Dumb.

I could definitely see Equalizer ending up below 100M if Gone Girl breaks out.

I think it won't effect it too much. The Equalizer will attract action crowds, while Gone Girl will attract those looking for a psychological thriller. The R rating could hurt both though. There are only so many adults to go around. Hopefully enough teenagers will sneak into Annabelle so both openers can do well and Equalizer can have a strong hold.

How is Interstellar's early opening going to affect question 8?

I am, of course, a proponent of the question being altered to compare 5-day to 5-day.

I am going to have to throw out that question now, unfortunately.

The chances of Interstellar winning that question was low, but it definitely would be unfair to increase those chances by expanding it to a 5-day opening (whereas that might have been the point when people would've changed their answers). On the flip side, keeping the question as is lowers the chances of Interstellar's 3-day opening beating The Hobbit's 5-day opening.

Why don't we just ask people if they would change their answers?

I don't see why anyone would, as I don't expect much difference.

But we can throw it out if that's what you've decided.

I have always tried to avoid seeking potential new answers from players after the game has begun for two reasons:
1. It's not always possible to reach everyone, so I don't want to put anyone who doesn't visit KJ as much at a disadvantage.
2. The spirit of the game is capturing everyone's mindsets before the season starts.

I hate throwing out questions obviously, but it's par for the course now as it usually happens to at least 1 question every game just due to the fact that we predict so early.

Compared to the old (supposed) opening, the new 3-day opening of Interstellar will be deflated, and the opposite for the 5-day one. Just go with a 'middle way': remove Wed from the count and use the Thu-to-Sun number.

I'm fine with dumping the question. That's been our standard all along. Why can't movie studios be more considerate of our game?

Ha, I know right!

Yep, for all just now reading - the following box office question has been voided:

Personally I don't think this question should be voided. Basically it was a matter of "Which will open bigger?", not a 3-day, 4-day or 5-day opening.

i really hope the boxtrolls plummets from here. hopefully Alexander and the book of life will kill it. normally i would root for a film like this, but I made that 51 million prediction when its reviews were at 20%. I didn't expect it to be decent.

Ranking for October 5th, 2014:



Projected Totals:
Annabelle - $110 million
The Boxtrolls - $65 million
The Equalizer - $110 million
Gone Girl - $120 million
The Maze Runner - $100 million
This is Where I Leave You - $36 million
A Walk Among the Tombstones - $27 million

Current Top 5 Ranking:
1. The Maze Runner - $73.9 million
2. The Equalizer - $64.5 million
3. No Good Deed - $50.2 million
4. Gone Girl - $38.0 million
5. Dolphin Tale 2 - $38.0 million

Current Box Office Questions:
#3: Which of these potential breakout movies will gross more in total - Annie, Exodus: Gods and Kings, Into the Woods, Fury, or Gone Girl? Gone Girl
#5: Which adult film will gross more in total - The Equalizer, The Judge, or A Walk Among Tombstones? The Equalizer
#7: Which lower-profile family film combination will gross more in total - Paddington or the sum of Alexander and the Terrible (...) Day and The Boxtrolls? The sum of Alexander and the Terrible (...) Day and The Boxtrolls
#8: Which will gross more - the opening 3-day weekend of Interstellar or the opening 5-day gross of The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies? VOIDED
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? No Good Deed

No way Annabelle does a 2.95 multiplier.

Proablby not, but with its nice weekend multiplier, I think $90 million is the floor. Either way, all projections get revised every weekend, so we'll see how its 2nd weekend hold is.

I think it will be closer to 85 million, but we'll see!

Finally in the top 10!

I had a dream that Mockingjay opened to 95 million and Interstellar opened to 24 million 5 day. It was the apocalypse.

Ranking for October 12th, 2014:



Projected Totals:
Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day - $65 million
Annabelle - $85 million
The Boxtrolls - $60 million
Dracula Untold - $59 million
The Equalizer - $105 million
Gone Girl - $150 million
The Judge - $38 million
The Maze Runner - $100 million
This is Where I Leave You - $36 million
A Walk Among the Tombstones - $27 million

Current Top 5 Ranking:
1. The Maze Runner - $83.8 million
2. The Equalizer - $79.9 million
3. Gone Girl - $78.3 million
4. Annabella - $62.2 million
5. No Good Deed - $51.8 million

Current Box Office Questions:
#3: Which of these potential breakout movies will gross more in total - Annie, Exodus: Gods and Kings, Into the Woods, Fury, or Gone Girl? Gone Girl
#5: Which adult film will gross more in total - The Equalizer, The Judge, or A Walk Among Tombstones? The Equalizer
#7: Which lower-profile family film combination will gross more in total - Paddington or the sum of Alexander and the Terrible (...) Day and The Boxtrolls? The sum of Alexander and the Terrible (...) Day and The Boxtrolls
#8: Which will gross more - the opening 3-day weekend of Interstellar or the opening 5-day gross of The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies? VOIDED
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? No Good Deed

Go Maze Runner! And a few more bad Annabelle drops might net me points for that too.

Go Annabelle, Gone Girl, and Alexander!

Hot Tub Time Machine 2 and Paddington have moved to 2015, so Ouija and Unbroken are, I presume, both in play.

Correct!

This is definitely a first - losing two movies in a single day! This also voids the following box office question:

Price lucks out!