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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Beetlejuice (posted earlier: $153M) The Front Room - 5 Speak No Evil - 9 Never Let Go - 7 Transformers One - 26 Megalopolis - 3 The Wild Robot - 28 Joker: Folie a Deux - 153 My Hero Academia the movie: You’re Next - 8 Piece by Piece - 9 Saturday Night - 11 Terrifier 3 - 6 We Live in Time - 5 Flight Risk - 13 Smile 2 - 34 Anora - 3 Venom: The Last Dance - 139
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Fri Sep 06, 2024 1:05 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40438
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Shack wrote: I guess I'm the only one predicting Flight Risk hits. Sky trash ftw. This moved to its natural home in January
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat Sep 07, 2024 1:32 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68286 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Yes. When I heard the news I thought that's where it belongs.
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Sun Sep 08, 2024 3:46 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32601 Location: the last free city
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Algren wrote: Yes. When I heard the news I thought that's where it belongs. No faith in a Mel Gibson directed film ?
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Sun Sep 08, 2024 10:36 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40438
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Rev wrote: Algren wrote: Yes. When I heard the news I thought that's where it belongs. No faith in a Mel Gibson directed film ? January just feels right for don't think about it too much plane thriller type movie people can go to when there's nothing else out there, as proven by the Butler movie, although Non Stop was late Feb.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sun Sep 08, 2024 1:59 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23317 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
January is better for Flight Risk. Mel's directing so even this should be pretty good, even though Walberg looks silly with the balding do.
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Mon Sep 09, 2024 12:07 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68286 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Rev wrote: Algren wrote: Yes. When I heard the news I thought that's where it belongs. No faith in a Mel Gibson directed film ? Not THIS Mel Gibson directed film. It looks like a boilerplate actioner. I want to see it, but I do not believe it will make money.
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Mon Sep 09, 2024 5:28 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35231 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
January is definitely better for Flight Risk. It looks like a decent hit to me. Mel Gibson's movies are usually well-reviewed and it's based off a Black List script. I didn't even watch the trailer before having to predict it in this and it looks surprisingly fun.
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Mon Sep 09, 2024 1:46 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6748
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Every prediction will be too high on Joker :-( I am feeling a huge under performance for the movie.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Sep 09, 2024 2:16 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40438
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Keyser Söze wrote: Every prediction will be too high on Joker :-( I am feeling a huge under performance for the movie. Were the Venom movies performances predicted by presales? I feel like Joker could have a similar type of sleeper audience.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Mon Sep 09, 2024 3:39 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32601 Location: the last free city
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Algren wrote: Rev wrote: Algren wrote: Yes. When I heard the news I thought that's where it belongs. No faith in a Mel Gibson directed film ? Not THIS Mel Gibson directed film. It looks like a boilerplate actioner. I want to see it, but I do not believe it will make money. I enjoyed the trailer  was going to see it in theaters
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Mon Sep 09, 2024 4:12 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6748
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Shack wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: Every prediction will be too high on Joker :-( I am feeling a huge under performance for the movie. Were the Venom movies performances predicted by presales? I feel like Joker could have a similar type of sleeper audience. I dont remember 1st movie but 2nd movie looked weak until T-10 or so. But this is still DC. I did track 1st Joker movie but that was more regional and it had a strong presales start that is missing for this movie.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Sep 09, 2024 5:08 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40438
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
A little late on the Beetlejuice/Front Room scores
Keyser Soze 2.5 Magic Mike 3.1 publicenemy#1 10.7 Flava'd 11 stuffp 11 flip1 14.4 rftapeout 16 MadGez 22 Shack 24 Algren 25.5 Rev 34 O 47
Keyser had bullseye on Beetlejuice's 111 while Mike was 0.4 off.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat Sep 14, 2024 1:40 pm |
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rftapeout
Speed Racer
Joined: Wed Dec 18, 2019 4:20 pm Posts: 114
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
I think Shack typed the wrong number in his spreadsheet for The Front Room's weekend box office. According to The Numbers https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Front-Room-The-(2024)#tab=box-office The Front Room grossed about $1.6 million in its opening weekend. Keyser's score should be about 0.9, not 2.5. Other people's scores were also affected.
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Sat Sep 14, 2024 6:03 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40438
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
rftapeout wrote: I think Shack typed the wrong number in his spreadsheet for The Front Room's weekend box office. According to The Numbers https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Front-Room-The-(2024)#tab=box-office The Front Room grossed about $1.6 million in its opening weekend. Keyser's score should be about 0.9, not 2.5. Other people's scores were also affected. Yes, the real scores Keyser Soze 0.9 Magic Mike 1.5 publicenemy#1 9.1 Flava'd 9.4 stuffp 9.4 flip1 12.8 rftapeout 14.4 MadGez 20.4 Shack 22.4 Algren 23.9 Rev 32.4 O 45.4
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sun Sep 15, 2024 3:52 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40438
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Speak No Evil scores
stuffp 0.1 flip1 0.6 Flava'd 2.4 MadGez 2.4 O 2.4 Magic Mike 2.6 rftapeout 3 Rev 4.4 publicenemy#1 4.9 Keyser Soze 6.4 Algren 6.7 Shack 7.4
Total
Magic Mike 4.1 Keyser Soze 7.3 stuffp 9.5 Flava'd 11.8 flip1 13.4 publicenemy#1 14 rftapeout 17.4 MadGez 22.8 Shack 29.8 Algren 30.6 Rev 36.8 O 47.8
September/October king Magic Mike off to a good start
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Sep 17, 2024 3:59 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40438
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Transformers/Never Let Go scores
Keyser Soze 1 publicenemy#1 3.5 O 4 Flava'd 8 Shack 11.8 Rev 13.2 flip1 15.1 Algren 15.6 stuffp 16 Magic Mike 21 MadGez 26 rftapeout 28.5
Total
Keyser Soze 8.3 publicenemy#1 17.5 Flava'd 19.8 Magic Mike 25.1 stuffp 25.5 flip1 28.5 Shack 41.6 rftapeout 45.9 Algren 46.2 MadGez 48.8 Rev 50 O 51.8
Keyser leads with his 105 Joker prediction being on the lower side, but not as low as his pre sale information would have him bet now it appears.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Sep 24, 2024 4:57 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40438
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Wild Robot/Megalopolis scores
stuffp 3.3 Rev 5.8 MadGez 8.8 O 8.8 Keyser Soze 9.8 publicenemy#1 11 rftapeout 11.8 Flava'd 12.199999 flip1 12.7 Shack 14.6 Magic Mike 14.8 Algren 21.8
Total
Keyser Soze 18.1 publicenemy#1 28.5 stuffp 28.8 Flava'd 31.999999 Magic Mike 39.9 flip1 41.2 Rev 55.8 Shack 56.2 MadGez 57.6 rftapeout 57.7 O 60.6 Algren 68
Nobody went under 100 (Rev) for Joker
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Mon Sep 30, 2024 4:06 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6748
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
I think for big movies, we should also predict 2nd weekend. That would make it very interesting for sure. We dont need to do 2 months at a time as well.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Oct 04, 2024 5:37 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19397 Location: San Diego
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Gonna lose over 100m on Joker lolol
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Fri Oct 04, 2024 5:42 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68286 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Yeah, embarrassing for all of us
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Sat Oct 05, 2024 12:38 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Think my record is 263 or something. So feels like after Joker the all time worst record has a great chance to be broken. 
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Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:48 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68286 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Let this be another example that the members of World of KJ know absolutely nothing about box office.
We're decent enough at analysing AFTER THE FACT, but we know fuck all about predicting how a movie will perform. We do what anybody can do. The real money is in knowing things before they happen. And we weren't even fucking close. Nobody was even in the ball park. Pathetic.
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Tue Oct 08, 2024 3:42 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25301 Location: Classified
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Eh I didn't see anyone else calling Joker a bomb before tracking. WOKJ is no better or worse than anyone else. Maybe still better. None of us would have greenlit Megalopolis.
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Tue Oct 08, 2024 4:31 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68286 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: WOKJ Monthly Contest- Sept/Oct (Beetlejuice due by Fri.)
Because all the sites are shit we get a pass? Sorry, nope. That's not how you improve. It doesn't matter what others are doing or saying. And not seeing Joker 2's floppage isn't an isolated case. KJ has a history of not seeing the big box office stories.
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Tue Oct 08, 2024 4:34 am |
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