 21, 2005 11:32 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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BJ wrote: Joe wrote: BJ wrote: Pride and Prejudice will open over 10m for the wknd garanteed I'm not sure it has quite wide enough appeal to do that. It really only appeals to women and the art house crowd which would have already saw it. dude the film busted out 6m in ten days, in as little as 220 theaters I would be very surprised if the film didnt break out some big numbers this comming wknd Many films do well in limited release but don't hold when they expand.
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| Mon Nov 21, 2005 11:34 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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aaaah! i hate predicting holidays!!!! 
i have to predict 3Day weekend for the Derby and 5Day weekend for the BO Inferno and BO Pairs 
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 12:21 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Joe wrote: BJ wrote: Joe wrote: BJ wrote: Pride and Prejudice will open over 10m for the wknd garanteed I'm not sure it has quite wide enough appeal to do that. It really only appeals to women and the art house crowd which would have already saw it. dude the film busted out 6m in ten days, in as little as 220 theaters I would be very surprised if the film didnt break out some big numbers this comming wknd Many films do well in limited release but don't hold when they expand. Those films often didnt have apeal past ther core audience, P&P has much to offer to everyone that wishes to see it, I think the film be be a break out in Wide relase as well _________________The Force Awakens
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 2:50 am |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
Posts: 15310
Location: Slumming at KJ
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excel wrote: potter has word of mouth that rivals batman begins and a fanbase that rivals star wars against som compition that has no positive buzz. it will get 57-61 million 3 day and 75-80 5 day.  That's funny.
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 3:55 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23916
Location: Classified
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Maverikk wrote: excel wrote: potter has word of mouth that rivals batman begins and a fanbase that rivals star wars against som compition that has no positive buzz. it will get 57-61 million 3 day and 75-80 5 day. That's funny. funny but true  MovieDude wrote: Wow, I agree with Libs, people are SERIOUSLY underestimating In the Mix. It's an Usher movie that plays Rihanna in the commercials. How are people supposed to connect with that? Would it have been so hard to get Yeah in the trailer?
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 4:23 am |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
Posts: 15310
Location: Slumming at KJ
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Flava'd? wrote: That's funny. funny but true [/quote]
Not even close to being true. Sith still grossed more on it's first 3 day weekend, and that was AFTER it opened to over 50 million on Thursay.
That's just fanboy delusions and nonsense to even say Harry Potter rivals the Star Wars fanbase, and the numbers will never back that up.
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 4:37 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23916
Location: Classified
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Maverikk wrote: Flava'd? wrote: That's funny. funny but true Not even close to being true. Sith still grossed more on it's first 3 day weekend, and that was AFTER it opened to over 50 million on Thursay. That's just fanboy delusions and nonsense to even say Harry Potter rivals the Star Wars fanbase, and the numbers will never back that up.[/quote]well only Revenge Of The Sith has had a higher opening than any of the Potter movies.
And the Star Wars movies have higher totals because, with the exception of Attack of the Clones, they're better than the Potter movies (so far, each Potter movie gets better). They have more of a lasting effect.
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 5:10 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Maverikk wrote: excel wrote: potter has word of mouth that rivals batman begins and a fanbase that rivals star wars against som compition that has no positive buzz. it will get 57-61 million 3 day and 75-80 5 day. That's funny. The USA is crazy over Star Wars. I think nothing rivals Star Wars' fanbase. It is pretty much impossible since it has generations of fans. Not even LOTR has the same fanbase, I think.
However, I am happy to say that overseas Harry Potter AND LOTR own Star Wars by far and away fanbase-wise. It'll take Potter about 3 weeks to outgross ROTS in UK and about 3-4 weeks to outgross ROTS in Germany. The same will go for most European countries. In Japan HP4 will own ROTS easily as well. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 6:48 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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notfabio's oh-so-wonderful tracking update...:
Quote: ACCURACY LAST WEEKEND:
A pretty horrible weekend for accuracy, RS was on crack
reading a "PG13 scaring kiddies away" effect into their
numbers dropping them severely in its final update.
WALK THE LINE too high as well, but it had been running
high for awhile.
HARRY POTTER IV: 97 MTC RS 83-90 RS 102 ACTUAL
WALK THE LINE: 26 MTC 27 RS 22 ACTUAL
REEL SOURCE:
RENT: 22 MILLION
YOURS, MINE: 18 MILLION
JUST FRIENDS: 14 MILLION
ICE HARVEST: 7 MILLION
MAJOR THEATRE CHAIN
RENT (5-days) 21 million
YOURS, MINE & OURS (5-days) 16 million
JUST FRIENDS (5-days) 13 million
THE ICE HARVEST (5-days) 6 million
IN THE MIX (5-days) 6 million
FUTURE TRACKING
THE PRODUCERS:
17 MILLION DEBUT (WIDE JANUARY 13TH)
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA:
16 MILLION DEBUT (WIDE DECEMBER 23RD)
CHRONICLES OF NARNIA: 52 MILLION FLAT
KING KING: 78 MILLION FLAT (I THINK)
AEON FLUX: 12 MILLION DEBUT
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 7:24 am |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
Posts: 15310
Location: Slumming at KJ
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Here's Moviefone, since these films do open tomorrow.
1 Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (PG-13)
2 Rent (PG-13)
3 Walk the Line (PG-13)
4 The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe (PG)
5 Derailed (R)
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 10:39 am |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
Posts: 15310
Location: Slumming at KJ
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http://www.comingsoon.net/weekendwarrior/2005/nov23.php
[table][row][col]Rank[col]Film[col]3 day[col]5 day[col]change
[row][col]1.[col]Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col]$61.5 [col]$82.62 [col]-40%
[row][col]2.[col]Walk the Line[col]$17.8[col]$25.28[col]-20%
[row][col]3.[col]Chicken Little[col]$15.5[col]$20.62[col]5%
[row][col]4.[col]Rent[col]$14.5[col]$20.01[col]
[row][col]5.[col]Yours, Mine and Ours[col]$13.8[col]$18.35[col]
[row][col]6.[col]Just Friends[col]$10.7[col]$14.55[col]
[row][col]7.[col]The Ice Harvest[col]$5.2[col]$7.18[col]
[row][col]8.[col]Zathura[col]$4.8[col]$6.48[col]-7%
[row][col]9.[col]Pride & Prejudice[col]$4.5[col]$6.17[col]187%
[row][col]10.[col]In the Mix[col]$4.2[col]$6.09[col][/table]
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 11:34 am |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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Woah...Aeon Flux is only tracking at a $12 million debut?
That's lower then I expected but not that surprising given the marketing has just flat-out sucked for it.
_________________
See above.
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 11:52 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Maverikk wrote: http://www.comingsoon.net/weekendwarrior/2005/nov23.php
[table][row][col]Rank[col]Film[col]3 day[col]5 day[col]change
[row][col]1.[col]Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire [col]$61.5 [col]$82.62 [col]-40%
[row][col]2.[col]Walk the Line[col]$17.8[col]$25.28[col]-20%
[row][col]3.[col]Chicken Little[col]$15.5[col]$20.62[col]5%
[row][col]4.[col]Rent[col]$14.5[col]$20.01[col]
[row][col]5.[col]Yours, Mine and Ours[col]$13.8[col]$18.35[col]
[row][col]6.[col]Just Friends[col]$10.7[col]$14.55[col]
[row][col]7.[col]The Ice Harvest[col]$5.2[col]$7.18[col]
[row][col]8.[col]Zathura[col]$4.8[col]$6.48[col]-7%
[row][col]9.[col]Pride & Prejudice[col]$4.5[col]$6.17[col]187%
[row][col]10.[col]In the Mix[col]$4.2[col]$6.09[col][/table] BJ screams under estimated they did this with its opening wknd as well, it nearly doubled there 1.5-1.7 prediction, though I bet they were leaning more for the 1.5  Anyway I hope the film easily doubles there lousy prediction _________________The Force Awakens
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 12:26 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 38262
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Hmm...Rent being #2 on moviefone is great. No other openers are on there.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 3:41 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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I hope RENT does solid business....it look fantastic!
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 6:50 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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Box Office Report: 5 day forecast
1. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire $88.0 m $207.5 m -14%
2. Walk the Line $26.0 m $53.5 m +16%
3. Rent $22.0 m $22.0 m NEW
4. Chicken Little $21.0 m $122.5 m +43%
5. Yours, Mine, and Ours $20.0 m $20.0 m NEW
6. Just Friends $12.0 m $12.0 m NEW
7. Pride & Prejudice $10.0 m $16.5 m +367%
8. The Ice Harvest $9.0 m $9.0 m NEW
9. In the Mix $8.0 m $8.0 m NEW
10. Zathura $6.5 m $27.5 m +27%
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| Tue Nov 22, 2005 11:58 pm |
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