true and i think that 50m will be an easy goal for this film to achieve over the wknd 8)

I never saw Fockers increasing more than 150% anyways, even with the 30% drop on Friday. It just didn't seem likely that a movie that's making so much money ($40M+ weekend) would increase that much. All those other movies in 1999 were not as big as Fockers. Not even close.

True but if thats true than meet the fockers should have fell this wknd like any other film, but it wont its going to increase and Im one of those people who say its going to increase a lot +59.5% 8) this all has to do with the way I was prediction this film to start with, I expect big increases because people are going to want to go out and watch the big film. Are you suprised that its even increaseing this wknd :?: mon-thurs showed that this film was an exception to the usual film big opening or not its dailys were great, all over 10m. Why would the film just colapse over the new years wknd :?: you ask why would it increase more than 150% even if it did drop yesterday, the only answere I can think of is because it is the must see of the season everyone is watching it. 99 was cluttered with moderate films none bening all that watchable MTF is very watchable and it can score a lot of repeat viewings also. I think a better year to go by would have been 93 but there were no dailys tracked by BOM then.

Hmm, this Friday showed completely different pattern than 1999. How the heck The Aviator increased that much?

Theory: Because word-of-mouth and reviews are aligning behind this film enough to get people interested in a Scorsese film.

It's a good adult film, it has the romance for women, and it has a really masculine techy edge to it.

yep it also made BJs top ten of 04 8) not very important, but it made my list

That's not the point, it is just...how could it increase 60+% even though back in 1999 all films fell over 10%

because 2004 ROCKS!!!!!!!!!!!

Because 1999-2000 was a much bigger event then 2004-2005. Oh, and The Aviator looks to be much more of a weekend movie then a daily one, what with the three hour showtimes starting at 8 (the one I went to last night was SOLD OUT)

Yup, that's what I suggested as an explanation earlier in this thread as well. Well, there is no other reasonable explanation, I guess.

was there any films that fell yesterday :?:

The Polar Express
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
Fat Albert


Darkness most likely too

well thats not bad they probably fell less than even my over predicting self was projecting 8) As for darkness that film is doing realy bad its going to fall hard not matter what on a wknd when all other films including MTF will be increaseing over 40% from last wknd 8)

My very weak projections: (Who knows what Saturday and Sunday could do!?)

Meet the Fockers - $40.9 ($12.10 - $16.94 - $11.86)
Lemony Snicket - $14.6 ($4.40 - $6.16 - $4.00)
The Aviator - $11.2 ($4.20 - $4.41 - $2.64)
Fat Albert - $10.0 ($3.10 - $4.03 - $2.82)
Ocean's 12 - $8.5 ($2.90 - $3.48 - $2.09)
The Polar Express - $6.3 ($2.10 - $2.52 - $1.67)
Spanglish - $5.3 ($1.80 - $2.15 - $1.38)
The Phantom of the Opera - $4.3 ($1.50 - $1.73 - $1.04)

The kid films will have the biggest increase on Saturday, since they were they only ones that dropped on Friday. The largest adult film increase I think will be only about 40% on Saturday.

Oh, and also:
GO NATIONAL TREASURE!!!

could happen, I doubt it though.

I'm hoping Polar Express will die on Saturday and Sunday, now that it is officially the new year and hopefully people have the whole christmas theme run out of them. Polar Express should have died out earlier, I'm surprised it still has chugged along. That's really good. But just for the sake of my prediction, I hope it dies away now. I thought it would drop harder on Thursday and Friday.

PEACE, Mike

I think every single film will make more than you are projecting and that 40% increase for adult films thing seems very unlikely we could go back to 82 the first time that new years day was recorded Im shure that every adult film increased more than 40%. I think your predictions are being unreasonable how on earth would they all increase less than 40% :?:

There were nonexistant drops on Friday, and throughout the whole week. People have already been at the theaters to the max. If there were drops yesterday, I would have gone with the 100%+ increases like 1999.

40% could possibly be too low, but I just don't see how the Aviator could increase even more. Phantom also increased, so they probably won't rise that much more on Saturday.

Meet the fockers was such a great movie I'm putting up another 10$ to see it again.

comparing this weekend to '99 is kinda silly seeing as how the whole country (world) was panicked over a little thing called Y2K in 1999. That's why every damn film dropped. I expect that only the kids movies dropped yesterday cause of.. I actually have no clue. Lemony Snicket and them will rebound though with no less than 50% increases. Fockers will make about $40M, which is just amazing. If it doesn't plummet in January this thing could pass The Prisoner of Azkaban. I'll try my hand at projecting, because I'm bored,
#1: Meet The Fockers - $40.3M
#2: Lemony Snicket - $15.3M
#3: The Aviator - $11.5M
#4: Fat Albert - $10.9M
#5: Oceans 12 - $8.1M

that's it.

I think that those two films are increasing like made due to there theater count, it probably does not affect there friday as much as the other films. I think that the films arent being affected by now years celbebrations like they were back in 99 as has been said more than once allready in this thread. There will be 100% increases today because there is nothing to stop any of the films. Polar will have the smallest increase today in the 20%-40% range but i expect all other films to have much better increases than 40%. BTW national treasure will most likely break 6m for the wknd 8)

If National Treasure breaks 6 million this weekend (which I think it will), it is going to repass Polar Express. Even if Polar Express doesn't fall as hard as Elf did during January, National Treasure still will have better January legs than it.

It's a surprise to me that it even broke $100 million, though after watching the movie, I can see why it was a hit. It's legs are amazing, and I hope it stays in the top 10 for the year.

Great numbers all around. Impressive especially for National Treasure and Meet the Fockes.

As for increases tomorrow, I'd lean more towards a normal weekend increase in the range of 40-60%. I'll make some projections later (though I'll probably be very wrong).

Loving the Fockers number, although i doubt it will have the saturday increase that some are predicting, i'm thinking more like 30-70%, but we'll see!!

Really glad to see The Incredibles is still making some $$$, and will Polar ever die? is IMAX the reason it's holding well since xmas??