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lesterg
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2005 11:40 am
Posts: 1339
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excel wrote: supermans looking ata 10-15% drop tomorrow if not more, pradas looking at 20%+. Are you referring to Thursday's numbers (meaning today) or Friday?
If Friday, why are you thinking Prada is going to be hurt worse than Superman by POTC? _________________
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:28 pm |
 
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22202
Location: Places
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thursday. they will increase on friday.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:29 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15565
Location: Everywhere
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 Re: Wed #s(SBD) Dr. Lecter wrote: El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote:
You forgot xXx: State of the Union from 2005 (if you count it as summer).
M:I-3 actually did not do that badly to be counted with those. It will easly make profit considering it'll wind up with $400 million worldwide on a $150 million budget. I mean it will make more profit than Van Hlesing did in 2004...
MI3 had budget rumors anywhere from 150 to 180. It would probably be placed in the same category as Superman Returns. Dont forget Tom Cruise forfeited his usual salary fee because he was using his producer's fee to get like a certain % of total gross for the film. Cruise probably wont be too happy with the results, he needed the money to do some phasing and auditing the gamma level Van Helsing's budget was $175+ million : ) And the only ones that won't be happy is the Scientology..uhhh...CEO's. The sect usually gets 10% off the salaries of their members. VH was in the 160s.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:33 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11032
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:34 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22202
Location: Places
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mojo-
$6,425,270 for superman. total is 114,516,981. It needs 5,483,019 million tomorrow to be at 120 million by friday.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:35 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Prada is just shocking me each day. It'll sit at around $62-63 million after the weekend. It's definitely going to make $100+ million total at this point.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:36 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22202
Location: Places
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x3 passed 230 million finally.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:38 pm |
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lesterg
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2005 11:40 am
Posts: 1339
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Yeah, Prada is definately a lock. Superman is probably pretty close to a lock for 200 now.
_________________
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:40 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22202
Location: Places
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we wont be able to determine that till after this wekeend, at the earliest.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:42 pm |
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lesterg
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2005 11:40 am
Posts: 1339
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excel wrote: we wont be able to determine that till after this wekeend, at the earliest. Well, it will be close to 120 with today's numbers. What are people thinking for the weekend? 20-25? _________________
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:45 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11032
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Im thinking it will have a 27-28mill weekend, so it will be at about 147-148mill by the end of the weekend.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:57 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22202
Location: Places
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- 50-58% million (or 23-28 million)for the weekend then a bounce back.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:59 pm |
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Terminator1997
George A. Romero
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:30 pm
Posts: 9773
Location: Enjoying a cold pint
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nice number for click
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:17 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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That is quite a good number for Superman. I still think it will drop close to 60% this weekend. But it is having a good week.
_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:22 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40550
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Good weekdays for Supes so far, and I'll admit under 200 mil isn't a lock yet, it's just unlikely.
And Prada has a shot at the #1 comedy of the summer. Amazing.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:43 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22202
Location: Places
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shack you think under 200 million is unlikely?what?
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 5:05 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40550
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Um, yeah?
22 mil next weekend.
11.9 the one after.
6.5 after that.
Then it's started shedding theatres like crazy, making pennies.
3.4 after that.
1.7 after that.
With 120 mil going into this weekend that gives it 165 mil, weekdays won't make up the difference. Probably brings it around to 180 mil or so.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 5:10 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22202
Location: Places
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lol read it again shack. "under 200 is unlikely" means 200 million+ is likely.
but nm i get you meant it the other way around.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 5:36 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21889
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Shack wrote: Um, yeah?
22 mil next weekend.
11.9 the one after.
6.5 after that.
Then it's started shedding theatres like crazy, making pennies.
3.4 after that.
1.7 after that.
With 120 mil going into this weekend that gives it 165 mil, weekdays won't make up the difference. Probably brings it around to 180 mil or so. That was a horrible analysis. It is very likely that it wont fall below 5.5 million tomorrow. If thats the case it will make an 7.5-8 million Friday, 10.5 Saturday, 8 million Sunday for close to a 26 million Weekend. That will put it I'll closely at 145 million already. The following weekdays will be over 3 million each, so you can put add a very safe 12 million to that total for a 157 million total. If it falls 50% again, unlikely given that its competition will be much less and should level off by then, we have a 13 million weekend. That puts it to 170 million. Add in about 7 million from those weekdays, and you have 177 million. Add 7 million for the weekend and you are already nearing 185 million. If you think of that as a 7 million opening it should pull a 3 multiplier by then for another 14 million by the end of its run, (These are very safe by the way, low average)
That would mean that the safest prediction after is about 199 million right now. I think it will continue to suprise however after a 50-55% drop this weekend.
And yes it will be shredding theaters by its 4th weekend, but it will be in over 4000 theaters, so I doubt it will loose 2000 theaters in 2 weeks. _________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 5:40 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21889
Location: Walking around somewhere
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By safe I mean that its not showing any signs that it wouldn't have a good run, as of now its actually having the healthiest run of all the blockbusters. It will be the only one to hit a 3 multiplier, maybe even 4 from its opening weekend, only Cars and OTH have passed a 3 multiplier, Davinci is close though.
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 5:43 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Wow, Superman Returns surprises me with that good drop. I remember some saying yesterday that it would drop 50% or more into wednesday, but instead it only drops 39%.
And Devil Wears Prada and Cars continue to shine!
PEACE, Mike.
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 5:53 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21889
Location: Walking around somewhere
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There must have been double features of Posiedon and Superman. This will be a good weekend
Cars will pass 200 million
Over the Hedge could pass 150 million
Click will pass 100 million
Posiedon might hit 60 million.
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 6:04 pm |
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JURiNG
ef star star kay
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:45 pm
Posts: 3016
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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Lector, seems like Superman Returns will make 120 in 9 days 
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| Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:26 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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neo_wolf wrote: lesterg wrote: Only a two million difference between Superman and Prada? My god... After a 10.5mill July 4 a 39% drop to 6.4 is very good.
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| Fri Jul 07, 2006 12:56 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21889
Location: Walking around somewhere
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MIAMI_BKB wrote: neo_wolf wrote: lesterg wrote: Only a two million difference between Superman and Prada? My god... After a 10.5mill July 4 a 39% drop to 6.4 is very good. Because other than its soft weekend, do to opening on a wed, its performing better than other 4th of july weekenders the following week in the last 5 years. _________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Fri Jul 07, 2006 6:55 pm |
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