| Author |
Message |
|
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
 Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz I hope Chappie can get close to $30 mil OW, but low 20's seems about right.
Unfinished Business may do worse than HTTM2.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
| Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:13 am |
|
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19401
Location: San Diego
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz surprised no one has made a Dev Patel/Magnus joke yet. Two openers this week.
|
| Mon Mar 02, 2015 9:30 pm |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35233
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Top 5 Ticket Sellers on MovieTickets.com
1. The Drop Box presented by Focus on the Family - 18%
2. Focus - 15%
3. Fifty Shades of Grey - 9%
4. Cinderella - 6%
5. Kingsman - 6%
|
| Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:46 pm |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35233
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz 1. CHAPPIE - 20.55 MILLION (New)
2. FOCUS - 10.276 MILLION (-45%)
3. THE SECOND BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL - 10.08 MILLION (New)
4. UNFINISHED BUSINESS - 9.605 MILLION (New)
5. KINGSMAN: THE SECRET SERVICE - 7.84 MILLION (-34%)
6. SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS: SPONGE OUT OF WATER - 7.249 MILLION (-33%)
7. MCFARLAND, USA - 5.876 MILLION (-25%)
8. FIFTY SHADES OF GREY - 5.594 MILLION (-46%)
9. AMERICAN SNIPER - 5.545 MILLION (-25%)
10. THE DUFF - 4.6 MILLION (-33%)
|
| Tue Mar 03, 2015 12:06 am |
|
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19401
Location: San Diego
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Good for Cinderella, no? (or Frozen Fever lol)
|
| Tue Mar 03, 2015 2:09 am |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35233
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz publicenemy#1 wrote: Good for Cinderella, no? (or Frozen Fever lol) Definitely. Should do great. The Frozen short will help convince people to go see it theatrically I think.
|
| Tue Mar 03, 2015 2:15 am |
|
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21536
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz publicenemy#1 wrote: Good for Cinderella, no? (or Frozen Fever lol) Especially since it should skew young. A lower percentage than usual should buy their tickets online.
|
| Tue Mar 03, 2015 8:26 am |
|
|
|
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz publicenemy#1 wrote: surprised no one has made a Dev Patel/Magnus joke yet. Two openers this week. Magnus always opens on the weekend. _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
| Tue Mar 03, 2015 11:00 am |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35233
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Top 5 Ticket Sellers on MovieTickets.com
1. The Drop Box presented by Focus on the Family - 20%
2. Focus - 15%
3. Fifty Shades of Grey - 9%
4. Kingsman - 7%
5. McFarland, USA - 5%
|
| Tue Mar 03, 2015 1:42 pm |
|
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Is The Drop Box opening wide? I've only heard references to it on one of the local Christian rock stations.
_________________
Making Predictions Great Again!
|
| Tue Mar 03, 2015 1:48 pm |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35233
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Just showing a couple times this week starting tonight. Not sure how many theaters. Quite a few I'd imagine.
|
| Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:57 pm |
|
|
|
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz zwackerm Rolling Thunder wrote: Fandango quiet this week, all but affirming Chappie won't reach Elysium levels. The marketing is a miss and will be interesting to see if that's all they could do with it. Chippy wrote: I think they're lowballing due to the market being on a downswing heading into Cinderella.
I'm not saying it won't open that low... but it should at least get to $20+ mil. Magic Mike wrote: Reviews for Chappie and Unfinished Business are, not surprisingly, pretty poor. If people listen to reviews I could actually see Chappie doing low teens. _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
| Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:15 pm |
|
|
|
Birdman
Speed Racer
Joined: Tue Feb 17, 2015 11:17 pm
Posts: 111
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Chappie currently has 20% on 1 fresh and 4 rotten reviews on Rotten Tomatoes.
The fresh one is the most recent.
I think reviews coming in late could help Chappie if they are bad.
If they are great, which I don't see happening, it could hurt it though.
|
| Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:26 pm |
|
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21536
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz I'm starting to think Marigold Hotel can do well. Similar films have done well in wide release, like The Hundred-Foot Journey. I'm currently predicting a 2nd place debut.
|
| Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:12 pm |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35233
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz What would be really cool is if Chappie disappointed and did low teens and Marigold Hotel managed to beat it for 1st.
|
| Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:18 pm |
|
|
|
movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm
Posts: 8627
Location: Syracuse, NY
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Marigold Hotel is going to do great this weekend. The first is beloved with it's target audience. I wouldn't be surprised with a $15+ million opening honestly. At my theater we are showing it in the biggest theater.
_________________
Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land
2. Other People
3. Nocturnal Animals
4. Swiss Army Man
5. Manchester by the Sea
6. The Edge of Seventeen
7. Sing Street
8. Indignation
9. The Lobster
10. Hell or High Water
|
| Thu Mar 05, 2015 12:19 am |
 
|
|
|
Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Magic Mike wrote: What would be really cool is if Chappie disappointed and did low teens and Marigold Hotel managed to beat it for 1st. It's definitely possible IMO, although I believe beating UB is more likely. Chappie is getting shitty reviews so far though, and even if the last minute reviews are more positive it doesn't look like it will go any higher than mid 30's on RT, and that's being pretty generous. People will rush out to see it anyways, but who knows how frontloaded it will be when WOM gets out. I wouldn't be surprised if this was a Sucker Punch type situation all over again.
|
| Thu Mar 05, 2015 2:01 am |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35233
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz movies35 wrote: Marigold Hotel is going to do great this weekend. The first is beloved with it's target audience. I wouldn't be surprised with a $15+ million opening honestly. At my theater we are showing it in the biggest theater. Mine has it on 2 screens. Good for an older-skewing film like this.
|
| Thu Mar 05, 2015 3:30 am |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35233
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Dil wrote: Magic Mike wrote: What would be really cool is if Chappie disappointed and did low teens and Marigold Hotel managed to beat it for 1st. It's definitely possible IMO, although I believe beating UB is more likely. Chappie is getting shitty reviews so far though, and even if the last minute reviews are more positive it doesn't look like it will go any higher than mid 30's on RT, and that's being pretty generous. People will rush out to see it anyways, but who knows how frontloaded it will be when WOM gets out. I wouldn't be surprised if this was a Sucker Punch type situation all over again. Eh. I don't see UB doing that well. A mid-tier performer.
|
| Thu Mar 05, 2015 3:30 am |
|
|
|
Birdman
Speed Racer
Joined: Tue Feb 17, 2015 11:17 pm
Posts: 111
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Chappie is at 54% now.
|
| Thu Mar 05, 2015 9:34 am |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35233
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz MovieTickets.com Top 5 Ticket Sellers
1. Avengers - 30%
2. The Drop Box presented by Focus on the Family - 12%
3. Fifty Shades of Grey - 6%
4. The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - 5%
5. Cinderella - 5%
Seems quite solid for The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel to be in the top 5 over the other new releases. Older-skewing movies don't usually sell advanced tickets as well from what I recall. I will not be totally shocked it this breaks out to 15 Million.
|
| Thu Mar 05, 2015 1:56 pm |
|
|
|
BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am
Posts: 7041
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz lol Chappie ain't even on there and it's Friday (here). So sub $15m OW?
_________________
Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m
|
| Thu Mar 05, 2015 2:09 pm |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35233
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz I could see sub-15. I mean, showings start tonight for it and it's not even on here? If Chappie does sub-15 Exotic Marigold could top the Box Office this weekend.
|
| Thu Mar 05, 2015 2:12 pm |
|
|
|
Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Yeah Chappie not showing up on movietickets is very discouraging. It might be getting hit hard by Avengers 2 pre-sales which appeals to the same audience, but that's still not a good excuse. Showings start tonight and Avengers doesn't come out for another two months. Even JA was in the top 5 by Tuesday, and that had to deal with 50 Shades domination.
|
| Thu Mar 05, 2015 3:49 pm |
|
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21536
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
|
Re: March 6-8 Predictions (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Weekend Predictions for Mar 6-8
1. (N) Chappie (Sony/Columbia)- 20.6 million, NEW, 3,201 theaters (N), $6,435 avg., 50 million budget, Week 1, 20.6 million to date
2. (N) The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (Fox Searchlight)- 11.8 million, NEW, No theater count or average available, 9 million budget, Week 1, 11.8 million to date
3. (1) Focus (Warner Bros.)- 10.8 million, -42%, 3,323 theaters (No Change), $3,250 avg., 50 million budget, Week 2, 35.5 million to date
4. (N) Unfinished Business (Fox)- 10.0 million, NEW, No theater count or average available, 35 million budget, Week 1, 10.0 million to date
5. (2) Kingsman: The Secret Service (Fox)- 8.0 million, -33%, No theater count or average available, 81 million budget, Week 4, 97.7 million to date
6. (3) The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water (Paramount)- 7.7 million, -29%, 3,097 theaters (-370), $2,486 avg., 74 million budget, Week 5, 149.7 million to date
7. (4) Fifty Shades of Grey (Universal)- 5.5 million, -48%, No theater count or average available, 40 million budget, Week 4, 156.3 million to date
8. (6) McFarland, USA (Buena Vista)- 5.1 million, -35%, 2,792 theaters (+27), $1,827 avg., 23 million budget, Week 3, 29.2 million to date
9. (7) American Sniper (Warner Bros.)- 4.6 million, -36%, 2,545 theaters (-369), $1,807 avg., 59 million budget, Week 11, 337.2 million to date
10. (8) The DUFF (Lionsgate)- 4.1 million, -40%, No theater count or average available, 9 million budget, Week 3, 25.3 million to date
|
| Thu Mar 05, 2015 6:44 pm |
|
|
