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 WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.) 
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Beetlejuice (posted earlier: $153M)
The Front Room - 5
Speak No Evil - 9
Never Let Go - 7
Transformers One - 26
Megalopolis - 3
The Wild Robot - 28
Joker: Folie a Deux - 153
My Hero Academia the movie: You’re Next - 8
Piece by Piece - 9
Saturday Night - 11
Terrifier 3 - 6
We Live in Time - 5
Flight Risk - 13
Smile 2 - 34
Anora - 3
Venom: The Last Dance - 139


Fri Sep 06, 2024 1:05 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Shack wrote:
I guess I'm the only one predicting Flight Risk hits. Sky trash ftw.

This moved to its natural home in January

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Sat Sep 07, 2024 1:32 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Yes. When I heard the news I thought that's where it belongs.

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Sun Sep 08, 2024 3:46 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Algren wrote:
Yes. When I heard the news I thought that's where it belongs.

No faith in a Mel Gibson directed film ?

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Sun Sep 08, 2024 10:36 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Rev wrote:
Algren wrote:
Yes. When I heard the news I thought that's where it belongs.

No faith in a Mel Gibson directed film ?


January just feels right for don't think about it too much plane thriller type movie people can go to when there's nothing else out there, as proven by the Butler movie, although Non Stop was late Feb.

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Sun Sep 08, 2024 1:59 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
January is better for Flight Risk. Mel's directing so even this should be pretty good, even though Walberg looks silly with the balding do.

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Mon Sep 09, 2024 12:07 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Rev wrote:
Algren wrote:
Yes. When I heard the news I thought that's where it belongs.

No faith in a Mel Gibson directed film ?


Not THIS Mel Gibson directed film. It looks like a boilerplate actioner. I want to see it, but I do not believe it will make money.

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Mon Sep 09, 2024 5:28 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
January is definitely better for Flight Risk. It looks like a decent hit to me. Mel Gibson's movies are usually well-reviewed and it's based off a Black List script. I didn't even watch the trailer before having to predict it in this and it looks surprisingly fun.


Mon Sep 09, 2024 1:46 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Every prediction will be too high on Joker :-( I am feeling a huge under performance for the movie.

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Mon Sep 09, 2024 2:16 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Keyser Söze wrote:
Every prediction will be too high on Joker :-( I am feeling a huge under performance for the movie.


Were the Venom movies performances predicted by presales? I feel like Joker could have a similar type of sleeper audience.

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Mon Sep 09, 2024 3:39 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Algren wrote:
Rev wrote:
Algren wrote:
Yes. When I heard the news I thought that's where it belongs.

No faith in a Mel Gibson directed film ?


Not THIS Mel Gibson directed film. It looks like a boilerplate actioner. I want to see it, but I do not believe it will make money.

I enjoyed the trailer :lol: was going to see it in theaters

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Mon Sep 09, 2024 4:12 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Shack wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
Every prediction will be too high on Joker :-( I am feeling a huge under performance for the movie.


Were the Venom movies performances predicted by presales? I feel like Joker could have a similar type of sleeper audience.


I dont remember 1st movie but 2nd movie looked weak until T-10 or so. But this is still DC. I did track 1st Joker movie but that was more regional and it had a strong presales start that is missing for this movie.

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Mon Sep 09, 2024 5:08 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
A little late on the Beetlejuice/Front Room scores

Keyser Soze 2.5
Magic Mike 3.1
publicenemy#1 10.7
Flava'd 11
stuffp 11
flip1 14.4
rftapeout 16
MadGez 22
Shack 24
Algren 25.5
Rev 34
O 47

Keyser had bullseye on Beetlejuice's 111 while Mike was 0.4 off.

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Sat Sep 14, 2024 1:40 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
I think Shack typed the wrong number in his spreadsheet for The Front Room's weekend box office.
According to The Numbers https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Front-Room-The-(2024)#tab=box-office The Front Room grossed about $1.6 million in its opening weekend. Keyser's score should be about 0.9, not 2.5. Other people's scores were also affected.


Sat Sep 14, 2024 6:03 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
rftapeout wrote:
I think Shack typed the wrong number in his spreadsheet for The Front Room's weekend box office.
According to The Numbers https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Front-Room-The-(2024)#tab=box-office The Front Room grossed about $1.6 million in its opening weekend. Keyser's score should be about 0.9, not 2.5. Other people's scores were also affected.


Yes, the real scores

Keyser Soze 0.9
Magic Mike 1.5
publicenemy#1 9.1
Flava'd 9.4
stuffp 9.4
flip1 12.8
rftapeout 14.4
MadGez 20.4
Shack 22.4
Algren 23.9
Rev 32.4
O 45.4

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Sun Sep 15, 2024 3:52 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Speak No Evil scores

stuffp 0.1
flip1 0.6
Flava'd 2.4
MadGez 2.4
O 2.4
Magic Mike 2.6
rftapeout 3
Rev 4.4
publicenemy#1 4.9
Keyser Soze 6.4
Algren 6.7
Shack 7.4

Total

Magic Mike 4.1
Keyser Soze 7.3
stuffp 9.5
Flava'd 11.8
flip1 13.4
publicenemy#1 14
rftapeout 17.4
MadGez 22.8
Shack 29.8
Algren 30.6
Rev 36.8
O 47.8

September/October king Magic Mike off to a good start

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Tue Sep 17, 2024 3:59 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Transformers/Never Let Go scores

Keyser Soze 1
publicenemy#1 3.5
O 4
Flava'd 8
Shack 11.8
Rev 13.2
flip1 15.1
Algren 15.6
stuffp 16
Magic Mike 21
MadGez 26
rftapeout 28.5

Total

Keyser Soze 8.3
publicenemy#1 17.5
Flava'd 19.8
Magic Mike 25.1
stuffp 25.5
flip1 28.5
Shack 41.6
rftapeout 45.9
Algren 46.2
MadGez 48.8
Rev 50
O 51.8

Keyser leads with his 105 Joker prediction being on the lower side, but not as low as his pre sale information would have him bet now it appears.

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Tue Sep 24, 2024 4:57 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Wild Robot/Megalopolis scores

stuffp 3.3
Rev 5.8
MadGez 8.8
O 8.8
Keyser Soze 9.8
publicenemy#1 11
rftapeout 11.8
Flava'd 12.199999
flip1 12.7
Shack 14.6
Magic Mike 14.8
Algren 21.8

Total

Keyser Soze 18.1
publicenemy#1 28.5
stuffp 28.8
Flava'd 31.999999
Magic Mike 39.9
flip1 41.2
Rev 55.8
Shack 56.2
MadGez 57.6
rftapeout 57.7
O 60.6
Algren 68

Nobody went under 100 (Rev) for Joker

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Mon Sep 30, 2024 4:06 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
I think for big movies, we should also predict 2nd weekend. That would make it very interesting for sure. We dont need to do 2 months at a time as well.

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Fri Oct 04, 2024 5:37 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Gonna lose over 100m on Joker lolol


Fri Oct 04, 2024 5:42 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Yeah, embarrassing for all of us

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Sat Oct 05, 2024 12:38 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Think my record is 263 or something. So feels like after Joker the all time worst record has a great chance to be broken. :P


Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:48 pm
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Let this be another example that the members of World of KJ know absolutely nothing about box office.

We're decent enough at analysing AFTER THE FACT, but we know fuck all about predicting how a movie will perform. We do what anybody can do. The real money is in knowing things before they happen. And we weren't even fucking close. Nobody was even in the ball park. Pathetic.

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Tue Oct 08, 2024 3:42 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Eh I didn't see anyone else calling Joker a bomb before tracking. WOKJ is no better or worse than anyone else. Maybe still better. None of us would have greenlit Megalopolis.


Tue Oct 08, 2024 4:31 am
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Post Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Because all the sites are shit we get a pass? Sorry, nope. That's not how you improve. It doesn't matter what others are doing or saying. And not seeing Joker 2's floppage isn't an isolated case. KJ has a history of not seeing the big box office stories.

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Tue Oct 08, 2024 4:34 am
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