Eagle wrote:
MG is ranked #2 in Box Office predictions for a reason ....
That said I still disagree :razz:
He also lets his personal feelings affect his thinking, which is why his
Sin City prediction for opening weekend was so far off. He was even lower on it when he had to actually predict before a consensus had formed and more info was available.
Opening: $9.3
Total: $24.9
That was his "gut" feeling on
Sin City in early March. :razz:
If I recall, he's also predicting 25/65 million for
Fantastic Four. I'll bet he raises that too, once he has help.
He's been very critical of
Revenge of the Sith, and he's right now predicting...
3-Day Opening: $81.0
4-Day Opening: $107.0
Total: $227.5
It's so much easier to make predictions that are accurate when you have consensus and all the information that can be gathered up until a few days before the movie's release. For that reason, Derby averages have never carried much weight with me. If I was a Derby player, I'd get a good sense of who the best players were, and always call my numbers close to their numbers, and I'd have me a great average. \:D/
Not to downplay or insult MG, as I'm just having fun ribbing him here, but I believe I just made a strong case for his lack of foresight, so calling somebody elses predictions "fanboy predictions" might have carried more weight if it weren't for the fact that he has shown time and again that his personal biases cause him to make some lousy predictions, especially if he's making those predictions solely using his own foresight.
