Like I said:

You know which film is going to obliterate the comp

Pirates

While I agree, May is nuts, excitement and anticipation is crazy huge, without *anything* out there for it other than text summaries and a few set photos, it has been the 2nd ranked film on preview views on Coming Soon forever practically. The site views that Coming Soon has for stories on Pirates 3 are insane.

That and if nothing else it secures screens and gets the cream of the crop trailer placement for Ratatouile.

Well seing that im predicting $350m and i underestimate this franchise - It will probably do $500m.

BJs response would be to all over your crap post.

Shrek ($380-$400m) will win the year with Spidey 2nd ($350-$370m). Pirates will be a close 3rd with ($330m-$350m). Its a safe bet for 3rd or maybe 2nd - unless Transformers, Potter or one of the year end films majorily over achieve.

Where did you get this news?

BTTF3 was released only 6 months after the 2nd one. This movie is more like Return of the King (if ROTK was released in November and an hour shorter).

Disney.

May was a dumb idea. Event movies are event movies -- people need time to prepare. I can't stress enough how comforting and stabilizing it was to know that December=LotR. They should have kept July=PotC. Instead, they will catch casual fans by surprise, and the casual fan's response will be to lose interest.

The pessimism is hard to swallow but knowing that your dead wrong helps me overlook this graffiti.

Erendis nails it on the head. LOTR became a December institution. Thats why they could afford to leave the marketing until 2 months before hand for ROTK. Plus it had no competition.

Also, the absolute worse film that POTC3 could go up against is Shrek 3. Of all the film franchises out there - Shrek is the only one that captures the same or more market segments than Pirates. They will hurt each other - but POTC3 will be hurt more.

Yes its as simple as that - they dropped the ball on the release date. Have a look at the summer slate now. Thye are overstuffing it with product. June has almost 20 wide releases, while Evan Almighty and Simpsons are being given too much free reign. Its just not right.

Keeping the same films in the same summer - the tentpoles should have been spaced out like:


May Wk 1 - Spiderman 3 (Sony)

May Wk 3 - Shrek 3 (Par/Dreamworks)

Mid June - Harry Potter 5 (WB)

Late June - Ratatouillie (Disney)

July 4th - Transformers (Par/Dreamworks)

July 14th - Pirates (Disney)

Late July - Simpsons (Fox)

August Wk 1 - Bourne (Universal)

August Wk 2 - Rush Hour (New Line)

Bleh, little to no exitement with that line up. With the current one I get to watch Pirates force a 40%+ drop out of Drek the third. Im really hopping a 50% drop is in store. The Ogre must die.

You're probably right about the 500 million thing. Pirates will rule once again Magnus, quit being such a doubter.

Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

Opening Day: 60.99m
2nd Day: 54.89m -10%
Opening Wknd: 165.97m - Fri: 60.99m / Sat: 54.89m -10% / Sun: 50.09m -8%
4-Day-Wknd: 206.03m - Mon: 40.06m -20%
5-Day: 218.84m - Tue: 12.81m -68%
6-Day: 229.73m - Wed: 10.89m -14%
Opening Wk: 240.68m - Thur: 10.95m +.5%
2nd Wknd: 80.00m -51.5% - Fri: 21.95m +100% / Sat: 36.25m +65% / Sun: 21.80m -40%
11-Day: 327.63m - Mon: 6.94m -68%
12-Day: 334.44m - Tue: 6.81m -2%
13-Day: 340.08m - Wed: 5.64m -16%
2nd Wk: 346.08m - Thur: 6.00m +5%
3rd Wknd: 40.00m -50% - Fri: 12.00m +100% / Sat: 16.95m +45% / Sun: 11.05m -34%
Wk-1: 240.68m - Wknd: 165.97m - 4-Day-Wknd: 206.03m | Total: 240.68m
Wk-2: 105.40m - Wknd: 80.00m | Total: 346.08m
Wk-3: 54.00m - Wknd: 40.00m | Total: 400.08m
Wk-4: 29.95m - Wknd: 21.45m | Total: 430.03m
Wk-5: 20.96m - Wknd: 14.29m | Total: 450.99m
Wk-6: 18.20m - Wknd: 10.64m | Total: 469.19m
Wk-7: 12.19m - Wknd: 8.01m | Total: 481.38m
Wk-8: 6.17m - Wknd: 4.00m | Total: 487.55m
Wk-9: 4.05m - Wknd: 2.60m | Total: 491.60m
Wk-10: 2.97m - Wknd: 2.00m | Total: 494.57m
Wk-11: 2.18m - Wknd: 1.40m | Total: 496.75m
Wk-12: 1.57m - Wknd: 1.00m | Total: 498.32m
Wk-13: 1.20m - Wknd: .80m | Total: 499.52m
Wk-14: .86m - Wknd: .65m | Total: 500.38m
Wk-15: 1.80m - Wknd: 1.20m - 4-Day-Wknd: 1.60m | Total: 502.18m
Wk-16: 1.00m - Wknd: .69m | Total: 503.18m
Wk-17: .85m - Wknd: .65m | Total: 504.03m
Wk-18: .59m - Wknd: .46m | Total: 504.62m
Wk-19: .38m - Wknd: .29m | Total: 505.00m
Wk-20: .26m - Wknd: .21m | Total: 505.26m
Wk-21: .20m - Wknd: .16m | Total: 505.46m
Money Made After Wk-20: ~.5m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 29
Days to 50m: 1-Days - 60.99m
Days to 100m: 2-Days - 115.88m
Days to 150m: 3-Days - 165.97m
Days to 200m: 4-Days - 206.03m
Days to 250m: 8-Days - 262.63m
Days to 300m: 10-Days - 320.68m
Days to 350m: 15-Days - 358.08m
Days to 400m: 21-Days - 400.08m
Days to 450m: 35-Days - 450.99m
Days to 500m: 94-Days - 500.17m
Domestic Total: 506m
International Total: 694m
World Wide Total: 1,200b

Multiplyer: 3.04



"bump"

So I guess the trailer is gunna premire during Dancing With the Stars on March 19. I don't watch the show but I know it's a pretty big show, I think it's a good idea.

nice

aint gonna work. At this point, with spidey n shreks marketing n hype growing huge especially spidey but shrek just a week before, they need to go the teen fanbase and nither dancing with the stars nor meet the robinsons has a teen fanbase.

its bette rthan nothing but thi is what you do if the movies coming out in november, not freaking may.

The DMC DVD has been a better promotion tool for AWE than any teaser trailer. There really hasn't been a need to further raise awareness until now.
And people don't plan their trips to the cinema two months in advance. There's plenty of time.

get em in people, 2 months till the biggest film of 07 enters a theater near you.

They're waiting all the way until March 19th? So what will be the first movie it's shown in front of at the theaters? I don't want to wait another 17 days for a trailer.

Here's something interesting to get the conversation going some more!!

This, from the 'jimhillmedia.com' site:

http://jimhillmedia.com/blogs/jim_hill/ ... views.aspx

"You see? These are the sorts of things that you can find while poking around in those supposedly dry & boring corporate reports.
I mean, I would have never known that the final trailer for "Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End" was going to have an unprecedented global launch later this month, debuting simultaneously on dozens of network & cable channels if I hadn't spent the past week reading through all of those transcripts of last month's investors conference."

New here...but, quite interested in your posts! ;-)

I think the AWE advertising 'steamroller' is about to get under way!!!