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 Saw Predictions - $55,185,045 - Zingaling wins total gross! 
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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From Box Office Prophets...

Third this weekend, but not at all out of the race, is our other new entry in Lions Gate’s horror pickup Saw. The low-budget Sundance midnight movie was picked to finish well back of The Grudge and Ray, but for the second weekend in a row, horror surprised in a very big way. Saw grossed an absolutely amazing $17.4 million for its distributor and production company this weekend, pulling legions of folks who like their horror grisly. Lions Gate thought they should play it safe, releasing the film to only 2,315 venues; it could have been much wider, as the horror flick ended up pulling a strong venue average of $7,516. Shot in 18 days, Saw cost producers Evolution Entertainment a miniscule $1.3 million to make; they brought on Lions Gate to do prints and advertising. This is going to be a financial windfall for Evolution, as even negative reviews (“hits the grisly button without shame” – Rolling Stone) are drawing audiences. The Lions Gate marketing campaign has been smart and effective, and shows in the gross as this one really has no above-the-title type stars. The people at Evolution played this one very well – the principals used their own money to finance the film, and with this opening weekend gross, will be able to finance many more low budget horror movies. Like a typical horror movie, Saw wasn’t strong all weekend, as the film opened on Friday with a $6.9 million gross, and then dipped a little on Saturday to $6.4 million. Its internal multiplier came in at 2.5.

http://www.boxofficeprophets.com/column ... umnID=8622


Sun Oct 31, 2004 10:32 pm
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Amazing!

Hopefully there won't be a sequel, though... :?

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Sun Oct 31, 2004 11:08 pm
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College Boy Z

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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Amazing!

Hopefully there won't be a sequel, though... :?


I don't think they can make a sequel to Saw. If they did, they'll kill it.


Sun Oct 31, 2004 11:09 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Amazing!

Hopefully there won't be a sequel, though... :?


I don't think they can make a sequel to Saw. If they did, they'll kill it.


True, its a one off. If they did, i can only imagine the array of titles, hehe.

Saw's
Saw 2
Saw: Mail Order
See-Saw
Saw the Killer Last Week
Saw-oar
:lol:

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Mon Nov 01, 2004 10:44 am
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I'm Batman

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Well after all the debating Zing wins it with Saw having an 18.2 Mil Opening Weekend.


Mon Nov 01, 2004 5:24 pm
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College Boy Z

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I told you BacktotheFuture. I am the king.


Mon Nov 01, 2004 5:26 pm
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Zingaling is, indeed, the winner of the opening weekend round.


Everyone is free to predict SAW's second weekend! :D

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Mon Nov 01, 2004 6:33 pm
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College Boy Z

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Second Weekend: $7.6


Mon Nov 01, 2004 6:36 pm
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Teh Mexican
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2 wknd->$8.5M


Mon Nov 01, 2004 6:38 pm
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At the moment I predict a $7.4 million weekend.

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Mon Nov 01, 2004 6:45 pm
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I'll shoot for a good number, and say $9.0 million. But what do I know?

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Mon Nov 01, 2004 6:50 pm
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I'd say 8.7


Mon Nov 01, 2004 6:51 pm
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Saw 2nd Weekend:

$11 Million

It will expand and have a brilliant hold through amazing WOM. :)

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Mon Nov 01, 2004 7:00 pm
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Algren wrote:
Saw 2nd Weekend:

$11 Million

It will expand and have a brilliant hold through amazing WOM. :)
But its not gonna have amazing wom.


Mon Nov 01, 2004 7:01 pm
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I'm Batman

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7.2 Mil


Mon Nov 01, 2004 7:12 pm
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Second Weekend Predictions:

BacktotheFuture - $7.2 million
Dr. Lecter - $7.4 million
Zingaling - $7.6 million
matatonio - $8.5 million
Killuminati510 - $8.7 million
Mr. X. - $9 million
Algren - $11 million

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Mon Nov 01, 2004 9:17 pm
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Second weekend: 7.1m


Mon Nov 01, 2004 9:44 pm
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Second Weekend: $6.3
Big drop...

EDIT: After further research on post-Halloween weekend, my new prediction for Saw's 2nd weekend is:

$7.5 (-59%)


Last edited by MGKC on Mon Nov 01, 2004 11:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Nov 01, 2004 11:15 pm
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I'll say $8.6 million

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Mon Nov 01, 2004 11:39 pm
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Second Weekend Predictions:

DP07 - $7.1 million
BacktotheFuture - $7.2 million
Dr. Lecter - $7.4 million
micasey300 - $7.5 million
Zingaling - $7.6 million
matatonio - $8.5 million
Plot - $8.6 million
Killuminati510 - $8.7 million
Mr. X. - $9 million
Algren - $11 million

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Tue Nov 02, 2004 12:00 am
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Extraordinary

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Two things that will increase Saw's drop:

1. The first Sunday is inflated by Halloween. Normally it would have 40% Saturday-to-Sunday drop, and that alone can make a difference up to $1M for next weekend.

2. The Incredibles will have an effect on the box office similar to the first two Harry Potter movies.

Right now I'm thinking around 60% drop if it doesn't expand. I'll have a more precise prediction later.


Tue Nov 02, 2004 12:06 am
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Second Weekend -9,3


Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:52 am
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Killuminati510 wrote:
Algren wrote:
Saw 2nd Weekend:

$11 Million

It will expand and have a brilliant hold through amazing WOM. :)
But its not gonna have amazing wom.


How do you know? :P

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Tue Nov 02, 2004 10:08 am
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Second Weekend Predictions (updated):

DP07 - $7.1 million
BacktotheFuture - $7.2 million
Dr. Lecter - $7.4 million
micasey300 - $7.5 million
Zingaling - $7.6 million
matatonio - $8.5 million
Plot - $8.6 million
Killuminati510 - $8.7 million
Mr. X. - $9 million
Vovanik - $9.3 million
Algren - $11 million

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Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:41 pm
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SAW: Daily Tracking (day-to-day drop/week-to-week drop):


DAY 1 - $6,658,304
DAY 2 - $6,226,011 -6.5%/ -
DAY 3 - $5,392,153 -13.4%/ -
DAY 4 - $1,888,522 -65%/ -

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