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 Flight of the Phoenix Prediction Thread 
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College Boy Z

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Opening: $11.3 million
Total: $50.8 million

Less confident in it's opening, and total as well, but the legs will be great due to the holidays.


Tue Dec 14, 2004 10:53 pm
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So, we have predictions for the opening from $6 million to $40 million...I'm inclined to believe it will be closer to the low end of that spectrum.

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Tue Dec 14, 2004 11:13 pm
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Opening: $10.6
Total: $38.0

Direct competition from Ocean's 12, Blade: Trinity, and National Treasure. I wonder how much of Lost's audience will see it.


Tue Dec 14, 2004 11:16 pm
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RogueCommander wrote:
So, we have predictions for the opening from $6 million to $40 million...I'm inclined to believe it will be closer to the low end of that spectrum.


Jeff, I think Goldie's $40 million prediction was for total. :wink:


Tue Dec 14, 2004 11:16 pm
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Ah, might be. My mistake.

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Tue Dec 14, 2004 11:20 pm
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Too much competition from everywhere in a crowded weekend, leaving Flight of Phoenix with 1 screen per theater and struggling to establish its footing. around $2000 PTA for a $5.8M weekend.


Wed Dec 15, 2004 2:19 am
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Hot Fuss

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Yup, I don't think this one will be going anywhere this weekend. I see a 7 million weekend.


Wed Dec 15, 2004 4:47 pm
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10.8 million opening.
45.1 million closing.

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Thu Dec 16, 2004 9:28 pm
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College Boy Z

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DP07 was definently the closest on this one. :lol:


Sun Dec 19, 2004 2:11 pm
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Extraordinary

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Zingaling wrote:
DP07 was definently the closest on this one. :lol:
:?: :wink:


Sun Dec 19, 2004 2:46 pm
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xiayun wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
DP07 was definently the closest on this one. :lol:
:?: :wink:


Yeah, xiayun beat me by $200,000. :wink:

At least I called it early. :) This always looked like a bomb to me. Reminds me of Timeline.


Sun Dec 19, 2004 9:17 pm
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Oh. Didn't see that. :oops:


Sun Dec 19, 2004 9:24 pm
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xiayun wrote:
Too much competition from everywhere in a crowded weekend, leaving Flight of Phoenix with 1 screen per theater and struggling to establish its footing. around $2000 PTA for a $5.8M weekend.


Good prediction. Looked like a terrible movie anyway.

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Sun Dec 19, 2004 9:57 pm
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DP07 wrote:
xiayun wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
DP07 was definently the closest on this one. :lol:
:?: :wink:


Yeah, xiayun beat me by $200,000. :wink:

At least I called it early. :) This always looked like a bomb to me. Reminds me of Timeline.


Definitely. A great call, David. My PTA prediction is right on the mark, but I didn't change my prediction to fit the total screen count. When I did some research, I saw the last several years, there was normally a movie that opened around the time with $2000 PTA, and FOTP looks like a perfect movie to continue the tradition. It also never entered the top 20 of Yahoo's most downloaded trailers before Friday, so I sensed people simply didn't care about it.


Mon Dec 20, 2004 2:04 am
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Projected Domestic total:

22.87m

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Thu Jan 06, 2005 1:07 pm
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Sounds about right. So far I've not heard very good WOM, which is why the film has such a low total.

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Thu Jan 06, 2005 1:10 pm
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RogueCommander wrote:
Sounds about right. So far I've not heard very good WOM, which is why the film has such a low total.


Yeah, here in Anchorage people are not saying it sucked they are saying it was way to average.

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