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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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This one is falling surprisingly fast. I think it'll just make over $100 million now. Good job to those who saw that coming.
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| Fri Nov 26, 2004 6:11 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Looks like it'll be between neo_wolf and Scott V  _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Nov 27, 2004 1:56 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Should be closer to Scott. I see the weekend take being around $18.2 million. A pretty harsh drop for an animated movie considering that it's the Thanksgiving weekend. I expect Spongebob to make $90 million in total before leaving the theatres.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Nov 27, 2004 10:56 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15561
Location: Everywhere
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It will be lucky to reach 80m. It's proven to be more frontloaded then The Cat in the Hat. I expect a drop of 70% next week. I would give it about 75m in total.
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| Mon Nov 29, 2004 6:36 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Mon Nov 29, 2004 6:28 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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I expect the movie to drop to around $6 million next weekend.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Mon Nov 29, 2004 6:51 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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im saying......$7.4M
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| Mon Nov 29, 2004 6:53 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15561
Location: Everywhere
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5.4m next week.
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 6:03 am |
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Caius
A very honest-hearted fellow
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:02 pm
Posts: 4767
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Jon Lyrik wrote: KidRock69x wrote: Opening: $31m
Close: $82m
Mult: 2.6 That's a terrible multiplier for a family movie. I believe even Cat in the Hat had a better multiplier. Looks like its gonna be pretty accurate.
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 12:25 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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I say...
$5.5 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 12:30 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJs prediction 8)
5.35m -69%
8)
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 12:52 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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I hate to sound smug and arrogant but I have been saying all along that fan base movies perception is very biased. There were alot of people that were saying the movie will gross over 150 million dollars because the show was very popular and appealed to adults too. I even brought up examples of Beavis & Butthead and X-files to show that popular shows dont normally translate well into movie ticket sales but my valid points got ignored by many. I was pretty close when I said the movie will gross around 80 million dollars and was called crazy for going low on a movie based on a popular show.
I now wish we can transfer old BOM topics like the one stating the Simpsons movie will gross over 300 million dollars while I said it will be lucky to pass 150 million dollars. In that thread I was called crazy for lowballing that too :wink:
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 12:58 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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 roidrage wrote: I hate to sound smug and arrogant but I have been saying all along that fan base movies perception is very biased. There were alot of people that were saying the movie will gross over 150 million dollars because the show was very popular and appealed to adults too. I even brought up examples of Beavis & Butthead and X-files to show that popular shows dont normally translate well into movie ticket sales but my valid points got ignored by many. I was pretty close when I said the movie will gross around 80 million dollars and was called crazy for going low on a movie based on a popular show.
I now wish we can transfer old BOM topics like the one stating the Simpsons movie will gross over 300 million dollars while I said it will be lucky to pass 150 million dollars. In that thread I was called crazy for lowballing that too :wink: I would not be surprised if The Simpsons dropped just as hard. You know what the difference is, though?
The Simpsons would open with $80+ million at least. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 1:02 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
I would not be surprised if The Simpsons dropped just as hard. You know what the difference is, though?
The Simpsons would open with $80+ million at least.
I don't know about 80 million dollars. As I mentioned in older post at BOM, X-files at its peak was in the top 5 Nielson ratings behind Seinfield, ER and Friends and yet it barely reached 80 million in culmative gross. It had an ok opening of 35 million. The Simpsons was at its highst peak in 1992 but it failed to reach the top 5 in nielson ratings although it did reach the top 10. I think they would have to CGI the Simpsons or even *gasp* live action The Simpsons with real life actors to make it work(Heck it worked for Flintstones, Scooby Doo and Garfield
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 1:10 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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roidrage wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote:
I would not be surprised if The Simpsons dropped just as hard. You know what the difference is, though?
The Simpsons would open with $80+ million at least.
I don't know about 80 million dollars. As I mentioned in older post at BOM, X-files at its peak was in the top 5 Nielson ratings behind Seinfield, ER and Friends and yet it barely reached 80 million in culmative gross. It had an ok opening of 35 million. The Simpsons was at its highst peak in 1992 but it failed to reach the top 5 in nielson ratings although it did reach the top 10. I think they would have to CGI the Simpsons or even *gasp* live action The Simpsons with real life actors to make it work(Heck it worked for Flintstones, Scooby Doo and Garfield Live action Simpsons = Big NO NO
X-Flies has never had the appeal that The Simpsosn has. X-Files' audience consists of mostly adults, while The Simpsons is popular among ALL demographics and the show is running successfully for over 10 years now. It has an immense fanbase that X-Files has never had. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 1:43 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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There is no chance that The Simpsons Movie would open with $80 million. The most I would expect for it is $40 million opening and maybe $100 million overall.
_________________
See above.
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 1:44 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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For the third weekend of Spongebob:
$5.630 million
3rd Weekend Predictions:
matatonio - $7.400
ChipMunky - $6.500
micasey300 - $5.630
Dr. Lecter - $5.500
DP07 - $5.400
BJ - $5.350
Last edited by MGKC on Tue Nov 30, 2004 9:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 5:56 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Winners
1st Weekend: Scott V & Dr. Lecter
2nd Weekend: Scott V
Here's the close ones:
Total
shades033 - $60.0
Nny - $72.0
choubachou - $74.0
shades033 - $77.5
KidRock69x - $82.0
k. aragorn - $88.0
publicenemy#1 - $88.0
Nebs - $100.0
OSHO - $102.0
Scott Vasquez - $104.1
Mr. X - $104.5
trixster - $105.0
Dr. Lecter - $109.2
DP07 - $110.0
xiayun - $110.0
Animosity Reigns - $112.0
mansonmyers - $112.0
Dr. Lecter - $117.2
BigMoviePimp - $120.0
rusty - $125.0
Algren - $156.0
Stillnasatic - $157.0
Zingaling - $168.8
matatonio - $170.0
sako16 - $172.0
BOYFRESH - $178.0
hans - $185.0
Terminator1997 - $205.6
Flava'd‡ - $215.4
Erendis - $235.0
ChipMunky - $275.0
BJ - $295.0
micasey300 - $350.0
Multiplier
KidRock69x - 2.65
sako16 - 2.77
Animosity Reigns - 2.84
Terminator1997 - 2.98
Stillnasatic - 3.08
publicenemy#1 - 3.14
mansonmyers - 3.20
Nny - 3.27
shades033 - 3.30
Scott Vasquez - 3.30
DP07 - 3.33
Flava'd‡ - 3.33
Nebs - 3.33
k. aragorn - 3.45
rusty - 3.47
trixster - 3.50
choubachou - 3.52
Algren - 3.55
BigMoviePimp - 3.55
BOYFRESH - 3.56
Dr. Lecter - 3.72
shades033 - 3.75
Mr. X - 3.81
OSHO - 3.85
matatonio - 3.94
hans - 4.02
xiayun - 4.15
Zingaling - 4.20
BJ - 4.50
Erendis - 4.90
micasey300 - 4.96
ChipMunky - 5.00
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 6:01 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15561
Location: Everywhere
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Dr. Lecter wrote: roidrage wrote: I hate to sound smug and arrogant but I have been saying all along that fan base movies perception is very biased. There were alot of people that were saying the movie will gross over 150 million dollars because the show was very popular and appealed to adults too. I even brought up examples of Beavis & Butthead and X-files to show that popular shows dont normally translate well into movie ticket sales but my valid points got ignored by many. I was pretty close when I said the movie will gross around 80 million dollars and was called crazy for going low on a movie based on a popular show.
I now wish we can transfer old BOM topics like the one stating the Simpsons movie will gross over 300 million dollars while I said it will be lucky to pass 150 million dollars. In that thread I was called crazy for lowballing that too :wink: I would not be surprised if The Simpsons dropped just as hard. You know what the difference is, though? The Simpsons would open with $80+ million at least. A Simpsons Movie would open with 70m at most, but it would drop off the face of the earth in the second weekend. It wouldn't get a multiplier above 2.3.
Roidrage is completely right about the ratings. I don't think it ever has been as immensly popular as fans often think. Spongebob is the prefect example of fans overestimating the popularity of a TV show. I really think people around here overestimate the popularity of The Simpsons because it appeals mainly to the demographic around here.
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 6:17 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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3rd weekend predict: $6.5 mil
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Tue Nov 30, 2004 7:18 pm |
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BigMoviePimp
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:54 pm
Posts: 198
Location: The Real World
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3rd weekend - $5.45m
_________________
How did you find me?
I'm the man.
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| Wed Dec 01, 2004 1:21 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15561
Location: Everywhere
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DP07 wrote: 5.4m next week. Prediction change: 5.2m with those Tuesday numbers.
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| Wed Dec 01, 2004 7:32 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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3rd Weekend Predictions:
matatonio - $7.400
ChipMunky - $6.500
Dr. Lecter - $5.500
BigMoviePimp - $5.450
RogueCommander - $5.440
micasey300 - $5.380
Zingaling - $5.340
DP07 - $5.200
BJ - $5.350
Animosity Reigns - $4.990
I've lowered mine as well...
Last edited by MGKC on Wed Dec 01, 2004 10:46 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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| Wed Dec 01, 2004 10:08 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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3rd Weekend: $5.34
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| Wed Dec 01, 2004 10:09 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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I'm going to say it will suffer a 68% drop to $5.44 million
_________________
See above.
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| Wed Dec 01, 2004 10:35 pm |
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