The 2005 Tracker: SAHARA and FEVER PITCH
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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 The 2005 Tracker: SAHARA and FEVER PITCH
First Post.
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
Last edited by Box on Sat Apr 09, 2005 3:56 pm, edited 14 times in total.
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Sat Jan 08, 2005 4:49 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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I'm giving this another go, and slightly re-inventing it, as there are now numbers to crunch.
Let's hope this thread won't be a failed experiment
Ok, so how's White Noise's Friday? It's very impressive, especially for a Kanuary release. There is in fact no film I can find to properly compare it to; The Butterfly Effect seems the closest thing from what I can see (in terms of release date and genre).
January films are usually mediocre performers, since the emphasis usually is on December releases and Oscar contenders. So in that respect, White Noise did very well. This is an encouraging start to 2005, which will need a string of hits this spring to make up for The Passion.
Totals After Day 1: White Noise
The average is exceptional; those kinds of averages are usually reserved for bigger films; a film opening in 2,261 theatres doesn't normally register such a PTA. Expect a $10k wknd avg.
Signs $20,884,660 | 3,264 | $6,398
Finding Nemo $20,208,056 | 3,374 | $5,989
Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me $20,190,000 | 3,312 | $6,096
Bruce Almighty $20,114,325 | 3,483 | $5,775
2 Fast 2 Furious $19,664,160 | 3,408 | $5,770
8 Mile $19,574,765 | 2,470 | $7,925
Van Helsing $19,519,430 | 3,575 | $5,460
Scooby-Doo $19,204,859 | 3,447 | $5,571
Jurassic Park III $19,024,360 | 3,434 | $5,540
Men in Black II $18,599,621 | 3,557 | $5,229
Scary Movie 3 $18,397,000 | 3,505 | $5,249
Monsters, Inc. $17,390,000 | 3,237 | $5,372
XXX $17,311,194 | 3,374 | $5,131
Troy $17,053,740 | 3,411 | $5,000
Bad Boys II $16,883,057 | 3,186 | $5,299
Die Another Day $16,619,731 | 3,314 | $5,015
Anger Management $15,375,244 | 3,551 | $4,330
Daredevil $15,320,158 | 3,471 | $4,414
Mummy, The $14,970,000 | 3,210 | $4,664
Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle $14,611,667 | 3,459 | $4,224
The Grudge $14,557,965 | 3,245 | $4,486
Big Daddy $14,500,000 | 3,027 | $4,790
Mr. Deeds $14,261,932 | 3,231 | $4,414
Freddy vs. Jason $14,101,000 | 3,014 | $4,679
S.W.A.T. $13,584,444 | 3,202 | $4,242
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl $13,509,262 | 3,023 | $4,469
Red Dragon $13,478,355 | 3,357 | $4,015
Ice Age $13,468,000 | 3,316 | $4,062
Charlie's Angels $13,392,000 | 3,037 | $4,410
Ocean's Eleven $13,300,000 | 3,075 | $4,325
The Perfect Storm $13,240,000 | 3,407 | $3,886
Deep Impact $13,198,000 | 3,156 | $4,182
Sweet Home Alabama $13,117,937 | 3,293 | $3,984
Waterboy, The $12,870,000 | 2,664 | $4,831
X Files: Fight the Future, The $12,635,000 | 2,626 | $4,812
The Scorpion King $12,553,000 | 3,444 | $3,645
Mission: Impossible 2 $12,516,528 | 3,653 | $3,426
Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines $12,435,320 | 3,355 | $3,707
Lilo & Stitch $12,335,579 | 3,191 | $3,866
American Wedding $12,228,060 | 3,172 | $3,855
Spy Kids 3D: Game Over $12,146,000 | 3,344 | $3,632
World is Not Enough, The $12,130,000 | 3,165 | $3,833
Runaway Bride $12,000,000 | 3,158 | $3,800
Blade II $11,953,000 | 2,707 | $4,416
Haunting, The $11,800,000 | 2,808 | $4,202
Shrek 2 $11,786,415 | 3,737 | $3,154
Panic Room $11,786,000 | 3,053 | $3,860
Cast Away $11,755,000 | 2,769 | $4,245
Gladiator $11,683,107 | 2,781 | $4,201
Minority Report $11,663,742 | 3,001 | $3,887
Shrek $11,541,000 | 3,587 | $3,217
Lethal Weapon 4 $11,305,000 | 3,117 | $3,627
Dinosaur $11,255,000 | 3,257 | $3,456
The Cat in the Hat $11,240,680 | 3,464 | $3,245
What Women Want $11,115,000 | 3,012 | $3,690
Dawn of the Dead $10,856,475 | 2,745 | $3,955
Kill Bill Vol. 2 $10,775,000 | 2,971 | $3,627
Flubber $10,710,000 | 2,641 | $4,055
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre $10,620,000 | 3,016 | $3,521
Lemony Snickets $10,363,959 | 3,620 | $2,863
Pokemon: The First Movie $10,096,848 | 2,901 | $3,480
Truman Show, The $10,055,000 | 2,315 | $4,343
50 First Dates $10,052,388 | 3,591 | $2,799
The Sum of All Fears $10,051,137 | 3,183 | $3,158
Sleepy Hollow $10,048,000 | 3,062 | $3,282
Rush Hour $10,000,000 | 2,638 | $3,791
Catch Me If You Can $9,882,063 | 3,156 | $3,131
Bringing Down the House $9,839,615 | 2,801 | $3,513
Jackass: The Movie $9,715,712 | 2,509 | $3,872
Saving Private Ryan $9,705,000 | 2,463 | $3,940
Doctor Dolittle $9,685,000 | 2,777 | $3,488
Armageddon $9,668,216 | 3,090 | $3,129
Toy Story 2 $9,570,911 | 3,235 | $2,959
Legally Blonde 2: Red, White and Blonde $9,146,710 | 3,350 | $2,730
Star Trek: Insurrection $9,020,000 | 2,620 | $3,443
Elf $8,957,000 | 3,337 | $2,684
Along Came Polly $8,877,225 | 2,984 | $2,975
White Noise $8,800,000 | 2,261 | $3,892
Once Upon a Time in Mexico $8,797,791 | 3,282 | $2,681
The Bourne Identity $8,665,830 | 2,638 | $3,285
Hellboy $8,622,251 | 3,028 | $2,848
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed $8,613,038 | 3,312 | $2,601
Titanic $8,610,000 | 2,674 | $3,220
Underworld $8,604,194 | 2,915 | $2,952
Top JANUARY Days
There is one film which is missing big time: Star Wars (1997). The re-release is one of the biggest ( believe biggest) January release of all time, and the $35m+ wknd is a record. Unfortunately, I dont have exact numbers for opening weekend days, only 1 for second weekend. However, I am positive it has the biggest January Day of all time, prolly $14m+, and at least 2 $10m+ days.
Note just how many of the films are non-January releases; even Black Hawk Down was a December release and only went wide in Jan.
Note also Polly's excellent numbers; for a January release, it did very well.

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (Day 16 ) $12,784,656 ( 70.00% | 3,703 | $3,453 )
Titanic (Day 23 ) $12,780,000 ( 64.16% | 2,746 | $4,654 )
Titanic (Day 16 ) $12,745,000 ( 8.61% | 2,727 | $4,674 )
Titanic (Day 37 ) $12,600,000 ( 77.09% | 2,771 | $4,547 )
Titanic (Day 30 ) $12,365,000 ( 68.81% | 2,767 | $4,469 )
Titanic (Day 44 ) $11,940,000 ( 80.23% | 2,853 | $4,185 )
Titanic (Day 15 ) $11,735,000 ( 8.16% | 2,727 | $4,303 )
Along Came Polly (Day 2 ) $11,354,120 ( 28.00% | 2,984 | $3,805 )
Cast Away (Day 16 ) $11,110,000 ( 69.83% | 2,948 | $3,769 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (Day 15 ) $11,040,273 ( 31.00% | 3,622 | $3,048 )
Titanic (Day 14 ) $10,850,000 ( 37.64% | 2,711 | $4,002 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (Day 18 ) $10,699,493 ( 41.00% | 3,622 | $2,954 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (Day 17 ) $10,602,130 ( -17.00% | 3,703 | $2,863 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (Day 18 ) $10,563,221 ( 0.00% | 3,703 | $2,853 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (Day 14 ) $10,248,284 ( 28.00% | 3,359 | $3,051 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (Day 18 ) $10,114,063 ( 49.00% | 3,381 | $2,991 )
Black Hawk Down (Day 23 ) $10,024,000 ( 1.00% | 3,101 | $3,233 )
Titanic (Day 31 ) $9,955,000 ( -19.49% | 2,767 | $3,598 )
Black Hawk Down (Day 22 ) $9,914,000 ( - | 3,101 | $3,197 )
Catch Me If You Can (Day 11 ) $9,494,159 ( 44.00% | 3,170 | $2,995 )
Catch Me If You Can (Day 8 ) $9,085,649 ( 15.00% | 3,156 | $2,879 )
Cast Away (Day 11 ) $9,060,846 ( 14.14% | 2,929 | $3,093 )
Titanic (Day 17 ) $8,890,000 ( -30.25% | 2,727 | $3,260 )
Along Came Polly (Day 1 ) $8,877,225 ( - | 2,984 | $2,975 )
White Noise (Day 1 ) $8,800,000 ( - | 2,261 | $3,892 )
Cheaper by the Dozen (Day 9 ) $8,791,276 ( 5.00% | 3,307 | $2,658 )
Black Hawk Down (Day 24 ) $8,673,000 ( -14.00% | 3,101 | $2,797 )
Cheaper by the Dozen (Day 8 ) $8,356,814 ( 26.00% | 3,307 | $2,527 )
Cheaper by the Dozen (Day 10 ) $8,283,475 ( -6.00% | 3,307 | $2,505 )
Patch Adams (Day 8 ) $8,250,000 ( 39.36% | 2,752 | $2,998 )
Titanic (Day 24 ) $8,220,000 ( -35.68% | 2,746 | $2,993 )
Black Hawk Down (Day 30 ) $7,955,000 ( 52.00% | 3,101 | $2,565 )
Titanic (Day 22 ) $7,785,000 ( 179.12% | 2,746 | $2,835 )
Along Came Polly (Day 9 ) $7,592,325 ( 51.00% | 2,995 | $2,535 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (Day 17 ) $7,576,222 ( 19.00% | 3,622 | $2,092 )
You Got Served (Day 2 ) $7,512,820 ( 29.00% | 1,933 | $3,887 )
Along Came Polly (Day 3 ) $7,489,840 ( -34.00% | 2,984 | $2,510 )
Kangaroo Jack (Day 2 ) $7,424,521 ( 99.00% | 2,818 | $2,635 )
Star Wars (1997) (Day 15 ) $7,384,991 ( | 2,104 | $3,510 )
A Beautiful Mind (Day 16 ) $7,381,000 ( 45.00% | 1,855 | $3,979 )
Just Married (Day 2 ) $7,372,447 ( 17.00% | 2,766 | $2,665 )
Cast Away (Day 23 ) $7,358,000 ( 66.28% | 3,048 | $2,414 )
Titanic (Day 29 ) $7,325,000 ( 232.88% | 2,767 | $2,647 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (Day 25 ) $7,268,117 ( 71.00% | 3,381 | $2,150 )
Snow Dogs (Day 2 ) $7,233,000 ( 70.00% | 2,302 | $3,142 )
Titanic (Day 36 ) $7,115,000 ( 221.54% | 2,771 | $2,568 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (Day 19 ) $7,015,027 ( -34.00% | 3,703 | $1,894 )
She's All That (Day 2 ) $7,000,000 ( 17.55% | 2,222 | $3,150 )
Civil Action, A (Day 16 ) $6,990,000 ( 62.94% | 1,802 | $3,879 )
Patch Adams (Day 9 ) $6,915,000 ( -16.18% | 2,752 | $2,513 )
The Butterfly Effect (Day 2 ) $6,878,000 ( 14.00% | 2,605 | $2,640 )
A Beautiful Mind (Day 23 ) $6,877,000 ( 54.00% | 2,222 | $3,095 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (Day 17 ) $6,783,240 ( 80.00% | 3,381 | $2,006 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (Day 19 ) $6,741,564 ( -37.00% | 3,622 | $1,861 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (Day 25 ) $6,637,982 ( 70.00% | 3,477 | $1,909 )
Titanic (Day 43 ) $6,625,000 ( 237.78% | 2,853 | $2,322 )
Catch Me If You Can (Day 18 ) $6,597,654 ( 45.00% | 3,225 | $2,046 )
Catch Me If You Can (Day 10 ) $6,596,324 ( 42.00% | 3,170 | $2,081 )
Cast Away (Day 15 ) $6,542,000 ( 117.98% | 2,929 | $2,234 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (Day 25 ) $6,439,410 ( 75.00% | 3,532 | $1,823 )
Snow Dogs (Day 9 ) $6,428,000 ( 126.00% | 2,440 | $2,634 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (Day 16 ) $6,378,144 ( -42.00% | 3,622 | $1,761 )
Snow Dogs (Day 3 ) $6,319,000 ( -13.00% | 2,302 | $2,745 )
Just Married (Day 1 ) $6,308,231 ( - | 2,766 | $2,281 )
Patch Adams (Day 16 ) $6,260,000 ( 91.15% | 2,770 | $2,260 )
Orange County (Day 2 ) $6,224,000 ( 9.00% | 2,317 | $2,686 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (Day 19 ) $6,109,144 ( -40.00% | 3,381 | $1,807 )
National Security (Day 2 ) $6,055,191 ( 35.00% | 2,729 | $2,219 )
The Butterfly Effect (Day 1 ) $6,044,000 ( - | 2,605 | $2,320 )
Kangaroo Jack (Day 9 ) $6,027,881 ( 140.00% | 2,848 | $2,117 )
Titanic (Day 32 ) $6,003,911 ( -39.69% | 2,767 | $2,170 )
Edit: Goodness, I checked the Release Schedule, and it seems that we could have a really good line-up this January. Elektra could have a few days up on the chart above. I wouldn't be surprised if it did as well or better than White Noise, though I expect a big second weekend drop.
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
Last edited by Box on Sat Jan 22, 2005 3:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:05 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23339 Location: Melbourne Australia
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I agree I think Star Wars was around $14m opening day.
This January can do quite well. I think Elektra can have an opening day above $10m.
2005 is off to a good start - although I think the February slate is rather week and wont make up for TPOTC depsite two possible blockbusters in Hitch and Constantine.
March and April look much better - but overcorwded.
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Sat Jan 08, 2005 10:50 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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2005 is definently off to a positive start. White Noise did incredibly good, and beyond everyone's expectations. Next week, Elektra should pull over $20 million, and I think Coach Carter will do around $17-18 million, too. Racing Stripes won't do too bad. It's definently awesome for White Noise, though.
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Sat Jan 08, 2005 11:10 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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MadGez wrote: I agree I think Star Wars was around $14m opening day.
This January can do quite well. I think Elektra can have an opening day above $10m.
2005 is off to a good start - although I think the February slate is rather week and wont make up for TPOTC depsite two possible blockbusters in Hitch and Constantine.
March and April look much better - but overcorwded.
Ya, we really need more than Hitch to mak up for The Passion; I mean, $370m?????? How do you make up for that?
White noise's opening is encouraging, but the rest of the spring has to be consistent with giving us decent numbers. If not, I think we will have a tough time come summer.
I mean, even if SW3 is a huge success, it wont match Shrek 2's $441m. And I dont see any June release (except WOTW) matching HP3's $250m easily. Maybe Batman, but it'll need a massive opening and decent legs.
And Spider-Man 2- is there any $373m out there? I dunno, if WOTW really breaks out, maybe, but I'm pretty sure it wont match Spidey.
July 2004 had realy good performers like I, Robot and esp. Bourne Supremacy. Even The Village made $113m.
A tough road ahead for us. Here's hoping for the best.
NOTE
Btw, how do you guys like the new lay-out I have here? I mean, adding images/posters to the charts, and presenting the charts differently than I did a few months back with numbers in bold, etc.?
I think it's probably an improvement. If I have time, I will add Graphs and some more in-depth commentary. This is my main thread for the year, and although I was skeptical about tracking threads, I think this one acutally could get discussion going.
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 1:35 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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I think this Spring will make up for Passion of the Christ. In 2004, there were only two movies that passed $100 million (50 First Dates and Passion of the Christ) between January and April. This year, I expect 3-4, atleast.
Hitch (which makes up for 50 First Dates)
Robots (barely over $100 million, though)
The Ring Two (potential to do over $200 million)
The Pacifier (a Daddy Day Care clone that comes out in March)
xXx: State of the Union (technically, it starts in April)
Box, do you know how much the total domestic gross was between Jan. 2004 and April 2004? Or up to when Van Helsing came out, since that began the summer season?
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 1:47 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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box_2005 wrote: NOTE
Btw, how do you guys like the new lay-out I have here? I mean, adding images/posters to the charts, and presenting the charts differently than I did a few months back with numbers in bold, etc.?
I think it's probably an improvement. If I have time, I will add Graphs and some more in-depth commentary. This is my main thread for the year, and although I was skeptical about tracking threads, I think this one acutally could get discussion going.
I like the new format. The charts look better with the normal size font instead of the big ones. The important ones can be symbolized with different colors instead of bigger font, though. The posters is a good idea too.
\:D/
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 1:49 am |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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Zingaling wrote: Hitch (which makes up for 50 First Dates) Robots (barely over $100 million, though) The Ring Two (potential to do over $200 million)
Dang, I forgot about those. In a very optimistic situation, these two combined could make $300m, which actually would make it easier for 2005 to hold up with 2004. I expect Hitch to take care of 50 Dates, so that's settled, and The Pacifier could potentially make up for Along Came Polly. White Noise seems to compensate for Butterfly Effect, and Elektra could maybe take on Hellboy.
So ok, doesn't look half as bad.
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 2:17 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Box the new format is great =D>
anyway i expect hitch to break 150m The Passifier to make between 105m-115m and Robots to break out and get between 160m-190m Sin City to make between 105-110m The Ring 2 to bust out an awesome 200m Miss Congeniality 2 to make between 80-100m XXX2 to make between 120-130m and a whole lot of other potential 100m grossers in between  All together I expect 05 to crush 04 for the winter and spring season 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 2:26 am |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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Zingaling wrote: Box, do you know how much the total domestic gross was between Jan. 2004 and April 2004? Or up to when Van Helsing came out, since that began the summer season?
Zing, give me until tomorrow to put up a detailed chart and total. It's taking much longer than I expected.
Eh, $600-700m+from 2003 holdovers alone
First weekend of Jan to day before first weekend of May is a great time span; we can use that to compare 2005 to 2004.
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 3:30 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23339 Location: Melbourne Australia
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box_2005 wrote: MadGez wrote: I agree I think Star Wars was around $14m opening day.
This January can do quite well. I think Elektra can have an opening day above $10m.
2005 is off to a good start - although I think the February slate is rather week and wont make up for TPOTC depsite two possible blockbusters in Hitch and Constantine.
March and April look much better - but overcorwded. Ya, we really need more than Hitch to mak up for The Passion; I mean, $370m?????? How do you make up for that? White noise's opening is encouraging, but the rest of the spring has to be consistent with giving us decent numbers. If not, I think we will have a tough time come summer. I mean, even if SW3 is a huge success, it wont match Shrek 2's $441m. And I dont see any June release (except WOTW) matching HP3's $250m easily. Maybe Batman, but it'll need a massive opening and decent legs. And Spider-Man 2- is there any $373m out there? I dunno, if WOTW really breaks out, maybe, but I'm pretty sure it wont match Spidey. July 2004 had realy good performers like I, Robot and esp. Bourne Supremacy. Even The Village made $113m. A tough road ahead for us. Here's hoping for the best. NOTE Btw, how do you guys like the new lay-out I have here? I mean, adding images/posters to the charts, and presenting the charts differently than I did a few months back with numbers in bold, etc.? I think it's probably an improvement. If I have time, I will add Graphs and some more in-depth commentary. This is my main thread for the year, and although I was skeptical about tracking threads, I think this one acutally could get discussion going.
I think the combo of ROTS and Madagascar and the bevy of May films can cover for Shrek and co (Troy, Day and Helsing). Batman Begins should cover most of HP3 and hopefully WOTW will cov er most of Spidey - but as you said - nothing is certain and it will be touch and go.
I think one good thing about 05 is that the holdovers seem much stronger. I mean we still have alot of $$$ to come from Fockers, Aviator, Million Dollar Baby, Phantom, Sideways, Hotel Rwanda, Neverland etc. Last year wasnt as good mainly due to the earlier Oscars date.
I love your new formatting. The pics make it more magazine like - keep it up! :razz:
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 7:58 am |
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Bodrul
All Star Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 11:21 am Posts: 4694 Location: Cambridge, England.
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box_2005 wrote: Top JANUARY Days
There is one film which is missing big time: Star Wars (1997). The re-release is one of the biggest ( believe biggest) January release of all time, and the $35m+ wknd is a record. Unfortunately, I dont have exact numbers for opening weekend days, only 1 for second weekend. However, I am positive it has the biggest January Day of all time, prolly $14m+, and at least 2 $10m+ days. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (Day 16 ) $12,784,656 ( 70.00% | 3,703 | $3,453 ) Titanic (Day 23 ) $12,780,000 ( 64.16% | 2,746 | $4,654 ) Titanic (Day 16 ) $12,745,000 ( 8.61% | 2,727 | $4,674 )
Note just how many of the films are non-January releases; even Black Hawk Down was a December release and only went wide in Jan.
You may aswell add Fockers as top January day
_________________
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 9:45 am |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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JANUARY: Biggest Opening Weekends (Wide Releases)
Note that this refers to wide release openings, which is why Black Hawk Down is on the list; technically, it's a December release, but it didn't open wide until January. It's opening was impressive, so it's not fair to exclude it from the chart.
Anyways, great number of White Noise. As you can see, big openers are scarce in January, with only 5 $20m+ openings, a feat that July 2003 achieved in one weekend alone!
Films in italics signify 4-day weekends.
1 Star Wars (Special Edition) $35,906,661 ( 2,104 | $17,065 | $35,906,661 )
2 Black Hawk Down $28,611,736 ( 3,101 | $9,226 | $30,455,164 )
3 Along Came Polly $27,721,185 ( 2,984 | $9,289 | $27,721,185 )
4 White Noise $24,046,000 ( 2,261 | $10,635 | $24,046,000 )
5 Save the Last Dance $23,444,930 ( 2,230 | $10,513 | $23,444,930 )
6 Snow Dogs $17,814,259 ( 2,302 | $7,738 | $17,814,259 )
7 Just Married $17,548,993 ( 2,766 | $6,344 | $17,548,993 )
8 Varsity Blues $17,515,723 ( 2,121 | $8,258 | $17,515,723 )
9 The Butterfly Effect $17,065,227 ( 2,605 | $6,550 | $17,065,227 )
10 Kangaroo Jack $16,580,209 ( 2,818 | $5,883 | $16,580,209 )
11 The Recruit $16,302,063 ( 2,376 | $6,861 | $16,302,063 )
12 You Got Served $16,123,105 ( 1,933 | $8,340 | $16,123,105 )
13 She's All That $16,065,430 ( 2,222 | $7,230 | $16,065,430 )
14 Final Destination 2 $16,017,141 ( 2,834 | $5,651 | $16,017,141 )
15 Orange County $15,053,226 ( 2,317 | $6,496 | $15,053,226 )
16 Next Friday $14,465,156 ( 1,103 | $13,114 | $19,025,386 )
17 National Security $14,369,694 ( 2,729 | $5,265 | $14,369,694 )
18 Legends of the Fall $14,038,128 ( 2,005 | $7,001 | $14,975,417 )
19 Philadelphia $13,817,010 ( 1,245 | $11,098 | $14,766,736 )
20 The Wedding Planner $13,510,293 ( 2,785 | $4,851 | $13,510,293 )
21 Higher Learning $13,276,662 ( 1,409 | $9,422 | $13,276,662 )
22 Beverly Hills Ninja $12,220,920 ( 2,112 | $5,786 | $12,220,920 )
23 A Walk to Remember $12,177,488 ( 2,411 | $5,050 | $12,177,488 )
24 Darkness Falls $12,024,917 ( 2,837 | $4,238 | $12,024,917 )
25 Good Morning, Vietnam $11,752,913 ( 785 | $14,971 | $12,853,843 )
26 Metro $11,411,107 ( 2,001 | $5,702 | $11,411,107 )
27 The Count of Monte Cristo $11,376,150 ( 2,007 | $5,668 | $11,376,150 )
28 The Mothman Prophecies $11,208,851 ( 2,331 | $4,808 | $11,208,851 )
29 Spice World $10,527,222 ( 2,339 | $4,500 | $10,527,222 )
30 Fallen $10,401,586 ( 2,448 | $4,249 | $10,401,586 )
31 Good Will Hunting $10,261,471 ( 1,787 | $5,742 | $19,010,323 )
32 From Dusk Till Dawn $10,240,805 ( 2,004 | $5,110 | $10,240,805 )
33 Biker Boyz $10,106,992 ( 1,766 | $5,723 | $10,106,992 )
34 Demon Knight $10,019,555 ( 1,729 | $5,795 | $10,019,555 )
35 Torque $9,970,557 ( 2,463 | $4,048 | $9,970,557 )
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 1:38 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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The fourth highest January opening weekend. Whoa. \:D/
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 1:41 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm Posts: 1684
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Wow thats great.
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 1:43 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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Zingaling wrote: The fourth highest January opening weekend. Whoa. \:D/
Technically it's #3, since Black Hawk Down is a Dec. release. It could switch places with Save the Last Dance with actuals, but it's guaranteed a top 5 spot either way.
As impressive is it's average; among films with 1,000+ theatre counts, it's #4. Among all films, it still ranks extremely high up.
I used a bigger font for all films with 500+ theatre counts.
January: Biggest Opening Weekend Averages
1 The Thin Red Line $53,662 ( 7 | $375,636 )
2 Fantasia 2000 (35mm & IMAX) $47,957 ( 54 | $2,589,728 )
3 Beauty and the Beast (IMAX) $38,078 ( 68 | $2,589,334 )
4 A Civil Action $35,434 ( 2 | $70,869 )
5 Playing by Heart $26,669 ( 1 | $26,669 )
6 The 24-Hour Woman $21,399 ( 1 | $21,399 )
7 Affliction $21,326 ( 3 | $63,979 )
8 Touching the Void $19,394 ( 5 | $96,973 )
9 Storytelling $18,422 ( 4 | $73,688 )
10 City of God $17,658 ( 5 | $88,292 )
11 Star Wars (Special Edition) $17,065 ( 2,104 | $35,906,661 )
12 Hilary and Jackie $15,492 ( 6 | $92,956 )
13 Yves St. Laurent $15,385 ( 1 | $15,385 )
14 Good Morning, Vietnam $14,971 ( 785 | $11,752,913 )
15 Le Cercle Rouge (Re-issue) $14,843 ( 1 | $14,843 )
16 Beyond Beautiful $14,740 ( 2 | $29,480 )
17 Faithless $14,731 ( 2 | $29,462 )
18 Latter Days $14,310 ( 4 | $57,242 )
19 The Terrorist $13,734 ( 1 | $13,734 )
20 American Adobo $13,667 ( 3 | $41,001 )
21 Divine Intervention $13,228 ( 1 | $13,228 )
22 Next Friday $13,114 ( 1,103 | $14,465,156 )
23 Empathy $11,975 ( 1 | $11,975 )
24 Radio Days $11,893 ( 128 | $1,522,423 )
25 Philadelphia $11,098 ( 1,245 | $13,817,010 )
26 The Battle of Algiers (Re-issue) $10,811 ( 6 | $64,870 )
27 White Noise $10,635 ( 2,261 | $24,046,000 )
28 Save the Last Dance $10,513 ( 2,230 | $23,444,930 )
29 The Hand That Rocks the Cradle $10,019 ( 766 | $7,675,016 )
30 The Guru $9,894 ( 62 | $613,485 )
31 Wooly Boys $9,874 ( 5 | $49,374 )
32 Higher Learning $9,422 ( 1,409 | $13,276,662 )
33 Secret Things $9,421 ( 1 | $9,421 )
34 Metropolis $9,406 ( 9 | $84,660 )
35 Along Came Polly $9,289 ( 2,984 | $27,721,185 )
36 Black Hawk Down $9,226 ( 3,101 | $28,611,736 )
37 Blind Spot: Hitler's Secretary $9,216 ( 1 | $9,216 )
38 The Falcon and the Snowman $8,901 ( 265 | $2,358,846 )
39 The Cup $8,794 ( 4 | $35,179 )
40 Broadway Danny Rose $8,750 ( 109 | $953,794 )
41 The RM $8,690 ( 15 | $130,352 )
42 On the Run: Trilogy 1 $8,653 ( 1 | $8,653 )
43 You Got Served $8,340 ( 1,933 | $16,123,105 )
44 Varsity Blues $8,258 ( 2,121 | $17,515,723 )
45 House Party 3 $8,077 ( 848 | $6,850,010 )
46 Don't Be a Menace to South Central While Drinking Your Juice in the Hood $8,032 ( 1,010 | $8,112,884 )
47 My Name is Joe $8,008 ( 2 | $16,017 )
48 L'Age d'Or (Re-issue) $7,940 ( 1 | $7,940 )
49 Lost in La Mancha $7,912 ( 8 | $63,303 )
50 Phir Bhi Dil Hain Hindustani $7,813 ( 47 | $367,238 )
51 Snow Dogs $7,738 ( 2,302 | $17,814,259 )
52 Alive $7,618 ( 1,132 | $8,624,292 )
53 15 Fevrier 1839 $7,601 ( 6 | $45,610 )
54 Juice $7,425 ( 1,089 | $8,085,915 )
55 State Property $7,410 ( 61 | $452,028 )
56 Still Crazy $7,355 ( 14 | $102,971 )
57 The Big Tease $7,252 ( 4 | $29,010 )
58 She's All That $7,230 ( 2,222 | $16,065,430 )
59 Down and Out in Beverly Hills $7,104 ( 806 | $5,726,495 )
60 Legends of the Fall $7,001 ( 2,005 | $14,038,128 )
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 1:50 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm Posts: 1684
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Don't Be a Menace to South Central While Drinking Your Juice in the Hood
I love that title
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 1:51 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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sako16 wrote: Don't Be a Menace to South Central While Drinking Your Juice in the Hood
I love that title
Lol! It's such a long title. It always, always makes the page wider when I'm crunching the numbers.
Btw, I think it could be the longest title of any film in the last 22 years or so.
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 1:53 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm Posts: 1684
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box_2005 wrote: sako16 wrote: Don't Be a Menace to South Central While Drinking Your Juice in the Hood
I love that title Lol! It's such a long title. It always, always makes the page wider when I'm crunching the numbers. Btw, I think it could be the longest title of any film in the last 22 years or so.
I think it is the longest title. I haven't seen longer
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 1:57 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Don't Be a Menace to South Central While Drinking Your Juice in the Hood is hilarious! \:D/
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 1:57 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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Biggest JANUARY Weekends: Overall
Hehe, it moves down a few notches. Fockers did very well too, but the clear stand-out here is Titanic. It sticks outl ike an eye-sore. 5 of the top 10 weekends are Titanic's, which refers to all 5 of its January Weekends. Each of those weekends on their own would be enough to give it a spot in the top 5 openings for the month; When February and March come along, you'll see that it's performance then is equally impressive, with all weekends above $17m.
Films in italics denote long weekends.
1 . Star Wars (Special Edition) $35,906,661 ( 2,104 | $17,065 | $35,906,661 )
2 . Titanic $33,315,278 ( 2,727 | $12,216 | $157,467,971 )
3 . Titanic $30,010,633 ( 2,767 | $10,846 | $236,745,003 )
4 . Titanic $28,716,310 ( 2,746 | $10,457 | $197,881,813 )
5 . Black Hawk Down $28,611,736 ( 3,101 | $9,226 | $30,455,164 )
6 . Meet the Fockers $28,463,000 ( 3,527 | $8,070 | $204,263,000 )
7 . The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King $28,180,378 ( 3,703 | $7,610 | $290,410,961 )
8 . Along Came Polly $27,721,185 ( 2,984 | $9,289 | $27,721,185 )
9 . Titanic $25,907,172 ( 2,853 | $9,080 | $308,100,203 )
10 . Titanic $25,238,720 ( 2,771 | $9,108 | $274,599,886 )
11 . The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers $25,017,279 ( 3,622 | $6,907 | $261,031,601 )
12 . White Noise $24,046,000 ( 2,261 | $10,635 | $24,046,000 )
13 . Save the Last Dance $23,444,930 ( 2,230 | $10,513 | $23,444,930 )
14 . The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring $23,006,447 ( 3,381 | $6,804 | $205,509,869 )
15 . Cast Away $22,220,725 ( 2,948 | $7,537 | $141,702,072 )
16 . Cheaper by the Dozen $21,644,537 ( 3,307 | $6,545 | $85,620,095 )
17 . Catch Me If You Can $21,142,434 ( 3,170 | $6,669 | $97,437,621 )
18 . Patch Adams $19,050,675 ( 2,752 | $6,922 | $65,495,000 )
19 . Snow Dogs $17,814,259 ( 2,302 | $7,738 | $17,814,259 )
20 . Just Married $17,548,993 ( 2,766 | $6,344 | $17,548,993 )
21 . Varsity Blues $17,515,723 ( 2,121 | $8,258 | $17,515,723 )
22 . The Butterfly Effect $17,065,227 ( 2,605 | $6,550 | $17,065,227 )
23 . Black Hawk Down $17,012,268 ( 3,101 | $5,486 | $58,893,074 )
24 . Kangaroo Jack $16,580,209 ( 2,818 | $5,883 | $16,580,209 )
25 . A Beautiful Mind $16,565,820 ( 1,853 | $8,940 | $37,779,241 )
26 . Along Came Polly $16,352,625 ( 2,995 | $5,459 | $53,263,615 )
27 . The Recruit $16,302,063 ( 2,376 | $6,861 | $16,302,063 )
28 . The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring $16,201,260 ( 3,381 | $4,791 | $228,320,875 )
29 . You Got Served $16,123,105 ( 1,933 | $8,340 | $16,123,105 )
30 . She's All That $16,065,430 ( 2,222 | $7,230 | $16,065,430 )
31 . Final Destination 2 $16,017,141 ( 2,834 | $5,651 | $16,017,141 )
32 . Aladdin $15,642,073 ( 2,255 | $6,936 | $114,786,847 )
33 . What Women Want $15,555,033 ( 3,052 | $5,096 | $137,897,386 )
34 . Traffic $15,517,549 ( 1,510 | $10,276 | $16,041,218 )
35 . Save the Last Dance $15,366,047 ( 2,539 | $6,052 | $46,238,231 )
36 . A Beautiful Mind $15,220,705 ( 2,222 | $6,850 | $58,420,716 )
37 . A Civil Action $15,163,484 ( 1,802 | $8,414 | $15,452,632 )
38 . Orange County $15,053,226 ( 2,317 | $6,496 | $15,053,226 )
39 . The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers $14,755,306 ( 3,477 | $4,243 | $283,421,517 )
40 . Catch Me If You Can $14,630,444 ( 3,225 | $4,536 | $119,370,261 )
41 . Stepmom $14,582,227 ( 2,358 | $6,184 | $50,017,838 )
42 . Next Friday $14,465,156 ( 1,103 | $13,114 | $19,025,386 )
43 . National Security $14,369,694 ( 2,729 | $5,265 | $14,369,694 )
44 . The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King $14,209,098 ( 3,532 | $4,022 | $312,320,936 )
45 . You've Got Mail $14,176,243 ( 2,776 | $5,106 | $77,938,617 )
46 . Legends of the Fall $14,038,128 ( 2,005 | $7,001 | $14,975,417 )
47 . A Few Good Men $14,033,527 ( 2,115 | $6,635 | $77,162,364 )
48 . Twelve Monkeys $13,842,990 ( 1,533 | $9,030 | $14,206,379 )
49 . Philadelphia $13,817,010 ( 1,245 | $11,098 | $14,766,736 )
50 . Big Fish $13,811,191 ( 2,406 | $5,740 | $23,386,775 )
51 . Tomorrow Never Dies $13,798,856 ( 2,807 | $4,915 | $92,408,204 )
52 . Good Will Hunting $13,707,525 ( 1,819 | $7,535 | $37,301,061 )
53 . The Wedding Planner $13,510,293 ( 2,785 | $4,851 | $13,510,293 )
54 . Higher Learning $13,276,662 ( 1,409 | $9,422 | $13,276,662 )
55 . Three Men and a Baby $13,123,622 ( 1,804 | $7,274 | $83,925,233 )
56 . Snow Dogs $13,079,373 ( 2,440 | $5,360 | $38,811,967 )
57 . Miss Congeniality $13,021,316 ( 2,668 | $4,880 | $65,376,566 )
58 . Patch Adams $12,686,600 ( 2,770 | $4,580 | $83,504,170 )
59 . Home Alone $12,626,851 ( 2,173 | $5,810 | $168,697,638 )
60 . The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring $12,473,748 ( 3,266 | $3,819 | $245,418,551 )
61 . Beverly Hills Ninja $12,220,920 ( 2,112 | $5,786 | $12,220,920 )
62 . As Good as It Gets $12,217,707 ( 1,579 | $7,737 | $40,722,657 )
63 . A Walk to Remember $12,177,488 ( 2,411 | $5,050 | $12,177,488 )
64 . Michael $12,144,926 ( 2,181 | $5,568 | $52,733,564 )
65 . Patch Adams $12,049,345 ( 2,893 | $4,165 | $98,697,840 )
66 . Jerry Maguire $12,030,145 ( 2,531 | $4,753 | $83,006,355 )
67 . Darkness Falls $12,024,917 ( 2,837 | $4,238 | $12,024,917 )
68 . Just Married $11,871,330 ( 2,769 | $4,287 | $33,428,852 )
69 . The Hand That Rocks the Cradle $11,839,246 ( 1,667 | $7,102 | $21,862,861 )
70 . A Civil Action $11,761,043 ( 2,001 | $5,877 | $31,301,412 )
71 . Good Morning, Vietnam $11,752,913 ( 785 | $14,971 | $12,853,843 )
72 . Cheaper by the Dozen $11,751,349 ( 3,238 | $3,629 | $101,147,842 )
73 . A Beautiful Mind $11,748,110 ( 2,225 | $5,280 | $74,657,891 )
74 . Something's Gotta Give $11,705,123 ( 2,808 | $4,168 | $81,211,676 )
75 . Cold Mountain $11,579,747 ( 2,216 | $5,225 | $43,737,222 )
76 . Kangaroo Jack $11,548,247 ( 2,848 | $4,054 | $35,112,415 )
77 . Mrs. Doubtfire $11,536,024 ( 2,345 | $4,919 | $138,317,167 )
78 . A Beautiful Mind $11,531,735 ( 2,237 | $5,155 | $92,887,746 )
79 . Beverly Hills Cop $11,515,665 ( 2,006 | $5,740 | $99,022,468 )
80 . Hook $11,472,860 ( 2,254 | $5,090 | $82,068,245 )
81 . Traffic $11,438,980 ( 1,527 | $7,491 | $33,341,734 )
82 . Metro $11,411,107 ( 2,001 | $5,702 | $11,411,107 )
83 . The Count of Monte Cristo $11,376,150 ( 2,007 | $5,668 | $11,376,150 )
84 . The Thin Red Line $11,362,226 ( 1,528 | $7,436 | $14,435,129 )
85 . The Prince of Egypt $11,244,612 ( 3,202 | $3,511 | $66,351,243 )
86 . Stuart Little $11,214,503 ( 2,979 | $3,764 | $95,320,551 )
87 . The Mothman Prophecies $11,208,851 ( 2,331 | $4,808 | $11,208,851 )
88 . Cast Away $11,151,419 ( 3,061 | $3,643 | $181,970,406 )
89 . Two Weeks Notice $11,126,397 ( 2,755 | $4,038 | $68,810,079 )
90 . Home Alone $11,069,157 ( 2,112 | $5,241 | $194,760,234 )
91 . Ocean's Eleven $11,052,578 ( 2,770 | $3,990 | $151,967,372 )
92 . Born on the Fourth of July $11,023,650 ( 1,310 | $8,415 | $12,177,584 )
93 . Aladdin $10,920,346 ( 2,331 | $4,684 | $139,066,800 )
94 . Good Morning, Vietnam $10,806,276 ( 1,194 | $9,050 | $28,624,688 )
95 . Catch Me If You Can $10,696,726 ( 3,050 | $3,507 | $134,489,853 )
96 . Varsity Blues $10,574,508 ( 2,339 | $4,520 | $30,575,799 )
97 . Tootsie $10,553,448 ( 1,115 | $9,464 | $55,155,149 )
98 . Spice World $10,527,222 ( 2,339 | $4,500 | $10,527,222 )
99 . Fallen $10,401,586 ( 2,448 | $4,249 | $10,401,586 )
100 . Big Fish $10,306,947 ( 2,514 | $4,099 | $37,858,198 )
101 . Mrs. Doubtfire $10,281,452 ( 2,354 | $4,367 | $151,757,238 )
102 . What Women Want $10,275,888 ( 3,092 | $3,323 | $152,195,301 )
103 . The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers $10,274,388 ( 3,110 | $3,303 | $297,892,450 )
104 . Good Will Hunting $10,261,471 ( 1,787 | $5,742 | $19,010,323 )
105 . From Dusk Till Dawn $10,240,805 ( 2,004 | $5,110 | $10,240,805 )
106 . The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King $10,219,470 ( 3,003 | $3,403 | $326,812,102 )
107 . Rain Man $10,111,504 ( 1,482 | $6,822 | $69,089,510 )
108 . Biker Boyz $10,106,992 ( 1,766 | $5,723 | $10,106,992 )
109 . As Good as It Gets $10,028,920 ( 1,753 | $5,721 | $66,831,247 )
110 . Demon Knight $10,019,555 ( 1,729 | $5,795 | $10,019,555 )
111 . Scream $10,015,810 ( 1,737 | $5,766 | $39,084,452 )
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 2:14 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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 Great Article, Everybody Read it!
Summer pix in early gridlock
GABRIEL SNYDER
(Variety) The summer movie season of 2005 is nearly six months away, but studios are already poring over the release schedule, keeping a close eye on some potentially bruising collisions.
In keeping with the trend of past years, Hollywood has crammed the schedule with so many releases that, if you're still trying searching for a date for your blockbuster, the only open weekend left is Aug. 26.
The battles start in May, but the most closely watched game of release-date chicken comes over the July 4 weekend when Steven Spielberg-Tom Cruise (news) sci-fi pic "War of the Worlds" is skedded to open against comicbook adaptation "The Fantastic Four."
"We are fated to repeat history each year," says Sony vice chair Jeff Blake. "From the beginning of May to the middle of August, there's a big opening every week."
Adds Disney distrib head Chuck Viane: "It's absolutely as crowded as ever. And just like in the last few years, you're going to have a big picture or two each weekend --- if you're lucky."
Studios have a huge incentive to avoid this kind of faceoff, since opening big pictures on the same weekend tends to hurt the grosses of both titles. Also, upcoming battles can look bigger from afar than closer to the date. For instance, the Dec. 17 weekend's triple opening of "Spanglish," "Lemony Snicket" and "The Aviator" once looked to be a major mashup. In the end, "Snicket" won with a modest opening, "Aviator" decided to make it a limited bow and "Spanglish" didn't materialize as a blockbuster.
Still, neither side is giving much ground in the battle between "War" and "Four." Last April, Fox planted its flag on Fourth of July weekend for "Fantastic Four." Then in August, Paramount announced it was co-producing with DreamWorks the Spielberg/Cruise collaboration "War of the Worlds," which it would release on June 29, a Wednesday.
It's widely expected that one of those pics will move, but neither studio wants to be the one to blink first. If the two pics remain in place, it would make for a showdown not seen since "Gremlins" and "Ghostbusters" both opened June 8, 1984, to say nothing of the battle between "The Perfect Storm" and "The Patriot" over the Independence Day weekend in 2000.
Par recently unveiled a teaser for "War," in part to raise public awareness of the pic and in part to signal to rival distribs that this is the sort of Spielberg pic to steer clear of.
But both Fox and Paramount have reason to believe the other studio will abandon the date. With "War" being produced on an extremely tight sked --- it only started lensing in November --- there are some doubts on the Fox lot about whether the f/x-heavy pic will be delivered on time.
Of course, "Four," which tells the tale of the elastic Mr. Fantastic, the Human Torch, the Invisible Woman and the Thing, will have plenty of CGI work of its own to complete before release. And, as with nearly all f/x-driven pics, rumors of delays have begun to swirl.
Of course, with the calendar as crowded as it is, neither studio has many summer options to choose from if it decides to concede the July 4 weekend.
Illustrating the bind is the May mash-up. "Star Wars: Episode III --- Revenge of the Sith" opens May 20, the same berth the previous two pics in the series have occupied. But both those pics were given much more latitude than "Episode III" is getting.
The George Lucas pic is hemmed in on either side by Will Ferrell (news) comedy "Kicking and Screaming," which bows May 13, and then toon "Madagascar" and Adam Sandler laffer "The Longest Yard" on May 27.
With such "sure-thing" properties, studios typically steer clear of the weekends both before and after such a blockbuster. In 1999, "Episode I --- The Phantom Menace" opened two weeks after "The Mummy" and three weeks before "Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me." In 2002, "Episode II --- Attack of the Clones" opened two weeks after "Spider-Man" and two weeks before "The Sum of All Fears."
It's no coincidence that Fox is involved in two of these summer mash-ups. Studio is planning to release four films during the most competitive 10 weeks on the sked. (In addition to "Star Wars" and "Fantastic Four," it has Ridley Scott pic "Kingdom of Heaven" on May 6 and Brad Pitt/Angelina Jolie starrer "Mr. and Mrs. Smith" June 10.
Sony and Warner Bros. are planning four releases apiece in May, June and July, but those studios are spreading their pics out a bit more.
In an attempt to get a jump on the summer crowd, Sony will make a bid to start "summer" even earlier with "XXX: Head of State," starring Ice Cube, bowing April 29. Original "XXX" launched the second week of August in 2002.
"There's really no logical reason, as far as the school schedule or anything else, that (grosses on) April 29 should be any different than May 1," Blake said.
The summer season has been creeping forward from Memorial Day for years. With "The Mummy" in 1999, Universal demonstrated that the first weekend of May could be huge even though kids are still in school. DreamWorks followed in 2000 with Scott's "Gladiator." And Sony set the three-day weekend record in 2001 with "Spider-Man's" $114 million haul.
Last year, after "Mean Girls" opened to a surprising $24.4 million on April 30, Par retroactively designated it a summer pic to boost its "summer" tally.
The quest for more prime summer playtime also is pushing studios to get more money out of the end of the summer. Studios usually cram their heaviest artillery into May and June; but in 2005, studios are trying to spread out their pics into the latter part of the season.
On July 8, Sony opens "Bewitched" against Universal's "Skeleton Key." The following week Warners will release Johnny Depp (news) starrer "Charlie and the Chocolate Factory"; on July 22, DreamWorks' "The Island" is up against New Line's "The Wedding Crashers." And on July 29, Warners brings out "The Dukes of Hazzard."
August, too, looks tough. Universal is going out with its Dwayne (the Rock) Johnson vidgame actioner "Doom" on Aug. 5, while Sony is running with "Deuce Bigalow: European Gigolo" a week later.
While successful late-summer pics are hardly a rarity, Sony's Blake notes late July and August have not yet proved to be a consistently strong play period.
"If you're dominant on any other weekend in summer, you're pretty much assured of being successful," he says. "It can happen later, but it doesn't necessarily always happen." [u]
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 6:35 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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I'm getting worried about SW3 an the competition.
That is a lot of films to take on, and June just keeps adding one after another. SW3 and Batman need huge opening weekends to pull in great totals; Batman will get creamed June 29th & July 1st, if both WOTW and TF4 stay put.
I'm amazed by how brave Fox is, by remaining stead-fast with TF$. Is there something they know that we don't? They could be counting on another X-Men, which would be absolutely huge for them. If TF4 grosses anywhere near X1, you can bet they'll turn it into a franchise.
I would think WOTW would move first, IF the shooting doesn't end on time. If so, I'd expect them to move two or three weeks into July, around I, Robot's opening slot.
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 6:43 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm Posts: 1684
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Great Article, I agree the competetion is tense, too many movies in like a month. I doubt that F4 will make 170+, I think that it will make like 140. Kindof like I, Robot. I don't think that WOTW's will move, unless they don't finish, because that is a great spot, Wednesday, Thursday, Weekend, and then Monday which is July 4th so it has a 6-day weekend, sort of, just like Spiderman 2, not saying that it will gross as much though. Anyways, Batman Begins is going to be killed that weekend, but at least it will have two weeks by itself, since I doubt Fun with dick and Jane will outgross Batman.
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 6:49 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm Posts: 1684
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box_2005 wrote: I'm getting worried about SW3 an the competition.
Me too, it has a great release date, All the star wars movies and both Shreks have had that weekend, and all were successful, but there is a lot of competition in the next weekend. Madagascar and Longest Yard may not be Spiderman and ROTK, but they will hurt it badly. Star Wars is for all ages, kids, teens, adults, elders, everyone. Madagascar is too though, well maybe not elders, but still, it will take away business, I expect a big drop, even though it is a holiday. I this summer might be one of the busiest. The multiplier are going to be bad.
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Sun Jan 09, 2005 6:55 pm |
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