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 Some weekend numbers from Reelsource 
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Ice Age 2 went up a rank!!


Sun May 07, 2006 1:34 pm
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Yeah, serious disappointment to start the summer.

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Sun May 07, 2006 1:37 pm
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And Ice Age 2 looks like it won't pass 200. After that opening weekend and considering it's a fluffy CGI, wow.

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Sun May 07, 2006 1:39 pm
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14.3% Sunday drop for American Haunting? M:I3 could drop with actual too.

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Sun May 07, 2006 1:39 pm
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i think that his career is now going down the loo

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Sun May 07, 2006 1:45 pm
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Personally I think that while the Cruise backlash has affected the opening a bit, a much more bigger impact was made by the fact that the film looked generic in trailers and TV-spots. Good, but generic.

Modern audiences expect more from their action movies than cars blowing up and people running. There was a been there, done that feeling to the marketing. With no Cruise and no M:I brand name, the film would have opened around 20-25 million. So it's a solid, if slightly disappoinging opening (I expected it do around 60-65 million).

It should do about 140 million domestically (I expect legs to be better than originally expected), a 400 million worldwide run and then another 400 million on DVD. Not too shabby.


Last edited by Tuukka on Sun May 07, 2006 2:17 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sun May 07, 2006 2:07 pm
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Sbil

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The Sentinel has had a rather disastrous performance since it opened. Monstrous 62% decline this weekend. Look for it to finish with under $35M.


Sun May 07, 2006 2:08 pm
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Mission Impossible 3's opening is dissapointing, as said 100 times in this thread. But still nothing to be sniffed at. $48,025,000 Is not bad at all. These $70M+ predictions were dumbass anyway.

RV done fantastic, still think it won't pass $35M Baumer???
An American Haunting beat low expectations. Should cover it's budget.
Silent Hill will be the second movie to open over $20M and finish under $50M. Damn, 2 in one year.
Hoot is a stinking tank in the way of Running Scared, Bloodrayne and Doogal and will lose theatres next weekend.
The Sentinel spent 2 weeks in the top 10. Embarrassing.

Come on POSEIDON, please open over $40M.


Sun May 07, 2006 2:40 pm
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So someone help me out here. What exactly happened to MI3?


Sun May 07, 2006 3:49 pm
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Dkmuto wrote:
So someone help me out here. What exactly happened to MI3?


It made less money than everybody expected? :tongue:

Critics were not an issue, since the movie was accepted by the majority of them.

The demos for MI3 remained exactly the same. That was not an issue.

Quote:
While there were some reports that the youthful 43-year-old was losing his female fan base, Paramount said the demographics were exactly the same for all three "Mission" movies: 64 percent of viewers were aged 25 and older, and 56 percent were male.



Demos

Interest may have been lacking.
Big movies in 2006 (upto this week) have underperformed.

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Sun May 07, 2006 3:59 pm
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I told/tell you all the box office has gone to hell and a handbasket....

Everyone want to wait for the DVD now.

Look for many movie theatres to close after this summer.


Sun May 07, 2006 4:18 pm
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Did Mission: Impossible III make $48 million or $10 million this weekend? Based on some posts in this thread, I can't even tell. Theaters closing? Slump is back? Box-Office is dead? C'mon now.


Sun May 07, 2006 4:25 pm
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SFERIC wrote:
I told/tell you all the box office has gone to hell and a handbasket....

Everyone want to wait for the DVD now.

Look for many movie theatres to close after this summer.


Damn those high gasoline prices 3.30 a gallon and higher cost in food. Im pretty much paying an extra dollar and a half on meal deals that usually cost $7.00 a person now its up to $8.50 in just 6 months


Sun May 07, 2006 4:26 pm
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SFERIC wrote:
I told/tell you all the box office has gone to hell and a handbasket....

Everyone want to wait for the DVD now.

Look for many movie theatres to close after this summer.


Are you joking? The top 12 made over $20M more than the same weekend last year.


Sun May 07, 2006 4:42 pm
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First $45 million opener to miss the $100 million mark :P

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Sun May 07, 2006 4:49 pm
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I read comparisons of this to Batman Begins from Paramount. Hmmm...

MI1 and MI2 adjusted to $67, and $70 m, so high $60's predictions were reasonable for this film, which were among the low end of predictions. Yes, those films were helped by Memorial Day weekend, but they also opened on Wed, with 5 day grosses that would adjust now for MI1 and MI2 respectably to $94.75 m, and $96.43 m.

The most interesting question after MI3 though is what movie Cruise will do as a follow up to this one, and how it will do...


Sun May 07, 2006 5:12 pm
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Libs wrote:
SFERIC wrote:
I told/tell you all the box office has gone to hell and a handbasket....

Everyone want to wait for the DVD now.

Look for many movie theatres to close after this summer.


Are you joking? The top 12 made over $20M more than the same weekend last year.


Actually, considering what a joke last year's Summer opening weekend was, $20m advantage isn't something to write home about.

I don't follow these numbers like I used and don't care as much, but I gotta say that yes, while MI#'s opening isn't bad, it's quite disappointing. And I think the Cruise thing does have something to do with it (not alot, but some).

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Sun May 07, 2006 5:16 pm
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I think Cruise should get away from these big generic blockbuster films for a while. The guy is a darn good actor, there was once a time where he played in acclaimed films like Rain Man, Jerry McGuire. I think he should do at least turn back to one respectful role, to get some cred.

Or at the very least a romantic comedy. Smith has Hitch, Gibson has What Women Want. Cruise could have one of those movies too.

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Sun May 07, 2006 5:17 pm
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Shack wrote:
I think Cruise should get away from these big generic blockbuster films for a while. The guy is a darn good actor, there was once a time where he played in acclaimed films like Rain Man, Jerry McGuire. I think he should do at least turn back to one respectful role, to get some cred.

Or at the very least a romantic comedy. Smith has Hitch, Gibson has What Women Want. Cruise could have one of those movies too.


I think doing a romcom would be a the final nail in his career right now. Alot of women find him quite creepy now (compared to the Jerry Maguire days) and its even more Cruise image driven than MI films are. A rom com would be the absolute worst thing to do imo. In my opinion, he should do films with established actors. If you look at his film slate, there is rarely a big star along side him, and each of his films have him as the main star. There are a few exceptions of strong supporting talent, like A Few Good Men, and Rain Man is probably as close as it gets to having someone else big in the film as a star as well. But he needs to do films with big stars and start sharing the spotlight now. Will Smith, Gibson, Russell Crowe, etc. But just look at Interview With The Vampire, along with A Few Good Men. With a strong supporting cast, he got out of the slump he was in for a bit in the early 90's.


Last edited by O on Sun May 07, 2006 5:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun May 07, 2006 5:26 pm
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There have been reports of scientologists buying out theaters for the movie.

Scientologists have been known to rig polls and in some occasions buy and reship books to keep sales up [ie scientologists would go out, buy copies of the book, then reship them to stores - with the price tags still on them]

i dont buy it, but there have been a few reports of it happening on the gossip blogs.

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Sun May 07, 2006 5:30 pm
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Felicity Titwank wrote:
There have been reports of scientologists buying out theaters for the movie.

Scientologists have been known to rig polls and in some occasions buy and reship books to keep sales up [ie scientologists would go out, buy copies of the book, then reship them to stores - with the price tags still on them]

i dont buy it, but there have been a few reports of it happening on the gossip blogs.


Where were they when Battlefield Earth came out?? :lol:


Sun May 07, 2006 5:31 pm
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As has been said, mucho disappointing for M:I 3. Tom Cruise is to blame as he anchored the film. It didn't even have an established director like John Woo to fall back in. The film was sold almost exclusively on his back. It will fall big next weekend as its huge theatre count seems to indicate. Most films with ginormous counts fall.

Poor for An American Haunting but no one expected much from it.

Pathetic for Hoot. The second horrid opening of the year for New Line after Running Scared, which opened with almos the exact same amount.


Sun May 07, 2006 7:26 pm
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BOG mentioned a couple of limited releases that aren't on BOM's weekend chart:

Quote:
Warner Independent debuted the Chinese epic The Promise in 213 theaters but grossed only $271,000 according to estimates for a poor $1,272 average. The Golden Globe-nominated adventure was China's official submission to this year's Oscars and is reportedly that country's most expensive film ever made. U.S. critics were not very pleased.


Quote:
ThinkFilm debuted its Edward Norton starrer Down in the Valley to an estimated $26,000 from three New York houses for a solid $8,770 average. The film widens to three more cities on Friday before gradually expanding throughout May.

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Sun May 07, 2006 8:37 pm
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I think M:I-3 will still end up with $135+ million.

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Sun May 07, 2006 8:58 pm
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my prediction was 70/200,

way lower then expected opening + way better then expected movie=similar total.

mi3 WILL cross 150 million, and i think itll stop around 175 million. cruise films are always leggy.


Sun May 07, 2006 9:00 pm
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